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The graph below shows all 512 team games played in the 2018 season. On the X-Axis is the Game Script; on the Y-Axis is the percentage of plays that were passing plays for that team. As you can see, there’s a pretty clear correlation between Game Script — which is the average points differential over the course of the game — and Pass Ratio. The higher the Game Script, the lower the Pass Ratio:

Here is the best-fit linear formula to estimate a team’s Pass Ratio in 2018, assuming you know the Game Script:

58.76% minus 0.71 * Game Script

In other words, for about every 4 points of Game Script, you would expect a team’s Pass Ratio to decline by nearly 3 percent. A team with a Game Script of +8.0 would be expected to pass on 53.1% of plays, while a team with a -8.0 Game Script would be expected to pass on 64.4% of plays.

Once we know how often a team is expected to pass, we can then figure out which games were the biggest outliers. As it turns out, the Pittsburgh Steelers — playing the season without Le’Veon Bell — had the three most pass-happy games of the season. Playing the Broncos on November 25th, Pittsburgh had a Game Script of -1.5, so we would expect the Steelers to pass on 59.8% of all plays; instead, Pittsburgh threw on a whopping 78.9% of plays. That was the most pass-heavy game of the season once you account for Game Script.

The table below shows the Game Script, expected Pass Ratio, Actual Pass Ratio, and the difference between those two figures for all 512 team games in 2018.

RkTeamH/ROppDatePFPAW/LGame ScriptExpPRPassRunP/R RatioDiff
1PIT@DEN11-251724Loss-1.559.8%601678.9%19.1%
2PITLAC12-023033Loss6.554.2%461773%18.8%
3PIT@JAX11-182016Win-5.962.9%491181.7%18.8%
4CINPIT10-142128Loss-0.859.3%451377.6%18.3%
5PITBAL09-301426Loss-6.263.2%481181.4%18.2%
6IND@PHI09-231620Loss-0.559.1%431376.8%17.7%
7GNB@SEA11-152427Loss4.355.7%351372.9%17.2%
8IND@JAX12-0206Loss-2.260.3%551677.5%17.2%
9INDHOU09-303437Loss-5.162.4%661779.5%17.1%
10CIN@CAR09-232131Loss-4.161.6%481378.7%17.1%
11MINBUF09-23627Loss-21.273.8%59690.8%17%
12LAR@CHI12-09615Loss-3.761.4%471378.3%16.9%
13NYGWAS10-281320Loss-5.862.9%541479.4%16.5%
14LARKAN11-195451Win4.455.7%542172%16.3%
15PITKAN09-163742Loss-9.465.5%611481.3%15.8%
16NWEIND10-043824Win1250.3%442365.7%15.4%
17CHI@DET11-222316Win0.458.5%421573.7%15.2%
18NYJNWE11-251327Loss-2.660.6%471575.8%15.2%
19JAXNWE09-163120Win12.250.1%452465.2%15.1%
20KANLAC12-132829Loss8.452.8%361767.9%15.1%
21INDCIN09-092334Loss3.156.6%552271.4%14.8%
22PIT@NOR12-232831Loss-1.759.9%531874.6%14.7%
23MIN@LAR09-273138Loss-461.6%541776.1%14.5%
24MIN@NWE12-021024Loss-763.7%461378%14.3%
25CLE@HOU12-021329Loss-13.868.6%43982.7%14.1%
26ATL@PHI09-061218Loss0.558.4%471872.3%13.9%
27NORTAM09-094048Loss-7.664.1%461378%13.9%
28NYG@PHI11-252225Loss5.854.6%391868.4%13.8%
29NYGNOR09-301833Loss-3.361.1%441574.6%13.5%
30PHI@TEN09-302326Loss1.457.7%542271.1%13.4%
31LARPHI12-162330Loss-4.662%551875.3%13.3%
32PHIHOU12-233230Win2.856.7%512269.9%13.2%
33MIN@CHI11-182025Loss-7.864.3%481477.4%13.1%
34SFOCHI12-23914Loss-0.559.1%391572.2%13.1%
35KANCIN10-214510Win18.545.6%412958.6%13%
36PHIDAL11-112027Loss-3.761.4%461674.2%12.8%
37DET@SFO09-162730Loss-5.462.6%551875.3%12.7%
38BALBUF09-09473Win24.441.4%403454.1%12.7%
39ATL@WAS11-043814Win12.250.1%402462.5%12.4%
40JAXPHI10-281824Loss-2.160.3%451772.6%12.3%
41PIT@TAM09-243027Win8.452.8%412265.1%12.3%
42DEN@NYJ10-071634Loss-7.664.1%551776.4%12.3%
43CAR@DET11-181920Loss-1.359.7%411671.9%12.2%
44TAMPIT09-242730Loss-8.464.7%531676.8%12.1%
45ATLNYG10-222320Win4.455.7%422067.7%12%
46DENCLE12-151617Loss-1.159.5%502071.4%11.9%
47DETSEA10-281428Loss-8.765%431376.8%11.8%
48DAL@NYG12-303635Win2.756.8%482268.6%11.8%
49NYGTEN12-16017Loss-7.764.2%471575.8%11.6%
50CLE@BAL12-302426Loss-6.763.5%421475%11.5%
51NORPIT12-233128Win1.757.6%421968.9%11.3%
52MIN@GNB09-162929Tie-4.862.2%501873.5%11.3%
53GNB@NYJ12-234438Win-6.763.5%592074.7%11.2%
54BAL@CLE10-07912Loss-0.659.2%592570.2%11%
55JAX@KAN10-071430Loss-13.768.5%661779.5%11%
56KANDEN10-283023Win4.355.7%361866.7%11%
57ATLTAM10-143429Win5.954.6%422265.6%11%
58INDNYG12-232827Win-7.564.1%481675%10.9%
59NWE@BUF10-29256Win6.154.4%472565.3%10.9%
60NYJGNB12-233844Loss6.754%372064.9%10.9%
61SEA@DEN09-092427Loss-1.860%391670.9%10.9%
62CIN@BAL11-182124Loss-1.359.7%381670.4%10.7%
63DETNYJ09-101748Loss-11.566.9%521577.6%10.7%
64CHIDET11-113422Win15.347.9%312258.5%10.6%
65ATLARI12-164014Win15.248%382758.5%10.5%
66HOU@NYJ12-152922Win3.656.2%341766.7%10.5%
67GNBMIN09-162929Tie4.855.3%462465.7%10.4%
68CAR@ATL09-162431Loss-4.762.1%471872.3%10.2%
69LACBAL12-221022Loss-4.161.7%411671.9%10.2%
70GNBSFO10-153330Win-1.559.8%492170%10.2%
71GNBARI12-021720Loss-0.158.8%512368.9%10.1%
72PIT@CIN10-142821Win0.858.2%452168.2%10%
73PHI@DAL12-092329Loss-3.161%341470.8%9.8%
74ATL@NOR11-221731Loss-11.667%531676.8%9.8%
75BAL@TEN10-14210Win12.549.9%372559.7%9.8%
76PIT@BAL11-042316Win5.654.8%492764.5%9.7%
77TAMCLE10-212623Win6.953.9%563263.6%9.7%
78MIN@NYJ10-213717Win7.453.5%412463.1%9.6%
79TAMPHI09-162721Win10.951%352360.3%9.3%
80KANBAL12-092724Win0.758.3%562767.5%9.2%
81ATL@CLE11-111628Loss-8.564.8%541974%9.2%
82CINBAL09-133423Win11.250.8%422860%9.2%
83WASATL11-041438Loss-12.267.4%491576.6%9.2%
84PHICAR10-211721Loss6.853.9%412463.1%9.2%
85KAN@LAR11-195154Loss-4.461.9%492071%9.1%
86HOU@PHI12-233032Loss-2.860.8%441969.8%9%
87PITCIN12-301613Win-2.760.7%462069.7%9%
88GNB@CHI12-161724Loss-4.862.2%471971.2%9%
89ARICHI09-231416Loss7.153.7%301862.5%8.8%
90IND@HOU12-092421Win3.156.5%432365.2%8.7%
91BALPIT11-041623Loss-5.662.8%401671.4%8.6%
92NYG@DAL09-161320Loss-10.166%501774.6%8.6%
93KANSFO09-233827Win12.749.7%392858.2%8.5%
94LACTEN10-212019Win4.955.3%281663.6%8.3%
95TAMNOR12-091428Loss3.456.3%422364.6%8.3%
96MIN@PHI10-072321Win6.554.1%382362.3%8.2%
97GNBATL12-093420Win11.250.8%362559%8.2%
98PIT@OAK12-092124Loss-0.459%391967.2%8.2%
99CARATL12-231024Loss-4.762.1%592570.2%8.1%
100TAMATL12-303234Loss3.556.3%362064.3%8%
101OAKCLE09-304542Win-1.459.8%612967.8%8%
102NYG@CAR10-073133Loss-5.162.4%381670.4%8%
103NYJ@JAX09-301231Loss-8.264.6%371472.5%7.9%
104OAK@LAC10-071026Loss-9.765.6%361373.5%7.9%
105SFO@LAC09-302729Loss3.156.6%382164.4%7.8%
106TENPHI09-302623Win-1.459.8%462267.6%7.8%
107MIA@CIN10-071727Loss4.655.5%382263.3%7.8%
108CAR@TAM12-021724Loss-6.163.1%461970.8%7.7%
109ATLDAL11-181922Loss-1.259.6%371867.3%7.7%
110OAK@CIN12-161630Loss-8.464.7%421672.4%7.7%
111LACDEN11-182223Loss3.556.3%462663.9%7.6%
112ATL@PIT10-071741Loss-8.664.9%501972.5%7.6%
113WASPHI12-30024Loss-8.364.6%311272.1%7.5%
114KANJAX10-073014Win13.749%393056.5%7.5%
115ARISFO10-281815Win-1.659.9%432167.2%7.3%
116DENLAR10-142023Loss-864.4%431771.7%7.3%
117DENHOU11-041719Loss-3.961.5%442068.8%7.3%
118CIN@ATL09-303736Win0.458.5%442365.7%7.2%
119GNB@LAR10-282729Loss3.456.3%331963.5%7.2%
120GNBDET12-30031Loss-15.369.6%431376.8%7.2%
121CAR@PHI10-212117Win-6.863.6%411770.7%7.1%
122LARMIN09-273831Win455.9%342063%7.1%
123INDTEN11-183810Win17.646.2%322853.3%7.1%
124KAN@CLE11-043721Win10.251.6%342458.6%7%
125GNBBUF09-30220Win12.749.8%423256.8%7%
126CHI@GNB09-092324Loss9.352.2%392759.1%6.9%
127KAN@SEA12-233138Loss-3.761.4%411968.3%6.9%
128MINCHI12-301024Loss-7.964.4%371571.2%6.8%
129IND@NWE10-042438Loss-1267.3%602174.1%6.8%
130GNB@WAS09-231731Loss-11.667%481773.8%6.8%
131BUFNWE10-29625Loss-6.163.1%441969.8%6.7%
132CLECIN12-232618Win1151%382857.6%6.6%
133BALNOR10-212324Loss1.757.5%412364.1%6.6%
134NWENYJ12-30383Win17.246.5%343053.1%6.6%
135CHITAM09-304810Win26.340.1%273146.6%6.5%
136NOR@ATL09-234337Win0.358.5%502764.9%6.4%
137JAXTEN09-2369Loss-1.559.8%371966.1%6.3%
138BAL@CAR10-282136Loss-9.765.6%461871.9%6.3%
139NYJ@MIA11-04613Loss-3.161%432167.2%6.2%
140ATLBAL12-021626Loss-2.560.5%301566.7%6.2%
141CHINWE10-213138Loss-3.861.4%522567.5%6.1%
142BAL@CIN09-132334Loss-11.266.7%592272.8%6.1%
143OAKLAR09-101333Loss-1.159.6%422265.6%6%
144ARIDET12-09317Loss-4.161.7%442167.7%6%
145WASCAR10-142317Win9.352.2%392858.2%6%
146PHI@NYG10-113413Win14.548.4%373154.4%6%
147NYG@ATL10-222023Loss-4.461.9%422067.7%5.8%
148LAR@NOR11-043545Loss-6.263.2%401869%5.8%
149KANARI11-112614Win853.1%332358.9%5.8%
150LARSEA11-113631Win0.558.4%412364.1%5.7%
151PHIMIN10-072123Loss-6.563.4%381769.1%5.7%
152GNB@DET10-072331Loss-13.168.1%562073.7%5.6%
153TAM@ATL10-142934Loss-5.962.9%432068.3%5.4%
154HOUNYG09-232227Loss-7.564%431969.4%5.4%
155KAN@NWE10-144043Loss-5.462.6%361767.9%5.3%
156NWEHOU09-092720Win10.151.6%413156.9%5.3%
157DALTEN11-051428Loss-260.2%361965.5%5.3%
158CINTAM10-283734Win9.851.8%362757.1%5.3%
159DENKAN10-012327Loss1.857.4%372262.7%5.3%
160KANOAK12-30353Win19.744.8%272750%5.2%
161DETMIN12-23927Loss-3.861.5%462366.7%5.2%
162CAR@CLE12-092026Loss0.258.6%442563.8%5.2%
163BAL@PIT09-302614Win6.254.4%443059.5%5.1%
164WAS@PHI12-031328Loss-4.161.7%281466.7%5%
165LAC@BUF09-163120Win14.248.7%292553.7%5%
166LACKAN09-092838Loss-9.265.3%522270.3%5%
167CLEBAL10-07129Win0.658.4%482863.2%4.8%
168WASIND09-16921Loss-7.764.2%492269%4.8%
169NYJMIA09-161220Loss-8.965%441969.8%4.8%
170DALPHI12-092923Win3.156.6%573661.3%4.7%
171BALDEN09-232714Win4.955.3%422860%4.7%
172OAK@BAL11-251734Loss-3.861.5%371966.1%4.6%
173LACARI11-254510Win12.549.9%363054.5%4.6%
174ATLCIN09-303637Loss-0.459%422463.6%4.6%
175MINNOR10-282030Loss-5.862.9%452267.2%4.3%
176WAS@DAL11-222331Loss-5.862.9%412067.2%4.3%
177NYGPHI10-111334Loss-14.569.1%471773.4%4.3%
178ATLNOR09-233743Loss-0.359%382263.3%4.3%
179NWE@PIT12-161017Loss-4.461.9%371966.1%4.2%
180GNBCHI09-092423Win-9.365.3%411869.5%4.2%
181CAR@WAS10-141723Loss-9.365.4%411869.5%4.1%
182KAN@OAK12-024033Win9.851.8%383055.9%4.1%
183CIN@PIT12-301316Loss2.756.8%281860.9%4.1%
184DENLAC12-30923Loss-4.962.2%492566.2%4%
185TAM@DAL12-232027Loss-7.564.1%512468%3.9%
186KAN@DEN10-012723Win-1.860.1%462663.9%3.8%
187BUF@GNB09-30022Loss-12.767.7%401671.4%3.7%
188DETCHI11-221623Loss-0.459.1%402462.5%3.4%
189CHISEA09-172417Win7.153.7%362757.1%3.4%
190PITNWE12-161710Win4.455.6%362559%3.4%
191HOUJAX12-30203Win9.452.1%413355.4%3.3%
192PITCAR11-085221Win19.445%283048.3%3.3%
193NWE@TEN11-111034Loss-12.367.5%461970.8%3.3%
194OAKLAC11-11620Loss-5.862.9%412166.1%3.2%
195BUF@NWE12-231224Loss-10.766.3%411869.5%3.2%
196TAMCAR12-022417Win6.154.4%342557.6%3.2%
197HOU@IND09-303734Win5.155.2%493558.3%3.1%
198TAMSFO11-25279Win8.652.7%393155.7%3%
199SFO@TAM11-25927Loss-8.664.9%361767.9%3%
200SFODEN12-092014Win10.251.5%363054.5%3%
201DAL@SEA09-231324Loss-7.864.3%391967.2%2.9%
202NWE@MIA12-093334Loss2.357.1%453060%2.9%
203DAL@PHI11-112720Win3.756.1%402858.8%2.7%
204ARIWAS09-09624Loss-12.967.9%361570.6%2.7%
205CLE@PIT10-281833Loss-4.361.8%382164.4%2.6%
206GNBMIA11-113112Win9.552%302554.5%2.5%
207GNB@MIN11-251724Loss-2.160.2%321962.7%2.5%
208DET@DAL09-302426Loss-1.659.9%332062.3%2.4%
209PHI@NOR11-18748Loss-19.672.7%361275%2.3%
210TAMWAS11-11316Loss-4.461.9%432464.2%2.3%
211DEN@ARI10-184510Win24.541.4%243143.6%2.2%
212HOUBUF10-142013Win4.355.7%332457.9%2.2%
213HOUIND12-092124Loss-3.161%432563.2%2.2%
214IND@NYJ10-143442Loss-5.963%432365.2%2.2%
215LARARI09-16340Win14.448.5%343350.7%2.2%
216INDJAX11-112926Win753.8%292355.8%2%
217NYGDAL12-303536Loss-2.760.7%422562.7%2%
218ARI@SEA12-302427Loss-2.560.6%402462.5%1.9%
219CLELAC10-141438Loss-14.368.9%512170.8%1.9%
220TAM@CIN10-283437Loss-9.865.7%562767.5%1.8%
221OAKPIT12-092421Win0.458.5%382560.3%1.8%
222DAL@WAS10-211720Loss-4.762.1%392263.9%1.8%
223SEA@CHI09-171724Loss-7.163.8%422265.6%1.8%
224NWE@CHI10-213831Win3.856.1%372757.8%1.7%
225SFO@SEA12-021643Loss-13.368.2%512269.9%1.7%
226NYG@WAS12-094016Win20.344.3%293446%1.7%
227CINDEN12-021024Loss-5.962.9%422364.6%1.7%
228KAN@PIT09-164237Win9.452.1%292553.7%1.6%
229JAXHOU10-21720Loss-10.266%462267.6%1.6%
230NORCLE09-162118Win-2.760.7%382362.3%1.6%
231DETCAR11-182019Win1.357.8%382659.4%1.6%
232NYGJAX09-091520Loss-3.661.3%392362.9%1.6%
233GNB@NWE11-041731Loss-4.962.3%442563.8%1.5%
234NORPHI11-18487Win19.644.9%323746.4%1.5%
235NYG@HOU09-232722Win7.553.5%332755%1.5%
236PHI@TAM09-162127Loss-10.966.5%512468%1.5%
237DEN@LAC11-182322Win-3.561.3%321962.7%1.4%
238DETGNB10-073123Win13.149.5%292850.9%1.4%
239LACCIN12-092621Win6.754%312555.4%1.4%
240NWEMIA09-30387Win18.945.3%354046.7%1.4%
241MIN@SEA12-10721Loss-3.461.2%352162.5%1.3%
242JAXNYJ09-303112Win8.252.9%403454.1%1.2%
243NYJMIN10-211737Loss-7.464%452465.2%1.2%
244MINSFO09-092416Win7.153.8%393254.9%1.1%
245NYGCHI12-023027Win3.556.3%392957.4%1.1%
246JAX@TEN12-06930Loss-14.569%472070.1%1.1%
247BUFNYJ12-092327Loss4.855.4%403156.3%0.9%
248CARNOR12-17912Loss0.158.7%342359.6%0.9%
249PIT@CLE09-092121Tie4.755.4%453556.3%0.9%
250LAC@SEA11-042517Win5.155.1%282256%0.9%
251ATL@CAR12-232410Win4.755.4%272156.3%0.9%
252WAS@NOR10-081943Loss-14.769.2%421870%0.8%
253MIAOAK09-232820Win-2.860.8%241561.5%0.7%
254MINGNB11-252417Win2.157.3%402958%0.7%
255JAX@HOU12-30320Loss-9.465.4%311666%0.6%
256OAK@MIA09-232028Loss2.856.8%433257.3%0.5%
257OAK@DEN09-161920Loss654.5%332755%0.5%
258CINCLE11-252035Loss-16.970.8%471971.2%0.4%
259MIADET10-212132Loss-7.964.4%351964.8%0.4%
260CLE@OAK09-304245Loss1.457.7%433158.1%0.4%
261MINARI10-142717Win7.753.3%373253.6%0.3%
262MIACHI10-143128Win0.558.4%443158.7%0.3%
263HOUDAL10-071916Win-0.258.9%453159.2%0.3%
264OAKIND10-282842Loss-0.959.4%281959.6%0.2%
265SFOARI10-071828Loss-5.762.8%583463%0.2%
266TENIND12-301733Loss-7.764.2%291664.4%0.2%
267ARILAR12-23931Loss-1065.9%351866%0.1%
268NORWAS10-084319Win14.748.3%303248.4%0.1%
269IND@WAS09-16219Win7.753.3%322853.3%0%
270DET@MIN11-04924Loss-8.564.8%462564.8%0%
271LAC@PIT12-023330Win-6.563.4%382263.3%-0.1%
272NWEGNB11-043117Win4.955.3%383155.1%-0.2%
273NYG@IND12-232728Loss7.553.4%332953.2%-0.2%
274SFONYG11-122327Loss1.557.7%392957.4%-0.3%
275DETNWE09-232610Win7.953.2%373352.9%-0.3%
276MIA@GNB11-111231Loss-9.565.5%432365.2%-0.3%
277INDMIA11-252724Win-2.360.4%392660%-0.4%
278LAC@KAN12-132928Win-8.464.7%432464.2%-0.5%
279ARI@KAN11-111426Loss-864.4%442563.8%-0.6%
280ARI@MIN10-141727Loss-7.764.3%352063.6%-0.7%
281DET@GNB12-30310Win15.347.9%343847.2%-0.7%
282CLE@TAM10-212326Loss-6.963.6%392362.9%-0.7%
283ATL@TAM12-303432Win-3.561.2%463060.5%-0.7%
284CHI@BUF11-04419Win17.346.5%212545.7%-0.8%
285PHI@WAS12-30240Win8.352.9%373452.1%-0.8%
286CIN@IND09-093423Win-3.160.9%302060%-0.9%
287LAR@DET12-023016Win4.355.7%352954.7%-1%
288TAM@CAR11-042842Loss-13.368.2%432167.2%-1%
289DENPIT11-252417Win1.557.7%302356.6%-1.1%
290MIAJAX12-23717Loss-0.659.2%251858.1%-1.1%
291LARLAC09-233523Win8.852.5%373551.4%-1.1%
292DALNOR11-291310Win6.554.2%353153%-1.2%
293LAR@OAK09-103313Win1.158%342656.7%-1.3%
294LACSFO09-302927Win-3.161%402759.7%-1.3%
295TENNYJ12-022622Win-8.264.6%382263.3%-1.3%
296PITCLE10-283318Win4.355.7%373154.4%-1.3%
297KAN@LAC09-093828Win9.252.2%282750.9%-1.3%
298PHIATL09-061812Win-0.559.1%372757.8%-1.3%
299CAR@NOR12-303314Win16.746.9%313745.6%-1.3%
300JAX@NYG09-092015Win3.656.2%342854.8%-1.4%
301DAL@IND12-16023Loss-11.667%422265.6%-1.4%
302CARNYG10-073331Win5.155.1%363153.7%-1.4%
303DALTAM12-232720Win7.553.5%262452%-1.5%
304DEN@BAL09-231427Loss-4.962.2%372460.7%-1.5%
305WASHOU11-182123Loss-4.361.8%442960.3%-1.5%
306DALNYG09-162013Win10.151.6%252550%-1.6%
307ARI@SFO10-072818Win5.754.7%262353.1%-1.6%
308SFODET09-163027Win5.454.9%322853.3%-1.6%
309DAL@CAR09-09816Loss-663%352261.4%-1.6%
310NYG@SFO11-122723Win-1.559.9%322358.2%-1.7%
311HOUCLE12-022913Win13.849%353947.3%-1.7%
312CLEKAN11-042137Loss-10.266%452564.3%-1.7%
313PHIWAS12-032813Win4.155.9%393354.2%-1.7%
314CLE@NOR09-161821Loss2.756.8%332755%-1.8%
315SFOSEA12-162623Win2.457%322655.2%-1.8%
316MIABUF12-022117Win4.155.9%272354%-1.9%
317DENSEA09-092724Win1.857.5%403255.6%-1.9%
318ATL@GNB12-092034Loss-11.266.7%442464.7%-2%
319NOR@DAL11-291013Loss-6.563.4%301961.2%-2.2%
320MIA@HOU10-252342Loss-6.963.7%402561.5%-2.2%
321DETLAR12-021630Loss-4.361.8%382659.4%-2.4%
322NYJ@CLE09-201721Loss5.455%333052.4%-2.6%
323TENBAL10-14021Loss-12.567.6%261465%-2.6%
324PITATL10-074117Win8.652.6%292950%-2.6%
325CLE@CIN11-253520Win16.946.8%263344.1%-2.7%
326MINDET11-04249Win8.552.7%232350%-2.7%
327CHI@NYG12-022730Loss-3.561.2%453258.4%-2.8%
328OAKDEN12-242714Win10.951%272948.2%-2.8%
329DET@CHI11-112234Loss-15.369.6%482466.7%-2.9%
330NORLAR11-044535Win6.254.3%363451.4%-2.9%
331WAS@TAM11-11163Win4.455.7%292652.7%-3%
332PHI@JAX10-282418Win2.157.3%332854.1%-3.2%
333IND@TEN12-303317Win7.753.3%363650%-3.3%
334ARI@ATL12-161440Loss-15.269.5%432266.2%-3.3%
335LAC@LAR09-232335Loss-8.865%322061.5%-3.5%
336CARTAM11-044228Win13.349.3%273245.8%-3.5%
337OAKSEA10-14327Loss-15.469.7%371966.1%-3.6%
338NYJ@TEN12-022226Loss8.252.9%323349.2%-3.7%
339LAC@OAK11-11206Win5.854.7%272650.9%-3.8%
340ARI@LAR09-16034Loss-14.469%281565.1%-3.9%
341PHIIND09-232016Win0.558.4%423554.5%-3.9%
342CLE@DEN12-151716Win1.158%332854.1%-3.9%
343DAL@ATL11-182219Win1.257.9%342954%-3.9%
344DALWAS11-223123Win5.854.6%353450.7%-3.9%
345BUF@MIN09-23276Win21.243.7%253839.7%-4%
346DEN@SFO12-091420Loss-10.266%442762%-4%
347NOR@NYG09-303318Win3.356.4%353252.2%-4.2%
348LARSFO12-304832Win19.345.1%294240.8%-4.3%
349CARBAL10-283621Win9.751.9%303347.6%-4.3%
350MIN@DET12-23279Win3.856%302851.7%-4.3%
351TEN@MIA09-092027Loss-3.261%382956.7%-4.3%
352DET@BUF12-161314Loss2.457%292652.7%-4.3%
353LACOAK10-072610Win9.751.9%283147.5%-4.4%
354NYJHOU12-152229Loss-3.661.3%413156.9%-4.4%
355TENJAX12-06309Win14.548.5%253243.9%-4.6%
356PHI@LAR12-163023Win4.655.5%313050.8%-4.7%
357NWE@DET09-231026Loss-7.964.3%281959.6%-4.7%
358SFO@MIN09-091624Loss-7.163.8%362559%-4.8%
359DALJAX10-14407Win17.346.5%304241.7%-4.8%
360BUFLAC09-162031Loss-14.268.8%392263.9%-4.9%
361TAM@BAL12-161220Loss-2.260.3%262155.3%-5%
362CHI@SFO12-23149Win0.558.4%322853.3%-5.1%
363SEALAC11-041725Loss-5.162.4%433257.3%-5.1%
364CARSEA11-252730Loss1.557.7%302752.6%-5.1%
365HOU@TEN09-161720Loss-6.463.3%362658.1%-5.2%
366DEN@OAK12-241427Loss-10.966.5%382461.3%-5.2%
367MIA@MIN12-161741Loss-12.367.5%332062.3%-5.2%
368NOR@CAR12-17129Win-0.158.8%373253.6%-5.2%
369BUFMIA12-304217Win1250.3%273345%-5.3%
370CHIGNB12-162417Win4.855.3%292950%-5.3%
371DEN@KAN10-282330Loss-4.361.8%393056.5%-5.3%
372WAS@NYG10-282013Win5.854.6%323349.2%-5.4%
373WAS@ARI09-09246Win12.949.6%334244%-5.6%
374MIANYJ11-04136Win3.156.5%282750.9%-5.6%
375CLECAR12-092620Win-0.258.9%242153.3%-5.6%
376NWEKAN10-144340Win5.454.9%373849.3%-5.6%
377BUFCHI11-04941Loss-17.371%532865.4%-5.6%
378SEA@CAR11-253027Win-1.559.8%332854.1%-5.7%
379MIA@NYJ09-162012Win8.952.5%273146.6%-5.9%
380NYJBUF11-111041Loss-20.473.2%371867.3%-5.9%
381CINOAK12-163016Win8.452.8%364146.8%-6%
382MIA@IND11-252427Loss2.357.1%262551%-6.1%
383OAK@ARI11-182321Win1.557.7%353351.5%-6.2%
384OAKKAN12-023340Loss-9.865.7%412859.4%-6.3%
385CHINYJ10-282410Win6.554.1%313447.7%-6.4%
386MIATEN09-092720Win3.256.5%292950%-6.5%
387SFOOAK11-01343Win1647.4%223240.7%-6.7%
388DENOAK09-162019Win-663%362856.3%-6.7%
389NWE@JAX09-162031Loss-12.267.4%372460.7%-6.7%
390CINMIA10-072717Win-4.662%322655.2%-6.8%
391CLEPIT09-092121Tie-4.762.1%473855.3%-6.8%
392SFO@ARI10-281518Loss1.657.6%323150.8%-6.8%
393DAL@HOU10-071619Loss0.258.6%312951.7%-6.9%
394NORATL11-223117Win11.650.5%243143.6%-6.9%
395CARDAL09-09168Win654.5%293247.5%-7%
396LAR@SEA10-073331Win-0.959.4%333052.4%-7%
397LAR@SFO10-213910Win13.948.9%263641.9%-7%
398TENNWE11-113410Win12.350%273642.9%-7.1%
399LARGNB10-282927Win-3.461.2%403454.1%-7.1%
400CIN@KAN10-211045Loss-18.571.9%351964.8%-7.1%
401MIANWE12-093433Win-2.360.4%242153.3%-7.1%
402CLENYJ09-202117Win-5.462.6%413355.4%-7.2%
403JAXIND12-0260Win2.257.2%272750%-7.2%
404LAR@DEN10-142320Win853.1%333945.8%-7.3%
405BUF@NYJ11-114110Win20.444.3%274637%-7.3%
406TAM@CHI09-301048Loss-26.377.4%421870%-7.4%
407NYJIND10-144234Win5.954.5%323647.1%-7.4%
408CHI@MIA10-142831Loss-0.559.1%333151.6%-7.5%
409TEN@BUF10-071213Loss-2.560.6%282552.8%-7.8%
410HOUTEN11-263417Win8.253%283445.2%-7.8%
411NYJ@CHI10-281024Loss-6.563.4%302455.6%-7.8%
412NOR@CIN11-115114Win20.344.3%274736.5%-7.8%
413ARIDEN10-181045Loss-24.576.2%452168.2%-8%
414CHIMIN11-182520Win7.853.2%323945.1%-8.1%
415TAM@NOR09-094840Win7.653.4%283445.2%-8.2%
416MIA@BUF12-301742Loss-1267.3%362559%-8.3%
417TENWAS12-222516Win-0.659.2%282750.9%-8.3%
418BUF@HOU10-141320Loss-4.361.8%312753.4%-8.4%
419SEASFO12-024316Win13.349.3%202940.8%-8.5%
420SEA@OAK10-14273Win15.447.8%243739.3%-8.5%
421BUF@MIA12-021721Loss-4.161.6%353153%-8.6%
422CHI@ARI09-231614Win-7.163.8%383155.1%-8.7%
423NWEMIN12-022410Win753.8%323945.1%-8.7%
424TEN@HOU11-261734Loss-8.264.6%292355.8%-8.8%
425ATLCAR09-163124Win4.755.5%283246.7%-8.8%
426HOU@WAS11-182321Win4.355.7%273146.6%-9.1%
427CHILAR12-09156Win3.756.1%313547%-9.1%
428JAX@DAL10-14740Loss-17.371%291861.7%-9.3%
429NOR@MIN10-283020Win5.854.7%242945.3%-9.4%
430BUF@BAL09-09347Loss-24.476.1%402066.7%-9.4%
431INDBUF10-21375Win15.647.7%233738.3%-9.4%
432TEN@DAL11-052814Win257.3%333647.8%-9.5%
433INDDAL12-16230Win11.650.5%273940.9%-9.6%
434NOR@TAM12-092814Win-3.461.2%323051.6%-9.6%
435ARI@GNB12-022017Win0.158.7%282949.1%-9.6%
436LAC@DEN12-30239Win4.955.3%253045.5%-9.8%
437BUF@IND10-21537Loss-15.669.8%332260%-9.8%
438JAX@MIA12-23177Win0.658.3%303248.4%-9.9%
439SFOLAR10-211039Loss-13.968.6%342458.6%-10%
440TAM@NYG11-183538Loss-10.166%383055.9%-10.1%
441NYGTAM11-183835Win10.151.6%223141.5%-10.1%
442HOU@DEN11-041917Win3.956%283345.9%-10.1%
443ARISEA09-301720Loss-260.2%282850%-10.2%
444HOU@JAX10-21207Win10.251.5%263741.3%-10.2%
445SFO@LAR12-303248Loss-19.372.5%362262.1%-10.4%
446CINNOR11-111451Loss-20.373.2%271662.8%-10.4%
447NWE@NYJ11-252713Win2.656.9%313646.3%-10.6%
448WASDAL10-212017Win4.755.4%263244.8%-10.6%
449DALDET09-302624Win1.657.7%313547%-10.7%
450JAXWAS12-161316Loss1.757.6%232646.9%-10.7%
451LAC@CLE10-143814Win14.348.6%223637.9%-10.7%
452CLEATL11-112816Win8.552.8%212942%-10.8%
453JAX@IND11-112629Loss-763.8%383452.8%-11%
454PHINYG11-252522Win-5.862.9%312951.7%-11.2%
455SEA@SFO12-162326Loss-2.460.5%343549.3%-11.2%
456SEADAL09-232413Win7.853.2%283941.8%-11.4%
457TEN@LAC10-211920Loss-4.962.2%343350.7%-11.5%
458NYJ@DET09-104817Win11.550.6%233639%-11.6%
459WASNYG12-091640Loss-20.373.2%352261.4%-11.8%
460CAR@PIT11-082152Loss-19.472.5%342260.7%-11.8%
461CHI@MIN12-302410Win7.953.2%263741.3%-11.9%
462SEA@ARI09-302017Win257.4%283445.2%-12.2%
463SFO@GNB10-153033Loss1.557.7%253045.5%-12.2%
464MIA@NWE09-30738Loss-18.972.2%271860%-12.2%
465SEA@LAR11-113136Loss-0.559.1%303446.9%-12.2%
466DET@ARI12-09173Win4.155.9%243143.6%-12.3%
467SEAARI12-302724Win2.557%273444.3%-12.7%
468NYJ@NWE12-30338Loss-17.271%322358.2%-12.8%
469LAR@ARI12-23319Win1051.6%264138.8%-12.8%
470OAK@SFO11-01334Loss-1670.1%322457.1%-13%
471HOU@NWE09-092027Loss-10.165.9%383452.8%-13.1%
472SEAGNB11-152724Win-4.361.8%333548.5%-13.3%
473SEAKAN12-233831Win3.756.1%324342.7%-13.4%
474DET@MIA10-213221Win7.953.1%233539.7%-13.4%
475MINMIA12-164117Win12.350%234036.5%-13.5%
476TEN@IND11-181038Loss-17.671.3%342557.6%-13.7%
477SFO@KAN09-232738Loss-12.767.8%342954%-13.8%
478TENHOU09-162017Win6.454.3%233440.4%-13.9%
479WAS@JAX12-161613Win-1.759.9%283345.9%-14%
480WASGNB09-233117Win11.650.5%203536.4%-14.1%
481BAL@LAC12-222210Win4.155.8%253541.7%-14.1%
482DEN@CIN12-022410Win5.954.6%233440.4%-14.2%
483IND@OAK10-284228Win0.958.1%314043.7%-14.4%
484NYJ@BUF12-092723Win-4.862.1%252847.2%-14.9%
485CIN@LAC12-092126Loss-6.763.5%303248.4%-15.1%
486NWEBUF12-232412Win10.751.2%264735.6%-15.6%
487NYJDEN10-073416Win7.653.4%233837.7%-15.7%
488NOR@BAL10-212423Win-1.760%313944.3%-15.7%
489WAS@TEN12-221625Loss0.658.4%253442.4%-16%
490SEALAR10-073133Loss0.958.1%233241.8%-16.3%
491BAL@KAN12-092427Loss-0.759.3%293942.6%-16.7%
492TEN@JAX09-2396Win1.557.7%243540.7%-17%
493OAK@KAN12-30335Loss-19.772.8%362955.4%-17.4%
494HOUMIA10-254223Win6.953.8%203536.4%-17.4%
495BUFDET12-161413Win-2.460.5%273742.2%-18.3%
496BALOAK11-253417Win3.856.1%264337.7%-18.4%
497BALCLE12-302624Win6.754%264735.6%-18.4%
498CARCIN09-233121Win4.155.9%254237.3%-18.6%
499CIN@CLE12-231826Loss-1166.5%222447.8%-18.7%
500JAXPIT11-181620Loss5.954.6%244335.8%-18.8%
501ARIOAK11-182123Loss-1.559.8%213140.4%-19.4%
502TEN@NYG12-16170Win7.753.3%224532.8%-20.5%
503BUFJAX11-252421Win4.255.8%193535.2%-20.6%
504SEA@DET10-282814Win8.752.6%194131.7%-20.9%
505ARI@LAC11-251045Loss-12.567.6%212446.7%-20.9%
506BAL@ATL12-022616Win2.557%274935.5%-21.5%
507JAX@BUF11-252124Loss-4.261.8%263940%-21.8%
508SEAMIN12-10217Win3.456.4%224234.4%-22%
509BALTAM12-162012Win2.257.2%254933.8%-23.4%
510NORCAR12-301433Loss-16.770.6%242747.1%-23.5%
511BUFTEN10-071312Win2.557%204331.7%-25.3%
512BALCIN11-182421Win1.357.8%215428%-29.8%

Meanwhile, you won’t be surprised to see that the Ravens under Lamar Jackson in week 11 had the most run-heavy game of the season. Baltimore passed on just 28% of plays, in a game where we would expect the team to pass on 57.8% of plays.

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