Saints WR Michael Thomas had another dominant season in 2019.  He easily led the NFL in receiving yards with 1,725, and he also was responsible for 38.9% of all Saints receiving yards.  That was the largest percentage of a team’s receiving pie for any one player in 2019, followed by Bronco Courtland Sutton in a distant second place (32.7%), and Bears WR Allen Robinson (32.1%); only three other players (Buffalo’s John Brown, Cleveland’s Jarvis Landry, and Minnesota’s Stefon Diggs) topped 30%.

Regular readers know that I like to calculate something called the Concentration Index for passing offenses: it’s relatively simple to calculate, and it measures how concentrated a team’s passing offense is among a small or large number of players.  To calculate, you simple take each player’s receiving yards, divide that by his team’s total receiving yards, square that result, and then add that number for each player on the offense.  For the Saints, Thomas is at 38.9%; the square of that is 15.2%, so that’s the number we use.  Jared Cook was second on the team with 705 yards, or 15.9% of the team’s receiving yards; the square of that number is 2.5%.  Do this for every player, and the Saints have a total Concentration Index of 21.1%… which is highly concentrated. [continue reading…]

In a recent post, I revisited True Receiving Yards. That articles covers the nuts and bolts of the metric, so I’m not going to discuss that again today. Instead, I’m taking my favorite version of the metric, TRYSoft, and adding postseason performance for single seasons. You will recall that TRY includes adjustments for both a team’s pass frequency relative to its peers and a year’s pass frequency relative to other years. For the playoffs, I dropped the team adjustment but kept the yearly adjustment. I can see arguments for using both (or neither), but this is what I landed on, so strap in.

The table below contains receiving seasons with a combined regular and postseason TRY greater than 750. Read in thus: In 1945, Jim Benton caught 45 passes for 1067 yards and 8 touchdowns in the regular season. That’s good for 1227 adjusted catch yards and a TRYSoft of 2384. ^[1]Yea, that’s a pretty huge adjustment. In the postseason, he caught an additional 9 passes for 125 yards and a score, giving him a postseason ACY of 145, adjusted up to 171 after the year modifier. His combined production, which I have simply dubbed X, comes to 2555.