Yesterday, I looked at the draft capital allocated to each position in the 2020 NFL Draft. I noted that significantly more draft capital was used on offensive tackles than on guards or centers, which is even more striking when you realize that there were 2 OTs and 3 interior offensive linemen on every play.

So how does the 2020 NFL Draft compared historically to other drafts, in terms of allocating draft capital to tackles versus interior linemen? For purposes of this post, I reduced draft capital allocated to guards and centers by one third in every draft class, to make for a more apples to apples comparison. In that case, most years, significantly more draft capital is allocated to tackles, and that number is on the rise.

The last time more draft capital on a per position basis was used on interior offensive linemen than offensive tackles was in 1990. That year, tackle Richmond Webb was the first lineman drafted, but the next five OL were all guards or centers: Bern Brostek, Keith Sims, Tim Grunhard, Leo Goeas, and Glenn Parker. The most OT-heavy draft relative to guards and centers was in 2008, when Jake Long went first overall, and six other offensive tackles went in the first round: Ryan Clady, Chris Williams, Gosder Cherilus, Jeff Otah, Sam Baker, and Duane Brown. The only guard drafted in the first round was Branden Albert, who played guard in college and was drafted as such, and then played left tackle for his entire NFL career.

The graph below shows the draft capital allocated to offensive tackles (in black) and interior offensive linemen (in red) in each year since 1967. Again, I have multiplied the draft capital allocated to guards and centers by two thirds to compare the positions more evenly. [continue reading…]

The NFL Draft is a good way to measure how the league values particular positions. Last year, it was all about the defensive line: edge rushers and interior defenders dominated the draft, with over a quarter of all draft capital spent on these players. Two years ago, it seemed as though the running game was back in vogue: after quarterback, running back was perhaps the most highly valued position in the ’18 Draft, and a lot of draft capital was used on non-pass rushing linebackers.

Which positions did NFL teams focus on in the 2020 NFL Draft? We can use the Football Perspective Draft Value Chart to answer that question pretty easily for the first 224 picks (all picks after that have been excluded, since they have a draft value of zero). Prior to the 2020 Draft, we were told that this would be one of the most WR-heavy drafts in NFL history. That turned out to be accurate: a whopping 210.3 points of draft capital were used on wide receivers, the 8th-most of any draft since 1967 (the record is 224.9, set in 2000). There were a record eleven wide receivers were drafted in the first 50 picks, breaking the old mark in the modern era of ten, set in 1994.

For defensive coordinators, they will get an influx of talent in the secondary. The graph below shows the amount of draft value used on each position in the 2020 NFL Draft. I split front seven players into interior defensive lineman (labeled as DI), edge rushers, and linebackers; there is going to be some overlap for certain players (as well as between CB/S, and guards and centers or tackles, and occasionally amongWR/RB/QB) but I did the best I could to pick one label for each player. [continue reading…]

The 2020 Draft is now over, which means there are an endless number of places where you can read recaps, draft grades, and who are the winners and losers of the past three days. But there are no answers yet to how the 2020 draft prospects will turn out; on the other hand, we now have 5 years of data to analyze the 2015 Draft. So let’s do that today.

Sports Illustrated’s draft experts Chris Burke & Doug Farrar graded each team’s draft five years ago, and I will be using that recap in this article. Burke and Farrar handed out 4 A grades — including one to Minnesota and one to Jacksonville. With the benefit of hindsight, what do the numbers say? As it turns out, according to my methodology, the Vikings did indeed have the single best draft. Nice job, Chris and Doug!  Here’s what Farrar wrote about the Vikings haul:

Minnesota’s primary needs were at cornerback and offensive tackle. It dealt with the first issue at pick No. 11 by taking Michigan State’s Trae Waynes, a highly physical and aggressive press cornerback. He’ll be a perfect bookend for Xavier Rhodes if he learns to deal with crossing routes and avoids a heap of penalty flags. Pitt right tackle T.J. Clemmings dropped to the fourth round due to medical concerns, but if the converted defensive lineman can stay healthy, he might be the best tackle out of this class in a couple years. Second-round linebacker Eric Kendricks should be able to start right away in the middle of Mike Zimmer’s defense, while third-round pass-rusher Danielle Hunter from LSU is both freakishly athletic and raw like sushi. He’ll need some time with a line coach, but there’s a lot to like there. In addition, the Vikings got two much-needed targets for Teddy Bridgewater: Southern Illinois tight end MyCole Pruitt (one of my favorite small-school guys this year) and Maryland speed receiver Stefon Diggs, who can line up all over the place.

Waynes, the team’s first overall pick, was a disappointment: he was inconsistent during his time with the Vikings, and was only a full-time starter for the last 3.5 years. The team did not resign him, and he’s now in Cincinnati.  Clemmings didn’t quite turn out as planned, although he did start for 30 games for the team.  But for a team that didn’t nail its first pick, the rest of the draft was superlative. Diggs, a 5th round pick, has been the best receiver in the Draft outside of perhaps Amari Cooper, who went 4th overall. Hunter has been one of the steals of draft, recording a 2015 class-high of 54.5 sacks.   And Kendricks has turned into one of the best linebackers in the league, earning first-team All-Pro nods in 2019.

On the other hand, Jacksonville’s draft hasn’t quite been so good.

The Jaguars are coming. Maybe not in 2015, maybe not in 2016, but soon. This draft without question kept this franchise’s positive momentum, from a talent standpoint, rolling in the right direction. Jacksonville made one solid decision after another, right through Notre Dame tight end Ben Koyack in round 7.

Opinions varied on this class’s top pass rusher, but Dante Fowler was at or near the top of the list, and Gus Bradley can turn him into a star. Running back T.J. Yeldon and guard A.J. Cann should be starters by Week 1, as well. But the real gems here came in rounds 5 and 6, respectively: Florida State wide receiver Rashad Greene, a sharp route-runner and productive performer; and penetrating three-tech tackle Michael Bennett, a remarkable value at pick No. 180.

The Jaguars caught some bad breaks with Fowler: he tore his ACL on the first day his first mini-camp, and never quite turned into the edge rusher the Jaguars were expecting. He was traded to the Rams in October 2018 for a 2019 late 3rd round pick (Quincy Williams) and a 2020 fifth rounder. He signed this offseason with the Falcons.  Yeldon was a bust: two years later, the Jaguars used the 4th overall pick on Leonard Fournette in part because of Yeldon’s failures.  Cann has been a five-year starter, but is a below-average starting guard.  Greene caught 2 touchdowns in his Jaguars career, while had 0.5 sacks; both were not in the NFL in 2019.  The Jaguars got nothing more than warm bodies in rounds 4 through 7, and their high picks in rounds 1 and 2 were disappointing, leaving Cann — the 67th overall pick — as the highlight of a bad draft.

Burke and Farrar handed out just 2 really bad grades; a C to the Bills and a C+ to the Colts.  Here’s what Burke wrote about the Bills.

The Bills started this draft at a disadvantage, having coughed up their first-round selection to add Sammy Watkins last year. They did well at No. 50 to add a borderline round 1 talent in cornerback Ronald Darby, but it’s hard to guarantee any of their other picks will make an impact. Guard John Miller (No. 81) has the clearest shot. Buffalo is thin at guard and Miller, though limited overall, fits the mauler mold Rex Ryan favors. Sixth-round tight end Nick O’Leary was productive at Florida State. Can he find any playing time with two players similar to him in style, Charles Clay and Chris Gragg, ahead of him on the depth chart?

Instead of the detailed analysis, let’s just say this: none of the Bills draftees were still on the team four years later, and Ryan was gone after 2016.

Here was the Colts analysis:

The Colts caught everyone off-guard at No. 29 with their selection of speedy wide receiver Phillip Dorsett. He is an exciting weapon and a home-run threat whenever he’s on the field, but Indianapolis already had Andre Johnson, T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief locked in place at receiver. Sure, sticking to an approach of taking the best player available is generally advisable. The Colts, though, believe they are on the brink of a Super Bowl berth, and it’s hard to argue the Dorsett pick got them closer than an upgrade on defense would have.

Those defensive moves did follow. Cornerback D’Joun Smith and defensive end Henry Anderson (both third-rounders) have starter qualities, and safety Clayton Geathers is a nice depth/special teams piece.

Geathers wound up starting the most games for the Colts among this group, and he’s currently a free agent.  Dorsett was utlimately flipped by Jacoby Brissett, which turned out to be a great trade, but he was disappointing in Indianapolis (although an aging Johnson was a reason to invest in wide receivers, not avoid the position).  Anderson turned out to be a solid player with the Jets, but this was one of the drafts that ultimately led to Ryan Grigson’s termination.  Kudos to Burke and Farrar for nailing that both the Colts and Bills struggled in the 2015 Draft.

On the other hand, the Seahawks were given a B- grade and

Pete Carroll and John Schneider have built up a lot of equity with great pick after great pick since they took over the Seahawks organization in 2010, but they tested a lot of that faith with the second-round selection of Michigan edge-rusher Frank Clark, a third- to fourth-round prospect in the minds of many before you throw in the domestic violence issue that got him kicked off the Wolverines last November. Clark had better be special on the field and perfect off it, because Carroll and Schneider are taking a huge risk here. The move to trade up for Kansas State receiver Tyler Lockett in the third round was better-received, and for good reason. He’s an outstanding return man and the kind of speedster who can take the top off a defense—just what Seattle needs. Seattle also took three offensive linemen: San Diego State tackle Terry Poole (who projects as a guard), West Virginia’s Mark Glowinski (who might kick inside to center) and Buffalo defensive tackle Kristjan Sokoli, who the Seahawks want to turn into a guard. The guy to watch in Seattle’s draft is Towson cornerback Tye Smith, regarded by many as the best small-school pass defender in the 2015 class. He’ll get a legitimate shot to crash into the Legion of Boom.

Seattle entered the draft without a first round pick thanks to the Jimmy Graham trade, but Lockett and Clark were two of the steals of the 2015 Draft.  Clark had 32 sacks in his 2nd, 3rd, and 4th seasons, before being traded for a late 1st round pick in 2019 and the 64th pick in 2020; that’s an excellent return for a player drafted with the 63rd pick. Lockett has been the third most valuable receiver in this draft so far, behind only Cooper and Diggs.  And on a yards per target basis — a disfavored metric in these parts — Lockett has been playing at a Hall of Fame level.  This was one draft grade that should have been much higher.

I went through the 2015 Draft and calculated how much marginal AV was provided by each player in his first five seasons (Marginal AV being Approximate Value over 2 in each year).  Here is how each draftee fared, relative to their expected marginal AV from the draft value curve.

This was a very good draft, with Kevin White being the only complete bust in the top ten (other than him and Fowler, the others all started at least for four seasons). Stefon Diggs, Marcus Peters, Danielle Hunter, and Eric Kendricks graded as the four players who most exceeded their draft slot, making this a remarkable draft for the Vikings.  The chart below shows each team, along with their SI Draft Grade, the total Marginal AV produced by the draft picks, and the AV over expectation (i.e., giving credit to teams that had less draft capital).  As you can see, the Vikings were the best team in the draft when it comes to AV over expectation, although the Bucs matched them (in addition to Jameis Winston with the first overall pick, Donovan Smith, Ali Marpet, and Kwon Alexander all turned into regular starters.

Finally, here are the grades on each player in the draft, using PFR’s Approximate Value.

Five players from LSU and four players from Alabama were drafted in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft last night, the latest in a long line of draft dominance from two of the powerhouses of college football. In addition, another 6 players from the SEC had their names called during the first round: two from Georgia, two from Auburn, and one from both Florida and South Carolina. That gave the conference a record 15 players selected in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft.

The previous record for players from one conference getting selected in first round of an NFL Draft was 12, set by the ACC in 2006 and matched by the SEC in both 2013 and 2017. ^[1]If you wanted to be cheekyy, and I would expect nothing less out of you, the schools in the current SEC also had 13 players drafted in 2011… when there were 10 players from the SEC drafted in … Continue reading For as long as I can remember — and, assuredly, for longer than that — SEC fans have boasted about the football talent within its conference. At times, the reputation has exceeded the results. But in recent years, there’s no question that the draft has become dominated by the conference. How much more dominant is the SEC at the top of the NFL Draft relative to prior years? [continue reading…]

In the 1969 NFL Draft, 8 of the first 10 picks were used on offensive players. In total, 64% of all draft capital — according to the Football Perspective Draft Value Chart — was used on offensive players. Two years later, the first three picks were all used on quarterbacks; only 1 of the first 9, and 2 of the first 13 players selected, were on the defensive side of the ball.

As recently as 1995, the first five picks were all used on offensive players, as were 8 of the first 10 picks. But more recently, NFL teams have been much more even in their draft day gifts to offensive and defensive coordinators.

In 2016 and 2017, teams actually used significantly more draft capital on defense than on offense. This year, according to CBS, an almost perfect 50/50 split is expected. The graph below shows the percentage of actual draft capital allocated to offensive players each season, compared to the total amount allocated to both offensive and defensive players. [continue reading…]

It’s time for part six of the Grand List, the series in which I (very) slowly unveil my list of the top 1000 players in history. This is the portion of the list where I talk about a few quarterbacks who may have been better than they tend to get credit for, some big nasties in the middle of the offense, and a bunch of tight ends. Reminder: send all complaints to DeleteSansReading@gmail.com.

Previous articles in the series

The Grand List, part 1: Includes honorable/special mentions and players 1000-990.
The Grand List, part 2: Includes players 989-965.
The Grand List, part 3: Includes players 964-940.
The Grand List, part 4: Includes players 939-901.
The Grand List, part 5: Includes players 900-876.

LFG, pals.

The List, Continued

875. Carl Nicks (2008-2013)
Offensive Guard
New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Before a serious medical issue brought on by organizational ineptitude ruined his career, Nicks was one of the best offensive linemen in the league. At his peak, he was a huge guy who could really move. Adept in both pass protection and run blocking, Nicks did excelled both at keeping his Hall of Fame quarterback safe and at paving the way for a revolving door of unheralded running backs to pick up solid numbers on the ground. His teammate, Jahri Evans, was an all decade selection at the position, but Nicks was arguably even better, if only for a short time.

874. Antoine Bethea (2006-Present)
Safety
Indianapolis Colts, San Francisco 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, New York Giants

Bethea has been a steady defender for a long time, across several teams. He won a title and made a few Pro Bowls with the Colts as a free safety, but his natural fit was at strong safety. Though he has lacked consistency in coverage throughout his career, has had some good seasons in that area and has usually avoiding being a liability. His real talent lies in stopping the run and rushing the passer. He doesn’t blitz often, but when he gets the call, he produces pressure at a high rate. Bethea attacks the line of scrimmage and has been successful in creating run stops, and he is equally adept at making tackles in the open field. Although coverage is king in the modern game, it felt right to give a hat tip to a great run stopping safety.

873. Otto Schnellbacher (1948-1951)
Safety
New York Yankees, New York Giants

While playing with the AAFC’s New York Yankees, he also played for the NBA’s St. Louis Bombers and Providence Steamrollers. He eventually transitioned to football only and played with the Giants for two seasons after the AAFC-NFL merger. Tall, long, and possessing the requisite leaping ability you’d expect from a pro basketball player, Schnellbacher was a tremendous deep field safety. He led the AAFC in interceptions (11), yards (239) and touchdowns (1) in his first year as a pro. In his final year, he led the NFL in those same three categories (11, 194, 2). Paired with inner-circle teammate Emlen Tunnell, Schnellbacher helped perfect the umbrella defense that could shut down the mightiest passing attacks by neutralizing downfield passes. His range and brilliant ball skills enabled Tunnell to take more risks to force turnovers. [continue reading…]

The 2000 NFL Draft was the most wide receiver-heavy draft in NFL history. Peter Warrick, Plaxico Burress, and Travis Taylor went in the top 10 picks, Sylvester Morris and R. Jay Soward also went in the first round, and another eleven (11!) wide receivers went in the first 100 picks after that: Dennis Northcutt, Todd Pinkston, Jerry Porter, Ron Dugans, Dez White, Chris Cole, Ron Dixon, Laveranues Coles, JaJuan Dawson, Darrell Jackson, and Gari Scott.

In case you can’t tell by those names, the draft was a complete dud. Expected to revolutionize the NFL with a new wave of athletic wide receivers, the entire class combined to make just 1 Pro Bowl at wide receiver — Coles in 2003 (Dante Hall, drafted in the fifth round, would make two Pro Bowls as a returner). Coles, Burress, and Jackson were all good players, but they were also the only three to eclipse even 5,000 receiving yards.

Twenty years later, we are looking at the next “greatest wide receiver class” of a generation. Oklahoma’s CeeDee Lamb and Alabama’s Jerry Jeudy will be early first round picks; they are expected to be joined in the first round by Jeudy’s teammate, Henry Ruggs III, Clemson’s Tee Higgins, and possibly  LSU’s Justin Jefferson, Arizona State’s Brandon Aiyuk, or Colorado’s Denzel Mims.

I looked at the CBS 7-round mock draft and calculated the Draft Value used on wide receivers. Why CBS? Because they were the first website I found that put together a clean table of all draft picks for all 7 rounds, making it easy to calculate draft value. Draft value is simply calculated as the value assigned to each pick, according to my draft value chart, that is used on a wide receiver.

Based on the CBS projections — which has WRs going at 12, 14, 15, 21, 30, 34, 37, 42, 50, 51, and 58 — this would be an outstanding draft class for wide receivers. And while none would be selected in the top 10, there would be a total of 201.6 points of draft capital spent on wide receivers. That would make this one of the top 10 drafts for wide receivers since the common draft era beginning in 1967.

The graph below shows the draft capital used on the position in each draft since 1967. [continue reading…]

Rather than pick my team, I am going to pick my best four teams.

Let’s start with my run-n-shoot offense: think of this as the team you would pick if, say, you know you are starting the second half down 21-0.

Here are my thoughts:

1) Calvin Johnson is the only WR available at flex, so he’s an obvious choice.

2) Barry Sanders has a lot of experience in the run-n-shoot (first under Mouse Davis) and with 11 personnel under Tom Moore; Sanders’s skills are best utilized without a fullback on the field. The running back will be devalued here, but Sanders can keep defenses honest — especially when they are playing the pass.

3) At FB/TE, we are going with the best receiver in the group, and that’s Kellen Winslow Sr. He’s got some experience playing on some pass-happy teams.

4) You want Peyton Manning — the ultimate quarterback to lead a second half comeback — and he also has experience under Moore.

5) Taking Manning and Johnson removes Rice and Moss from the WR list, but going with Don Hutson and Lance Alworth is a legendary pair of wide receivers to join Johnson.

6) Mel Hein is going to be a consistent pick — the guy won MVP at center! He is the pick as our player from the ’30s.

7) Next, I’m taking Dan Dierdorf as my right tackle.  In addition to being an outstanding player, Dierdorf excelled under Don Coryell  — which means he’ll be a natural fit sliding in next to Winslow. [continue reading…]

Here are the rules.

1. You must take 1 player from each row: so one player from each of the 9 decades (1920s, 1930s, 1940s, etc.) and one player on the AFL/AAFC/USFL row.

2. You must pick 1 player from each column to form an offense, but of course, you pick 2 players each at End/Receiver, Tackle, and Guard.  At the top of each column is the number of players from that column you can need to select.  Of course, the 1 player per row rule still applies.

3. You get the player’s career, not just the decade listed.  So you aren’t ignoring the 1980s portion of the careers of Walter Payton or Jerry Rice just because they aren’t listed there.

Who are you picking?

Leave your team and thoughts in the comments.

It’s time for part five in my series The Grand List, or: the top 1000 players in history. This portion of the list covers players 900-876. There in an abundance of skill players and shooting star trench warriors, so strap in. As always, send complaints to DeleteSansReading@gmail.com.

Previous articles in the series

The Grand List, part 1: Includes honorable/special mentions and players 1000-990.
The Grand List, part 2: Includes players 989-965.
The Grand List, part 3: Includes players 964-940.
The Grand List, part 4: Includes players 939-901.

Let’s get down to business.

The List, Continued

900. Gerald Riggs (1982-1991)
Running Back
Atlanta Falcons, Washington

Riggs was a big bruiser who always seems to fall forward. He was tall for a running back (6’1″) but ran with superb pad level that allowed him to maintain leverage through contact. His prime came with the Falcons, where he averaged 1705 yards and 9 touchdowns per 16 games during his four year peak. Atlanta traded him to Washington after he lost his effectiveness as a lead runner. However, Riggs continued to excel in short yardage situations till the end of his career. In his final season, as part of one of the greatest teams in history, he scored 11 touchdowns on just 78 carries in the regular season. He then scored 2 touchdowns in each of Washington’s three playoff games, including the Super Bowl victory that would be the final game of his career.

899. Freeman McNeil (1981-1992)
Running Back
New York Jets

When people discuss McNeil today, it is usually with regard to his role in bringing unrestricted free agency to the NFL. While he played an important part in improving labor conditions in the league, it is his on field performance that lands him on this list. One of many players whose numbers suffer from a strike occurring in their prime, McNeil’s peak included both the 1982 and 1987 abbreviated seasons. He led all players in rushing yards and yards per carry in 1982. This began a seven year stretch in which he averaged 1622 scrimmage yards and 7 touchdowns per 16 games. While he didn’t break off a ton of long runs, he was effective at picking up yardage in chunks. Among backs with as many carries as McNeil, only eight can claim a higher rushing average than his 4.49. ^[1]That list comprises four HOFers, a guy who will join them when eligible, a guy who should, and two guys good enough to have already been inducted. That’s Jim Brown, Joe Perry, Barry Sanders, … Continue reading

898. Chuck Muncie (1976-1984)
Running Back
San Diego Chargers, New Orleans Saints

For the first eight years of his career, Muncie averaged 1312 yards and 11 touchdowns per 16 games. He wasn’t quite Lenny Moore, but a respectable 335 of those yards came through the air. During his athletic prime, he was stuck on some lackluster squads with inconsistent offenses, but a movie to sunny California saw him join a talented and efficient offense for the back half of his career. The primary difference that came with playing for a better offense was an increase in touchdowns. His skill didn’t increase, but his opportunity to run the ball closer to the end zone increased. Effective in limited postseason contests, Muncie averaged 107 yards per game in the playoffs. He was also useful on trick plays, completing 4 of 7 pass attempts for 126 yards and 4 scores.

897. James Brooks (1981-1992)
Running Back
Cincinnati Bengals, San Diego Chargers, Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Brooks was a quick, slashing style runner with a strong burst and solid open field running ability. Over his six year peak, he put up 1432 scrimmage yards and 10 touchdowns per 16 games. Because he was a big play threat and a quality receiver, he was able to produce without taking too many touches. Using his shiftiness, Brooks was able to pick up 4.73 yards per carry, a figure that ranks fourth among all players with at least 1500 carries. Before assuming the lead back role, he was a pretty good kick and punt return man who twice led the league in all purpose yards.

896. Earnest Byner (1984-1997)
Running Back
Cleveland Browns, Washington, Baltimore Ravens

Byner was big, but not that big; fast, but not that fast; powerful, but not that powerful. He could catch and block, but you wouldn’t mistake him for Marshall Faulk. Byner was a steady, well-rounded back who produced for a long time and in widely different situations. His peak lasted about eight seasons, in which he averaged 1312 yards and 8 touchdowns per 16 games. He is most famous – or infamous, depending on your rooting interests – for The Fumble that preceded the Broncos winning the AFC Championship Game for the right to lose to Washington in the Super Bowl. However, had he not put up 187 yards and two touchdowns prior to that, the Browns wouldn’t have been in position to lose a close game in the first place. After moving on to D.C., Byner was finally able to reach a Super Bowl that eluded him in Cleveland. He had 73 yards and a touchdown on the biggest stage of his career. [continue reading…]

Which teams have gained and lost the most draft value? Using the 2019 team records and the draft value chart, this is a relatively simple question to answer. The table below shows the pick in the first round each team earned based on its 2019 performance, along with their record, the total draft value assigned based on their 2019 performance, the current draft value they have as of today, and the difference between those two numbers.

And here’s the same information but in chart form: the X-Axis shows the Football Perspective Draft Value assigned to each team based on its 2019 performance, and the Y-Axis shows the current draft value for each team. Teams above the line gained value, while teams below the line lost value. [continue reading…]

Let’s talk about little bit about Kellen Winslow II. Winslow’s life has been marked more by what’s happened off the field than what happened on the field, starting with being the son of a Hall of Famer, continuing with an awful motorcycle accident early in his career, and ending with a conviction for rape and a CTE diagnosis. On the field, Winslow was productive but played during the peak of the tight end era: Tony Gonzalez, Antonio Gates, and Jason Witten were all still in their prime, Rob Gronkowski and Jimmy Graham were setting single-seaosn records, and guys like Vernon Davis and Dallas Clark were productive Pro Bowlers.

Winslow produced solid numbers, but he did so in the worst of circumstances. During this time, his quarterbacks were mostly Josh Freeman and Derek Anderson, along with a season of Charlie Frye, and a few games from Josh Johnson, Brady Quinn, and end-of-career Byron Leftwich. On average, Winslow’s offenses were 0.87 ANY/A below average during the course of his career, weighted by how productive Winslow was each season. Among tight ends with at least 5,000 career receiving yards, that is — by a large measure — the worst group of passing offenses. The second-worst would be Todd Heap: About a quarter of his career came with the early days of Joe Flacco, and another quarter was defined by the Kyle Boller era. He caught passes from end-of-career Steve McNair, Anthony Wright, Jeff Blake, Chris Redman, Elvis Grbac, and also Kevin Kolb and John Skelton in Arizona. On average, Heap’s offenses finished 0.45 ANY/A below average.

Only three other tight ends with 5,000+ career receiving yards played on teams that finished at least 0.20 ANY/A below average: Rich Caster (who had a little bit of prime Joe Namath and then little else), Delanie Walker, and Greg Olsen. If you want to lower the threshold for tight end production, we should all feel badly for Chargers TE Freddie Jones, who played with Ryan Leaf and a string of bad quarterbacks who were either bad, very young, or very old (or two of those three). For his career, Jones’s passing offenses finished 1.46 ANY/A below average. We can also pour one out for Boston Patriots TE Jim Whalen, who was one of the best tight ends of the late ’60s. In 1968, as the Patriots finished with the second-worst passing offense in the AFL — the passing offense was 2.88 ANY/A below average — Whalen somehow was a first-team AP All-Pro. Among all tight ends who have been named first-team All-Pro in a season, that is the worst accompanying passing offense in history. Whalen was a consummate Massachusetts man: he was born and raised in Cambridge, starred at Boston College, and then was drafted and spent the first five years of his career with the Patriots. That said, most of his career was played with bad or out of their prime quarterbacks.

On the other side, Brent Jones had a pretty sweet set-up: he played most of his career with Steve Young or Joe Montana, and his average offense had a Relative ANY/A of +2.00.  Second on the list would be Rob Gronkowski, who of course played with Tom Brady.  And if you lower the minimum threshold, nobody had it easier than Aaron Hernandez, who played his entire, short career during Brady’s prime.

I looked at the careers of over 100 tight ends and calculated how productive their average passing offense was. Regular readers may recall that I previously used a similar methodology to grade wide receivers. Let’s use Vernon Davis as an example.  He’s experienced it all, from the early struggles of Alex Smith to the efficient version, the dark days of Shaun Hill and Troy Smith, but also the good days of Colin Kaepernick and Kirk Cousins. [continue reading…]

Welcome to part four in my series The Grand List, or: the top 1000 players in history. Today’s section of the list covers players 939-901. Here, you’ll find some underrated skill players, a few somewhat anonymous defenders who are fondly remembered only by fans of their team, and a few more current young bloods on their way to becoming full fledged legends. Don’t forget to send complaints to DeleteSansReading@gmail.com.

Previous articles in the series

The Grand List, part 1: Includes honorable/special mentions and players 1000-990.
The Grand List, part 2: Includes players 989-965.
The Grand List, part 3: Includes players 964-940.

Let’s have at it then.

The List, Continued

939. Anthony Carter (1983-1995)
Wide Receiver
Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions, Michigan Panthers, Oakland Invaders

Carter was a great deep threat, best known for his 1987 campaign, a season in which he had a remarkable 24.3 yards per catch in the regular season before exploding for 391 yards in the playoffs. The highlight of the season was a 227 yard outing against the heavily favored 49ers. San Francisco entered the game with the number three scoring defense and the league’s best DVOA against the pass. Carter shredded them. He had a short but high peak, and I believe he would have been a superstar on a team with a better quarterback or a more creative coach.

938. Derrick Henry (2016-Present)
Running Back
Tennessee Titans

Henry is a big, strong man who breaks arm tackles with ease, runs over defenders in the open field, and stiff arms tacklers into oblivion. His crowning achievement was the 2019 season, in which he captured a rushing title and led the league in rushing scores in the regular season before playing like a demigod in the playoffs. He moves far better than a man of his stature should, using his rare blend of speed and power to produce the second 99 yard touchdown run in NFL history. On that play, he outran defenders while manhandling others, demonstrating the range of his athletic capabilities.

937. Alvin Kamara (2017-Present)
Running Back
New Orleans Saints

Kamara possesses an uncanny combination of acceleration, power, and balance. His compact frame allows him to bounce off tackles as easily as he jukes them. He consistently generates yardage, even when he doesn’t break off huge plays, averaging over 99 yards from scrimmage per game in his young career. Kamara’s most valuable contribution comes in the passing game, where he has averaged just under 700 receiving yards per season.

936. Amani Toomer (1996-2008)
Wide Receiver
New York Giants

Toomer probably seems like an odd choice here. He never made a Pro Bowl or all pro team, and he didn’t produce a bevy of highlight reel type plays to trick us into thinking he was better than he actually was. Instead, he was kind of like the wide receiver version of The Eagles. That is to say he had a solid, steady career with several boring performances in a row. Tall and strong, Toomer was an excellent possession receiver who made boundary catches look mundane. His sure hands helped him haul in passes from the succession of mostly inaccurate passers he played with during his career. While two other receivers continue to get all the press, Toomer was New York’s leading receiver in their upset victory of the Patriots in Super Bowl XLII. He was also a pretty good punt returner when called upon. [continue reading…]

In a few weeks, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa will be drafted early in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft. In doing so, he will become the fourth Crimson Tide passer to get drafted in the first round (in addition to Hall of Famers Bart Starr and Ken Stabler, who were not first round picks).  But in the current, golden era of Alabama football, this isn’t much of a surprise: in fact, his former teammate, QB Jalen Hurts, will also hear his name announced during this draft.

Being born in Hawaii and of Samoan descent makes Tagovailoa a rarity in NFL circles, but not unique: he will join Marcus Mariota as the second such quarterback in the NFL.

But there is something particularly distinct about Tua: he throws the football with his left hand. The last quarterback in the NFL who was lefthanded was Kellen Moore, who went undrafted eight years ago in 2012 and has not thrown a pass in the NFL since 2015 (and, of course, is now the offensive coordinator for the Cowboys). The last southpaw quarterback to get drafted in the first round was Tim Tebow.

Over the last decade, the lefty has disappeared from the NFL passing landscape. Sure, you get the occasional lefthanded pass from a Tyreek Hill, Kevin Byard, or Antonio Brown, and the even rarer lefthanded toss by a righty, but the last time a lefthanded quarterback back stated and won a game was Michael Vick back in week 6 of the 2015 season! As I wrote last year, the lefthanded quarterback has been slowly phased out of the game; the graph below shows the percentage of passing yards in each season since 1932 that were thrown by southpaws: [continue reading…]

This is the third piece in my series The Grand List, or: the top 1000 players in history. Part three covers players 964-940. We’re still in Hall of Pretty Good territory, and it won’t be until we’re in the 500s or so that every player we discuss will have a legitimate argument for Canton. ^[1]And we won’t see surefire GridFe HOFers till we reach the 200s. Today’s section includes some overlooked stars of yesterday, some active veterans, and a young guy who will likely finish his career in the top 200 if he stays healthy. As always, send complaints to DeleteSansReading@gmail.com.

Previous articles in the series

The Grand List, part 1: Includes honorable/special mentions and players 1000-990.
The Grand List, part 2: Includes players 989-965.

Now, on to the list.

The List, Continued

964. Wesley Walker (1977-1989)
Wide Receiver
New York Jets

Walker was a big play threat on some pretty offensive offenses. He averaged over 20 yards per catch in seven different seasons, but his best outing may have come in a year he didn’t. In 1982, he had a very good regular season and followed it with an excellent postseason, in which he picked up 104 yards per game and 19.6 yards per reception. Unfortunately, his best season came in a strike-year, and it rarely gets brought up. Walker did lead regular season receivers in yards (1169) and yards per catch (24.4) in 1978. That’s the year people mention, if they mention him at all. ^[2]Statistically, his top seasons were 1982, 1978, and 1986, when he posted TRY marks of 1649, 1482, and 1304, respectively.

963. Babe Parilli (1951-1969)
Quarterback, Punter
Boston Patriots, Green Bay Packers, New York Jets, Ottawa Rough Riders, Oakland Raiders, Cleveland Browns

Parilli earned three trips to the Pro Bowl and one first team all pro nod. He also nabbed a GridFe Automatic Award for most valuable player for his 1964 campaign that saw him lead the league in yards and touchdowns on his way to a 10-3 record. Parilli didn’t have that many great seasons, but even a few great years at QB is enough to make a list like this. ^[3]Among quarterbacks with at least 1500 combined regular and postseason action plays, Parilli ranks 168th in Total Adjusted Yards above Average (VAL) with -991 and 146th in TAYP+ (99).

962. Joe Ferguson (1973-1995)
Quarterback
Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Indianapolis Colts, San Antonio Texans

Ferguson wasn’t a highlight reel guy, and he wasn’t a stat padder. He was an understated steady hand who was perfectly suited to the hard-nose Buffalo and Detroit fanbases for which he played. His toughness was exemplified in a playoff loss to the high-flying Chargers, when he played the entire contest on a sprained ankle. During his peak, he did more than just hand the ball to the Juice. Ferguson did post seven seasons with an ANY/A+ of 100 or higher, including four over 115. ^[4]Of course, 100 is the average performance of qualifying quarterbacks. I use 115 as another benchmark, as it denotes a full standard deviation above average. Among qualifying quarterbacks, Ferguson … Continue reading

961. Brandon Williams (2013-Present)
Defensive Interior
Baltimore Ravens

At 6’1″ 335ish, Williams is a stout presence in the middle of the Baltimore defensive line. He isn’t a pass rusher; his career 101 pressures and 6.5 sacks come to just over one pressure per game and less than one sack per season. However, he is a particularly excellent run defender who can shed blocks to make run stops regularly. Williams also possesses the coveted nose tackle ability to absorb blocks and free up edge rushers and blitzers to make the plays that get all the attention.

960. Jeremy Shockey (2002-2011)
Tight End
New York Giants, New Orleans Saints, Carolina Panthers

Shockey makes the list primarily for his six years in New York, where he averaged 72 catches for 815 yards and 5 touchdowns per 16 games. While there, he also made four Pro Bowls and earned an all pro selection. A bloody terror after the catch, Shockey seemed to relish contact with defenders. His violent trucking of Mike Peterson on a tight end screen his rookie year was a thing of beauty. An added bonus to a fine playing career: he was on teams that defeated two of the greatest quarterbacks of all time in the Super Bowl.

959. Linval Joseph (2010-Present)
Defensive Interior
Minnesota Vikings, New York Giants

Joseph entered the league with all the physical tools you could want from an interior defenders, but he was raw from a technique standpoint. He put in the work to develop his craft and become an elite run stopper and efficient pass rusher. A move to Minnesota saw him switch to his more natural position as a nose tackle. The role played to his strength (strength) and downplayed his weakness (lateral mobility) and allowed him to thrive. Sometimes it really is just about finding a square hole for the square peg.

958. Isaac Curtis (1973-1984)
Wide Receiver
Cincinnati Bengals

Curtis is perhaps most famous for having his name attached to a rule change to open up the passing game, but he also happened to be a fine wideout. With sprinter speed and a long stride, he was as graceful as a gazelle while burning secondaries to the tune of 19.9 yards per catch in his first four seasons (before injuries took a half step from him). His speed and success with Ken Anderson necessitated more physical coverage downfield and ultimately resulted in the eponymous regulation that helped pave the way for the shootouts we see today.

957. Ken Burrough (1970-1981)
Wide Receiver
Houston Oilers, New Orleans Saints

Like many receivers of his era, Burrough’s stats take a hit from playing in the “dead ball era” of passing offense. During his three-year prime, he averaged 1071 yards and 9 touchdowns per 16 games while playing in one of the least friendly passing eras in history (1975-77) and catching passes from Dan Pastorini and the ghost of John Hadl. He was a tremendous deep threat, posting 17 yards per catch during his career, and 19.1 during his peak.

956. Roy Green (1979-1992)
Wide Receiver
St. Louis/Phoenix Cardinals, Philadelphia Eagles

Green was a versatile player who began his career splitting time at wideout and safety. He picked off four passes in his career, and he was solid on punt and kickoff returns, but it is his receiving that lands him on the list. There are only about a hundred receivers with two great receiving seasons, ^[5]Great, here, is defined as a season with at least 1400 SoftTRY. Green had seasons of 1660 and 1547. and Green easily makes that list. He was a deep threat in an era that started moving away from deep passing. In his best season, he picked up 1555 yards on just 78 catches. Since the 1978 rules changes, only Torry Holt has had a season with a higher average on as many receptions.

955. Fredd Young (1984-1990)
Linebacker
Seattle Seahawks, Indianapolis Colts

Young was a gifted athlete with incredible straight line speed and sideline-to-sideline quickness. He was on the small side for his role, but his athleticism mitigated that issue. An effective pass rusher, both on blitzes and from the edge role he played in nickel, Young put up solid sack numbers during his time in the Pacific Northwest. Speculatively, he would be exciting to see in a modern defense, with a greater emphasis on speed. In addition to his defensive prowess, he was one of the best special teams players of his generation, twice earning honors as the AFC’s top special teamer.

954. Boyd Dowler (1959-1971)
Wide Receiver
Green Bay Packers, Washington

Dowler was a big, strong target for Bart Starr and a vital part of the passing offense on five championship teams. He was a steady receiver (five seasons over 1000 TRY and another three over 900) with soft hands. Importantly for the Lombardi philosophy, he also happened to be an excellent blocker from the flanker position. Like teammates Max McGee and Ron Kramer, Dowler willingly sacrificed numbers for wins, helping build the lead with their receiving skills and eagerly blocking downfield as the Packers ran out the clock with big Jim Taylor.

953. Hugh Green (1981-1991)
Linebacker
Miami Dolphins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Overshadowed by fellow rookies Lawrence Taylor and Rickey Jackson, Green helped define the prototype for the rushbacker position. He played a lot in coverage and was better than most rushbackers in that role. ^[6]It’s fair to say he was as good as anyone outside of Von Miller in that respect. Green began his career with two all pro nods and a Pro Bowl alternate selection before injuries started effecting his play. He rarely left the field, and he often played hurt, but he remained a threat as a rusher and dissuaded passers from his coverage. His heroic efforts in 1982 earned him a DPOY pick from Dr. Z.

952. Pierce Holt (1988-1995)
Defensive Line
San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons

Holt began his career on a high note, helping the 49ers win titles in his first two seasons. He was stout versus the run, but he was also an effective pass rusher, picking up a career-high 10.5 sacks in 1989. Moving inside to play tackle on passing downs, Holt had an appetite for disruption on opposing dropbacks. Like many 3-4 ends, numbers don’t tell the whole story. He was great at freeing up guys like Charles Haley and Tim Harris to put up big sack totals and get public acclaim.

951. Brian Orakpo (2009-2018)
Rushbacker
Washington, Tennessee Titans

Orakpo was a top flight pass rusher in Washington and Tennessee. He wasn’t great against the run, but that’s not really what teams paid him for. Because he was a 3-4 outside linebacker rather than an end, he had to drop back about 8-10 times per game. At first, he was pretty bad at it, but he put in the work necessary to improve his game. Orakpo finished his career with 66 sacks, 77 tackles for loss, and four Pro Bowl picks.

950. LaMarr Woodley (2007-2015)
Rushbacker
Pittsburgh Steelers, Arizona Cardinals, Oakland Raiders

Like Orakpo, Woodley was a great pass rusher who was merely decent against the run. He had more help in Pittsburgh’s scheme, with the accompanying talent, but he also played well on his own merit. Woodley ranks ahead of Orakpo for his stellar postseason play, especially his six-sack trio of games en route to a Steelers Super Bowl win in 2008. He began his postseason career with two sacks in each of his first four games, and he followed that with one sack in the next three games. Injuries derailed a promising future.

949. Archie Manning (1971-1984)
Quarterback
New Orleans Saints, Houston Oilers, Minnesota Vikings

Manning was a good quarterback stuck on some terrible teams. Saints fans remember him being a little better than he was, while everyone else probably underrates him a little. On tape, he was a fine quarterback who had to try too hard to make things happen with his surrounding talent. In 1978, for instance, he had great numbers with speedy tight end Henry Childs serving as his primary target. From a stylistic and talent standpoint, I often refer to him as Diet Staubach because he reminds me of Roger Staubach if the Dallas legend was about 15% worse at everything. He did sire some very talented children though. ^[7]Among qualifying quarterbacks, Manning ranks 194th in VAL (-1941) and 160th in TAYP+ (98).

948. Jim Zorn (1976-1987)
Quarterback
Seattle Seahawks, Green Bay Packers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Zorn had the unfortunate role of field general for an expansion team, and his career surely would have looked different in a better situation. Counterfactuals aside, Zorn was an excellent scrambler, which came in handy behind his middling offensive line. For the first seven years of his career, he was usually good for about 200 rushing yards per season (242 per 16 games). His passing stats don’t look impressive at first glance, but he didn’t have much to work with outside of Steve Largent. Zorn had the respect of Dr. Z, who named him the NFL’s top quarterback in 1978. ^[8]Among qualifying quarterbacks, Zorn ranks 104th in VAL (546) and 97th in TAYP+ (102).

947. E.J. Holub (1961-1970)
Linebacker, Center
Dallas Texans/Kansas City Chiefs

Holub was a gritty player who earned six all pro nods at linebacker before moving to the other side of the ball and starting at center in the winter of his career (where he earned another one). ^[9]As well as the more prestigious Dr. Z All-AFL team in 1969. He was excellent on defense and very good on offense, like 85% of Concrete Charlie. Holub managed to do this in an era fairly far removed from the one platoon system of years past.

946. George Kittle (2017-Present)
Tight End
San Francisco 49ers

The fact that Kittle ranks this highly after just three seasons as a pro speaks to how spectacular his play has been. He is one of the better run blockers among great receiving TEs, and he’s not bad in pass pro either. As a receiver, he is on Olympus. In his second season as a pro, he set the yardage record at the position and led the league in yards after the catch. The following year, he led all tight ends in YAC despite missing two games. ^[10]He ranked behind only Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler among all players. Kittle is good at getting open, and he is a nightmare after the catch. As a student of history, I don’t take grand claims lightly: Kittle has Rushmore potential.

945. Cecil Isbell (1938-1942)
Quarterback
Green Bay Packers

Isbell was a good quarterback with a beautiful deep ball, but he tends to be overrated by box score scouts. He played in an innovative offense with the most explosive offensive threat of his era (Don Hutson) and had his greatest success in a league weakened by the Second World War. And you can count the number of black defensive backs he faced on zero hands. Nonetheless, he was an exceptional passer, if only briefly. His numbers were incredible, and his tape generally impressed. Additionally, he was a great runner, averaging 450 yards and three touchdowns per 16 games. Want some sprinkles on that cupcake? He had nine interceptions as a defender, including six in 1942.

944. Frank Ryan (1958-1970)
Quarterback
Cleveland Browns, Los Angeles Rams, Washington

Many seem to take a little credit away from Ryan because he played with Jim Brown. While Brown did help improve the team’s winning percentage (thus making the QB’s record look better), playing alongside a star running back who refused to block and didn’t take dumpoff passes any better than his backup wasn’t exactly boosting his numbers. In fact, Ryan set career marks for passing yards and touchdowns the year after Brown retired. That year, 1966, he ranked third among NFL quarterbacks in total adjusted yards above average and earned a GridFe Automatic Award. ^[11]Ryan had a TAY/P of 6.13 (TAYP+ of 115) and an era-adjusted VAL of 1040. Bart Starr was the most efficient quarterback: 7.34, 124, 1121. Don Meredith also had great numbers: 6.27, 116, 1047. Len … Continue reading He also led the league in touchdown passes (117) during his five-year prime from 1963-67 (that’s two years without Brown). ^[12]Among qualifying quarterbacks, Ryan ranks 65th in VAL (1792) and 63rd in TAYP+ (105).

943. Dana Stubblefield (1993-2003)
Defensive Interior
San Francisco 49ers, Washington, Oakland Raiders

Stubblefield is an interesting case because, throughout most of his career, he was an effective interior presence against the run. However, he didn’t really receive his due recognition until he put up gaudy numbers as a pass rusher. In 1997, he had 15 sacks from the defensive tackle spot, earning defensive player of the year honors in the process. Playing alongside Bryant Young, he was able to avoid a ton of double teams and focus on beating his man one on one. Stubblefield won most of those matchups in San Francisco before doing what big name free agents do when they move to the nation’s capital.

942. Jimmie Giles (1977-1989)
Tight End
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Philadelphia Eagles, Detroit Lions, Houston Oilers

Giles did everything you could ask from the tight end position. He put up pretty good numbers, including 620 yards and 5 touchdowns per 16 games at his seven-year peak. That’s 732 TRY per year, which is great for a tight end who rarely played in a friendly scheme or with passers who had the full faith of their coaching staff. He was fast and great at breaking away from defenders once he caught the ball. Giles was also a solid blocker, though no one would confuse him for Hoby Brenner.

941. Jim Mutscheller (1954-1961)
Tight End
Baltimore Colts

It may be a technical misnomer to call Mutscheller a tight end, but that’s effectively the position he played. Despite sharing targets with two inner circle Hall of Famers, he managed to average 800 yards and 10 touchdowns per 16 games during his prime. Adjusting for era and passing environment, that’s 1076 TRY per year with four seasons over 1000 – excellent marks for a tight end (or proto-tight end). ^[13]For comparison, here are the best-five-year averages for some other notable tight ends: Rob Gronkowski – 1398 Antonio Gates – 1281 Todd Christensen – 1270 Pete Retzlaff – … Continue reading A scoring machine, Mutscheller hauled in a touchdown in nearly one out of every five catches.

940. Roy Jefferson (1965-1976)
Wide Receiver
Washington, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore

Jefferson was the most talented offensive player on a bad Steelers team. His role as a player representative saw him clash with new head coach Chuck Noll, and Noll sent the stud receiver packing. This meant Jefferson missed out on the rebuild and a role on the Steel Curtain Dynasty, but he did see championship gold before Pittsburgh did. In his lone season in Baltimore, Jefferson put up great numbers (1192 TRY), including a score in a Divisional Round victory over the Bengals and two key first downs in the first post-merger Super Bowl. He moved on the Washington and helped them reach the Super Bowl, where he was probably the team’s best offensive performer against the juggernaut Dolphins. ^[14]He had 5 catches for 50 yards. All of them came on first and ten. Two of his catches moved the sticks. Two more gained seven yards, while another gained eight. That’s five successful plays from … Continue reading He finished his career having posted six seasons over 1000 TRY, including two over 1400.

 

I was reading an old Brad Oremland article and this line about Andre Reed’s career stood out to me:

Even his seven Pro Bowls are as much a reflection of the AFC’s weakness as anything. Who was he beating out? Haywood Jeffires, Anthony Miller, and Al Toon? The competition (Clark, Ellard, Irvin, Rice, Rison, Sharpe) was all in the NFC.

Reed made seven Pro Bowls in his career, and he did that consecutively from 1988 to 1994. But it’s true that those years were some of the weakest years the AFC receivers had relative to their NFC counterparts (the weakest would come the year after, in 1995). Here are Reed’s ranks in receiving yards in the AFC from 1988 to 1994: 7th, 1st, 6th, 2nd, 12th, 4th, and 2nd. That’s pretty good and while there are a few less than stellar years in there, in almost all of those you can see why he’d be a Pro Bowl receiver. But here are Reed’s ranks in receiving yards in the NFL during those seasons: 17th, 5th, 13th, 6th, 11th, 23rd, 5th. Without fail, his ranking in the combined AFC/NFC league looks worse than his ranking in the AFC each year.

For nearly Reed’s entire career, the receivers in the NFC were superior to those in the AFC. For each year since 1970, I looked at the top five leaders in receiving yards in both conferences, and recorded how many receiving yards was gained by the average player in each group. In 1992, for example, the top five leaders in receiving yards in the AFC gained 950.8 yards, while the top five leaders in the NFC picked up 1,252 yards. The NFC boasted the top five leaders in receiving yards that season, which is how Reed — who ranked 11th in yards that season — ranked 4th in the conference in receiving yards.

The graph below shows the average for each season from 1970 to 2019. [continue reading…]

This is the second installment of my Grand List, or: the top 1,000 pro football players in history. ^[1]Get it? Grand, like a thousand? Please validate me. The section will cover players 989-965. I’m not particularly interested in writing a treatise on each player. If you are interested in that sort of thing, I highly recommend Brad Oremland‘s series on the 125 best players ever. I’m quarantined and starting to lose my mind, so you’ll be lucky to get a full paragraph for anyone. Send complaints to DeleteSansReading@gmail.com.

Previous articles in the series

The Grand List, part 1: Includes honorable/special mentions and players 1000-990.

Without further clamor…

The List, Continued

989. Hunk Anderson (1922-1925)
Offensive Guard, Defensive Line
Chicago Bears, Cleveland Indians

The brevity of his career keeps him from ranking higher on this list. Anderson played just four years, but his blocking was so dominant that he was still chosen for the Pro Football Hall of Fame’s all decade team. Hunk wasn’t that big, but he was strong and played with a level of aggression few could match. His most important trait was probably his mind. He had a deep repertoire of blocking techniques that served him well on the field and in his subsequent role as a celebrated assistant coach and champion head coach.

988. Bill Walsh (1949-1954)
Center
Pittsburgh Steelers

No, not that Bill Walsh. This is the standout Steel City center. His career was brief, but his play was consistently good and effective. Walsh was the pivot man in a single wing offense, meaning his role required complex blocking responsibilities and often physically demanding assignments. He handled them with aplomb and even filled in on defense when called upon.

987. Jack Manders (1933-1940)
Kicker, Running Back (pre-modern)
Chicago Bears

Automatic Jack was one of the premier kickers of his generation and was a solid halfback. He was an excellent big game player, scoring 11 of Chicago’s 23 points in a 1933 title win over the Giants, as well as two touchdowns in the team’s 1937 loss to Washington. Manders was a two time champion who led the league in scoring twice and ranked in the top 5 five times.

986. Sam Koch (2006-Present)
Punter
Baltimore Ravens

Whether bailing out a lackluster offense or gaining a little more field for a great offense, Koch has been stellar at his job. The 2014 season was probably his best, when he boasted a 43.3 net and a +22 inside 20-touchback differential, but he has had several great years. For his career, he has five times as many punts inside the 20 than he has touchbacks, giving him one of the top ratios ever. He also has maintained consistently high gross and net punting averages despite playing outdoors in a cold weather city. If you want a cherry on top of that sundae, Koch is also one of the better placekick holders the game has seen.

985. William Henderson (1995-2006)
Fullback
Green Bay Packers

A career Packer, Henderson embodied the Midwest understated,. hardworking mentality. He earned Pro Bowl/all pro honors just once, but he was just as good in less celebrated seasons. An excellent lead blocker, he led the way for Dorsey Levens and Ahman Green to post incredible rushing seasons. He also excelled in pass pro while blocking for the notoriously unpredictable Brett Favre. What sets him apart from other great blocking fullbacks is his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield.

984. Joe Guyon (1919-1927)
Running Back (pre-modern)
Canton Bulldogs, Oorang Indians, Cleveland Indians, New York Giants, Rock Island Independents, Kansas City Cowboys, Union Quakers of Philadelphia

A member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame, one of Guyon’s main claims to fame is that defenders who had to tackle both him and a past-his-prime Jim Thorpe credited the former with being harder to handle. Some said Thorpe brought the fans to the gates while Guyon made the plays. Usually lined up as a wingback, he was a tough as nails runner who was even better at delivering crushing blocks. He was also an excellent defender who was  hard hitter and a playmaker, like an antediluvian Kenny Easley. Guyon started and ended on a high note, winning championships in his first and last years as a pro.

983. Al Mahrt (1913-1922)
Quarterback (pre-modern)
St. Mary’s Cadets/Dayton Gym-Cadets/Dayton Triangles

Mahrt was known by contemporaries as a gifted and natural tackler, capable of reeling in shifty runners in the open field or bringing down power backs head on. His hit on Joe Guyon in a 20-20 tie against Canton was the Bednarik-Gifford shot of its era. However, Mahrt’s primary accomplishment was his mastery of the forward pass. Writers described his arm as both strongest and most accurate of his day (or as accurate as you can be throwing around the old piece of cabbage they used to use). He was a three time champion player-coach prior to the NFL’s inception, and he earned one APFA all pro nod in the twilight of his career.

982. Rob Moore (1990-1999)
Wide Receivers
Arizona Cardinals, New York Jets

Moore’s inclusion on the list may come as a surprise, given the brevity of his true peak, but you’ll find as the list progresses that the good-but-not-great group of receivers to which he belongs is a large and tightly packed one. What sets him apart from some receivers with similar career numbers is the fact that he had one monster season (1997), in which he led the league with 1584 receiving yards and earned a first team all pro nod. He finished his career ranked 19th in receiving yards, but he has since fallen to 55th in the wake of the 21st Century Passing Explosion.

981. Bill Brown (1961-1974)
Running Back
Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears

Boom Boom Brown was a big, sturdy fullback who was especially adept at short yardage rushing and catching passes out of the backfield. He was a three-time all pro and a four-time Pro Bowler in his thirteen seasons in the Great White North. At the time of his retirement, Brown ranked 12th in both rushing yards and yards from scrimmage. His best season was a marvelous 1964 offensive that saw him pick up 866 yards on the ground and another 703 through the air (at an impressive 14.6 yards per reception), with 16 of Minnesota’s 37 offensive touchdowns.

980. Paul Lowe (1960-1969)
Running Back
Los Angeles/San Diego Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs

Lowe was the AFL’s second leading rusher, with 4995 yards, and was named to the Pro Football Hall of Fame’s All-AFL Team. He had a short and sweet career, with just five healthy seasons full of explosive, highlight reel type plays. Lowe was excellent in his first playoff game, gaining 165 yards and a touchdown on just 21 carries in a championship loss to the Oilers. He was also an exciting boom or bust passer on trick plays, completing less than half his passes but gaining 15.5 yards per attempt on 21 tries.

979. Wayne Millner (1936-1945)
End (pre-modern)
Boston/Washington

People who dive into the stats will often look at Millner’s receiving production and label him a bogus Hall of Fame selection. ^[2]I was once in this camp before doing more research. If you look at him solely as a receiver, then that makes sense (his 1937 championship performance notwithstanding). However, in an era when blocking was coveted, Millner was among the finest at the end position. He also happened to be superb defender. While not particularly large, he was strong. And fast – capable of chasing backs out wide or running down plays from behind. Two things hurt his legacy: WW2 and the Jerry Rice Problem. Millner missed three prime years in the Navy, and he missed out on postseason honors because he played the same position as a contemporary legend – Don Hutson. ^[3]Turn a few of his six All-NFL honorable mentions into first or second team nods, and his career starts looking much better.

978. Luke Johnsos (1929-1936)
End (pre-modern)
Chicago Bears

An accomplished coach after his playing career, the Professor used his natural understanding of the game to his advantage on the field. His smarts, combined with his height (6’2″ in an era that wasn’t common) and speed, made him a scary matchup for pre-modern secondaries. At one point, he was the official career leader in receptions and receiving yards. However, because his career began before the NFL kept official records, his achievements prior to 1932 are largely undocumented and unrecognized by the league he helped advance.

977. Red Badgro (1927-1936)
End (pre-modern)
New York Giants, New York Yankees, Brooklyn Dodgers

Athletically sound with a relentless motor, the New York legend was a four-time all pro and major player on squads that won one title game and lost another. In the loss, Badgro became the first player to score a touchdown in an NFL championship game, a 29 yard aerial with his fire-red mane blowing in the wild winds of Wrigley Field. His title win came when his 8-5 crew began a Giants tradition of upsetting great teams in the season’s final game – this time against the undefeated Chicago Bears. Like Millner, Badgro was an excellent blocker and a skilled defenseman.

976. Dick Bass (1960-1969)
Running Back
Los Angeles Rams

Bass wasn’t big but could block well, both as a lead and in pass pro. More importantly, he was a playmaker on both offense and special teams. While he made the first of his three Pro Bowls in 1962, his 1961 season was his most interesting. As a little-used runner, he had the longest run of the season. He also had the league’s longest punt return – an ill-advised 90 yarder that looked like a great idea in hindsight. Oh, Bass led the league in kickoff return average, too, and managed to do so without even scoring a touchdown. Along with halfback Jon Arnett, he was a small glimmer of hope in a dismal era of offense for the Rams.

975. Larry Centers (1990-2003)
Fullback
Arizona/Phoenix Cardinals, Washington, Buffalo Bills, New England Patriots

Centers excelled as a traditional “lineman in the backfield” fullback and could have potentially made this list for his blocking. He didn’t have the size of a Moose Johnston or Lorenzo Neal but was a technician who used leverage and angles to stop defenders at the second level. While his blocking was great, his best trait was his top flight receiving. He was the rare fullback who was also his team’s third down back, and his ability to protect the QB or catch the ball would make him a coveted back in today’s game. Centers finished his career with 6797 receiving yards, including 634 per season from 1993-2001. ^[4]His receptions weren’t just empty checkdowns either. His 1995 outing saw him end the year with 355 DYAR, which is the sixth highest total by a running back in the Football Outsiders era … Continue reading

974. Doak Walker (1950-1955)
Running Back, Defensive Back, Kicker
Detroit Lions

After becoming a college superstar, Walker graduated to the pros and literally did it all. He starred on offense and defense, he kicked and punted, and he returned kicks and punts. ^[5]He also threw the ball, but he wasn’t particularly good at it. The golden boy played five healthy seasons and finished each of those years with a first team all pro selection. A guy who would be at home in a modern offense, Walker made the most of limited touches and put up big numbers as a receiving back. He led league in points scored in his first and last seasons.

973. Tony Richardson (1995-2010)
Fullback
Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Minnesota Vikings

Richardson was on the small side for a blocking fullback, but he attacked linebackers play after play for 242 games. He made up for his relative lack of size with superior speed and agility compared to his peers. Early in his career, he had a few solid seasons as a runner and receiver, even posting a thousand yard season. He followed that by lead blocking for Priest Holmes in one of the greatest stretches of running back play in history, blocking for a rookie Adrian Peterson, and blocking for a run-heavy attack for the Jets. ^[6]Richardson help a 31 year old Thomas Jones set a career mark in rushing yards.

972. Norb Sacksteder (1914-1925)
Running Back (pre-modern)
Dayton Triangles, Detroit Heralds, Detroit Tigers, Canton Bulldogs

A somewhat obscure name, Sacksteder was one of the first star offensive playmakers in pro football history. He was an excellent open field runner who combined top end speed with elite agility, like a precursor to Hugh McElhenny. Always a threat to score, historians estimate most of his touchdowns were longer than 50 yards. Though most of his accomplishments came before the NFL’s inaugural season, Sacksteder did play in the first-ever game between two NFL teams and was an excellent scatback for the 1922 champion Bulldogs.

971. Larry Craig (1939-1949)
Fullback (pre-modern)
Green Bay Packers

Craig was perhaps the finest blocking back of his era, clearing the way for names like Hinkle, Fritsch, and Canadeo. He only touched the ball 24 times on offense, and he actually scored more touchdowns on defense (one) than he did on offense (none). Powerfully composed, Craig did the dirty work in the Lambeau offense, swatting away hapless defenders like flies at a barbecue. His strength help make him a nightmare as a defensive end, able to put blockers on their heels seemingly at will. Craig’s play at end was a boon not just to the defensive line, but to the defense as a whole, as it meant moving Hutson to his more natural position as a defensive back.

970. Tony Canadeo (1941-1952)
Running Back (pre-modern)
Green Bay Packers

Canadeo was not much of a receiver, but he could run and pass well. He wasn’t that fast or that shifty, but he was sturdy and hard to tackle. This enabled him to excel in short yardage situations, as well as runs up the gut in general. As a passer, he had above average efficiency and was his team’s primary passer (and leading rusher) in 1943. That season, he trailed only legends Sid Luckman and Sammy Baugh in yards and touchdowns. Canadeo was also a solid defensive back who finished his career with 9 interceptions, as well as a contributor on special teams. He missed two years of his prime while serving in the Navy and the Army, which has to be taken into account when looking at his numbers and accolades.

969. Charley Trippi (1947-1955)
Running Back (pre-modern), Punter
Chicago Cardinals

Trippi was an explosive runner who put up consistently high rushing averages without breaking a ton of big plays. Instead, the three-time all pro just gained solid yardage seemingly every time he touched the football. Splitting carries in a committee backfield, he did post eye-popping totals, but he was always a headache for defenses when given the chance. He was a decent receiver early on before eschewing the role almost entirely. By his fifth season, began throwing the ball more than he caught it, though he wasn’t a very effective passer. Trippi was a decent punter and an excellent punt returner. With kickoff return duties as well, he led the league in all purpose yards in 1948 and 1949.

968. Father Lumpkin (1929-1937)
Fullback (pre-modern)
Portsmouth Spartans/Detroit Lions, Brooklyn Dodgers

Long before the pancake became part of the football vernacular, Father Lumpkin was putting grown men flat on their backs. At 6’2″ and 210 pounds, he was mighty figure in the early days of the league, barreling down on defenders with no helmet and a granite chin. As the designated lead blocker on most rushing plays, Lumpkin took his role seriously – he would bemoan any play that didn’t see him demolish multiple men at the second level. As a defensive fullback, he was an exceptional run defender who helped the Lions field one of the great defenses of any era in their first year in Detroit.

967. Whizzer White (1938-1941)
Running Back (pre-modern)
Detroit Lions, Pittsburgh Pirates

White would probably be in the Hall of Fame had he decided to stick to sports. Rather than continuing as a running back, he opted to move on to a role that matters: after receiving two Bronze Stars as an intelligence officer in the Navy during WW2, he finished his law degree from Yale on his way to becoming an associate justice for the SCOTUS. As a player, White was a shifty runner who led the NFL in rushing yards twice and punt return yardage once (the lone season he returned punts). He was also a decent punter and a pretty good defensive back. ^[7]He was a terrible passer, so it’s not like the guy was perfect.

966. Ward Cuff (1937-1947)
Kicker, Running Back (pre-modern)
New York Giants, Chicago Cardinals, Green Bay Packers

Statistics from the era are archaic, but from the numbers we do have, as well as from contemporary accounts, Cuff was the best kicker of his day. He was also a very good slashing runner, usually boasting a high rushing average and leading the league twice in the metric. Cuff was equally adept as a receiver, though playing in the thirties and forties hurt his opportunities to show off his pass catching talents. He was a very good defensive back with a nose for the football. In 1938, he returned an interception 96 yards for a score, and in 1941, he returned four picks for a league high 152 yards.

965. Michael Vick (2001-2015)
Quarterback
Atlanta Falcons, Philadelphia Eagles, New York Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers

A controversial selection, Vick was generally inaccurate as a passer, but he was capable of amazing plays with both arms and legs. Able to generate incredible torque and launch the ball with just a flick of his wrist, he could fit the ball into windows most quarterbacks wouldn’t even test. He is the fastest and most natural runner ever at the quarterback position. ^[8]Compared with someone like Robert Griffin, who had world class speed but was not a natural as a ball carrier. Vick missed two years of football because of his infamous role in a dogfighting ring, disappointing a fanbase and securing the eternal ire of many. He served his time and came back with a renewed love of the game, working under the tutelage of Andy Reid to produce his best season as a passer and earn a Bert Bell Award.