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AP MVPs Have Not Won A Super Bowl in 16 Years

Count the shared AP MVP in 2003 between Peyton Manning and Steve McNair, and none of the last 17 AP MVPs have won a Super Bowl. That’s despite the fact that all 17 played on teams that made the playoffs, and often while playing for excellent teams. During that stretch:

  • Three have played on teams that lost in the Wild Card round of the playoffs;
  • Five have played on teams that lost in the Division round of the playoffs;
  • Two have played on teams that lost in the AFC or NFC Championship Games; and
  • A whopping seven AP MVPs since 2000 have lost in the Super Bowl.

This might be the part where we say that football is a team game, and one player can’t make the difference that it can in other sports. That might sound nice, except:

  • In seven of the last 16 years, the AP MVP played on teams that made the Super Bowl. That makes it seem like one player is pretty important.
  • Incredibly, six of those seven were favored in the Super Bowl! That’s the most amazing part of this streak: the 2001 Rams were favored by 14 points in the Super Bowl; the 2007 Patriots were favored by 12.5 points; the 2015 Panthers were favored by 5 points; the 2009 Colts were favored by 4.5 points; the 2002 Raiders were favored by 3.5 points; and the 2013 Broncos were favored by 2.5 points. Only the 2005 Seahawks had the AP MVP and were underdogs during this stretch.
  • From 1993 to 1999, five of the eight Super Bowl champions had the AP MVP.

So maybe there is an AP MVP curse, in a similar way to the Madden curse. The table below shows how each AP MVP’s team has fared in the playoffs in each year:

YearPlayerTeamTeam Result
2015Cam NewtonCARLost in SB
2014Aaron RodgersGNBLost in CCG
2013Peyton ManningDENLost in SB
2012Adrian PetersonMINLost in WC
2011Aaron RodgersGNBLost in Div
2010Tom BradyNWELost in Div
2009Peyton ManningINDLost in SB
2008Peyton ManningINDLost in WC
2007Tom BradyNWELost in SB
2006LaDainian TomlinsonSDGLost in Div
2005Shaun AlexanderSEALost in SB
2004Peyton ManningINDLost in Div
2003Peyton ManningINDLost in CCG
2003Steve McNairTENLost in Div
2002Rich GannonOAKLost in SB
2001Kurt WarnerSTLLost in SB
2000Marshall FaulkSTLLost in WC
1999Kurt WarnerSTLWon SB
1998Terrell DavisDENWon SB
1997Barry SandersDETLost in WC
1997Brett FavreGNBLost in SB
1996Brett FavreGNBWon SB
1995Brett FavreGNBLost in CCG
1994Steve YoungSFOWon SB
1993Emmitt SmithDALWon SB
1992Steve YoungSFOLost in CCG
1991Thurman ThomasBUFLost in SB
1990Joe MontanaSFOLost in CCG
1989Joe MontanaSFOWon SB
1988Boomer EsiasonCINLost in SB
1987John ElwayDENLost in SB
1986Lawrence TaylorNYGWon SB
1985Marcus AllenRAILost in Div
1984Dan MarinoMIALost in SB
1983Joe TheismannWASLost in SB
1982Mark MoseleyWASWon SB
1981Ken AndersonCINLost in SB
1980Brian SipeCLELost in Div
1979Earl CampbellHOULost in CCG
1978Terry BradshawPITWon SB
1977Walter PaytonCHILost in Div
1976Bert JonesBALLost in Div
1975Fran TarkentonMINLost in Div
1974Ken StablerOAKLost in CCG
1973O.J. SimpsonBUFMissed
1972Larry BrownWASLost in SB
1971Alan PageMINLost in Div
1970John BrodieSFOLost in CCG
1969Roman GabrielRAMLost in Div
1968Earl MorrallBALLost in SB
1967Johnny UnitasBALMissed
1966Bart StarrGNBWon SB
1965Jim BrownCLELost in CCG
1964Johnny UnitasBALLost in CCG
1963Y.A. TittleNYGLost in CCG
1962Jim TaylorGNBWon SB
1961Paul HornungGNBWon SB
1960Norm Van BrocklinPHIWon SB
1959Johnny UnitasBALWon SB
1958Jim BrownCLELost in Div
1957Jim BrownCLELost in CCG

As always, please leave your thoughts in the comments. Oh, and one other note: the Panthers loss in Super Bowl 50 meant another streak is still going. Ron Rivera was the AP Coach of the Year, but no AP Coach of the Year has won the Super Bowl that season since Bill Belichick in 2003.

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