Count the shared AP MVP in 2003 between Peyton Manning and Steve McNair, and none of the last 17 AP MVPs have won a Super Bowl. That’s despite the fact that all 17 played on teams that made the playoffs, and often while playing for excellent teams. During that stretch:
- Three have played on teams that lost in the Wild Card round of the playoffs;
- Five have played on teams that lost in the Division round of the playoffs;
- Two have played on teams that lost in the AFC or NFC Championship Games; and
- A whopping seven AP MVPs since 2000 have lost in the Super Bowl.
This might be the part where we say that football is a team game, and one player can’t make the difference that it can in other sports. That might sound nice, except:
- In seven of the last 16 years, the AP MVP played on teams that made the Super Bowl. That makes it seem like one player is pretty important.
- Incredibly, six of those seven were favored in the Super Bowl! That’s the most amazing part of this streak: the 2001 Rams were favored by 14 points in the Super Bowl; the 2007 Patriots were favored by 12.5 points; the 2015 Panthers were favored by 5 points; the 2009 Colts were favored by 4.5 points; the 2002 Raiders were favored by 3.5 points; and the 2013 Broncos were favored by 2.5 points. Only the 2005 Seahawks had the AP MVP and were underdogs during this stretch.
- From 1993 to 1999, five of the eight Super Bowl champions had the AP MVP.
So maybe there is an AP MVP curse, in a similar way to the Madden curse. The table below shows how each AP MVP’s team has fared in the playoffs in each year:
Year | Player | Team | Team Result |
---|---|---|---|
2015 | Cam Newton | CAR | Lost in SB |
2014 | Aaron Rodgers | GNB | Lost in CCG |
2013 | Peyton Manning | DEN | Lost in SB |
2012 | Adrian Peterson | MIN | Lost in WC |
2011 | Aaron Rodgers | GNB | Lost in Div |
2010 | Tom Brady | NWE | Lost in Div |
2009 | Peyton Manning | IND | Lost in SB |
2008 | Peyton Manning | IND | Lost in WC |
2007 | Tom Brady | NWE | Lost in SB |
2006 | LaDainian Tomlinson | SDG | Lost in Div |
2005 | Shaun Alexander | SEA | Lost in SB |
2004 | Peyton Manning | IND | Lost in Div |
2003 | Peyton Manning | IND | Lost in CCG |
2003 | Steve McNair | TEN | Lost in Div |
2002 | Rich Gannon | OAK | Lost in SB |
2001 | Kurt Warner | STL | Lost in SB |
2000 | Marshall Faulk | STL | Lost in WC |
1999 | Kurt Warner | STL | Won SB |
1998 | Terrell Davis | DEN | Won SB |
1997 | Barry Sanders | DET | Lost in WC |
1997 | Brett Favre | GNB | Lost in SB |
1996 | Brett Favre | GNB | Won SB |
1995 | Brett Favre | GNB | Lost in CCG |
1994 | Steve Young | SFO | Won SB |
1993 | Emmitt Smith | DAL | Won SB |
1992 | Steve Young | SFO | Lost in CCG |
1991 | Thurman Thomas | BUF | Lost in SB |
1990 | Joe Montana | SFO | Lost in CCG |
1989 | Joe Montana | SFO | Won SB |
1988 | Boomer Esiason | CIN | Lost in SB |
1987 | John Elway | DEN | Lost in SB |
1986 | Lawrence Taylor | NYG | Won SB |
1985 | Marcus Allen | RAI | Lost in Div |
1984 | Dan Marino | MIA | Lost in SB |
1983 | Joe Theismann | WAS | Lost in SB |
1982 | Mark Moseley | WAS | Won SB |
1981 | Ken Anderson | CIN | Lost in SB |
1980 | Brian Sipe | CLE | Lost in Div |
1979 | Earl Campbell | HOU | Lost in CCG |
1978 | Terry Bradshaw | PIT | Won SB |
1977 | Walter Payton | CHI | Lost in Div |
1976 | Bert Jones | BAL | Lost in Div |
1975 | Fran Tarkenton | MIN | Lost in Div |
1974 | Ken Stabler | OAK | Lost in CCG |
1973 | O.J. Simpson | BUF | Missed |
1972 | Larry Brown | WAS | Lost in SB |
1971 | Alan Page | MIN | Lost in Div |
1970 | John Brodie | SFO | Lost in CCG |
1969 | Roman Gabriel | RAM | Lost in Div |
1968 | Earl Morrall | BAL | Lost in SB |
1967 | Johnny Unitas | BAL | Missed |
1966 | Bart Starr | GNB | Won SB |
1965 | Jim Brown | CLE | Lost in CCG |
1964 | Johnny Unitas | BAL | Lost in CCG |
1963 | Y.A. Tittle | NYG | Lost in CCG |
1962 | Jim Taylor | GNB | Won SB |
1961 | Paul Hornung | GNB | Won SB |
1960 | Norm Van Brocklin | PHI | Won SB |
1959 | Johnny Unitas | BAL | Won SB |
1958 | Jim Brown | CLE | Lost in Div |
1957 | Jim Brown | CLE | Lost in CCG |
As always, please leave your thoughts in the comments. Oh, and one other note: the Panthers loss in Super Bowl 50 meant another streak is still going. Ron Rivera was the AP Coach of the Year, but no AP Coach of the Year has won the Super Bowl that season since Bill Belichick in 2003.