The first S in SRS stands for Simple because the SRS is simply the sum of two variables: a team’s average margin of victory (or points differential) and a team’s strength of schedule.
But what if we only care about wins and losses? Even in that case, we still care about strength of schedule. The BCS mandates that the computer systems used to provide the official BCS ratings ignore margin of victory. Essentially, that’s what I’m doing here. To provide Elo-style ratings for NFL teams, I made each win a one-point win, each loss a one-point loss, and each tie worth 0 points. Therefore, a team’s MOV perfectly matches its record, leaving just the SOS to shuffle the deck.
Is this useful for anything? No. That’s why it’s a Friday night checkdown.
Rk | Team | G | MOV | SOS | SRS | Record |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Houston Texans | 13 | 0.692 | 0.011 | 0.704 | 11-2-0 |
2 | New England Patriots | 13 | 0.538 | 0.116 | 0.654 | 10-3-0 |
3 | San Francisco 49ers | 13 | 0.462 | 0.081 | 0.543 | 9-3-1 |
4 | Green Bay Packers | 13 | 0.385 | 0.107 | 0.492 | 9-4-0 |
5 | Atlanta Falcons | 13 | 0.692 | -0.273 | 0.42 | 11-2-0 |
6 | Denver Broncos | 13 | 0.538 | -0.166 | 0.373 | 10-3-0 |
7 | Chicago Bears | 13 | 0.231 | 0.121 | 0.352 | 8-5-0 |
8 | Seattle Seahawks | 13 | 0.231 | 0.114 | 0.345 | 8-5-0 |
9 | Indianapolis Colts | 13 | 0.385 | -0.053 | 0.332 | 9-4-0 |
10 | Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 0.385 | -0.135 | 0.249 | 9-4-0 |
11 | New York Giants | 13 | 0.231 | -0.04 | 0.191 | 8-5-0 |
12 | St. Louis Rams | 13 | 0 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 6-6-1 |
13 | Minnesota Vikings | 13 | 0.077 | 0.067 | 0.144 | 7-6-0 |
14 | New York Jets | 13 | -0.077 | 0.172 | 0.095 | 6-7-0 |
15 | Washington Redskins | 13 | 0.077 | -0.003 | 0.074 | 7-6-0 |
16 | Dallas Cowboys | 13 | 0.077 | -0.012 | 0.065 | 7-6-0 |
17 | Cincinnati Bengals | 14 | 0.143 | -0.203 | -0.06 | 8-6-0 |
18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 13 | 0.077 | -0.138 | -0.061 | 7-6-0 |
19 | Miami Dolphins | 13 | -0.231 | 0.126 | -0.105 | 5-8-0 |
20 | Buffalo Bills | 13 | -0.231 | 0.067 | -0.164 | 5-8-0 |
21 | Arizona Cardinals | 13 | -0.385 | 0.203 | -0.181 | 4-9-0 |
22 | Detroit Lions | 13 | -0.385 | 0.188 | -0.197 | 4-9-0 |
23 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13 | -0.077 | -0.162 | -0.239 | 6-7-0 |
24 | Tennessee Titans | 13 | -0.385 | 0.134 | -0.25 | 4-9-0 |
25 | New Orleans Saints | 13 | -0.231 | -0.035 | -0.266 | 5-8-0 |
26 | Cleveland Browns | 13 | -0.231 | -0.125 | -0.356 | 5-8-0 |
27 | Carolina Panthers | 13 | -0.385 | 0.014 | -0.371 | 4-9-0 |
28 | San Diego Chargers | 13 | -0.231 | -0.165 | -0.396 | 5-8-0 |
29 | Philadelphia Eagles | 14 | -0.429 | -0.048 | -0.476 | 4-10-0 |
30 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 13 | -0.692 | 0.141 | -0.551 | 2-11-0 |
31 | Oakland Raiders | 13 | -0.538 | -0.112 | -0.651 | 3-10-0 |
32 | Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | -0.692 | -0.148 | -0.84 | 2-11-0 |