Here’s a quick set of quarterback ratings I was messing around with, based on Doug’s Simple Rating System. The basic setup: I took every passer-game (Att > 0) since the 2010 season, weighting for recency according to Wayne Winston’s method. I ran the data through the SRS to adjust for the quality of opponent pass defenses, creating a predicted Net YPA rate for each passer in each game via the following formula:
Predicted NYPA = League Constant + Home-Field Advantage + Passer Rating – Opponent Pass D Rating
The league constant in this case was a Net YPA of 6.24; the homefield component (which was positive while at home, negative on the road, and 0 in Super Bowls) was 0.05. Minimize the sum of squared errors between predicted and actual NYPA for each passer-game (weighted by recency and how many dropbacks the passer had in the game), and you’ve got a set of opponent-adjusted, recency-weighted QB ratings.
Throwing out the Brett Favres and Curtis Painters of the world who haven’t been active this year, here are the full ratings:
And if you just limit it to guys who started at least 1 game at QB this year:
Chase edit: We can also calculate a “yards over average” statistic for each quarterback, if we multiply his dropbacks by his NY/A rating.