Checkdowns: Weighted NFL SRS Ratings (through Sunday 10/21/12)

by Neil Paine on October 22, 2012

in Checkdowns, Power Rankings, SRS, Vegas

Here are the current SRS Ratings, weighted for the recency of each game, along with each team’s quarter-by-quarter Win Probability Added (WPA) so far this season:

Rank	Team	pfr_id	OSRS	OSOS	DSRS	DSOS	SRS	SOS	wpa_loc	wpa_vegas	wpa_1st	wpa_2nd	wpa_3rd	wpa_4th/ot
1	Chicago Bears	chi	7.9	1.0	8.0	-1.4	15.9	-0.4	-0.068	0.476	0.128	0.017	0.729	0.219
2	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	-0.2	-0.1	11.4	2.2	11.2	2.0	0.068	0.956	-0.066	0.059	0.566	-0.083
3	Houston Texans	htx	6.9	-1.0	4.2	-0.2	11.1	-1.2	0.068	1.419	-0.038	0.943	0.127	-0.020
4	Green Bay Packers	gnb	7.5	3.9	2.8	1.9	10.4	5.7	-0.068	0.926	0.596	-0.011	-0.446	-0.498
5	New York Giants	nyg	7.7	1.6	2.3	-1.6	10.0	-0.1	0.068	0.351	-0.060	0.278	0.029	0.834
6	Denver Broncos	den	5.2	-0.1	1.6	1.5	6.8	1.4	0.000	-0.060	-0.644	-0.816	0.183	1.338
7	New England Patriots	nwe	7.4	-0.4	-0.7	-0.3	6.7	-0.7	-0.068	1.209	0.737	-0.017	0.363	-1.724
8	Seattle Seahawks	sea	-2.7	4.1	8.7	0.7	5.9	4.8	-0.068	-0.335	0.708	-0.588	-0.094	0.877
9	Atlanta Falcons	atl	2.5	-2.5	3.2	-1.2	5.7	-3.6	0.000	0.632	0.525	0.199	0.404	1.240
10	St Louis Rams	ram	-2.2	2.6	5.2	1.9	3.0	4.6	0.068	-1.039	-0.143	0.348	-0.283	0.550
11	Minnesota Vikings	min	-0.6	-1.3	3.2	-1.3	2.6	-2.6	0.068	0.211	0.835	-0.362	0.075	0.673
12	Washington Redskins	was	5.8	0.6	-3.2	1.9	2.6	2.5	-0.068	-0.381	0.172	0.697	1.235	-2.155
13	Dallas Cowboys	dal	-0.7	3.3	2.5	1.5	1.7	4.9	-0.136	0.365	-0.216	-0.359	0.051	0.295
14	Arizona Cardinals	crd	-4.6	1.2	5.0	-1.1	0.4	0.1	0.068	-0.452	-0.085	0.088	-0.331	1.212
15	Miami Dolphins	mia	-2.9	0.4	3.1	-0.9	0.2	-0.5	0.000	-0.549	-0.011	0.726	1.272	-1.436
16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	-0.6	-2.7	0.8	0.5	0.1	-2.2	0.136	-0.531	0.583	-0.276	0.276	-1.188
17	New York Jets	nyj	0.0	0.6	0.1	1.0	0.1	1.5	0.068	-0.605	-0.080	-0.084	-0.495	0.695
18	Baltimore Ravens	rav	0.2	-0.8	-1.5	-1.1	-1.3	-1.9	0.068	0.536	-0.452	0.587	0.057	0.705
19	New Orleans Saints	nor	5.6	-0.7	-7.2	-0.4	-1.6	-1.2	0.000	0.552	-0.193	-0.476	-0.019	-0.864
20	Detroit Lions	det	4.9	2.9	-6.5	-2.4	-1.6	0.5	-0.068	0.249	-0.313	-0.833	-0.353	0.819
21	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	-2.5	-2.6	0.1	-1.3	-2.4	-3.9	-0.136	0.700	-0.027	0.290	0.163	-0.991
22	San Diego Chargers	sdg	-2.3	-3.8	-0.4	-0.1	-2.7	-3.9	0.000	0.202	0.753	0.214	0.294	-1.463
23	Carolina Panthers	car	-4.1	1.5	0.7	1.4	-3.4	2.9	0.136	-0.246	-0.833	0.124	-0.212	-0.968
24	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	-6.6	-0.6	2.5	0.3	-4.0	-0.4	0.000	0.466	-0.675	-0.296	0.729	-0.224
25	Indianapolis Colts	clt	-3.2	0.7	-3.1	-0.4	-6.3	0.3	0.136	-0.592	0.446	-0.291	-0.066	0.367
26	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	-0.9	-1.2	-5.7	-2.6	-6.7	-3.8	-0.068	0.009	0.762	0.304	-1.197	-0.311
27	Cleveland Browns	cle	-5.1	-3.0	-2.6	-0.1	-7.7	-3.1	-0.068	-1.153	-0.411	-0.800	0.161	-0.229
28	Oakland Raiders	rai	-3.4	0.6	-6.6	-1.5	-10.0	-0.9	0.000	-0.368	-0.390	0.014	-1.529	1.272
29	Buffalo Bills	buf	1.1	0.0	-11.1	-1.9	-10.0	-1.9	-0.068	-0.303	0.313	-0.034	0.180	-0.589
30	Tennessee Titans	oti	-3.0	-1.6	-8.4	2.1	-11.4	0.5	-0.068	-1.194	-0.596	0.449	-0.667	1.576
31	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	-8.8	-0.3	-3.3	1.0	-12.1	0.8	0.000	-0.647	-0.229	-0.144	-0.227	-0.754
32	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	-8.9	-2.6	-6.1	1.0	-15.0	-1.6	0.000	-0.802	-1.094	0.049	-0.977	0.823

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