Back in May, CG Technology released point spreads for all NFL games during the first 16 weeks of the 2016 season. We can use these lines to generate implied NFL ratings — as of May 10, 2017 — for this upcoming season.

Basically, we take the point spread in each game, adjust for home field, and then determine how by many points Vegas thinks Team A is better than Team B.  When the Seahawks are favored by 13.5 points in a home game against the Rams, we can take this to mean that Vegas thinks the Seahawks are 10.5 points better than Los Angeles.  When Seattle is a 6-point road favorite in Los Angeles against the Rams, that tells us that Vegas thinks the Seahawks are 9 points better than the Rams.  That’s just two games, of course: Using the iterative SRS process, we can generate season ratings based on the 240 point spreads involved. Here are those ratings, again as of May 10, 2017.

Here’s how to read the table below. After adjusting for home field, the Patriots are expected to beat their average opponent by 6.6 points. On average, New England’s opponents (after adjusting for *their* strength of schedule) are 0.3 points better than average, which means the Patriots are expected to be 6.8 points better than average (difference due to rounding). That’s the best in the league, far ahead of the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Packers (the only other teams that are 4 points better than average).

We can also generate the implied rating for each game. That’s done in the table below, which is fully sortable and searchable.  For example, type in Patriots:

Vegas thinks New England should be favored by 7 points in Buffalo, a team with a -1.3 rating. That implies that the Patriots are 8.7 points better than average! That’s the highest rating for any team in any game this year. But there’s some variance: for whatever reason, New England is only a 1.5 point favorite against the Raiders in Mexico City! That doesn’t make much sense given that it is a neutral site game, so Vegas must think Oakland should get some home field points for that one.

Speaking of home field, note the Chargers don’t seem to be getting much love from Vegas for their new games in Los Angeles. San Diego is a 4-point road dog in Denver, which would imply them being a 2-home favorite against the Broncos; instead, that game is a pick’em. Similarly, San Diego is a 6-point road dog in Kansas City, but a 1.5-point underdog against the Chiefs at home. In other words, be careful before just assuming the Chargers should get 3 points for home games this year.

Much weirder is another team that isn’t getting much home love: Seattle. If you type “Seahawks” into the search box above, and sort by implied rating, you’ll see that Seattle’s lowest four ratings all come at home. The Seahawks are only 7-point favorites at home against the Eagles and Colts, just 3-point home favorites against Atlanta, and “only” 13 point home favorites against the 49ers (hey, Seattle is a 7.5-point road favorite in San Francisco). Meanwhile, in a cross country trip against a potentially good Tennessee team, the Seahawks are 2-point favorites. Maybe Vegas isn’t buying into Seattle’s home field advantage in 2017?