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Jameis Winston Is A Very Fun QB

Jameis Winston has played 15 games so far this season, and he’s thrown for 4,908 yards, with 31 touchdowns and 28 interceptions.  He is going to run away with the INT crown, is a good favorite to win the passing yards crown, and will likely finish anywhere from 1st to 3rd in passing touchdowns. Winston also is in a tight race with two half-season guysMatthew Stafford and Ryan Tannehill — to win the yards per completion crown.  Oh, and he leads the NFL right now in sacks taken, too.

Some of this is a function of him leading the NFL in pass attempts (he’s also played 15 games, while most teams play their 15th game today).   But Winston is also just extreme in almost every fun stat, which is why I decided to revisit my Fun QB Index with some tweaks.

Here are the rules for being fun:

  • Passing a lot.
  • A high yards per completion average.
  • Touchdowns.
  • Interceptions.

So here’s the simple formula I came up with:

Fun = [ (Yards per Completion – 10.0) * Completions, plus 45 x INTs, plus 45 x TDs ] / Games Played

This isn’t a rate stat, which means you get more credit for passing more often…. except when it comes to yards per completion.  There, you only get credit for your yards per completion above 10.0.

Let’s use this formula for Winston.  He’s completed 367 of 602 passes for 4,908 yards, a 13.37 yards per completion average.  So he gets credit in the YPC component of the formula for (3.37 * 367), or 1,237 yards.  With 59 combined TDs/INTs, that gets him another 2,655 yards.  That gives him 3,892 fun yards, which is an average of 259.5 yards per game of fun.

Now, that probably means nothing to you in the abstract. But here is how the 2019 quarterbacks look when you run them through the same formula:

The table below shows the top 50 or so quarterbacks in this metric during the Super Bowl era, sorted by year. Winston has the highest grade of any quarterback since 1984.  As an aside, while Winston is extremely fun, it’s noteworthy that Tampa Bay’s quarterback last year, Ryan Fitzpatrick, was also really fun (Winston was pretty fun last year, too; he had a 185.2 grade).  The full list, below:

QuarterbackTeamYearGCmpAttPass YdTDINTY/CFun Grade
Jameis WinstonTAM2019153676024908312813.4259.5
Matthew StaffordDET20198187291249919513.4213.6
Ryan FitzpatrickTAM201881642462366171214.4253.9
Patrick MahomesKAN2018163835805097501213.3253.6
Andrew LuckIND201571622931881151211.6210.9
Andrew LuckIND2014163806164761401612.5217.6
Peyton ManningDEN2013164506595477551012.2243.9
Drew BreesNOR2012164226705177431912.3234.2
Aaron RodgersGNB201115343502464345613.5233.9
Tom BradyNWE2011164016115235391213.1220.0
Drew BreesNOR2011164686575476461411.7218.5
Matthew StaffordDET2011164216635038411612.0212.1
Eli ManningNYG2011163595894933291613.7210.5
Tom BradyNWE200716398578480650812.1214.8
Peyton ManningIND2004163364974557491013.6240.8
Kurt WarnerSTL2001163755464830362212.9230.6
Kurt WarnerSTL2000112353473429211814.6257.6
Kurt WarnerSTL1999163254994353411313.4220.8
Jim KellyBUF1989132283913130251813.7214.2
Vinny TestaverdeTAM1988152224663240133514.6212.0
Warren MoonHOU1987121843682806211815.3226.8
Dan MarinoMIA1986163786234746442312.6248.8
Dan FoutsSDG1985142544303638272014.3229.5
Dan MarinoMIA1984163625645084481714.0274.3
Dave KriegSEA1984162764803671322413.3214.4
Lynn DickeyGNB1983162894844458322915.4269.6
Dan FoutsSDG1983102153402975201513.8240.0
Dave KriegSEA198391472432139181114.6219.3
Dan FoutsSDG198292043302883171114.1233.7
Dan FoutsSDG1981163606094802331713.3215.8
Tommy KramerMIN1981143225933912262412.1210.1
Dan FoutsSDG1980163485894715302413.5229.1
Terry BradshawPIT1980152184243339242215.3215.3
Steve GroganNWE1980121753062475182214.1210.4
Terry BradshawPIT1979162594723724262514.4214.3
Steve GroganNWE1979162064233286282016.0211.6
Brian SipeCLE1979162865353793282613.3210.2
Jim ZornSEA1977101042511687161916.2222.2
Ken StablerOAK1976121942912737271714.1231.4
Joe NamathNYJ1972131623242816192117.4230.5
Daryle LamonicaOAK1969142214263302342514.9267.6
Norm SneadPHI1969131903792768192314.6212.2
John HadlSDG1968142084403473273216.7289.1
Daryle LamonicaOAK1968132064163245251515.8229.6
Earl MorrallBAL1968141823172909261716.0216.0
Joe NamathNYJ1967142584914007262815.5275.5
Norm SneadPHI1967142404343399292414.2241.7
Jim HartSTL1967141923973008193015.7235.2
Daryle LamonicaOAK1967142204253228302014.7234.1
John HadlSDG1967142174273365242215.5233.2
Fran TarkentonNYG1967142043773088291915.1229.1
Sonny JurgensenWAS1967142885083747311613.0213.0
Joe NamathNYJ1966142324713379192714.6223.5

Finally, here are the 100 most fun quarterback seasons by this metric. The most fun season belongs to Houston Oilers quarterback George Blanda. You may recall that in 1961, Blanda had one of the best statistical seasons of all time; in fact, he remains the last player to lead his league in passing yards and win the title in the same season, which he did in the ’61 AFL (admittedly a watered down version of pro football). That year he produced the most fun season ever by this metric, as he averaged 17.8 yards per completion, and threw 36 TDs and 22 INTs in a 14-game season.

QuarterbackTeamYearGCmpAttPass YdTDINTY/CFun Grade
George BlandaHOU1961141873623330362217.8290.7
Sid LuckmanCHI1943101102022194281219.9289.4
John HadlSDG1968142084403473273216.7289.1
Sid LuckmanCHI1947121763232712243115.4285.6
Johnny UnitasBAL1960121903783099252416.3283.7
George BlandaHOU1962141974182810274214.3281.8
Sonny JurgensenPHI1961142354163723322415.8278.1
Joe NamathNYJ1967142584914007262815.5275.5
Dan MarinoMIA1984163625645084481714.0274.3
Babe ParilliBOS1964142284733465312715.2271.1
Lynn DickeyGNB1983162894844458322915.4269.6
Daryle LamonicaOAK1969142214263302342514.9267.6
Jameis WinstonTAM2019153676024908312813.4259.5
Y.A. TittleNYG1962142003753224332016.1257.8
Kurt WarnerSTL2000112353473429211814.6257.6
George BlandaCHI195481312811929151714.7257.4
Bobby LayneDET1951121523322403262315.8257.3
Johnny LujackCHI1949121623122658232216.4255.3
Ryan FitzpatrickTAM201881642462366171214.4253.9
Patrick MahomesKAN2018163835805097501213.3253.6
Johnny UnitasBAL1959121933672899321415.0253.3
Otto GrahamCLE1952121813642816202415.6248.8
Dan MarinoMIA1986163786234746442312.6248.8
Sonny JurgensenPHI1962141963663261222616.6247.2
Y.A. TittleNYG1963132213673145361414.2245.0
Peyton ManningDEN2013164506595477551012.2243.9
George RattermanNYY1950121402942251222416.1243.4
Norm SneadPHI1967142404343399292414.2241.7
Peyton ManningIND2004163364974557491013.6240.8
Dan FoutsSDG1983102153402975201513.8240.0
Billy WadeRAM1958121813412875182215.9238.8
Jim HartSTL1967141923973008193015.7235.2
Drew BreesNOR2012164226705177431912.3234.2
Daryle LamonicaOAK1967142204253228302014.7234.1
Aaron RodgersGNB201115343502464345613.5233.9
Dan FoutsSDG198292043302883171114.1233.7
John HadlSDG1967142174273365242215.5233.2
Charley JohnsonSTL1963142224233280282114.8233.2
Charley JohnsonSTL1962111503082440162016.3232.7
Norm Van BrocklinPHI1960121532842471241716.2232.2
Ken StablerOAK1976121942912737271714.1231.4
Norm Van BrocklinRAM1954121392602637132119.0231.4
Sammy BaughWAS1943101332391754231913.2231.4
Sammy BaughWAS1948121853152599222314.0231.2
Kurt WarnerSTL2001163755464830362212.9230.6
Joe NamathNYJ1972131623242816192117.4230.5
Daryle LamonicaOAK1968132064163245251515.8229.6
Dan FoutsSDG1985142544303638272014.3229.5
Fran TarkentonNYG1967142043773088291915.1229.1
Dan FoutsSDG1980163485894715302413.5229.1
Y.A. TittleSFO1955121472872185172814.9228.3
Warren MoonHOU1987121843682806211815.3226.8
Frank TripuckaDEN1960142484783038243412.3226.3
Ed BrownPIT1963141683622982212017.8224.8
Johnny UnitasBAL1965111642822530231215.4224.1
Bobby ThomasonPHI1953121623042462212015.2223.9
Joe NamathNYJ1966142324713379192714.6223.5
Johnny UnitasBAL1957121723012550241714.8222.9
Jim ZornSEA1977101042511687161916.2222.2
Norm SneadWAS1963141753633043132717.4220.9
Kurt WarnerSTL1999163254994353411313.4220.8
Tom BradyNWE2011164016115235391213.1220.0
Fran TarkentonMIN1962141633292595222515.9220.0
Al DorowNYT1960142013962748262613.7219.9
Sammy BaughWAS1947122103542938251514.0219.8
Dave KriegSEA198391472432139181114.6219.3
Norm Van BrocklinRAM1957121322652105202115.9219.2
Norm SneadWAS1962141843542926222215.9219.0
Drew BreesNOR2011164686575476461411.7218.5
Len DawsonKAN1964141993542879301814.5217.8
Andrew LuckIND2014163806164761401612.5217.6
Earl MorrallBAL1968141823172909261716.0216.0
Charley JohnsonSTL1965111553222439181515.7215.8
Dan FoutsSDG1981163606094802331713.3215.8
Terry BradshawPIT1980152184243339242215.3215.3
Tom BradyNWE200716398578480650812.1214.8
Dave KriegSEA1984162764803671322413.3214.4
Clyde LeForceDET19479941751384132014.7214.3
Terry BradshawPIT1979162594723724262514.4214.3
Jim KellyBUF1989132283913130251813.7214.2
Paul ChristmanCRD1947121383012191172215.9213.8
Matthew StaffordDET20198187291249919513.4213.6
Sonny JurgensenWAS1967142885083747311613.0213.0
John BrodieSFO1965132423913112301612.9212.5
Norm SneadPHI1969131903792768192314.6212.2
Matthew StaffordDET2011164216635038411612.0212.1
Vinny TestaverdeTAM1988152224663240133514.6212.0
George BlandaHOU1963142244233003242513.4212.0
Steve GroganNWE1979162064233286282016.0211.6
Bob WaterfieldRAM194510891711609141718.1211.4
Andrew LuckIND201571622931881151211.6210.9
Eli ManningNYG2011163595894933291613.7210.5
Steve GroganNWE1980121753062475182214.1210.4
Brian SipeCLE1979162865353793282613.3210.2
Tommy KramerMIN1981143225933912262412.1210.1
Jim HardyCRD1950111172571636172414.0210.1
Len DawsonDTX1962141893102759291714.6209.9
Jack KempLAC1960142114063018202514.3209.5
George BlandaHOU1965141864422542203013.7209.4
Warren MoonHOU1990153625844689331313.0209.3

What do you think?

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