Leonard Williams: Where Are The Sacks?

by Chase Stuart on December 11, 2019

Leonard Williams was the 6th pick in the 2015 Draft. He hasn’t been an outright bust by any means, but he’s certainly failed to deliver much in the way of big plays. He’s never missed a game in his career, and will only finish 2019 with 15 games played because he got to experience two bye weeks: with the Jets in week 4 and then with the Giants in week 11. He has recorded over 200 tackles in his career, but among first round defensive linemen with that number of tackles, his sack totals are shockingly low.

For years, Williams always seemed “on the verge” of a breakout season because of his quarterback hits numbers. He had 21 as a rookie, and then 7.0 sacks in a promising second season. In year 3, he had only 2.0 sacks but a whopping 25 quarterbacks hits…. and then in 2018 he had 20 quarterback hits and only 5.0 sacks. This year? He has 12 quarterback hits and zero sacks. In general, you expect about a 40-45% ratio between quarterback hits and quarterback sacks. But Williams is an extreme outlier, recording 17 sacks against a whopping 97 quarterback hits over his 5-year career.

The graph below shows the sack totals (X-Axis) and quarterback hits totals (Y-Axis) for defensive players from 2015 to 2019.

The table below shows the raw data. The final column shows sacks over expectation, based on 0.42 expected sacks per quarterback hit.

Rk	Player	G	QBHits	Sacks	QBH/Sacks	Sacks Over Exp
1	Chandler Jones	76	108	67.5	62.5%	22.3
2	Danielle Hunter	75	78	52.5	67.3%	19.8
3	Vic Beasley	75	44	35.5	80.7%	17.1
4	Ryan Kerrigan	76	87	52	59.8%	15.6
5	Mario Addison	72	72	45	62.5%	14.8
6	Khalil Mack	75	103	56.5	54.9%	13.4
7	Justin Houston	56	66	39	59.1%	11.4
8	Julius Peppers	64	56	34	60.7%	10.5
9	Bud Dupree	67	46	29.5	64.1%	10.2
10	Robert Quinn	59	58	33.5	57.8%	9.2
11	Dante Fowler	60	40	25	62.5%	8.2
12	Joey Bosa	48	75	39	52%	7.6
13	Cameron Jordan	77	116	56	48.3%	7.4
14	Terrell Suggs	61	58	31.5	54.3%	7.2
15	Frank Clark	73	81	41	50.6%	7.1
16	Nick Perry	49	40	23	57.5%	6.2
17	Dee Ford	62	70	35.5	50.7%	6.2
18	Cameron Heyward	67	76	38	50%	6.2
19	T.J. Watt	44	63	32.5	51.6%	6.1
20	Wesley Woodyard	74	28	17.5	62.5%	5.8
21	Javon Hargrave	60	21	14.5	69%	5.7
22	Jamie Collins	62	33	19.5	59.1%	5.7
23	Denico Autry	71	42	23	54.8%	5.4
24	Von Miller	76	119	55	46.2%	5.2
25	DeMarcus Lawrence	70	81	39	48.1%	5.1
26	Jason Pierre-Paul	59	67	32.5	48.5%	4.4
27	Dwight Freeney	35	23	14	60.9%	4.4
28	Allen Bailey	60	22	13.5	61.4%	4.3
29	Willie Young	35	28	16	57.1%	4.3
30	Melvin Ingram	74	89	41.5	46.6%	4.2
31	Geno Atkins	77	94	43.5	46.3%	4.1
32	Eddie Goldman	65	20	12.5	62.5%	4.1
33	Jabaal Sheard	70	56	27.5	49.1%	4.0
34	Robert Mathis	29	19	12	63.2%	4.0
35	Ahmad Brooks	42	24	14	58.3%	3.9
36	Benson Mayowa	66	36	19	52.8%	3.9
37	Jordan Jenkins	57	38	19.5	51.3%	3.6
38	Avery Williamson	63	19	11.5	60.5%	3.5
39	Sam Hubbard	28	18	11	61.1%	3.5
40	Kenny Clark	57	24	13.5	56.3%	3.4
41	Jack Crawford	65	24	13.5	56.3%	3.4
42	Brian Orakpo	61	54	26	48.1%	3.4
43	Lamarr Houston	28	23	13	56.5%	3.4
44	Chris Jones	58	66	31	47%	3.4
45	Myles Garrett	37	65	30.5	46.9%	3.3
46	Kyle Van Noy	70	34	17.5	51.5%	3.3
47	Kyler Fackrell	58	32	16.5	51.6%	3.1
48	Clinton McDonald	56	18	10.5	58.3%	3.0
49	Andre Branch	57	30	15.5	51.7%	2.9
50	Erik Walden	47	36	18	50%	2.9
51	Matthew Ioannidis	51	42	20.5	48.8%	2.9
52	Brandon Graham	75	72	33	45.8%	2.8
53	Jamal Adams	44	22	12	54.5%	2.8
54	Shelby Harris	52	22	12	54.5%	2.8
55	Whitney Mercilus	65	65	30	46.2%	2.8
56	Marcell Dareus	58	15	9	60%	2.7
57	Brian Robison	47	33	16.5	50%	2.7
58	Kony Ealy	50	20	11	55%	2.6
59	Wes Horton	54	19	10.5	55.3%	2.5
60	Taco Charlton	36	16	9	56.3%	2.3
61	Devin Taylor	33	22	11.5	52.3%	2.3
62	Armonty Bryant	19	15	8.5	56.7%	2.2
63	Logan Ryan	74	15	8.5	56.7%	2.2
64	Shaquil Barrett	74	64	29	45.3%	2.2
65	Ronald Blair	47	27	13.5	50%	2.2
66	Harold Landry	28	27	13.5	50%	2.2
67	Malcom Brown	73	20	10.5	52.5%	2.1
68	Preston Smith	77	81	36	44.4%	2.1
69	Jarrad Davis	41	19	10	52.6%	2.0
70	Yannick Ngakoue	60	80	35.5	44.4%	2.0
71	Tyrone Crawford	65	43	20	46.5%	2.0
72	Christian Kirksey	57	18	9.5	52.8%	2.0
73	Vince Williams	73	36	17	47.2%	1.9
74	Jonathan Allen	33	29	14	48.3%	1.9
75	Jayon Brown	43	16	8.5	53.1%	1.8
76	Markus Golden	58	59	26.5	44.9%	1.8
77	Bradley Chubb	20	27	13	48.1%	1.7
78	Mychal Kendricks	59	20	10	50%	1.6
79	Cassius Marsh	76	26	12.5	48.1%	1.6
80	Patrick Onwuasor	54	19	9.5	50%	1.5
81	Shaq Thompson	69	19	9.5	50%	1.5
82	Kawann Short	64	62	27.5	44.4%	1.5
83	Cameron Wake	62	86	37.5	43.6%	1.5
84	Josh Allen	13	18	9	50%	1.5
85	DeMarcus Ware	21	24	11.5	47.9%	1.4
86	Arik Armstead	59	42	19	45.2%	1.4
87	Sheldon Rankins	51	35	16	45.7%	1.3
88	Rob Ninkovich	28	22	10.5	47.7%	1.3
89	James Harrison	36	28	13	46.4%	1.3
90	Emmanuel Ogbah	50	40	18	45%	1.2
91	Anthony Chickillo	62	15	7.5	50%	1.2
92	Haason Reddick	45	15	7.5	50%	1.2
93	Damon Harrison	77	21	10	47.6%	1.2
94	Clay Matthews	68	70	30.5	43.6%	1.2
95	Bruce Irvin	73	75	32.5	43.3%	1.1
96	Ezekiel Ansah	59	81	35	43.2%	1.1
97	Harrison Smith	72	19	9	47.4%	1.0
98	Lorenzo Alexander	77	55	24	43.6%	1.0
99	Star Lotulelei	75	18	8.5	47.2%	1.0
100	Jerry Hughes	77	61	26.5	43.4%	1.0
101	Vonn Bell	61	17	8	47.1%	0.9
102	Zach Brown	67	17	8	47.1%	0.9
103	Jordan Phillips	73	29	13	44.8%	0.9
104	Shaq Lawson	48	35	15.5	44.3%	0.8
105	Noah Spence	41	16	7.5	46.9%	0.8
106	Muhammad Wilkerson	47	46	20	43.5%	0.7
107	Carl Nassib	56	39	17	43.6%	0.7
108	Eli Harold	61	20	9	45%	0.6
109	Akiem Hicks	68	63	27	42.9%	0.6
110	Takkarist McKinley	44	38	16.5	43.4%	0.6
111	Derrick Morgan	52	50	21.5	43%	0.6
112	Christian Covington	63	19	8.5	44.7%	0.5
113	Samson Ebukam	45	19	8.5	44.7%	0.5
114	Steve McLendon	72	19	8.5	44.7%	0.5
115	Joe Schobert	58	19	8.5	44.7%	0.5
116	Leonard Floyd	51	43	18.5	43%	0.5
117	Nick Bosa	13	18	8	44.4%	0.5
118	Connor Barwin	61	42	18	42.9%	0.4
119	Anthony Zettel	48	17	7.5	44.1%	0.4
120	Lavonte David	72	29	12.5	43.1%	0.4
121	Vernon Butler	49	16	7	43.8%	0.3
122	Dean Lowry	60	16	7	43.8%	0.3
123	Mario Edwards	56	22	9.5	43.2%	0.3
124	Kyle Love	69	22	9.5	43.2%	0.3
125	Darius Philon	54	22	9.5	43.2%	0.3
126	Jeremiah Attaochu	47	28	12	42.9%	0.3
127	Jacob Martin	29	15	6.5	43.3%	0.2
128	Eric Kendricks	72	21	9	42.9%	0.2
129	Shane Ray	49	33	14	42.4%	0.2
130	Alex Okafor	63	43	18	41.9%	0.0
131	Kwon Alexander	54	18	7.5	41.7%	0.0
132	Arthur Moats	46	18	7.5	41.7%	0.0
133	David Irving	37	30	12.5	41.7%	-0.1
134	Haloti Ngata	45	17	7	41.2%	-0.1
135	Ryan Shazier	37	17	7	41.2%	-0.1
136	Jaye Howard	24	16	6.5	40.6%	-0.2
137	Mario Williams	28	16	6.5	40.6%	-0.2
138	Thomas Davis	72	28	11.5	41.1%	-0.2
139	Corey Peters	55	15	6	40%	-0.3
140	Eric Reid	65	15	6	40%	-0.3
141	Dont'a Hightower	57	32	13	40.6%	-0.4
142	Devon Kennard	68	44	18	40.9%	-0.4
143	Lorenzo Carter	26	19	7.5	39.5%	-0.5
144	Jurrell Casey	73	68	28	41.2%	-0.5
145	Karl Klug	45	18	7	38.9%	-0.5
146	David Onyemata	60	24	9.5	39.6%	-0.6
147	Larry Ogunjobi	42	30	12	40%	-0.6
148	Ryan Davis	39	17	6.5	38.2%	-0.6
149	Michael Johnson	62	35	14	40%	-0.7
150	John Simon	60	41	16.5	40.2%	-0.7
151	Desmond Bryant	14	16	6	37.5%	-0.7
152	Trey Hendrickson	27	16	6	37.5%	-0.7
153	Alec Ogletree	58	16	6	37.5%	-0.7
154	Nate Orchard	40	16	6	37.5%	-0.7
155	Danny Trevathan	61	16	6	37.5%	-0.7
156	Dominique Easley	30	15	5.5	36.7%	-0.8
157	Chris Smith	53	15	5.5	36.7%	-0.8
158	Damion Square	62	15	5.5	36.7%	-0.8
159	Malik Jackson	65	58	23.5	40.5%	-0.8
160	Brooks Reed	69	21	8	38.1%	-0.8
161	Brandon Copeland	57	19	7	36.8%	-1.0
162	Kendall Langford	24	19	7	36.8%	-1.0
163	Kerry Hyder	37	24	9	37.5%	-1.1
164	Mike Hilton	44	17	6	35.3%	-1.1
165	Margus Hunt	66	17	6	35.3%	-1.1
166	Rodney Gunter	77	29	11	37.9%	-1.1
167	Benardrick McKinney	75	29	11	37.9%	-1.1
168	Mike Daniels	64	41	16	39%	-1.2
169	Marcus Davenport	26	28	10.5	37.5%	-1.2
170	Genard Avery	22	15	5	33.3%	-1.3
171	NaVorro Bowman	35	15	5	33.3%	-1.3
172	Adam Gotsis	57	15	5	33.3%	-1.3
173	Jarvis Jenkins	54	15	5	33.3%	-1.3
174	Kevin Minter	59	15	5	33.3%	-1.3
175	Brian Poole	59	15	5	33.3%	-1.3
176	Maliek Collins	58	38	14.5	38.2%	-1.4
177	Luke Kuechly	67	19	6.5	34.2%	-1.5
178	Jadeveon Clowney	70	80	32	40%	-1.5
179	Cliff Avril	36	55	21.5	39.1%	-1.5
180	DaQuan Jones	73	18	6	33.3%	-1.5
181	Kenny Vaccaro	65	24	8.5	35.4%	-1.6
182	Anthony Hitchens	71	17	5.5	32.4%	-1.6
183	Uchenna Nwosu	29	17	5.5	32.4%	-1.6
184	Jason Jones	29	23	8	34.8%	-1.6
185	Tamba Hali	36	28	10	35.7%	-1.7
186	Brandon Mebane	63	15	4.5	30%	-1.8
187	Cornelius Washington	31	15	4.5	30%	-1.8
188	Tyson Alualu	74	27	9.5	35.2%	-1.8
189	Jordan Hicks	56	20	6.5	32.5%	-1.9
190	Ethan Westbrooks	61	26	9	34.6%	-1.9
191	Michael Brockers	75	32	11.5	35.9%	-1.9
192	Derek Wolfe	65	56	21.5	38.4%	-2.0
193	Anthony Barr	71	31	11	35.5%	-2.0
194	William Hayes	43	37	13.5	36.5%	-2.0
195	Trent Murphy	58	49	18.5	37.8%	-2.0
196	Kemoko Turay	18	18	5.5	30.6%	-2.0
197	T.Y. McGill	37	17	5	29.4%	-2.1
198	Zach Kerr	60	16	4.5	28.1%	-2.2
199	Corey Liuget	53	22	7	31.8%	-2.2
200	Matt Longacre	38	21	6.5	31%	-2.3
201	Everson Griffen	70	113	45	39.8%	-2.3
202	Greg Hardy	12	20	6	30%	-2.4
203	Lawrence Timmons	46	24	7.5	31.3%	-2.6
204	Timmy Jernigan	55	36	12.5	34.7%	-2.6
205	Jarran Reed	53	42	15	35.7%	-2.6
206	Randy Gregory	28	23	7	30.4%	-2.6
207	DeForest Buckner	60	72	27.5	38.2%	-2.7
208	Demario Davis	77	47	17	36.2%	-2.7
209	Grady Jarrett	74	53	19.5	36.8%	-2.7
210	D.J. Reader	59	22	6.5	29.5%	-2.7
211	Romeo Okwara	48	28	9	32.1%	-2.7
212	Daniel Sorensen	67	15	3.5	23.3%	-2.8
213	Calais Campbell	77	113	44.5	39.4%	-2.8
214	C.J. Mosley	63	20	5.5	27.5%	-2.9
215	Roy Robertson-Harris	42	25	7.5	30%	-3.0
216	Dontari Poe	74	31	10	32.3%	-3.0
217	Trey Flowers	58	74	28	37.8%	-3.0
218	Paul Kruger	31	17	4	23.5%	-3.1
219	Kareem Martin	62	17	4	23.5%	-3.1
220	Solomon Thomas	43	22	6	27.3%	-3.2
221	William Gholston	73	28	8.5	30.4%	-3.2
222	Junior Galette	16	15	3	20%	-3.3
223	Arden Key	23	15	3	20%	-3.3
224	Charles Johnson	34	20	5	25%	-3.4
225	Chris Baker	47	32	10	31.3%	-3.4
226	Fletcher Cox	74	93	35.5	38.2%	-3.4
227	Chris Long	60	53	18.5	34.9%	-3.7
228	Jihad Ward	38	21	5	23.8%	-3.8
229	Carl Lawson	32	39	12.5	32.1%	-3.8
230	Lorenzo Mauldin	26	25	6.5	26%	-4.0
231	Darryl Tapp	35	18	3.5	19.4%	-4.0
232	Johnathan Hankins	68	24	6	25%	-4.1
233	Matt Milano	41	16	2.5	15.6%	-4.2
234	Jared Crick	32	22	5	22.7%	-4.2
235	Gerald McCoy	72	88	32.5	36.9%	-4.4
236	Kyle Williams	53	44	14	31.8%	-4.4
237	Adrian Clayborn	72	67	23.5	35.1%	-4.6
238	Elvis Dumervil	40	48	15.5	32.3%	-4.6
239	Aaron Donald	75	158	61.5	38.9%	-4.7
240	Jared Allen	15	16	2	12.5%	-4.7
241	Stephon Tuitt	60	65	22.5	34.6%	-4.7
242	Matt Judon	59	77	27.5	35.7%	-4.7
243	Linval Joseph	70	40	12	30%	-4.8
244	Pernell McPhee	56	52	17	32.7%	-4.8
245	Akeem Spence	68	27	6.5	24.1%	-4.8
246	J.J. Watt	48	105	39	37.1%	-5.0
247	Nick Fairley	31	29	7	24.1%	-5.1
248	Evander Hood	45	16	1.5	9.4%	-5.2
249	Quinton Jefferson	36	28	6.5	23.2%	-5.2
250	Kiko Alonso	69	15	1	6.7%	-5.3
251	Za'Darius Smith	71	81	28.5	35.2%	-5.4
252	Datone Jones	38	25	5	20%	-5.5
253	Wallace Gilberry	25	24	4.5	18.8%	-5.6
254	Henry Anderson	55	40	11	27.5%	-5.8
255	Sam Acho	56	26	5	19.2%	-5.9
256	Aaron Lynch	54	48	14	29.2%	-6.1
257	Charles Harris	40	23	3.5	15.2%	-6.1
258	Robert Ayers	36	57	17.5	30.7%	-6.4
259	Carlos Dunlap	75	117	42.5	36.3%	-6.5
260	Lawrence Guy	77	36	8.5	23.6%	-6.6
261	Sheldon Richardson	70	52	15	28.8%	-6.8
262	Derek Barnett	33	45	12	26.7%	-6.8
263	Deatrich Wise	43	44	11.5	26.1%	-6.9
264	Frostee Rucker	57	31	4.5	14.5%	-8.5
265	Michael Bennett	71	115	39	33.9%	-9.2
266	Bobby Wagner	75	46	9.5	20.7%	-9.8
267	Olivier Vernon	64	102	32.5	31.9%	-10.2
268	Tom Johnson	60	60	14	23.3%	-11.1
269	Ndamukong Suh	77	79	21.5	27.2%	-11.6
270	Vinny Curry	72	60	13.5	22.5%	-11.6
271	Leonard Williams	75	97	17	17.5%	-23.6

As always, please leave your thoughts in the comments.

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