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What was the most dominant fantasy season of all time? You might think Peyton Manning 2013, but let me throw out another candidate: Steve Young, 1998.

I am using the following scoring system throughout this series: 1 point per 20 yards passing, 1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 4 points per passing TD, 6 points per rushing/receiving TD, 0.5 points per reception.

In 2013, Manning threw for 5,477 yards and 55 TDs with just 10 interceptions, while rushing for -31 yards but with one TD. That comes out to 486.75 fantasy points. In 1998, Young threw for 4,170 yards with 36 TDs and 12 INTs, but also ran for 454 yards and 6 TDs. That is equal to 421.90 fantasy points. So, advantage Manning.

But we measure fantasy dominance “not by the number of points he scores[, but] by how much he outscores his peers at his particular position.” Those are the words of Joe Bryant in his famous VBD article, and I’ll make an appendix to that for historical purposes: the key is how much a player outscores his peers at his particular position in that particular year.

When calculating VBD scores, the standard is to use the 12th-ranked quarterback. In 2013, the 12th=-ranked QB scored 309.2 fantasy points, which means Manning outscored him by 177.55 fantasy points (or we could say that Manning produced 178 points of VBD). In 1998, the 12th-ranked quarterback scored just 235.6 fantasy points, which means Young finished with 186.3 points of VBD. So, advantage, Young.

But there’s another piece of the puzzle that tips the scales even more towards the 49ers quarterback. In 1998, Young missed one game. For fantasy purposes, it’s more valuable to have a quarterback produced X points in 15 games than it is for him to produce X points in 16 games, because you can play someone else during that 16th game.

So here’s what I did (I am open to other methods, as there are several ways to skin this cat). For each quarterback season since 1950, I calculated the number of fantasy points scored by all quarterbacks. Then, I measured how many FP were scored by QB 12 [1]Well, QB12 for every year since 1968. In 1966 and 1967, I used QB10 as the cut-off, since there were fewer than 26 teams that year. From ’61 to ’65, I used QB8, as there were 22 … Continue reading and divided that by 16.

So for 1998, the baseline is 14.73 FP/G, which means Young — who averaged 28.13 FP/G — finished with 13.4 FP/G above average. We multiply that by his number of games played (15) to get his VBD score of 201 fantasy points. [2]Note: At this step, I pro-rated the VBD number for every NFL season with fewer than 16 games, but that’s obviously not an issue when it comes to Young/Manning. As it turns out, 201 points is the highest VBD season by any quarterback since 1950, just narrowly edging out Dan Marino in 1984.

Let’s use that season to guide you through the table below, which shows the top 200 seasons by a quarterback in fantasy history. That year, Marino threw for 5,084 yards, with 48 TDs and 17 INTs. He rushed for -7 yards and 0 touchdowns, which comes to 428.5 fantasy points. He played a full 16-game slate, so he averaged 26.78 FP/G. The baseline in 1984 (i.e., QB12) was 14.25 Fp/G, so Marino averaegd 12.53 FP/G above the baseline. Multiply that by 16 (the number of games he played), and Marino had a VBD of 200.5 in 1984.

RkPlayerYrTmPYDTDINTRSHRSHYDRSHTDFPGFP/GBaseDiffVBD
1Steve Young1998SFO41703612704546421.91528.1314.7313.4201
2Dan Marino1984MIA5084481728-70428.51626.7814.2512.53200.5
3Tom Brady2007NWE480650837982454.11628.3816.4411.94191
4Randall Cunningham1990PHI346630131189425404.51625.2813.611.68187
5Warren Moon1990HOU468933135521523871525.813.612.2183
6Tobin Rote1956GNB2203181584398112731222.7511.3411.41182.5
7Aaron Rodgers2011GNB4643456602573449.91529.9917.8812.11181.6
8Steve Young1994SFO39693510582937399.81624.9813.811.18178.9
9Peyton Manning2013DEN5477551032-311486.81630.4219.3311.1177.6
10Drew Brees2011NOR5476461421861458.41628.6517.8810.77172.3
11Johnny Unitas1959BAL28993214291452285.51223.7913.1810.61169.8
12Daunte Culpepper2004MIN47173911884062433.51627.0916.7410.35165.6
13Dan Marino1986MIA4746442312-303901624.3814.2610.12161.9
14Brett Favre1995GNB44133813391813395.81624.7314.6510.08161.3
15Brett Favre1996GNB38993913491362363.61622.7212.789.94159.1
16Kurt Warner1999STL4353411323921383.91623.9914.429.58153.2
17Daunte Culpepper2000MIN39373316894707401.91625.1215.559.57153.1
18Randall Cunningham1988PHI38082416936246368.81623.0513.669.39150.2
19Peyton Manning2004IND4557491025380417.71626.116.749.36149.8
20Randall Cunningham1987PHI27862312765053288122412.3311.67149.4
21Johnny Unitas1960BAL30992524361950250.51220.8711.589.3148.7
22Tom Brady2011NWE52353912431093434.71627.1717.889.28148.6
23Vinny Testaverde1996BAL41773319341882352.71622.0412.789.26148.2
24Steve Beuerlein1999CAR44363615271242375.21623.4514.429.03144.6
25Jeff Garcia2000SFO42783110724144393.31624.5815.559.03144.5
26Cam Newton2011CAR4051211712670614427.41626.7117.888.83141.3
27John Elway1987DEN31981912663044278.31223.1912.3310.87139.1
28Daryle Lamonica1969OAK3302342513361285.71420.4111.748.66138.6
29Steve Young1993SFO40232916694072355.11622.1913.618.58137.4
30Ken Anderson1975CIN31692111491882262.31320.1710.999.19136.5
31Steve Young1992SFO34652577653743441621.512.978.53136.5
32Michael Vick2010PHI30182161006769350.51229.2117.8411.36136.4
33Neil Lomax1984STL46142816351843363.11622.6914.258.44135.1
34Scott Mitchell1995DET43383212361044367.31622.9614.658.3132.9
35Joe Montana1987SFO30543113351411283.81321.8312.339.5131.8
36Jim Kelly1991BUF3844331720451317.71521.1812.528.66129.9
37Mark Brunell1996JAX436719208039633321620.7512.787.97127.5
38Ken Anderson1974CIN26671810433142238.81318.379.898.47125.9
39Bert Jones1976BAL3104249382142275.61419.6911.917.78124.4
40Don Majkowski1989GNB43182720753585369.71623.1115.347.77124.3
41Warren Moon1991HOU4690232133682324.31620.2712.527.75124
42Neil Lomax1987STL33872412291070264.1122212.339.68123.9
43Brett Favre1994GNB38823314422022344.31621.5213.87.72123.5
44Matthew Stafford2011DET5038411622780407.71625.4817.887.6121.6
45Fran Tarkenton1975MIN29942513161082259.51418.5410.997.55120.8
46Dan Fouts1981SDG4802331722560360.71622.5415.027.53120.4
47Peyton Manning2006IND439731923364362.51622.6515.137.52120.3
48Dan Fouts1982SDG28831711981208923.1115.627.49119.8
49Dan Marino1987MIA3245261312-51258.81221.5612.339.24118.2
50Y.A. Tittle1963NYG3145361418992309.21323.7815.97.88117.1
51Drew Brees2013NOR5162391235523425.31626.5819.337.26116.1
52Greg Landry1972DET20661817815249264.71418.9111.667.25116
53Joe Montana1982SFO26131711301181205.5922.8315.627.21115.4
54Drew Brees2008NOR5069341722-10372.41623.2716.087.2115.2
55Aaron Rodgers2009GNB4434307583165396.31624.7717.647.13114.1
56Roman Gabriel1973PHI32192312121012481417.7110.67.11113.8
57Steve Young1991SFO2517178664154251.41122.8512.5210.33113.6
58John Elway1996DEN33282614502494305.31520.3512.787.58113.6
59Joe Montana1989SFO3521268492273312.81324.0615.348.72113.3
60Kurt Warner2001STL4830362228600369.51623.0916.057.04112.7
61Roger Staubach1975DAL26661716553164240.91318.5310.997.55112.1
62Roman Gabriel1969RAM2549247351565262.11418.7211.746.97111.6
63Bobby Layne1951DET24032623612901236.21219.6812.726.96111.3
64Lynn Dickey1983GNB4458322921123341.11621.3214.386.94111.1
65Steve Young1995SFO320020115025032721124.7314.6510.07110.8
66Sonny Jurgensen1961PHI3723322420270292.91420.9214.016.91110.6
67Dan Marino1994MIA4453301722-61331.11620.6913.86.89110.2
68Johnny Unitas1957BAL25502417421711229.61219.1312.266.88110
69Randall Cunningham1998MIN37043410321321330.61522.0414.737.32109.7
70Andrew Luck2014IND47614016642733427.41626.7119.96.81109
71John Brodie1970SFO2941241092922481417.7110.926.79108.7
72Sonny Jurgensen1967WAS37473116154623121422.2815.576.71107.4
73Drew Brees2012NOR517743191551418.41626.1519.476.68106.9
74Daryle Lamonica1968OAK3245251519981263.11320.2313.077.17106.5
75Peyton Manning2000IND44133315371161355.31622.215.556.65106.5
76Roger Staubach1973DAL24282315462503241.41417.2410.66.65106.3
77George Blanda1961HOU333036227120288.61420.6114.016.61105.7
78Steve Grogan1976NWE190318206039712258.91418.4911.916.58105.3
79Ken Stabler1976OAK273727177-21233.71219.4711.917.56103.7
80Greg Landry1971DET22371613765303233.91416.710.236.48103.7
81Joe Montana1990SFO39442616401621307.41520.4913.66.9103.4
82Warren Moon1995MIN4228331433820337.61621.114.656.45103.2
83Jeff Blake1996CIN36242414723172306.91619.1812.786.4102.5
84Brett Favre1997GNB38673516581871342.11621.3815.036.35101.6
85Rich Gannon2000OAK34302811895294349.41621.8415.556.29100.6
86Don Meredith1966DAL28052412382425278.51321.4214.736.6999.4
87Ken Anderson1982CIN249512925854196.3921.8115.626.1999
88Donovan McNabb2004PHI3875318412203349.81523.3216.746.5898.6
89Otto Graham1952CLE28162024421304233.81219.4813.336.1598.4
90Joe Montana1983SFO39102612612842327.91620.4914.386.1297.9
91Fran Tarkenton1970NYG27771912432362238.51417.0310.926.1197.8
92Roger Staubach1978DAL31902516421821267.71517.8511.336.5297.8
93Sonny Jurgensen1969WAS31022215171561249.71417.8411.746.0997.5
94Tony Romo2007DAL42113619311292360.51622.5316.446.0897.4
95Daunte Culpepper2002MIN3853182310660910362.61622.6616.586.0897.2
96Danny White1983DAL3980292318314327.11620.4414.386.0797.1
97Bernie Kosar1987CLE303322915221238.91219.912.337.5897
98Rich Gannon2002OAK46892610501563362.11622.6316.586.0496.7
99Bert Jones1975BAL2483188473213238.31417.0210.996.0396.5
100Dave Krieg1984SEA36713224461863324.21620.2614.256.0196.2
101Jim Everett1988RAM39643118341040314.61619.6613.66696
102Dan Fouts1980SDG4715302423152345.31621.5815.65.9895.7
103Drew Bledsoe1996NWE40862715242703001618.7512.785.9795.6
104Brett Favre1998GNB42123123401331330.91620.6814.735.9695.3
105Drew Brees2009NOR4388341122332359.81523.9917.646.3595.2
106John Hadl1971SDG3075212518751226.31416.1610.235.9495
107Ken Stabler1974OAK2469261212-21221.31415.89.895.9194.6
108Jeff Blake1995CIN382228175330923291620.5614.655.9194.6
109Fran Tarkenton1969NYG2918238371720247.11417.6511.745.9194.5
110John Brodie1965SFO3112301615601271.61320.8914.546.3694.4
111Dan Marino1991MIA3970251327321294.71618.4212.525.994.4
112Al Dorow1960NYT27482626904537302.71421.6215.735.8994.2
113Randall Cunningham1992PHI27751911875495288.71519.2412.976.2794.1
114Joe Montana1985SFO365327134215333111520.7314.476.2693.9
115Daunte Culpepper2003MIN34792511734224329.21423.5116.836.6993.6
116Warren Moon1987HOU28062118341123235.51219.6312.337.393.4
117Boomer Esiason1987CIN33211619522410235.21219.612.337.2793
118Fran Tarkenton1974MIN25981712211202209.91316.159.896.2592.9
119Donovan McNabb2002PHI2289176634606258.51025.8516.589.2692.6
120Babe Parilli1964BOS34653127341682299.11421.3615.615.7592
121John Hadl1968SDG3473273223142263.11418.7913.075.7291.5
122Jeff Garcia2001SFO35383212722545348.31621.7716.055.7291.4
123Ken Anderson1981CIN37542910463201331.71620.7315.025.7191.4
124Kordell Stewart1997PIT302021178847611331.61620.7315.035.6991.1
125Roger Staubach1977DAL2620189511713229.11416.3610.685.6991
126Donovan McNabb2000PHI33652113866296339.71621.2315.555.6890.9
127Tobin Rote1954GNB23111418673018231.71219.313.655.6590.5
128Dan Marino1988MIA4434282320-1703091619.3113.665.6590.4
129Elvis Grbac2000KAN41692814301101323.51521.5615.556.0190.2
130Joe Theismann1983WAS37142911372341320.11620.0114.385.6390.1
131Bill Kenney1983KAN4348241823593319.81619.9914.385.6189.8
132Aaron Rodgers2012GNB4295398542592401.11625.0719.475.689.6
133Daryle Lamonica1967OAK32283020221104296.41421.1715.575.689.6
134John Elway1993DEN40302510441530306.81619.1813.615.5789.1
135Aaron Rodgers2010GNB39222811643564356.71523.7817.845.9489
136Boomer Esiason1988CIN35722814432481307.41619.2113.665.5588.8
137Aaron Rodgers2008GNB40382813562074345.61621.616.085.5388.4
138Jim Zorn1978SEA32831520592906269.21616.8211.335.588
139Y.A. Tittle1962NYG322433201710822961421.1415.675.4787.5
140Fran Tarkenton1967NYG30882919443062294142115.575.4386.9
141Aaron Rodgers2014GNB43813854326924051625.3119.95.4186.6
142Billy Kilmer1975WAS2440231611341207.41217.2810.996.386.4
143Donovan McNabb2006PHI2647186322123237.61023.7615.138.6286.2
144Milt Plum1960CLE229721517-242203.51216.9511.585.3886.1
145Mark Rypien1991WAS356428111561285.81617.8612.525.3485.5
146Rich Gannon1999OAK384024144629823161619.7514.425.3385.4
147Tom Brady2012NWE482734823324396.61624.7819.475.3285.1
148Dan Marino1992MIA4116241620660292.41618.2812.975.3184.9
149Archie Manning1972NOR27811821633512237.21416.9411.665.2884.5
150Peyton Manning1999IND4135261535732315.11619.6914.425.2884.4
151Drew Bledsoe1994NWE4555252744400304.81619.0513.85.2483.9
152Norm Van Brocklin1960PHI2471241711-130201.31216.7711.585.283.1
153Jay Cutler2008DEN45262518572002340.31621.2716.085.1983.1
154John Elway1994DEN349016105823542761419.7113.85.9182.8
155Vinny Testaverde1998NYJ3256297241041288.21420.5914.735.8682.1
156Michael Vick2002ATL29361681137778330.11522.0116.585.4281.3
157Steve Grogan1978NWE28241523815395262.11616.3811.335.0680.9
158Randall Cunningham1989PHI340021151046214325.11620.3215.344.9879.7
159Joe Montana1984SFO36302810391182307.31619.2114.254.9679.3
160Jim Kelly1987BUF27981911291330222.21218.5212.336.1979.2
161Bert Jones1977BAL26861711281462217.91415.5610.684.8978.2
162Jim Everett1989RAM4310291725311323.61620.2315.344.8878.2
163Jim Hart1974STL241120810212206.71414.769.894.8777.9
164Kurt Warner2008ARI4583301418-203351620.9316.084.8677.8
165John Elway1995DEN39702614411761312.11619.5114.654.8577.7
166Bobby Douglass1972CHI12469121419688231.11416.5111.664.8577.6
167Roger Staubach1974DAL25521115473203205.81414.79.894.8176.9
168Philip Rivers2008SDG4009341131840333.91620.8716.084.7976.7
169Brian Sipe1979CLE37932826451782305.51619.0914.324.7876.4
170Chris Miller1991ATL31032618322290264.11517.612.525.0876.3
171Steve Grogan1979NWE32862820643682305.11619.0714.324.7576.1
172Jim Plunkett1974NWE245719223016122051414.649.894.7575.9
173Dan Fouts1983SDG2975201512-51219.31021.9314.387.5575.5
174Drew Brees2006NOR4418261142320317.11619.8215.134.6875
175Brian Sipe1980CLE4132301420551324.11620.2615.64.6674.5
176Jim Plunkett1973NWE25501317442095213.41415.2410.64.6574.3
177Y.A. Tittle1957SFO21571315402206202.91216.912.264.6574.3
178Fran Tarkenton1968NYG25552112573013247.91417.713.074.6474.2
179Joe Ferguson1975BUF2426251723821218.51415.6110.994.6273.9
180John Hadl1970SDG23882215281881217.21415.5110.924.673.5
181Erik Kramer1995CHI3838291035391307.81619.2414.654.5873.3
182Roman Gabriel1967RAM27792513431986281.81420.1315.574.5572.9
183Fran Tarkenton1976MIN296117827451218.61316.8111.914.972.8
184Roger Staubach1971DAL1882154413432196.41315.1110.234.8872.5
185Dan Fouts1978SDG2999242020432242.31516.1511.334.8372.4
186Steve Young1996SFO2410146523104225.51218.7912.786.0172.2
187Steve McNair1999TEN2179128723378230.71120.9714.426.5572.1
188Dan Marino1985MIA4137302126-240303.51618.9714.474.572
189Terry Bradshaw1978PIT2915282032931253.21615.8211.334.572
190Peyton Manning2001IND41312623351574327.31620.4516.054.470.4
191Steve McNair2001TEN33502112754145310.91520.7316.054.6770.1
192Terry Bradshaw1977PIT25231719311713210.31415.0210.684.3469.5
193Len Dawson1962DTX27592917382523280.21420.0115.674.3469.4
194Boomer Esiason1986CIN39592417441461297.61618.614.264.3469.4
195Tobin Rote1955GNB19771719743325211.11217.5913.264.3369.3
196Daunte Culpepper2001MIN26121413714165245.71122.3416.056.2869.1
197Cam Newton2012CAR386919121277418380.21623.7619.474.2968.7
198Rich Gannon2001OAK3828279632312325.51620.3416.054.2968.7
199Frank Ryan1966CLE29742914361560266.31419.0214.734.2968.6
200Joe Namath1967NYJ400726286140277.81419.8415.574.2768.3

Young’s dominance really stands out in the above table, with 6 seasons in the top 65. In fact, only one other quarterback has even five seasons in the top 100 — and that’s, surprisingly enough, Joe Montana. Dan Marino and Randall Cunningham are the only other players with four seasons in the top 70, but neither of them have four in the top 65, making Young’s dominance even more impressive.

However, when it comes to career VBD, Peyton Manning stills beats Young — and everyone else — based on longevity. Below are the career VBD ratings, which are simply the sum of the single-season grades (but seasons with a negative VBD are discarded).

RkPlayerFirst YrLast YrVBD
1Peyton Manning199820141243
2Dan Marino198319991194
3Brett Favre199120101032
4Fran Tarkenton196119781027
5Steve Young19851999998
6Drew Brees20012014903
7John Elway19831998892
8Warren Moon19842000882
9Randall Cunningham19852001872
10Joe Montana19791994871
11Dan Fouts19731987757
12Johnny Unitas19561973711
13Tom Brady20002014684
14Roger Staubach19691979679
15Aaron Rodgers20052014676
16Daunte Culpepper19992009579
17Donovan McNabb19992011577
18Ken Anderson19711986573
19Jim Kelly19861996527
20Sonny Jurgensen19571974509
21Roman Gabriel19621977498
22Boomer Esiason19841997483
23Kurt Warner19982009476
24Terry Bradshaw19701983474
25John Hadl19621977418
26Steve Grogan19751990411
27Jim Everett19861997395
28Daryle Lamonica19631974390
29Tobin Rote19501966390
30Dave Krieg19801998381
31Bert Jones19731982377
32Drew Bledsoe19932006376
33Neil Lomax19811988374
34Michael Vick20012014374
35Rich Gannon19872004368
36Vinny Testaverde19872007366
37Y.A. Tittle19481964365
38John Brodie19571973357
39Tony Romo20042014348
40Steve McNair19952007344
41Jeff Garcia19992011329
42Joe Namath19651977323
43Mark Brunell19942011317
44Bobby Layne19481962306
45Jim Hart19661984294
46Philip Rivers20042014287
47Ben Roethlisberger20042014287
48Jeff Blake19922005280
49Brian Sipe19741983278
50Ken Stabler19701984275
51Greg Landry19681984274
52Phil Simms19791993269
53Cam Newton20112014269
54Otto Graham19461955263
55Trent Green19972008250
56Tommy Kramer19771990249
57Danny White19761988244
58Jim Plunkett19711986238
59Joe Theismann19741985236
60Jim Zorn19761987236
61Archie Manning19711984236
62Bob Griese19671980232
63Jeff George19902001232
64Marc Bulger20022009229
65Len Dawson19571975227
66Norm Snead19611976218
67Mark Rypien19882001207
68Matthew Stafford20092014201
69Billy Kilmer19611978200
70Doug Williams19781989197
71Scott Mitchell19912001193
72Joe Ferguson19731990193
73Charley Johnson19611975190
74Norm Van Brocklin19491960186
75Bernie Kosar19851996180

Have at it!

References

References
1 Well, QB12 for every year since 1968. In 1966 and 1967, I used QB10 as the cut-off, since there were fewer than 26 teams that year. From ’61 to ’65, I used QB8, as there were 22 professional teams. 1960 was handled uniquely, since the AFL and NFL played a disparate number of games. I used QB3 for 8-team the AFL and QB4 for the 13-team NFL. For the years from 1950 to 1960, I used QB4 as the baseline.
2 Note: At this step, I pro-rated the VBD number for every NFL season with fewer than 16 games, but that’s obviously not an issue when it comes to Young/Manning.
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