Last week, I looked at how many players were active for at least one game by class year, both before and after the current CBA was adopted in 2011. I also analyzed the production of players (by class year) from 2005 to 2010 and from 2012 to 2017 using Approximate Value and looking at just defensive players.
I’m short on time today, but wanted to do a quick search. I looked at all players who were in years 5-9 of their career and played in a given season. Then, I looked to see how many of those played in a single game the next year. The results are consistent with the other studies I’ve done: players in years 5-9 are losing jobs the following year. About 25% of players who were in their 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th, or 9th years in 2016 were not on an active roster in 2017. That rate used to be about 20%.
More time to come, but let me know if you have other thoughts on how to measure this.