In week 10, the Chiefs and Titans faced off in one of the most exciting and weirdest games of the year. Tennessee won 35-32 in a game that had it all: a 68-yard touchdown run (by Derrick Henry, naturally), a 63-yard touchdown pass, a fumble returned for a 53-yard touchdown, a Ryan Tannehill strip sack, a Ryan Tannehill 23-yard touchdown pass in the final seconds, an aborted field goal attempt, and a blocked field goal attempt as time expired.
It was one of the wildest games of the season, and if we get a repeat of that game, football fans are in for a treat. Patrick Mahomes was the top passer in the NFL that week, throwing for 446 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Henry rushed for 188 yards.
But there is one big difference: that game was in Nashville, while this game will be in Arrowhead. That makes this a repeat of last season, when the Chiefs lost by 3 points on the road to the Patriots in the regular season, than hosted the Patriots in the AFC Championship Game. Of course, Kansas City lost the playoff rematch, too.
The Heidi Bowl
The home team went 13-8 in these rematches, which I suppose is good news for Kansas City fans. [1]And this is what you would expect based on the point spreads for these games. We can convert the pre-game point spread to a pre-game win probability using this formula; based on the pre-game lines, … Continue reading The first came in a memorable set of games in 1968 between Joe Namath and the Jets and the Oakland Raiders. In late November, the 7-2 Jets traveled to Oakland to face the 7-2 Raiders. New York led 32-29 late, but as viewers on NBC saw their television sets turn to broadcast the children’s movie Heidi, Oakland scored two touchdowns in the final 70 seconds to win the game. The rematch in the playoffs took place at Shea Stadium, with the Jets emerging as 27-23 victors in one of the best playoff games in AFL history.
The table below shows the 22 conference championship game rematches, along with boxscores to both the regular season game and the postseason game. I have also included the points spread: the home team was favored in 19 of these 22 games.
| Year | CCG Home | CCG Road | Reg Season | Reg Season Box | Line | Playoff | Playoff | Playoff Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | KAN | NWE | L 40-43 | Boxscore | -3 | L | L 31-37 | Boxscore |
| 2013 | DEN | NWE | L 31-34 | Boxscore | -5 | W | W 26-16 | Boxscore |
| 2013 | SEA | SFO | L 17-19 | Boxscore | -4 | W | W 23-17 | Boxscore |
| 2012 | NWE | BAL | L 30-31 | Boxscore | -7.5 | L | L 13-28 | Boxscore |
| 2010 | CHI | GNB | L 3-10 | Boxscore | 3.5 | L | L 14-21 | Boxscore |
| 2008 | ARI | PHI | L 20-48 | Boxscore | 3.5 | W | W 32-25 | Boxscore |
| 1999 | JAX | TEN | L 14-41 | Boxscore | -7 | L | L 14-33 | Boxscore |
| 1994 | PIT | SDG | L 34-37 | Boxscore | -6 | L | L 13-17 | Boxscore |
| 1993 | BUF | KAN | L 7-23 | Boxscore | -3 | W | W 30-13 | Boxscore |
| 1989 | DEN | CLE | L 13-16 | Boxscore | -3.5 | W | W 37-21 | Boxscore |
| 1985 | MIA | NWE | L 13-17 | Boxscore | -5.5 | L | L 14-31 | Boxscore |
| 1983 | RAI | SEA | L 36-38 | Boxscore | -7 | W | W 30-14 | Boxscore |
| 1980 | PHI | DAL | L 27-35 | Boxscore | 1 | W | W 20-7 | Boxscore |
| 1980 | SDG | OAK | L 24-38 | Boxscore | -4 | L | L 27-34 | Boxscore |
| 1979 | PIT | HOU | L 17-20 | Boxscore | -9.5 | W | W 27-13 | Boxscore |
| 1975 | RAM | DAL | L 7-18 | Boxscore | -6.5 | L | L 7-37 | Boxscore |
| 1974 | MIN | RAM | L 17-20 | Boxscore | -5.5 | W | W 14-10 | Boxscore |
| 1973 | MIA | OAK | L 7-12 | Boxscore | -7 | W | W 27-10 | Boxscore |
| 1972 | WAS | DAL | L 24-34 | Boxscore | -3 | W | W 26-3 | Boxscore |
| 1971 | MIA | BAL | L 3-14 | Boxscore | -1 | W | W 21-0 | Boxscore |
| 1968 | NYJ | OAK | L 32-43 | Boxscore | -2 | W | W 27-23 | Boxscore |
What do you think of the Chiefs/Titans rematch?
References
| ↑1 | And this is what you would expect based on the point spreads for these games. We can convert the pre-game point spread to a pre-game win probability using this formula; based on the pre-game lines, the home team would have been expected to win 12.8 games. |
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