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Post-Week 3 College Football Ratings: Part II

Earlier today, I explained my methodology for coming up with college football ratings after three weeks. Here are the current ratings. These ratings are not capped for margin of victory (but do include a home field adjustment). That’s why Oregon tops Alabama (for now). These ratings exclude all FCS games except games where FBS teams lost to FCS teams, which are included (and all FCS teams are given a rating of -20). Here’s how to read the Alabama line. The Crimson Tide are ranked #2, and had a preseason rank (based on the Vegas point spreads) of #1. Alabam was considered 20.1 points better than average before the season; now they’re considered 21.4 points better than average, making them the top team in the SEC. Oregon jumped Alabama because the Ducks beat Virginia 59-10 and Tennessee 59-14.

RkTmPre RkPre SRSSRSConfConf Rk
1Oregon216.328.2P121
2Alabama120.121.4SEC1
3Florida St98.117.1ACC1
4Baylor35-1.115.2B121
5Georgia311.211.9SEC2
6Mississippi184.310.2SEC3
7Texas A&M411.210SEC4
8LSU68.89.3SEC5
9Oklahoma137.29.2B122
10Clemson145.98.9ACC2
11UCLA3008.7P122
12South Carolina78.68.2SEC6
13Oklahoma St127.28.1B123
14Ohio State5117.7B101
15Washington34-0.66.9P123
16Georgia Tech37-1.46.6ACC3
17Louisville271.56.4AAC1
18Arizona31-0.16.4P124
19Florida108.15.1SEC7
20Wisconsin203.94.7B102
21Michigan1753.9B103
22Miami FL261.63.4ACC4
23Stanford117.73.3P125
24Southern Cal155.53.2P126
25Arizona St222.73.2P127
26Northwestern290.71.9B104
27Texas Tech45-4.21B124
28Texas88.40.9B125
29Notre Dame165.50.8IND1
30Brigham Young41-20.5IND2
31Virginia Tech232.40.2ACC5
32Vanderbilt39-1.80.2SEC8
33Central Florida51-7.50.2AAC2
34TCU213.40B126
35Penn State33-0.6-0.1B105
36Nebraska194-0.5B106
37West Virginia46-5-0.9B127
38Missouri40-2-1.1SEC9
39North Carolina32-0.3-1.8ACC6
40Utah St55-7.9-2.7MWC1
41Auburn48-5.8-2.8SEC10
42Tennessee42-3.6-3.2SEC11
43Illinois89-14.9-3.3B107
44Oregon St251.7-3.4P128
45Navy75-12.5-3.5IND3
46Indiana67-11-3.6B108
47North Carolina St52-7.6-4ACC7
48Arkansas47-5.3-4.6SEC12
49Kansas St281.3-4.7B128
50Michigan St241.9-5B109
51Cincinnati43-4.1-5.3AAC3
52Mississippi St44-4.1-5.5SEC13
53Fresno St38-1.7-5.6MWC2
54Maryland49-7-5.8ACC8
55Washington St84-13.9-6.3P129
56Utah56-7.9-6.7P1210
57Boise St36-1.3-7MWC3
58Minnesota62-9.2-7.5B1010
59Rutgers59-8.2-7.5AAC4
60Pittsburgh53-7.6-8.1ACC9
61East Carolina64-9.4-8.3CUSA1
62Bowling Green63-9.3-8.8MAC1
63Syracuse50-7.1-9.1ACC10
64Houston80-13-10.4AAC5
65Virginia65-9.7-10.6ACC11
66Iowa57-8-10.8B1011
67Ball St68-11-10.9MAC2
68Rice78-12.8-11.6CUSA2
69Toledo79-12.9-12.2MAC3
70Duke74-12.5-12.4ACC12
71Colorado102-20.1-12.9P1211
72Boston College70-12-13ACC13
73Northern Illinois60-8.5-13.1MAC4
74California81-13.1-13.6P1212
75Marshall92-16.4-14.2CUSA3
76San José St86-14.3-14.5MWC4
77Louisiana-Monroe72-12.3-14.7SUN1
78Wyoming111-22.5-15MWC5
79Kentucky85-13.9-15.3SEC14
80SMU69-11.2-15.6AAC6
81Tulsa54-7.8-15.8CUSA4
82Purdue66-10.2-16.7B1012
83Hawai`i90-15.5-16.8MWC6
84Iowa St61-9.2-16.9B129
85Wake Forest73-12.5-17.2ACC14
86Louisiana-Lafayette77-12.8-17.5SUN2
87Middle Tennessee St87-14.8-17.6CUSA5
88North Texas110-22.5-18CUSA6
89Ohio U.91-15.5-18.1MAC5
90Arkansas St82-13.3-18.4SUN3
91Texas-San Antonio114-22.8-18.5CUSA7
92Kansas101-19.9-18.7B1210
93Akron117-25.5-18.9MAC6
94Colorado St94-18-19.7MWC7
95Temple95-18.2-19.8AAC7
96Texas St-San Marcos115-24.3-19.9SUN5
97San Diego St58-8.1-20.6MWC8
98UTEP96-18.8-20.6CUSA9
99Connecticut83-13.5-20.8AAC8
100Western Kentucky104-20.9-20.8SUN6
101Western Michigan112-22.6-20.9MAC7
102Memphis99-19.5-21.3AAC9
103Florida Atlantic118-26.9-21.6CUSA10
104Troy106-21.2-22.1SUN7
105Air Force76-12.5-22.2MWC9
106Kent St97-19.3-22.3MAC8
107New Mexico109-22.3-22.4MWC10
108Buffalo105-21-22.5MAC9
109Army107-21.5-22.7IND4
110Nevada88-14.8-22.7MWC11
111Louisiana Tech93-17.6-23.3CUSA11
112Alabama-Birmingham113-22.7-23.5CUSA12
113South Florida71-12.2-24.7AAC10
114Eastern Michigan108-21.6-25.2MAC10
115Southern Miss100-19.8-25.4CUSA13
116UNLV98-19.4-25.8MWC12
117Central Michigan103-20.4-29.2MAC11
118Florida Int'l116-25-32.4CUSA14
119Massachusetts121-36.6-35.3MAC12
120New Mexico St119-32.1-36.6IND5
121Miami OH120-33.9-40.8MAC13
122Idaho122-47.5-43.6IND6

To come up with the rankings, I placed a 50% weight on the preseason ratings and a 50% weight on the actual results. In a week or two, I’ll completely ignore the preseason ratings and calculate things the way I normally do. At that point, teams like Texas will really drop.

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