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Opinion: 2020 Centennial Hall of Fame Class

Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. You can follow him on Twitter @bradoremland.


This week, the NFL and the Pro Football Hall of Fame announced 15 new members of the PFHOF, the 2020 Centennial Hall of Fame Class. There is a backlog of qualified candidates, so the Centennial class was a good idea. The selection committee included many qualified and knowledgeable voters: coaches Bill Belichick and John Madden; Hall of Fame players with excellent coaching or executive credentials, Dick LeBeau and Ozzie Newsome; executives Gil Brandt, Joel Bussert, Carl Peterson, Bill Polian, and Ron Wolf; historians Joe Horrigan and Chris Willis; and journalists Jarrett Bell, John Clayton, Frank Cooney, John Czarnecki, Rick Gosselin, Elliot Harrison, Ira Kaufman, Jeff Legwold, John McClain, Gary Myers, Sal Paolantonio, Dan Pompei, Charean Williams, and Barry Wilner. I wish they had more people directly involved with the league, and fewer journalists, but I understand why they shaped the committee the way they did, and it was essentially a good panel.

The results of the voting, unfortunately, do not reflect that.

The selections included:

Let’s start with the good: [continue reading…]

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NFL Dynasties and the NFL 100 Team, Part II

Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. You can follow him on Twitter @bradoremland.


Yesterday, I began looking at the greatest dynasties in pro football history were represented on the NFL 100 team. Today, we pick back up with the top 13 dynasties.

t9. Decatur Staleys/Chicago Bears, 1920-27
73-17-16 (.811), 1 championship, 0 title appearances
20 dynasty points
NFL 100 Members:
George Halas
Other HOFers: Ed Healey, George Trafton

Not a dynasty. They rate well by my system, but the system wasn’t designed for the 1920s. These were the first eight years of the NFL’s existence — actually in 1920 the league was called the APFA: American Professional Football Association. Teams not only played variable numbers of games, they regularly played against teams who weren’t even in the league. In 1921, the Louisville Brecks, Muncie Flyers, New York Brickley Giants, and Tonawanda Kardex combined to go 0-7, getting outscored by a total of 172-0.

Only four of the 12 NFL teams in 1927 were still in the league five years later. The Bears, Giants, and Packers combined to outscore their opponents 459-161 that season. In this environment, it was easy for real teams to pad their records, but the Bears only won one championship. Furthermore, ties weren’t counted towards winning percentage, so when the Bears went 6-1-4 in 1924, that counted as an .857 record, worth three dynasty points. I’m sorry, but there’s no way going 6-1-4, with two draws each against the Racine Legion and the Rock Island Independents, should earn as many dynasty points as the 2010 Patriots or the 2011 Packers.

I include this team for the sake of completeness, but subjectively, it wouldn’t make my top 30, to say nothing of tied for 9th.

t9. Green Bay Packers, 1936-43
65-19-3 (.774), 2 championships, 3 title appearances
20 dynasty points
NFL 100 Members:
Curly Lambeau, Don Hutson
Other HOFers: Arnie Herber, Clarke Hinkle

Like the Joe Gibbs Dynasty in Washington, this team would actually benefit from a longer period than eight years: they were NFL champions in 1944. At a time when everyone played both offense and defense, the Packers had two great QBs (Cecil Isbell and Herber), a fullback who retired as the league’s all-time leading rusher (Hinkle), two very good linemen (Buckets Goldenberg and Bill Lee), a Hall of Fame coach (Lambeau), and Don Hutson.

Hutson was more than revolutionary; he was an anomaly. It is an understatement to say that he shattered records. Around the same time, Sammy Baugh redefined ideas about what passers could do, but Hutson was so outstanding that no one even thought to replicate what he was doing. In an 11-year career, he led the NFL in receptions eight times, in receiving yards seven times, and in receiving touchdowns nine times. He was also an excellent defensive player, with 30 interceptions in the six seasons the stat was kept. He led the league in 1940 and led in INT return yards in 1943. He was also a pretty good kicker, with nearly 200 extra points made. Like his contemporary Baugh, there’s a compelling argument that he is the greatest football player who ever lived.

Hinkle was an NFL 100 finalist as a linebacker. He was a terrific all-around player (#106) and a worthy NFL 100 finalist, but I don’t think there’s any single position at which he felt like he should be a finalist. I suppose linebacker was the best fit. [continue reading…]

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NFL Dynasties and the NFL 100 Team, Part I

Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. You can follow him on Twitter @bradoremland.


Like many of you, I’ve been following the release of the NFL’s 100th Anniversary All-Time Team with interest. American football is a team sport, and great players, by definition, are those who make their teams better. I was curious how the NFL 100 team relates to the greatest dynasties in pro football history, and what follows is an examination of that subject.

This will be very similar to an article I wrote last year, Top 30 NFL Dynasties and the Hall of Fame. If you’ve read that, you can skip this introduction on how I rate and define dynasties. The usual definition of a “dynasty” is something to the effect of a succession of rulers. To me, sports dynasties are measuring sticks. If you wanted to win a World Series in the 1940s, you had to beat the Yankees. In today’s NFL, someone has to beat the Patriots. And so on. And to be the measuring stick, to establish a legacy that might merit that word, dynasty, you have to sustain greatness: you need a series of great teams — a succession of rulers. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the final article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest professional football players of all time. You can find the rest of the series below:

Greatest Football Players: 111-125
Greatest Football Players: 101-110
Greatest Football Players: 91-100
Greatest Football Players: 81-90
Greatest Football Players: 71-80
Greatest Football Players: 61-70
Greatest Football Players: 51-60
Greatest Football Players: 41-50
Greatest Football Players: 31-40
Greatest Football Players: 21-30
Greatest Football Players: 11-20

If you haven’t read those yet, I hope you’ll start there. Each post can be read independently, but they’re intended as a series, and skipping to the end undercuts the historical excellence of the players you’re reading about. I’m confident you’ll enjoy this article more if you read the rest of the series first.

This series is nearly 100,000 words. If you’ve enjoyed it, please credit the three sportswriters whose work has influenced me most: the late Paul Zimmerman, Sports Illustrated‘s legendary Dr. Z, the greatest football writer who ever lived; Bill James, best known for popularizing baseball analytics (and indirectly football analytics as well) but also an immensely underrated writer; and Dave Heeren, unknown compared to Zimmerman and James, but his TENDEX system and Basketball Abstract were the foundation for all subsequent statistical analysis of basketball; his work captured my imagination and made me aspire to better understand the sports I loved. All three have my deepest admiration and gratitude.

And now, the ten greatest football players of all time. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


Those of you who’ve been following me on Twitter (@bradoremland) may have seen the extension to this series that I began in response to reader feedback. I asked followers what they were most interested in beyond the Greatest Players of All Time series itself, and the response was a Just-Missed List, players 126-160, the 35 players I’m most apprehensive about leaving off the top 125 greatest players of all time.

As we approach the conclusion of the main series next week, the All-Time Top 10, here’s that list. It’s presented in no particular order, and since it’s adapted from Twitter, each entry is 280 characters or fewer.

Dave Casper
OAK 1974-80; HOU 1980-83; MIN 1983; RAID 1984
378 rec, 5216 yds, 52 TD
3 consensus All-Pro, 4 AP, 5 PB, All-1970s, All-Century

Maybe the best blocking TE ever, great hands, lots of TDs. Ghost in Ghost to the Post, recovered the Holy Roller. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the eleventh article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

Greatest Football Players: 111-125
Greatest Football Players: 101-110
Greatest Football Players: 91-100
Greatest Football Players: 81-90
Greatest Football Players: 71-80
Greatest Football Players: 61-70
Greatest Football Players: 51-60
Greatest Football Players: 41-50
Greatest Football Players: 31-40
Greatest Football Players: 21-30

If you haven’t read those yet, especially the article introducing the series (111-125), I hope you’ll start there. Each post can be read independently, but they’re intended as a series, and skipping to the end undercuts the historical excellence of the players you’re reading about. It’s more meaningful, more impressive, and (I believe) ultimately more satisfying when you see how many dominant, mesmerizing, and exceptional players ranked below this. I’m confident you’ll enjoy this article more if you read the rest of the series first.

Best Players of All Time: 11-20

20. Ray Lewis
Inside Linebacker
Baltimore Ravens, 1996-2012
41.5 sacks; 31 INT, 503 yards, 3 TD; 19 FF, 20 FR, 3 yards
2 DPOY, 4 consensus All-Pro, 10
AP All-Pro, 13 Pro Bowls, 2000s All-Decade Team

In his 1997 All-Pro column, Paul Zimmerman (Sports Illustrated‘s peerless Dr. Z) identified Ray Lewis as “a human tackling machine, always around the ball.” In his 1998 All-Pro column, Zimmerman called Lewis “The Incredible Tackling Machine.” In his 1999 All-Pro column, “a guided missile, a tackling machine.” Ray Lewis could really tackle.

Several times in this series I’ve mentioned a problem for some of the players with great longevity: fans, especially younger fans, remember them as average to above-average older players rather than as the dynamic, game-changing monsters they were in their primes. Lewis is one of the players most afflicted, because in the second half of his career, announcers fawned over everything he did — and sometimes didn’t do. Lewis would assist on a tackle, and the announcer would declare, “Tackle made by, guess who, Ray Lewis,” implying that Lewis made all the tackles. One of his teammates would make a tackle, and Lewis would dive onto the pile, prompting the announcer to burble, “Ray Lewis with another tackle!” If Lewis wasn’t in on the play, the announcer wouldn’t mention the tackler at all. When aging legends get hyped this way, [1]Here’s an example: Week 13, 2010, Ravens at Steelers. With 3:46 remaining in the third quarter, Brandon McKinney and Lewis combined on a tackle. Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth went into a … Continue reading it’s easy to dismiss them as overrated, with praise that exceeds their play. In the second half of his career, Lewis was overrated, though still a good player. In the first half of his career, he was — have you got this yet? — a tackling machine.

Lewis was instinctive and good at reading offenses, fast and decisive, and a big hitter. He had a non-stop motor, which is an underrated quality — less spectacular than speed, strength, or agility — but allowed Lewis to make plays his peers wouldn’t get to. He covered the field, sideline to sideline, as well as anyone. Lewis was an effective blitzer, with twelve seasons of 2 or more sacks, and he was exceptional in pass coverage, actually underrated in this aspect of his game. Lewis intercepted more than 30 passes, one of only half a dozen LBs to do so, and his 503 INT return yards are the second-most of any LB (Derrick Brooks, 530). As a point of comparison, Champ Bailey had 464 INT return yards. Lewis was a good pass defender and a good returner. Rodney Harrison and Ray Lewis are the only players since 1982, when sacks became an official statistic, with at least 30 sacks and 30 interceptions.

Lewis was the captain of consistently excellent defensive units, and the MVP of Super Bowl XXXV. He played on nine teams that ranked among the NFL’s top three in fewest points allowed and/or fewest yards allowed. The 2001 Baltimore Ravens ranked 4th in scoring defense and 2nd in total defense. The 2003 Ravens ranked 6th and 3rd. In between, the 2002 Ravens’ defense ranked 19th in scoring and 22nd in yardage. Ray Lewis was injured in 2002, missing 11 games.

Lewis had a complete game, strong everywhere you want an inside linebacker to be strong. His best seasons were the Marvin Lewis years, 1996-2001. Ray Lewis led the NFL in tackles in 1997, 1999, and 2001, but never in his final 11 seasons. A shoulder injury cost him most of the 2002 season, and following his 2003 Defensive Player of the Year effort, Lewis was a very good player rather than a great one. If you remember Ray Lewis mostly from the mid-2000s on, you didn’t see him in the seasons that made him a legend: a block-shedding dynamo, a wizard in pass coverage, and a hard-hitting, play-making, league-leading tackling machine. [continue reading…]

References

References
1 Here’s an example: Week 13, 2010, Ravens at Steelers. With 3:46 remaining in the third quarter, Brandon McKinney and Lewis combined on a tackle. Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth went into a prolonged ecstasy over Lewis, and didn’t even mention McKinney. Lewis made a good but fairly routine play, and he didn’t even do it by himself. If you’re going to write Lewis a damn poem, the least you can do is mention that McKinney was in on the play, too.
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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the tenth article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100
81-90
71-80
61-70
51-60
41-50
31-40

I would prefer to write about the players in exclusively positive terms, but since this series is organized as a ranking, some of the comments will highlight weaknesses by way of explaining why the player isn’t even higher. I try to anticipate arguments that a player should be ranked higher or lower, and tailor the summaries accordingly, but please don’t misinterpret these justifications as disrespect for the player’s accomplishments. At this point in the series, we’re considering the very best players in the history of professional football.

Best Players of All Time: 21-30

30. Alan Page
Defensive Tackle
Minnesota Vikings, 1967-78; Chicago Bears, 1978-81
23 FR, 86 yards, 2 TD; 2 INT, 42 yards, TD
1 MVP, 2 DPOY, 4 consensus All-Pro, 8
AP All-Pro, 9 Pro Bowls, 1970s All-Decade Team

The greatest pass rushing defensive tackle of all time, Alan Page retired before sacks became an official statistic, but historian John Turney credits him with 148.5, the most ever at his position. Page was an undersized DT for most his career, despite his 6′ 4″ height. Page lost more and more weight over time, coming into the league at 278 but playing his best seasons around 250 lbs. He was famously down to 225 by the time he played with Chicago, but he remained an effective player. Turney credits him with 40 sacks during 58 games with Chicago, and Page was All-NFC as late as 1980. He had 3.5 sacks in his final game.

Although he had many good seasons, Page’s prime was the early 1970s. In 1970, he personally recorded eight takeaways: 1 interception, 7 fumble recoveries, 104 defensive return yards, and a touchdown. In 1971, he was the consensus Defensive Player of the Year, and the Associated Press named him NFL MVP. He was incredibly impactful at a position not normally expected to produce impact players. MVP awards were for quarterbacks and running backs. Lawrence Taylor and Page are the only defensive players to win that award. Two years later, Page was again DPOY.

He was the keystone of Minnesota’s defensive dynasty, variously known as the Purple Gang (after a 1920s Detroit mob) and the Purple People Eaters (after the Sheb Wooley song), with both names originally referring to the defensive line (of Carl Eller, Gary Larsen, Jim Marshall, and Page) but popularly extended to the entire defensive unit. Eller, Page, and safety Paul Krause are all enshrined in the Hall of Fame. From 1969-76, the Vikings ranked in the top three in fewest points allowed seven out of the eight years, including three straight seasons leading the NFL (1969-71). The 1969-76 Vikings went 87-24-1 (.781) — about 12.5 wins per season in 16-game seasons — and reached the Super Bowl four times in eight years. The Cowboys or Vikings represented the NFC in nine out of 10 Super Bowls from 1969-78.

Page was an unusual football player, but specifically, he was an unusual defensive tackle. He moved around on the line, upsetting blocking schemes with his unpredictability. Page is very intelligent, and he guessed a lot as a player: where to line up, where the ball was going, when the snap was coming. He anticipated the snap as well as anyone at that time, and he was incredibly quick for his size, often blowing past offensive linemen before they’d gotten out of their stances. He wasn’t huge, he wasn’t a space eater, and he didn’t have great power. As time went on, he became increasingly devoted to distance running, which led to his weight loss. Page completed his first marathon in 1979, three years before he retired from the NFL, and went on to run many more. He compensated for his lack of size with quickness that linemen couldn’t match, with endurance that allowed him to go hard on every play, and with intelligence that facilitated blowups in the offensive backfield. Despite his light weight, Page also had good height and long arms which he used to beat blockers, intimidate quarterbacks and deflect passes, and block 28 kicks in his career. He was perhaps the best kick blocker ever. Twenty-eight.

Page attended law school during the offseason and became a judge on the Minnesota Supreme Court following his retirement as a player. He’s a remarkable man, a true pillar of his community, and I’m sure Page is more proud of what he’s accomplished off the field than on it. But in this series, I don’t want Page’s legal career, or his uncommon decency as a human being, to overshadow his excellence as a football player. Aaron Donald is the perhaps the best player in football today, but I think it’s premature and even disrespectful to suggest that he has already overtaken Page as the greatest pass-rushing DT in history. Donald has 59.5 sacks, only 40% of Page’s total. I don’t think he needs to get to 149 before we pass the crown, but surely he should get at least halfway there before we rank him ahead of Page. Donald has been brilliant in every season of his five-year career, but it’s not obvious to me that he has played better than Page did in his five best years, and Page had a lot of other good seasons, too. Part of what made Page so impressive is that he was so good for so long, winning postseason honors in the 1960s, ’70s, and ’80s. Make no mistake, Aaron Donald is coming for everyone ranked ahead of him. But by the same token, make no mistake: Alan Page was a truly excellent player for many years, a terror to opposing linemen and quarterbacks, and the standout on some of the greatest defensive teams of all time. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the ninth article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100
81-90
71-80
61-70
51-60
41-50

If you haven’t read those yet, especially the article introducing the series (111-125), I hope you’ll start there.

Best Players of All Time: 31-40

40. Tony Gonzalez
Tight End
Kansas City Chiefs, 1997-2008; Atlanta Falcons, 2009-13
1,325 receptions, 15,127 yards, 111 TD
5 consensus All-Pro, 10
AP All-Pro, 14 Pro Bowls, 2000s All-Decade Team

Tony Gonzalez holds the all-time record for receiving first downs (864). In fact, he leads everyone except Larry Fitzgerald and Jerry Rice by more than 100. That’s the official record, which excludes the first five years of Rice’s career; I estimate that Rice produced 1,092 first downs. But if the top of a leaderboard is you and Jerry Rice, that’s pretty impressive. Especially if you’re a tight end.

Gonzalez played well throughout a long career, but those first downs aren’t reflective of slow-and-steady compiling. At various times in his career, he ranked 2nd, 3rd, and tied for 5th in receiving first downs (2008, 2004, 2000). Jason Witten‘s career-high first downs is 56; Antonio Gates topped out at 61. Gonzalez had more than 61 first downs in a season four times. While we’re at it, Witten’s career-best receiving yardage was 1,145, in 2007. Gates gained 1,157 in his best season. Gonzalez had two 1,200-yard receiving seasons. Gates has a few more TDs (116-111), but Gonzalez leads Witten (68) by almost two-thirds.

I don’t think anyone would claim that Gonzalez was as explosive as Gates, or as sound a blocker as Witten. But he was explosive, and at 250 lbs., he could block players wide receivers couldn’t. Gonzalez ran crisp routes, and unquestionably had the best hands of any tight end in history. I’ve never seen a player, including wide receivers, better at catching the ball away from his body. Gonzalez used his height (6′ 4½”), wingspan, and leaping ability to beat defenders. A college basketball player, he boxed out defensive backs like a rebounder and outleapt them for the pass. His catches didn’t always make it onto the highlight shows, but catching the ball two feet away from your body, and holding on when the defender hits you, is an uncommon skill; Gonzalez was the best at it.

Gonzalez, like Mike Ditka and Kellen Winslow, transformed the tight end position. He was a matchup problem for defenses. Linebackers couldn’t cover Gonzalez. He was too fast, too good a route-runner and receiver. Cornerbacks weren’t big enough to stop him from catching passes, even if they had him covered. And once he got the ball, they couldn’t tackle him without help. Safeties had trouble staying with him in coverage, trouble dealing with his size. And if you put a free safety on him, that left somebody else one-on-one. Gonzalez broke Shannon Sharpe‘s career record for receiving yards by a tight end by 50%. He almost doubled Sharpe’s first down and TD totals, both of which had been records.

Gonzalez was the best tight end in the NFL for at least four years before the rule changes that created the modern passing game. He stayed remarkably healthy over a long career, appearing in 270 games and missing only two. He gained over 600 receiving yards in 16 of his 17 seasons, the exception being his rookie year. He gained over 800 yards in 13 seasons. And he retired when he was still one of the best tight ends in the league, a legitimate All-Pro contender in his final season. Gonzalez was a great athlete, with a tight end’s size but a wide receiver’s ball skills, and he played at a high level for a decade and a half. He is tied for the most Pro Bowls of any player in history, and — for whatever this is worth — I named him All-Pro seven times. In my 16 years naming an All-Pro team (2002-17), that’s two more selections for Gonzalez than anyone else at any position — even though the timeframe excludes three seasons he was a consensus All-Pro. From 2005 onward, I named two tight ends each season, but two-TE formations became pretty common as fullbacks were phased out of the offense. Naming only one TE each year probably undersells what players like Greg Olsen and Zach Ertz, neither of whom has ever been an Associated Press first-team All-Pro, are accomplishing. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the eighth article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100
81-90
71-80
61-70
51-60

If you haven’t read those yet, especially the article introducing the series (111-125), I hope you’ll start there. At this point, we’re counting down the very greatest players of all time, the inner circle of the inner circle, the top 50 players in the history of professional football.

Best Players of All Time: 41-50

50. Rob Gronkowski
Tight End
New England Patriots, 2010-18
521 receptions, 7,861 yards, 79 TD
3 consensus All-Pro, 4
AP All-Pro, 5 Pro Bowls

Rob Gronkowski probably had the greatest peak of any TE in history. Gronk was a record-setting receiver, but also one of the finest blocking TEs in recent memory. In this era of specialization, his ability to excel at both blocking and receiving allowed the Patriots to do unique things with their offense. In the all-time 53-man roster that inspired this series, I based my offensive philosophy partly around the 2010-12 Patriots with Aaron Hernandez and Gronkowski.

You all know about Rob Gronkowski, but this entry is a good opportunity to point out that recent and active players have fewer honors listed than older players. Gronkowski will certainly be chosen to the 2010s All-Decade Team, and perhaps the 100th Anniversary All-Time Team, but he hasn’t been eligible for any previous All-Decade or All-Time honors. A similar problem afflicts most of the recent players. It’s also substantially harder to win recognition in a 32-team league than it was in the ’50s and ’60s, when the leagues ranged from 8-16 teams. Contemporary players benefit from the expansion of Pro Bowl rosters and sometimes from the decline in football savviness among All-Pro voters, who tend to overrate “name” players and artificially boost the profile of established stars, but those factors don’t really help a player like Gronkowski, who [1] doesn’t really have borderline Pro Bowl seasons; he has excellent seasons and lost-to-injury seasons, and [2] plays a position at which postseason honors are determined mostly by statistics.

Gronkowski’s statistics are excellent: his four 1,000-yard seasons are tied for the most of any TE, and his five years of double-digit TDs are the most of any TE. But Gronk’s excellence extended beyond the stat sheet, to blocking — a distinction that set him apart from most contemporary Pro Bowl TEs, who tend to be reluctant and/or ineffective blockers. Tony Gonzalez played at a high level for forty-eight years or something, and in my opinion that makes him the greatest tight end of all time, but I believe Rob Gronkowski had the greatest prime of any tight end ever to play. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the seventh article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100
81-90
71-80
61-70

If you haven’t read those yet, especially the article introducing the series (111-125), I hope you’ll start there.

Best Players of All Time: 51-60

60. Paul Warfield
Wide Receiver
Cleveland Browns, 1964-69, 1976-77; Miami Dolphins, 1970-74
427 receptions, 8,565 yards, 85 TD
1 consensus All-Pro, 4
AP All-Pro, 8 Pro Bowls

Paul Warfield is unique: a Hall of Fame wide receiver who played his whole career on run-oriented offenses. In each of his first 11 seasons, Warfield teamed with an All-Pro running back: Jim Brown, then Leroy Kelly, then Larry Csonka. In Warfield’s 13 NFL seasons, his teams’ running backs made 15 Pro Bowls. His teams were consistently successful; Warfield reached four NFL Championship Games with the Browns and three Super Bowls with the Dolphins, winning titles with both (1964, 1972, and 1973).

The combination of great running backs and successful teams meant that Warfield’s teams consistently ran more often than they threw, which limited his statistical production. At the same time, the threat he presented to defenses opened up running lanes. Warfield never caught more than 50 passes after his rookie year, and his career-high was 1,067 yards. But he led the league in receiving TDs twice, and he made eight Pro Bowls. His best season was probably 1971: he ranked second in receiving yards (996), led the league in TDs, played in the Super Bowl, and was a consensus All-Pro.

Warfield was distinguished by his athleticism. He was fast and explosive, a champion long jumper, but also graceful and precise. He was also intelligent and studious, a surgical route-runner. He timed his jumps perfectly, which is critical for downfield receivers, since defenders often arrive before the ball does.

Warfield was a game-changing deep threat, who averaged 20.1 yards per reception and scored on 20% of his receptions. Downfield threats dictate coverage, spread the defense vertically, and create opportunities for the team even when they’re not targeted. The late ’60s through the mid ’70s were the golden age of the downfield terrors: Lance Alworth, Cliff Branch, Isaac Curtis, Gary Garrison, John Gilliam, Mel Gray, Bullet Bob Hayes, Harold Jackson, Charlie Joiner, Homer Jones, Don Maynard, Haven Moses, Drew Pearson, Gene Washington, Warren Wells… Paul Warfield was the greatest deep receiver of that era, and to my way of thinking, that makes him the greatest deep threat of all time. Warfield’s career totals are very good, but they don’t do justice to the most dangerous receiver of his era.

Warfield is one of only six Modern-Era receivers to make the Pro Football Hall of Fame on the first ballot, joining Raymond Berry, Lance Alworth, Steve Largent, Jerry Rice, and Randy Moss. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the sixth article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100
81-90
71-80

Best Players of All Time: 61-70

70. Jack Lambert
Middle Linebacker
Pittsburgh Steelers, 1974-84
17 FR, 107 yards; 28 INT, 243 yards
2 DPOY, 5 consensus All-Pro, 7
AP All-Pro, 9 Pro Bowls, DROY, 1970s All-Decade Team, 1980s All-Decade Team, 75th Anniversary Team

Beyond any real question, the most intimidating linebacker of his era. At 6-foot-4½, he loomed over opponents with a toothless scowl. The Steelers’ PR department marketed him as “Count Dracula in cleats.” He was nicknamed Madman Jack, he was compared to Darth Vader. Fear of Jack Lambert was practically its own industry.

Lambert was a ruthless tackler, but he was first and foremost a playmaker. At just 220 lbs., he was undersized for a linebacker, but also unusually quick. With the exception of 1984, when he suffered a career-ending injury halfway through the season, Lambert had at least one interception every year of his career, retiring with 28 INTs, top-10 all-time among LBs. He had a genius for diagnosing plays, adjusting the defensive calls, and anticipating the path of the ball.

Teammate Andy Russell, himself a 7-time Pro Bowl linebacker, divined Lambert’s legacy: “Tough, raw-boned, intense. That’s the way he’ll be remembered, but . . . Jack’s a whole lot more. The range he has … His first step is never wrong, his techniques have always been perfect. His greatness has nothing to do with his popular image.” Another linebacking teammate, Hall of Famer Jack Ham, said that what set Lambert apart was his ability to play the pass. The image of the blood-hunting, toothless madman overshadows the savvy of an undersized, cerebral leader who ranks among the finest coverage men ever to play his position. Lambert had relentless drive and toughness, and a natural ability to lead by example, but intelligence and even finesse separated him from other big hitters and hard workers. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a sportswriter and football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the fifth article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100
81-90

If you haven’t read those yet, especially the one introducing the series (111-125), I hope you’ll start there.

80. Darrelle Revis
Cornerback
New York Jets, 2007-12, 2015-16; Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2013; New England Patriots, 2014; Kansas City Chiefs, 2017
29 INT, 466 yards, 3 TD; 4 FF, 12 FR, 28 yards; 2 sacks
1 DPOY, 3 consensus All-Pro, 4
AP All-Pro, 7 Pro Bowls

“Revis Island” is a dumb nickname for a player. Saying that opposing receivers were stranded on Revis Island, however, was great: it’s an evocative metaphor, one of the few ways to communicate what Revis did to the most outstanding WRs in football. His 2009 season was the best I’ve ever seen from a defensive back. Andre Johnson, 4 catches for 35 yards. Randy Moss, 4 for 24 and 5 for 34. Carolina’s Steve Smith, 1 for 5 yards. Roddy White, 4 for 33. Reggie Wayne, 3 for 33. Revis had a career-high 6 interceptions that season, and his 31 pass deflections are the single-season record, by far, though the stat has only been recorded since 1999. In the 20 seasons the stat has been kept, there have only been 10 individual seasons with at least 25 PD:

1. Darrelle Revis, 2009 — 31
t2. Sheldon Brown, 2005 — 27
t2. Troy Vincent, 2001 — 27
t4. David Amerson, 2015 — 26
t4. Marcus Peters, 2015 — 26
t4. Darius Slay, 2017 — 26
t7. Donnie Abraham, 1999 — 25
t7. Brandon Carr, 2010 — 25
t7. Deltha O’Neal, 2001 — 25
t7. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, 2009 — 25

Revis is all alone. In subsequent seasons, his stats were extremely modest, because opponents rarely threw to his side of the field, but his effect on the team was monumental. The 2009 Jets only allowed 8 pass TDs all season, with an opponents’ passer rating of 58.8, the lowest allowed by any team in the illegal contact era. Quarterbacked by Mark Sanchez, the Jets made back-to-back AFC Championship Games on the strength of their defense, but in particular on the strength of Revis. I’ve never seen a more impactful defender. He almost single-handedly made the Jets a great defense.

Everyone knows about his excellence in coverage, but Revis also played the run well, took on blockers, and didn’t shy away from contact. I remember a game in 2014 in which Revis knocked down a pulling tackle. Early in the second quarter, on a run to the left, Revis took out Colts LT Anthony Castonzo. Revis was listed at 5-11, 198 lbs, Castonzo at 6-7, 311. Revis blew up the running lane, knocked Castonzo on his butt, and the play went for a 3-yard loss. [continue reading…]

{ 1 comment }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the fourth article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. You can find the previous installments below:

111-125
101-110
91-100

It’s been a couple weeks since I introduced this series, so I’d like to remind readers of the disclaimers from the introduction: making this list at any point is a much higher standard than the Hall of Fame, and indicates that I have extraordinary regard for that player. I would like to write about the players in exclusively positive terms, but since this series is organized as a ranking, some of the comments will highlight weaknesses by way of explaining why the player isn’t even higher. Please don’t misinterpret these explanations as disrespect for the player’s accomplishments.

Best Players of All Time: 81-90

90. Warren Moon
Quarterback
Houston Oilers, 1984-93; Minnesota Vikings, 1994-96; Seattle Seahawks, 1997-98; Kansas City Chiefs, 1999-2000
49,325 yards, 291 TD, 233 INT, 80.9 rating
1 OPOY, 1
AP All-Pro, 9 Pro Bowls

Warren Moon’s statistics are excellent for when he played. He retired as the third-leading passer in NFL history, fourth in touchdowns. He made nine Pro Bowls, led the NFL in passing yards twice, and had back-to-back 4,000-yard seasons twice, for two different teams — the first player to do so. Moon won Offensive Player of the Year in 1990; compared to Associated Press MVP Joe Montana, Moon was ahead in completions, completion percentage, yards, yards per attempt, net yards per attempt, yards per completion, touchdowns, TD percentage, fewer interceptions, INT percentage, passer rating, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, total yards, and total touchdowns. And Moon wasn’t throwing to Jerry Rice. The statistical gulf between them is enormous; one is forced to conclude that Montana was more valuable either because he played on a better team or because of prejudice against Moon.

Moon was a first-ballot Hall of Famer in 2006, the first undrafted quarterback elected to Canton. He was a successful college player, the MVP of the 1978 Rose Bowl, but was initially prevented from playing in the NFL. He spent six years in the Canadian Football League, winning five straight championships with the Edmonton Eskimos, before joining the Oilers in 1984. When he finally reached the NFL, Moon joined a team that had gone a combined 3-22 the previous two seasons. It took a few years to complete the turnaround — this was before modern free agency — but the Oilers made seven straight playoff appearances from 1987-93. Then Moon went to Minnesota, and the Oilers dropped from 12-4 to 2-14, from 4th in scoring (368) to dead last (226). After seven consecutive playoff seasons with Moon, they missed the playoffs for the next five years.

The Vikings were glad to have him. Moon made the next two Pro Bowls, passed for back-to-back 4,000-yard seasons — at the time, only Dan Fouts, Dan Marino, and Moon himself had ever done so — and facilitated Cris Carter’s single-season receptions record. Moon got hurt in ’96, then went to Seattle and made the Pro Bowl there, too. In February 1998, at age 41, Moon was named Pro Bowl MVP.

Here you’ve got a guy with a 23-year professional career, who could still play at a high level in his 40s. He passed the eye test, ran well and threw maybe the most perfect spiral in history. He has an impressive big-game résumé: Rose Bowl MVP, five Grey Cups, and a higher passer rating in the NFL playoffs (84.9) than in the regular season (80.9). He was the critical player for a team that made seven consecutive postseason appearances, and the team disintegrated without him. Moon didn’t play for the Cowboys or 49ers, but what more do you want from him? [continue reading…]

{ 1 comment }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


This is the third article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. If you haven’t already read part one and part two, I recommend you start there.

Best Players of All Time: 91-100

100. Andy Robustelli
Defensive End
Los Angeles Rams, 1951-55; New York Giants, 1956-64
22 FR, 97 yards, 2 TD; 2 INT, 24 yards, 2 TD
1 consensus All-Pro, 10
AP All-Pro, 7 Pro Bowls

Other than his rookie year and his last two seasons, somebody named Andy Robustelli All-Pro every season of his career. For this series, I don’t treat Maxwell Club as a major organization, but they honored Robustelli with the 1962 Bert Bell Award for league MVP. AP had him second-team All-Pro that season. Maxwell Club was probably closer to the mark; historian and author T.J. Troup has suggested that Robustelli would have been a worthy Defensive Player of the Year candidate, though that award wasn’t offered by major publications until 1966.

Robustelli missed one game his rookie season, then never missed another for the next 13 years, a remarkable feat in the brutal 1950s and ’60s. As a rookie, he started in the 1951 NFL Championship Game, going on to start championship games not only in 1951, but in 1955, 1956, 1958, 1959, 1961, 1962, and 1963. When the Giants traded their first-round draft choice to Los Angeles for Robustelli in 1956, the Rams dropped from the best record in the Western Conference to the worst, and the Giants, who hadn’t made a postseason appearance since 1950, became league champs. Robustelli’s teams had a winning record in each of his first 13 seasons, and he appeared in eight NFL title games, winning championships with both the Rams and Giants. Very few players have such a consistent record of success.

Robustelli’s highlight reel is striking. He was a great pass rusher, and he retired with the most fumble recoveries in history. Robustelli was also a leader, credited (along with rookie Sam Huff) with New York’s defensive renaissance that sparked a title in 1956. In his final three seasons, two of which saw the Giants reach the NFL Championship Game, Robustelli was a player-coach. Following his retirement he worked briefly in television and for many years in the Giants’ front office. Few players in history have amassed such a collection of both individual and team success. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the greatest players in pro football history.


Players 125-111

This is the second article in a twelve-part series profiling the greatest pro football players of all time. If you haven’t already read part one, I recommend you start there. Please keep in mind, if a player’s ranking seems low or if I highlight potential negatives to explain why he’s not even higher, that making this list at all essentially puts the player in the top one-third of the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

Best Players of All Time: 101-110

110. Dutch Clark
Quarterback (Pre-Modern)
Portsmouth Spartans, 1931-32; Detroit Lions, 1934-38
1,507 yards, 11 TD, 26 INT, 40.3 rating; 2,772 rush yards, 4.57 avg, 36 TD
6 All-Pro, 1930s All-Decade Team

Something you’ll notice occasionally in this series are contemporary players from the same position ranked back-to-back. When it’s hard to differentiate players within their own era and position, it seems intellectually dishonest not to rank them together. Benny Friedman (#111), who played in the late 1920s and early 1930s, was the final entry last week, but he’s back-to-back with another Pre-Modern QB, charter Hall of Famer Earl “Dutch” Clark. Friedman was a much, much better passer. Clark’s eyesight was so weak he had trouble seeing his receivers, and Friedman threw six times as many TD passes, despite that his best seasons (unlike most of Clark’s) were before passing was legal anywhere behind the line of scrimmage.

Clark wasn’t a quarterback in any modern understanding of the word. He passed for about half as many yards in his career as Mitchell Trubisky did in 2018. Clark was a pretty good passer for his era, but at that time, QBs weren’t judged on their passing. He led the NFL in rushing touchdowns four times — a telling accomplishment playing at the same time as Bronko Nagurski (1930-37) and Cliff Battles (1932-37) — and he had a famous 40-yard touchdown run in the 1935 NFL Championship Game. Clark was also a talented dropkicker, who led the NFL in scoring three times. He was a six-time All-Pro in seven seasons, and he joined Sammy Baugh as the only signal-callers in the first Hall of Fame class. Clark was particularly renowned for his intelligence and savvy, the best play-caller of his generation, at a time when that was among the QB’s most important duties.

Was he better than Friedman? He was a wildly different player. Friedman was the best passer of his era; Clark was a great runner and kicker. Friedman was a braggart who backed up his talk on the field; Clark was humble, and famously reluctant to call his own number. Friedman never won a championship; Clark was the hero of Detroit’s 1935 championship victory. If I were choosing a quarterback, I’d take Friedman in a heartbeat. Choosing the better overall player, I lean ever so slightly toward Clark. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of pro football as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work, a multi-part series on the best players in pro football history.


Best Players in Pro Football History: 111-125

I’m in semi-retirement as a football writer and historian, but my passion for pro football history hasn’t diminished even as my willingness to engage the modern game wanes. I recently re-read and admired the all-time pro football roster constructed by Bryan Frye following the 2014 season, and Bryan was gracious enough to offer me a platform for assembling my own all-time roster to challenge his. It was a fun exercise, and it required a lot of thought about the greatest players in history. That, in turn, led me to this project.

Over the next six weeks, I’ll reveal my personal list of the 125 best players in the history of professional football, with brief profiles on all of them. It’s probably the most ambitious sports project I’ve ever undertaken, so I hope you’ll be understanding about any disagreements. Inevitably, there are some heart-breaking omissions in any project like this. If I left off your favorite player, please understand that I didn’t “forget” him; I just had to make some hard choices. There are 280 players in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, and that doesn’t include active or recently retired players who have already established HOF-worthy legacies. There are historically great, Hall of Fame-caliber players who are not on my list of the top 125 — most of them, in fact. Making this list is a much higher standard than making it to Canton, and missing the list shouldn’t be interpreted as an insult.

Let’s be clear: making this list at any point indicates that I have extraordinary regard for that player. I would like to write about the players in exclusively positive terms, but since this series is organized as a ranking, some of the comments will highlight weaknesses by way of explaining why the player isn’t even higher. I try to anticipate arguments that a player should be ranked higher or lower, and tailor the summaries accordingly, but please don’t misinterpret these justifications as disrespect for the player’s accomplishments. Everyone on the list was (or still is) incredible. [continue reading…]

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This is the final article in a seven-part series. Below is an update to my 2015 ranking of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. I won’t be offering detailed player stories or explanations of the rankings, because [1] not much has changed in the last three years, and [2] I’ve spent the last month and a half writing about the top 100 QBs of the Modern Era, as ranked by by QB-TSP. If you haven’t read that series already, I’d really encourage you to do so before continuing here. At least read the posts on the quarterbacks ranked 1-40.

Best Statistical QBs: 81-100
Best Statistical QBs: 41-60
Best Statistical QBs: 21-40
Best Statistical QBs: 1-20
Best Statistical QBs: HOF Data [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


This is the penultimate article in a seven-part series. It is a supplement to my series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time, last year’s article on the top-ranked QBs in Total Statistical Production, and last month’s post about QB-TSP in the 2017 season and another way of using TSP. Over the last five weeks, I’ve written about the top 100 quarterbacks of the Modern Era, as ranked by TSP:

81-100
61-80
41-60
21-40
1-20

This article presents a different way of evaluating quarterbacks. It is data-heavy, so if you’re just here for my prose, I’m sorry to disappoint. The chart below shows those same 100 QBs, along with each player’s: Adjusted TSP, Career Value, Seasons among the top 10 in QB-TSP, Top-10-Points, Year-Points, 500-TSP seasons, 1,000-TSP seasons, 1,500-TSP seasons, 2,000-TSP seasons, 2,250-TSP seasons, 2,500-TSP seasons, Pro Bowls, All-Pro honors ((From 1970-present, I used the Associated Press All-Pro Team. I counted First-Team selections as 3 points and Second-Team selections as 1 point. A First-Team selection by one or more other major organizations, for a player not named First-Team by AP, counts as +1, and an MVP selection by any major organization was worth +1.

For instance, in 2016, Tom Brady was named Second-Team All-Pro by AP (1 pt), but First-Team by the Sporting News, so he scored 2 pts that season. The score of AP First-Team All-Pro Matt Ryan was unaffected, remaining 4 points (including his MVP selection). In 1993, the AP All-Pros were Steve Young and John Elway, but the Sporting News chose Troy Aikman. Young scored 3, and Aikman and Elway 1 each. In 1990, Joe Montana scored 4 points, with Randall Cunningham and Warren Moon earning 2 each. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


Brees threw a lot in garbage time

What I thought was an off-hand musing about Drew Brees’ production in low-leverage situations (for my ongoing series about the greatest statistical QBs in history) sparked a surprisingly contentious debate about whether Brees had padded his stats in garbage time.

I tried to align this with a very conservative definition of “garbage time” … all data are from 2004-17 — 2004 was Brees’ first good season — and none of the game/score situations below produced any wins by any team during those years. “P/B/R” indicates the combined total of Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, and Aaron Rodgers.

Please pardon the informal prose and formatting; this was originally composed as a comment, not an article. [continue reading…]

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Top 100 QBs: 20-1, By Brad Oremland

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


This is part five of a seven-part series. It is a supplement to my 2015 series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time, last year’s article on the top-ranked QBs in Total Statistical Production, and a recent post about QB-TSP in the 2017 season and another way of using TSP. I strongly encourage you to read those pieces if you haven’t done so already. You may also be interested in the previous entries of this series.

Best Statistical QBs: 81-100
Best Statistical QBs: 61-80
Best Statistical QBs: 41-60
Best Statistical QBs: 21-40

In this series, I present the top 100 pro football quarterbacks as ranked by QB-TSP. This is a purely statistical ranking, with all the drawbacks that entails, and in many places it is not reflective of my subjective evaluations. This week, we examine the top 20 quarterbacks of the Modern Era.

Questions and comments are encouraged, but please understand that this series is a product of extensive research and analysis, not whim or guess or hot take, and it was produced with no agenda except to inform and explain. Thanks for reading. [continue reading…]

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Top 100 QBs: 21-40, By Brad Oremland

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


This is part four of a five-part series. It is a supplement to my 2015 series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time, last year’s article on the top-ranked QBs in Total Statistical Production, and last month’s post about QB-TSP in the 2017 season and another way of using TSP. I strongly encourage you to read those pieces if you haven’t done so already. You may also be interested in parts one, two, and three of this series.

In this series, I present the top 100 pro football quarterbacks as ranked by QB-TSP. This is a purely statistical ranking, with all the drawbacks that entails, and in many places it is not reflective of my subjective evaluations. Each week, we’ll examine 20 players, continuing this week with ranks 21-40. [continue reading…]

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Top 100 QBs: 41-60, By Brad Oremland

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


This is part three of a seven-part series. It is a supplement to my 2015 series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time, last year’s article on the top-ranked QBs in Total Statistical Production, and last month’s post about QB-TSP in the 2017 season and another way of using TSP. I strongly encourage you to read those pieces if you haven’t done so already. You may also be interested in parts one and two of this series.

In this series, I present the top 100 pro football quarterbacks as ranked by QB-TSP. This is a purely statistical ranking, with all the drawbacks that entails, and in many places it is not reflective of my subjective evaluations. Each week, we’ll examine 20 players, continuing this week with ranks 41-60. [continue reading…]

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Top 100 QBs: 61-80, By Brad Oremland

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


Top 100 QBs: 61-80

This is part two of a seven-part series. It is a supplement to my series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time, last year’s article on the top-ranked QBs in Total Statistical Production, and last month’s post about QB-TSP in the 2017 season and another way of using TSP. I strongly encourage you to read those pieces if you haven’t done so already. You might also be interested in part one of this series, published last week.

In this series, I’ll present the top 100 pro football quarterbacks as ranked by QB-TSP. This is a purely statistical ranking, with all the drawbacks that entails, and in many places it is not reflective of my subjective evaluations. Each week, we’ll examine 20 players, continuing this week with ranks 61-80. As a quick refresher/update, here are rough explanations of single-season TSP: [continue reading…]

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Top 100 QBs: 81-100, By Brad Oremland

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


This is part one of a seven-part series. It is a supplement to my 2015 series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time, last year’s article on the top-ranked QBs in Total Statistical Production, and last week’s post about QB-TSP in the 2017 season and another way of using TSP. I strongly encourage you to read those pieces if you haven’t done so previously.

In this series, I’ll present the top 100 pro football quarterbacks as ranked by QB-TSP. This is a purely statistical ranking, with all the drawbacks that entails, and in many places it is not reflective of my subjective evaluations. For each of the next five Wednesdays, we’ll examine 20 players, starting this week with ranks 81-100. For each player, you’ll find data presented in this form:

[rank]. Player Name — Adjusted TSP — Career Value — Top 10s – Top 10 Points – Year-Points

These statistical categories are explained in the links above; again, if you haven’t read them recently, I’d encourage you to do so. TSP and Career Value are calculated the same way as I indicated last year, except that I have indeed switched to a ^1.85 modifier, which reduces the impact of exceptional seasons and blunts the ranking of one-year wonders. As a quick refresher/update, here are rough explanations of single-season TSP: [continue reading…]

{ 0 comments }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.


Best Statistical QBs of 2017

This is the third time in the last four years that I’ve written about my preferred stat for evaluating NFL quarterbacks, QB-TSP. In this post, you’ll find scores from the 2017 season, plus another way of using TSP.

If you’re not already familiar with the stat, I’d encourage you to read about how it works, but if you’re in a hurry, it is a purely statistical ranking, not my opinion. TSP measures production above replacement level, with “replacement level” defined as the level of play you’d expect from an available free agent (not your top backup). A good example last season was Jay Cutler, lured from retirement to play for Miami after Ryan Tannehill got hurt. Robert Griffin and Johnny Manziel didn’t play last season, but either one would have been a replacement player, as would an undrafted college senior. Anyone who you’re not sure whether or not they were still on a roster, like Kellen Clemens or Kellen Moore, is probably right around replacement level.

Here are rough explanations of single-season TSP and how it translates to Career Value:

* Zero TSP (0 CV) indicates replacement-level performance, on the fringe of being playable. 2017 example: Trevor Siemian.

* 500 TSP (0.3 CV) is an inconsequential season, an ineffective starter or a good part-time player. 2017 examples: Jacoby Brissett, Aaron Rodgers.

* 1000 TSP (1 CV) is an average season. The player had some value to his team, but he wasn’t a Pro Bowl-quality performer. 2017 examples: Blake Bortles, Dak Prescott.

* 1500 TSP (2 CV) is a good season, a top-10 season, a borderline Pro Bowl season. This is a positive contribution to any player’s résumé. 2017 examples: Ben Roethlisberger, Matthew Stafford.

* 2000 TSP (3.5 CV) is a great season. It’s a top-5 performance, the player almost always makes the Pro Bowl, and he’ll usually generate some all-pro support. 2017 examples: Alex Smith, Tom Brady.

* 2500 TSP (5.5 CV) is an exceptional season. These only occur about twice every three years. Most of them were first-team All-Pro, and about half were named league MVP. 2017 example: none. Matt Ryan in 2016 scored at this level, though.

* 3000 TSP (7.5 CV) is a legendary season, and the player always wins MVP. There have only been seven, the most recent being Peyton Manning in 2013 and Tom Brady in 2007.

I’ll begin with raw data: QB-TSP for the top 40 in passing yards from the 2017 NFL season. The era-adjusted score, in the final column, is the one that aligns to the categories above. [continue reading…]

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Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. There are few who have given as much thought to the history of quarterbacks and quarterback ranking systems as Brad has over the years. What follows is Brad’s latest work on quarterback statistical production.

Author’s Note: This is a very long post, but I discourage you from skimming it. Wait to read it until you can go over it without feeling distracted.

Two years ago, I wrote an exhaustive series on the greatest quarterbacks of all time. That was a subjective ranking, but I also discussed the formula for Quarterback Total Statistical Production, QB-TSP. This post concerns that stat, QB-TSP, so you may want to read that link if you haven’t already.

I’ve made three minor adjustments to the formula since that writing: [continue reading…]

{ 122 comments }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. He’s also a semi-regular writer here, and you can view all of Brad’s Football Perspective writing at this page. Brad is working on a WR Project where he analyzes the best WRs over various ten year periods. That work is being produced over at Sports-Central, but Brad has offered to have it reproduced here as well. As always, we at the FP community thank him for his work.

Previous Best WRs By Decade Articles:


Last year, I wrote an article breaking down the best quarterbacks by decade, followed by in-depth profiles of the greatest QBs in history. This year, I’m combining those two themes in a look at the best wide receivers ever, broken into decades. Because careers don’t always fit cleanly into a single decade, I’ve gone in five-year increments. Last week, we covered 1990-99 and 1995-2004. This is the seventh installment, examining 2000-09 and 2005-2014. The great receivers of the early ’00s, such as Marvin Harrison and Isaac Bruce, were in last week’s column. [continue reading…]

{ 63 comments }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. He’s also a semi-regular writer here, and you can view all of Brad’s Football Perspective writing at this page. Brad is working on a WR Project where he analyzes the best WRs over various ten year periods. That work is being produced over at Sports-Central, but Brad has offered to have it reproduced here as well. As always, we at the FP community thank him for his work.

Previous Best WRs By Decade Articles:


Last year, I wrote an article breaking down the best quarterbacks by decade, followed by in-depth profiles of the greatest QBs in history. This year, I’m combining those two themes in a look at the best wide receivers ever, broken into decades. Because careers don’t always fit cleanly into a single decade, I’ve gone in five-year increments. Last week, we covered 1980-89 and 1985-94. This is the sixth installment, examining 1990-99 and 1995-2004. The great receivers of the early ’90s, such as Jerry Rice and Andre Reed, were in last week’s column.

Let’s begin with some specific categories and honors, then we’ll go in depth on the finest wide receivers of each decade.

1990-99

Fastest Receiver: Raghib Ismail

Best Deep Threat: Henry Ellard

Best Hands: Cris Carter

Best Possession Receiver: Jerry Rice

Toughest Receiver: Jerry Rice

Underrated in 2016: Herman Moore

Most Accomplished Postseason WR: Jerry Rice

Best Single Season: Jerry Rice, 1995

Best Overall WR: Jerry Rice

Raghib Ismail and his brother Qadry Ismail retired with nearly identical receiving statistics. Rocket Ismail had 363 receptions, for 5,295 yards and 28 TDs. Missile (Qadry) had 353 receptions, for 5,137 yards and 33 TDs. They each had two 1,000-yard seasons. Raghib was a more productive rusher, and Qadry a more productive returner. Raghib, projected to be the first pick in the 1991 NFL Draft, instead signed a record contract with the Toronto Argonauts, becoming a CFL All-Star before his NFL career began in 1993.

Henry Ellard, whom I named the greatest deep threat of 1985-94, remained so in the ’90s: his 17.13 average was the highest by more than a yard. Ellard had five 1,000-yard seasons in the ’90s, tied for fifth-most, behind only Jerry Rice, Tim Brown, Cris Carter, and Michael Irvin. Alvin Harper was a great deep threat across from Irvin, but never a true no. 1 receiver. Ellard had as many catches in three seasons as Harper had in his career. Irvin himself was an underrated deep receiver: he had the most 20+ yard receptions of the ’90s, and his 15.7 receiving average was highest among the 15 players with at least 500 receptions in the decade. Of note: all three of these receivers played for Norv Turner, and all created more first downs than you would expect from their reception and yardage totals.

Herman Moore was a four-time Pro Bowler and made three all-pro teams as a starter (more than Cris Carter and Tim Brown combined). Moore’s 1995 ranks among the most impressive statistical seasons of all time: 123 rec, 1686 yds, 14 TD. Looking at the 1990s as a whole, Moore had more receptions than Andre Reed, more yardage than Henry Ellard, and more touchdowns than Michael Irvin. Yes, really: Moore scored more TDs in the ’90s (59) than Michael Irvin (58). Moore had over 900 receiving yards every year from 1992-98, including three seasons of 100 receptions, but his production was largely limited to those seven seasons.

Tim Brown
Los Angeles/Oakland Raiders, 1988-2003; Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2004
1,094 receptions, 14,934 yards, 100 TD

Although he was a first-round draft pick, Tim Brown’s receiving career began slowly. However, he was always a dazzling punt returner (3,320 yds, 10.2 avg, 3 TDs). Brown made two Pro Bowls as a returner, in 1988 and ’91, and in 2001 became the oldest NFL player (35) to return a punt for a TD. He also holds the rookie record for all-purpose yards (2,317), a record he took from Gale Sayers and has now owned for more than two decades.

Of course, Brown is most remembered as a receiver who was among the best at his position for a decade. He had nine consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons and ranks 5th all-time in receptions. He’s 6th all-time in receiving yards and 8th in receiving TDs. At the time of his retirement, only Jerry Rice had more yards.

I suggested last week that Andre Reed was more consistent than exceptional. The same criticism might be levelled at Brown, but less convincingly. Brown tied for the NFL lead in receptions once, never led in yards or TDs. In his 17-year career, he made the Associated Press all-pro team just once, as a second-team selection in 1997.

However, Brown, who began his career in 1988, had nine 1,000-yard receiving seasons. Reed, who began his career in 1985, had four. Brown had 1,300 yards four times. [1]Editor’s note: In addition, Brown has 31 points of Gray Ink in receiving yards, compared to just 17 for Reed. That’s a pretty big difference. Brown had more receptions (+143), yards (+1,736), and touchdowns (+13) than Reed. He was an exceptional punt returner; Reed didn’t return kicks. Brown made nine Pro Bowls, to Reed’s seven, even though the AFC was stronger during Brown’s prime than Reed’s. They were both great players, but Brown was better.

Cris Carter
Philadelphia Eagles, 1987-89; Minnesota Vikings, 1990-2001; Miami Dolphins, 2002
1,101 receptions, 13,899 yards, 130 TD

His given name was Graduel Christopher Darin Carter. Carter grew up in southwest Ohio — Bengals country — and spelled his name “Cris” because of Bengals receiver Cris Collinsworth.

Fourth all-time in both receptions and receiving TDs, Carter joined Jerry Rice as the starting wide receivers on the 1990s NFL All-Decade team. He was selected to eight Pro Bowls and was twice named first-team all-pro. In 1994, he set the single-season record for receptions (122), and in three other seasons he led the NFL in receiving TDs. Jerry Rice, Marvin Harrison, and Carter are the only players in history with five straight years of double-digit receiving touchdowns.

I was surprised when Carter didn’t get elected to Canton in his first several years of eligibility. I suspect the voters were reluctant to enshrine him partly for the same reason Art Monk had to wait so long. Monk was repeatedly dismissed as a guy who caught 900 eight-yard hooks, and who wasn’t the most dangerous receiver on his own team. Carter averaged just 12.6 yards per reception, one of the lowest marks in history for an elite wide receiver. Defenses fear the deep threat, the guy who can burn you on any given play. For Washington in the ’80s and early ’90s, that was Gary Clark, not Monk. For Minnesota, it was Randy Moss, not Carter.

Carter last led the Vikings in receiving yards in 1995. Thereafter, he was outgained every year by either Jake Reed or Moss. And yet, half his production came after ’95: five of his eight 1,000-yard seasons, four of his six double-digit TD years, overall about 50% of his statistical value. Essentially, Carter battled the notion that he usually wasn’t the best receiver on his own team, that he was a system player who caught a bunch of short passes and seldom had to deal with double-teams. He was reliable more than explosive, and he was tough like Monk, not graceful like Lance Alworth or Lynn Swann. Carter just doesn’t have the highlight reel those guys do, and he never won a championship.

Of course, that doesn’t mean Carter’s highlight reel is empty. Anyone who watched football in the ’90s remembers, “Cris Carter. All he does is catch touchdowns.” Although made famous by Chris Berman, the phrase originated with Carter’s coach with the Eagles, Buddy Ryan, and was not entirely a compliment. Carter’s most famous highlight came in college. Playing in the Citrus Bowl for Ohio State, Carter caught a ball that his quarterback had tried to throw away.

Carter is one of the most improbable winners ever of the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award. Carter was cut by the Eagles because of drug, alcohol, and personal issues. He antagonized teammates in Minnesota; when Carter was elected to the Hall of Fame, former teammate (1993-96) Qadry Ismail told Sirius XM, “Cris was a bona fide diva … extreme selfishness.” In The Best Minnesota Sports Arguments, Carter has his own chapter entitled, “What Was the Most Selfish Act Committed by a Minnesota Athlete?” The story involves Vikings running back Bill Brown and his dying wife, and paints a very ugly picture of Carter — when he was sober, and old enough to know better. At the 2014 NFL rookie symposium, Carter advised young players that if they got into trouble, “You’ve got to have a fall guy in the crew,” to take the blame. Cris Carter was a great receiver, but he doesn’t seem like a good person.

Irving Fryar
New England Patriots, 1984-92; Miami Dolphins, 1993-95; Phildaelphia Eagles, 1996-98; Washington, 1999-2000
851 receptions, 12,785 yards, 84 TD

Irving Fryar was a late bloomer. The first overall pick in the 1984 draft, Fryar quickly made his mark on special teams — he was a Pro Bowl returner, with 3 punt return TDs in his first three seasons — but didn’t emerge as a major receiving threat until he left New England to play for the Dolphins and Eagles. His first 1,000-yard season came in 1991, when Fryar was 29 and playing his eighth year in the NFL. He was 31 when he made his first Pro Bowl as a receiver, a 10-year veteran. His career-high 1,316 receiving yards came at age 35. [2]Editor’s note: When I looked at the 100 players with the most career receiving yards through 2014, Fryar was the only one to have his single-season high in that category come at age 35 or older.

Fryar made five Pro Bowls (one as a returner) and was second-team all-pro twice (once as a returner). He had five 1,000-yard seasons, and his accomplishments as a returner are significant. It’s natural, I think, to compare him to Henry Ellard. They were drafted just one year apart, both were great punt returners early in their careers, both had most of their best seasons in the ’90s, both had career numbers that looked exceptional when they retired, and far less impressive since the explosion of receiving stats in the expansion era.

Choosing between the two, I’d go with Ellard. He had more good seasons, more of his production came before league-wide receiving numbers went through the roof, and he had a stronger peak. Ellard had four seasons among the top four in receiving yards, Fryar none. Ellard played against tough NFC competition, in an era when the AFC was a substantially weaker conference. They were both great players, but Ellard was more exceptional.

Since I spent a paragraph explaining why I’m not wild about Cris Carter, for the sake of equal treatment I should point out that Irving Fryar has an even uglier past. He missed the 1985 AFC Championship Game due to an injured hand. But he didn’t hurt the hand playing football, he hurt it in a domestic dispute with his pregnant wife (Fryar needed six stitches). He had drug issues, violence against women and animals, allegations that he attempted to throw a game in college. He was arrested on weapons charges. Rick Reilly called Fryar “the All Pro screw-up, the Human Incident, the Original Sinner.” Fryar is currently in jail for fraud.

Michael Irvin
Dallas Cowboys, 1988-99
750 receptions, 11,904 yards, 65 TD

I named Jerry Rice’s 1995 season the greatest by a wide receiver in the 1990s. That’s tough to argue with. Rice caught 122 passes, for 1,848 yards and 15 TDs. Those are excellent totals, in every category, and his single-season yardage record lasted almost 20 years. But there’s a compelling argument to be made that in 1991, Michael Irvin was even better. Irvin caught 93 passes, for 1,523 yards and 8 TDs. Those are great stats, but they’re dwarfed by Rice’s. What’s the argument for Irvin?

First, consider that Irvin’s 93 receptions produced 79 first downs, compared to 75 first downs for Rice. That 122-93 reception gap is a lot less significant when you consider what their catches did for the team. We also need to consider the environment of the league. Passing statistics exploded in the mid-1990s, and 1995 was an expansion year, diluting the talent pool and allowing the best players to excel even more than usual. In 1995, Rice had 67 yards more than 2nd-place Herman Moore. In 1991, Irvin had 187 yards more than 2nd-place Gary Clark. Irvin had the most receiving first downs in the NFL, by 17. Four receivers had more first downs in 1995 than Rice. While Rice’s raw numbers are much better, Irvin actually stood out more from the league. And it wasn’t a one-year blip. Irvin had more yards and more first downs in 1991 than any receiver the two years before and after.

1991 was the only season in which Irvin led the NFL in a major statistic. In 1995, he had more catches (111) for more yards (1603) and more TDs (10), but in context, ’91 was a better season. Irvin retired with seven 1,000-yard seasons, plus 962 in an injury-shortened (11 games) 1996. In four of those years, Irvin gained over 1,300 yards. He was big for that era, and strong and fast.

He was also a great postseason performer. In 16 postseason games, Irvin caught 87 passes for 1,315 yards and 8 TDs. He had six 100-yard games, plus four more with over 80 yards. That includes 114 yards and 2 TDs in Super Bowl XXVII, one of three Super Bowl victories in Irvin’s career.

Andre Rison
Indianapolis Colts, 1989; Atlanta Falcons, 1990-94; Cleveland Browns, 1995; Jacksonville Jaguars, 1996; Green Bay Packers, 1996; Kansas City Chiefs, 1997-99; Oakland Raiders, 2000
743 receptions, 10,205 yards, 84 TD

Andre Rison played for seven NFL teams. A guy’s career looks fragmented when he moves around so often, hard to view as a whole. Irving Fryar and Rison did a lot of the same things as Andre Reed, but the constant team-switching makes it hard, psychologically, to view them that way. During his NFL career, Rison caught touchdown passes from Jack Trudeau (4), Chris Miller (25), Scott Campbell (2), Billy Joe Tolliver (6), Wade Wilson (3), Bobby Hebert (11), Jeff George (9), Vinny Testaverde (1), Eric Zeier (2), Mark Brunell (2), Brett Favre (1), Elvis Grbac (7), and Rich Gannon (11). [3]Editor’s note: Miller was responsible for 23% of Rison’s career yards, followed by Gannon (14%), Hebert (11%), Grbac (10%), and George (9%).

Part of the reason Rison moved around so much is that he was viewed as a bit of a headcase. He was a showboat in Atlanta, but you can get away with that when you’re performing at a high level. Rison signed a big free agent contract with the Browns, then publicly cursed at the Cleveland fans. He played for five teams in four years, his girlfriend alleged that he was abusive [4]Editor’s note: Can you imagine if Rison’s relationship with Lisa “Left Eye” Lopez existed during today’s social media world??, he went to the Raiders — of course he went to the Raiders — and Rison even played for the Toronto Argonauts after his NFL career ended (winning a Grey Cup in 2004).

What if Rison had stayed with Atlanta, or gone to a stable team rather than one on the eve of a move to Baltimore? He was a Pro Bowler for the Chiefs in 1997, and a valuable player for the Packers in the 1996 postseason, including a 54-yard TD reception to begin Super Bowl XXXI, so it’s not like his talent dried up after he left Atlanta, or that he couldn’t succeed without the run and shoot. But that was the widespread impression at the time; Rison’s success with Green Bay was a real surprise coming from someone most fans thought was finished as an impact player.

A first-team all-pro in 1990 and a five-time Pro Bowler, Rison had five 1,000-yard seasons and in 1993 tied Jerry Rice for the most receiving TDs in the NFL (15). In his final NFL season, Rison became just the seventh player in history with 700 receptions, 10,000 yards, and 80 touchdowns. NFL players with four consecutive seasons of double-digit receiving TDs: Tommy McDonald, Bob Hayes, Jerry Rice, Rison, Cris Carter, Randy Moss, and Marvin Harrison.

1995-2004

Fastest Receiver: Randy Moss

Best Deep Threat: Randy Moss

Best Hands: Marvin Harrison

Best Possession Receiver: Marvin Harrison

Toughest Receiver: Keyshawn Johnson

Underrated in 2016: Jimmy Smith

Most Accomplished Postseason WR: Rod Smith

Best Single Season: Jerry Rice, 1995

Best Overall WR: Marvin Harrison

Randy Moss was as fast as anyone. If there’s anyone else from this era who compares, it would surely be Tim Dwight. I explained last week that given a close call between two players for a designation like “Fastest Receiver”, I prefer to highlight the lesser-known. Within that, however, I still want to recognize legitimate football players, not just fast guys who put on pads and a helmet. Tim Dwight was a real football player, but he was a returner more than a receiver. Dwight had 203 kickoff returns, 185 punt returns, and 194 career receptions.

The 8th pick in the 1995 NFL Draft, Joey Galloway was a downfield receiver, a burner. He scored 5 punt return TDs and rushed for 496 yards, one of the highest totals ever by a receiver. He had six 1,000-yard receiving seasons and three years of double-digit TDs, retiring with 83 total TDs and nearly 11,000 receiving yards. He never made a Pro Bowl, but he was a good player with a 16-year career.

Galloway is statistically comparable to Keyshawn Johnson, Keenan McCardell, Muhsin Muhammad, and Rod Smith (see below). McCardell quietly caught almost 900 passes and gained over 11,000 yards. A two-time Pro Bowler, he had five 1,000-yard seasons and five years among the NFL’s top 10 in receptions. A 12th-round draft pick in 1991, McCardell didn’t get a chance to play regularly until he joined the Jaguars in 1996. If McCardell hadn’t lost five years of his prime sitting on the bench, would he be a Hall of Famer? Maybe.

One of the more underappreciated receivers in recent history, Muhsin Muhammad gained at least 500 receiving yards in 12 seasons, caught 90 or more passes three times, and led the NFL at various times in every major receiving category: receptions (2000), receiving yards (2004), and receiving touchdowns (2004). He made two Pro Bowls and was first-team all-pro in ’04.

Isaac Bruce
Los Angeles/St. Louis Rams, 1994-2007; San Francisco 49ers, 2008-09
1,024 receptions, 15,208 yards, 91 TD

Isaac Bruce ranks 4th all-time in receiving yards. He had eight 1,000-yard seasons, including 1,781 in 1995, still the 5th-highest total in history. Bruce was hard-working, humble, and well-liked. He was a good route-runner, and he was fast enough to worry defenders, but he had the hands of a great possession receiver. Bruce spent much of his career on bad teams, but made big plays when he got the chance, including the 73-yard game-winning touchdown in Super Bowl XXXIV.

Bruce was named to four Pro Bowls and went over 1,000 yards four other times, including 1,292 in 2004 and 1,781 in 1995. His résumé bears a similarity to Charlie Joiner’s — guys with long careers and sensational counting stats, but who weren’t usually regarded as being among the very best while they were active. Both also have to fight the perception that their numbers are partly or largely a product of the absurd offenses they played in, where any receiver could become a star.

Bruce’s case is a little stronger than Joiner’s. He ranked in the top five in receiving yards four times (and led the league in 1996), compared to only twice for Joiner, who never led the NFL in a major statistic. Two of Bruce’s three best seasons came when the Rams were coached by Rich Brooks, while Joiner’s best years were under Don Coryell. Bruce had four 100-yard games in the postseason, and he was a Super Bowl star. Joiner deserves his place in Canton, and Bruce deserves to join him.

Marvin Harrison
Indianapolis Colts, 1996-2008
1,102 receptions, 14,580 yards, 128 TD

In eight consecutive seasons, Marvin Harrison finished with more than 80 receptions, 1,100 yards, and double-digit touchdowns. He is the only player in history with four consecutive 1,400-yard seasons, and one of only five (Jerry Rice, Randy Moss, Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson) to go over 1,400 in any four seasons. Harrison still holds the single-season record for receptions (143). He led the NFL twice in receptions, twice in receiving yards, and once in receiving TDs. He was first-team all-pro three times and qualified for eight Pro Bowls.

Harrison was not the biggest, fastest, or strongest receiver in the game; he didn’t intimidate opponents the way Terrell Owens and Moss did. But Harrison was one of the smartest receivers ever to play, and like Rice, he worked very hard to be the best; the extra practice hours he put in working with Peyton Manning are legendary. Harrison was an exceptional route-runner, and he was the best I ever saw at the toe-tap on the sideline. Give him an inch and he’d make the catch.

Harrison, Rice, and Andre Johnson are the only players with three 1,500-yard receiving seasons. Harrison has the most receptions, receiving yards, and TDs of any player to spend his whole career with one team.

Keyshawn Johnson
New York Jets, 1996-99; Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2000-03; Dallas Cowboys, 2004-05; Carolina Panthers, 2006
804 receptions, 10,571 yards, 64 TD

The top pick in the 1996 draft, Keyshawn Johnson was known as much for his attitude as his play. He caught 70 or more passes nine times, and wrote a book (with Shelley Smith) titled Just Give Me the Damn Ball!, setting the tone for a parade of diva receivers ever since. He had at least 600 receiving yards every year of his career, and he was dismissed from the Buccaneers in mid-season 2003 because the defending champs didn’t want to deal with him any more. His name is Joseph Ladarious Keyshawn Johnson, and he was nicknamed Me-Shawn.

Some people won’t like that I named Johnson the toughest receiver of the decade. Keyshawn was a self-centered loudmouth, arguably the first of the modern diva receivers. But he was also a gritty possession receiver who would go over the middle, and he was the best blocking WR of his generation. If he had been 10 or 15 pounds bigger, Johnson would have been a Shannon Sharpe-style tight end. He made three Pro Bowls, caught 100 passes one year, and retired with more than 800 receptions, for over 10,000 yards.

The famous 1996 receiver class includes Marvin Harrison, Terrell Owens, Keyshawn Johnson, Muhsin Muhammad, Eric Moulds, Joe Horn, Amani Toomer, Terry Glenn, Eddie Kennison, and Bobby Engram. All 10 had over 500 receptions, over 7,500 receiving yards, and at least 35 touchdowns. Seven of the 10 made at least one Pro Bowl, and they combined for 27. Taken as a group, they averaged 768 catches, 10,568 yards, and 69 TDs — about the same numbers as Keyshawn. I’d be surprised if there’s ever another class of rookie receivers so deep and successful.

Jimmy Smith
Dallas Cowboys, 1992-93; Jacksonville Jaguars, 1995-2005
862 receptions, 12,287 yards, 67 TD

You probably don’t remember Jimmy Smith on the Super Bowl-winning Cowboys in 1992. He played seven games and never caught a pass. He didn’t play at all the next two years. Smith didn’t become a full-time starter until 1996, when he was 27, an age when many players begin to decline.

Smith made the most of the years he did play, with nine 1,000-yard receiving seasons and five Pro Bowl appearances. Smith was only the third player with multiple seasons catching 110 or more passes, the first two being Jerry Rice and Cris Carter from 1994-95. He is one of only five receivers with nine or more 1,000-yard seasons (Tim Brown, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, Rice), and one of six with six straight 1,100-yard seasons (Marvin Harrison, Torry Holt, Moss, Rice, Roddy White). In 1999, Smith led the NFL in receptions (116) and first downs (86), then the highest totals in history outside the whacked ’94-’95 seasons, and his team went 14-2.

Smith was occasionally dogged by drug issues, and his four-game suspension in 2003 probably kept him from becoming the only person besides Rice with 10 straight 1,000-yard seasons. Smith left the game when he was still a good player; his final season yielded 70 catches, 1023 yards, and 6 TDs. Smith in 2004 gained the third-most receiving yards ever by a 35-year-old (1,172), and he and Rice are the only players ever to gain over 1,000 yards in a full season after turning 36.

So in Smith you have one of the best old receivers ever, a guy who had a lot of good seasons, including five years over 1,200 yards and two seasons catching more than 110 passes. [5]Editor’s note: I wrote a very pro-Smith profile here. His detractors would point out that while Smith did have exceptional years, and played well in several others, he had so few seasons on the field that his overall statistics don’t measure up to the best players of his generation. Some detractors would also mention the drug thing, but unlike some of the other players profiled here, Jimmy Smith really wasn’t a bad guy. He was an addict, but he wasn’t a jerk.

Most 1,000-yard receiving seasons in NFL history:

1. Jerry  Rice, 14
2. Randy  Moss, 10
t3. Tim  Brown, 9
t3. Terrell  Owens, 9
t3. Jimmy  Smith, 9

Rod Smith
Denver Broncos, 1995-2006
849 receptions, 11,389 yards, 68 TD

Keenan McCardell, Muhsin Muhammad, and Rod Smith have virtually identical career stats:

             Rec    Yards     1stD   TD
Muhammad     860    11,438    566    62
Smith        849    11,389    570    68
McCardell    883    11,373    568    63

It’s remarkable for three contemporary players to post such similar stats over long, productive careers. Overall numbers notwithstanding, Smith was by far the best of the three. He had eight 1,000-yard seasons, as many as McCardell (5) and Muhammad (3) combined. Smith played on two Super Bowl champions, with 152 yards and a touchdown in Super Bowl XXXIII. He caught 100 passes twice, caught 70 passes nine times, double-digit TDs twice, 1,200 yards three times, as many as 1,600 one year.

Smith didn’t have a long career. Undrafted out of Division II Missouri Southern, he didn’t play in the NFL until he was 25, and didn’t become a starter until he was 27. It’s a shame careers can turn so heavily on high school performance. If Smith had been offered a scholarship to a Big 10 or SEC school, gotten drafted in the third round, and become a starter when he was 23 or 24, maybe he’d have another 200 receptions, 3,000 yards, 20 TDs.

We could also throw Keyshawn Johnson into the McCardell-Muhammad-Smith group. His stats are basically the same: 800-900 receptions, about 11,000 yards, 60-70 TDs. Shannon Sharpe’s statistics are similar to Keyshawn’s, if you exclude first downs.

              Rec    Yards     1stD   TD
Muhammad      860    11,438    566    62
Smith         849    11,389    570    68
McCardell     883    11,373    568    63
Johnson       804    10,571    552    64
Sharpe        815    10,060    490    62

Other players with comparable stats include Gary Clark, Donald Driver, Joey Galloway, Michael Irvin, Chad Johnson, Santana Moss, and Brandon Marshall (through 2015), although all except Marshall had fewer receptions.

References

References
1 Editor’s note: In addition, Brown has 31 points of Gray Ink in receiving yards, compared to just 17 for Reed. That’s a pretty big difference.
2 Editor’s note: When I looked at the 100 players with the most career receiving yards through 2014, Fryar was the only one to have his single-season high in that category come at age 35 or older.
3 Editor’s note: Miller was responsible for 23% of Rison’s career yards, followed by Gannon (14%), Hebert (11%), Grbac (10%), and George (9%).
4 Editor’s note: Can you imagine if Rison’s relationship with Lisa “Left Eye” Lopez existed during today’s social media world??
5 Editor’s note: I wrote a very pro-Smith profile here.
{ 22 comments }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. He’s also a semi-regular writer here, and you can view all of Brad’s Football Perspective writing at this page. Brad is working on a WR Project where he analyzes the best WRs over various ten year periods. That work is being produced over at Sports-Central, but Brad has offered to have it reproduced here as well. As always, we at the FP community thank him for his work.

Previous Best WRs By Decade Articles:


Last year, I wrote an article breaking down the best quarterbacks by decade, followed by in-depth profiles of the greatest QBs in history. This year, I’m combining those two themes in a look at the best wide receivers ever, broken into decades. Because careers don’t always fit cleanly into a single decade, I’ve gone in five-year increments. Last week, we covered 1970-79 and 1975-84. This is the fifth installment, examining 1980-89 and 1985-94. The great receivers of the early ’80s, such as Steve Largent and Charlie Joiner, were in last week’s column.

Let’s begin with some specific categories and honors, then we’ll go in depth on the finest wide receivers of each decade. [continue reading…]

{ 76 comments }

Brad Oremland is a longtime commenter and a fellow football historian. Brad is also a senior NFL writer at Sports Central. He’s also a semi-regular writer here, and you can view all of Brad’s Football Perspective writing at this page. Brad is working on a WR Project where he analyzes the best WRs over various ten year periods. That work is being produced over at Sports-Central, but Brad has offered to have it reproduced here as well. As always, we at the FP community thank him for his work.

Previous Best WRs By Decade Articles:


Last year, I wrote an article breaking down the best quarterbacks by decade, followed by in-depth profiles of the greatest QBs in history. This year, I’m combining those two themes in a look at the best wide receivers ever, broken into decades. Because careers don’t always fit cleanly into a single decade, I’ve gone in five-year increments. Last week, we covered 1960-69 and 1965-74. This is the fourth installment, examining 1970-79 and 1975-84. The great receivers of the early ’70s, such as Fred Biletnikoff and Paul Warfield, were in last week’s column.

Let’s begin with some specific categories and honors, then we’ll go in depth on the finest wide receivers of each decade. [continue reading…]

{ 24 comments }
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