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Is Arian Foster declining?

[House-keeping note: I’ve added the Salary Cap Calculator to the gray header tabs at the top of each page, so you can now easily get there no matter what page you’re on at Football Perspective.]

A quick look at Arian Foster‘s statistics over the last three years paints a picture of a player in decline:

Year G Rsh RshYd RTD YPC YPG C/G Rec RecYd YPR TD YScm RRTD
2010*+ 16 327 1616 16 4.9 101.0 20.4 66 604 9.2 2 2220 18
2011* 13 278 1224 10 4.4 94.2 21.4 53 617 11.6 2 1841 12
2012* 16 351 1424 15 4.1 89.0 21.9 40 217 5.4 2 1641 17

 

Foster’s declined in rushing yards per game and yards per carry over the last two years, while his value in the receiving game fell off a cliff in 2012. One could reasonably conclude that Foster simply isn’t the same player he used to be, and that he could drop off even more in 2013.  But while the traditional statistics tell one story, what do the advanced metrics say?
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