by Chase Stuart
on February 8, 2016
Where does Super Bowl 50 rank among the greatest upsets in Super Bowl history?
Von Miller captures the Super Bowl MVP
Super Bowl 50 will go down as one of the bigger upsets in Super Bowl history, but it’s clearly not one of the biggest ever. Even given the recency of the game, it still falls far behind Super Bowl III (Jets/Colts), Super Bowl IV (Chiefs/Vikings), Super Bowl XXXII (Broncos/Packers), Super Bowl XXXVI (Patriots/Rams), or Super Bowl XLII (Giants/Patriots, 2007). All five of those games had double-digit point spreads, but went to the underdogs.
Super Bowl XXV (Giants/Bills) featured a 6.5-point spread and was one of the more memorable upsets. And two recent underdogs won with 4.5-point spreads — Ravens over 49ers, Saints over Colts. From a purely point spread look, Super Bowl 50 would slot in right there, at tied for #7, as the line closed at 4.5 points. From a purely subjective standpoint, I’d probably put this game in the middle of those two: the Saints game looked like a big upset, but the stats guys were on New Orleans, and the line may have only been in the Colts favor because of the team’s experience edge. I picked the 49ers to win by six points, which is what I had Carolina winning by yesterday, too. But with Denver a 12-4 team and the #1 seed, I think this game feels like less of an upset than Ravens/49ers. [continue reading…]
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Super Bowl 50
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by Chase Stuart
on February 7, 2016
This year, I will be live-blogging the Super Bowl at 538: Here’s a link:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/super-bowl-50-panthers-vs-broncos/?#livepress-update
But I wanted to make a place for everyone who wants to write about the Super Bowl, so please leave your previews/in-game reactions/post-game thoughts here. Enjoy!
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Super Bowl 50
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by Chase Stuart
on February 2, 2016
This week at the Washington Post, an ironclad, inarguable ranking all 106 players on the Broncos and Panthers. The list is a combination of best players, most valuable players, and also most important ones. For example, two players who maybe aren’t quite as good as these rankings imply have a pretty critical role on Sunday:
11. Michael Oher, T, CAR
Oher, who started for the Ravens in Super Bowl XLVII, joins Harry Swayne (San Diego, Denver, Baltimore), Jon Runyan (Tennessee, Philadelphia), and Fred Miller (St. Louis, Chicago) as the only offensive tackles to start in Super Bowls for different teams.
12. Mike Remmers, T, CAR
Given the Broncos’ league-best pass rush, the pressure will be on Oher and Remmers to contain Denver’s terrifying edge-rushers. Remmers, an undrafted free agent in 2012 who has been with six franchises in four seasons, could be the key to the game — for both teams.
You can read the full article here.
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Super Bowl,
Super Bowl 50,
Washington Post
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