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The 2019 NFC East Looks Historically Bad

We knew the Washington Redskins would be awful this year, and the New York Giants are playing down to poor expectations, too. Both teams are 2-9 through 11 weeks, with one of those wins being a head-to-head Giants victory. The other three wins?

  • The Giants beat Tampa Bay, 32-31, when the Bucs missed a 34-yard field goal at the final gun.
  • The Redskins beat Miami, 17-16, when the Dolphins failed on a 2-point conversion attempt with 6 seconds remaining.
  • Washington beat Detroit (playing backup Jeff Driskel), 19-16, with a game-winning field goal in the final 20 seconds.

The strength of the division was supposed to be Dallas and Philadelphia, but that hasn’t quite worked out, either. The Eagles have been big disappointments, particularly on offense (the team ranks in the bottom 10 in yards, yards per pass attempt, and turnovers): Philadelphia is just 5-6, and 4-5 outside of NFC East play. The Cowboys have played really well against bad teams and rank in 8th in both points per game and points per game allowed; and yet Dallas is just 6-6, with all 6 wins coming against teams with losing records. The Cowboys are 2-6 outside of the division, and have lost as touchdown favorites to both the Jets and Bills.

Altogether, the NFC East is just 9-24 this season in non-division games, easily the worst mark in the NFL. And this is despite the division drawing the AFC East, projected to be the worst division in football (again) this year. In fact, the AFC East has the second-best record among the 8 divisions, but there’s a chicken-or-egg situation going on here: does the AFC East have a good record because it’s good, or because it’s playing the NFC East? The AFC East is 10-4 against the NFC East so far this season.

Of course, this means the NFC East is 5-14 against teams not in the AFC East or NFC East. The NFC East is just really, really bad with two awful teams and two underperforming teams. Since 1970, the worst winning percentage any division has ever had in non-division games belongs to the 2014 NFC South. That season, the Falcons, Saints, Panthers, and Bucs went 11-30-1 in games against the rest of the NFL, an awful 0.274 winning percentage. The NFC East still has 9 games to go, but for now, its 0.273 winning percentage in non-division games is the worst since the merger.

The table below shows every division since 1970, and the teams winning percentage in non-division games that season.  It is fully sortable and searchable, but by default is shows only the top 10 teams.

RkDivisionYearRecordWin %
1NFC West201334-100.773
2AFC Central197527-90.750
3AFC West198431-110.738
4NFC East198218-70.720
5NFC East200731-130.705
5AFC South200731-130.705
7NFC East199131-140.689
8AFC East199930-140.682
9AFC Central197623-110.676
10NFC South200828-140.667
11NFC West198929-150.659
12NFC South200229-15-10.656
13NFC East201627-14-10.655
13NFC East200827-14-10.655
15AFC South200928-150.651
16NFC Central197022-120.647
17AFC East200429-160.644
18AFC West197927-150.643
19NFC East199028-160.636
19AFC Central197928-160.636
19AFC Central197828-160.636
19NFC East197721-120.636
23AFC East200826-150.634
24AFC North201426-15-10.631
25AFC East200327-160.628
25NFC West199227-160.628
25NFC East198127-160.628
28AFC West201626-160.619
28AFC South200826-160.619
28AFC West199526-160.619
31AFC East201627-170.614
31NFC West201427-170.614
31AFC West201327-170.614
31NFC Central199727-170.614
31NFC Central199527-170.614
31AFC Central198827-170.614
31NFC East198627-170.614
31NFC West198427-170.614
39AFC West198525-160.610
40AFC East198825-16-10.607
41NFC South201726-170.605
41NFC South201526-170.605
41AFC West200226-170.605
44NFC East199227-180.600
45AFC East201525-170.595
45AFC East201025-170.595
45AFC West200525-170.595
45AFC North200425-170.595
45AFC Central198025-170.595
50NFC East198425-17-10.593
51AFC North201126-180.591
51AFC South200626-180.591
51AFC West199326-180.591
51NFC West198826-180.591
51AFC West198026-180.591
56NFC East197520-140.588
57AFC West199624-170.585
58AFC North200525-180.581
58NFC East200525-180.581
58NFC Central200025-180.581
58AFC West199825-180.581
58AFC West198325-180.581
63AFC West201526-190.578
63NFC West201226-190.578
63NFC East199326-190.578
66AFC Central197719-140.576
66NFC West197319-140.576
66NFC East197018-13-20.576
69NFC West198723-170.575
70NFC North201124-180.571
70NFC South201024-180.571
70NFC North200724-180.571
70AFC East200624-180.571
70AFC East200224-180.571
75AFC Central199724-18-10.570
75AFC Central198924-18-10.570
77NFC West201525-190.568
77NFC North201025-190.568
77AFC East199825-190.568
77AFC West198625-190.568
77NFC East198325-190.568
82NFC East197618-140.563
83AFC South201823-180.561
83NFC North201223-180.561
83AFC East200023-180.561
83AFC West197723-180.561
87NFC West197118-14-20.559
88AFC East201424-190.558
88NFC North201424-190.558
88NFC South200924-190.558
88NFC Central199824-190.558
88AFC West199724-190.558
88AFC West199024-190.558
88NFC East197924-190.558
95NFC Central197619-15-10.557
95AFC Central197419-15-10.557
97AFC North201225-200.556
97AFC South200325-200.556
97NFC Central199925-200.556
100NFC East198721-170.553
101NFC North201723-190.548
101AFC East201323-190.548
101NFC South201223-190.548
101NFC Central199423-190.548
101NFC West198623-190.548
101AFC West198123-190.548
107AFC West201824-200.545
107AFC West199424-200.545
107NFC West198324-200.545
107NFC East197218-150.545
107NFC Central197217-14-20.545
107AFC West197117-14-20.545
113AFC West197418-15-10.544
113NFC East197118-15-10.544
115AFC Central197219-160.543
116AFC East198213-11-10.540
117AFC Central200021-180.538
118NFC West201722-190.537
118NFC East200922-190.537
118NFC West199122-190.537
118AFC East198322-190.537
122NFC East201723-200.535
122NFC South201623-200.535
122NFC North201523-200.535
122AFC East201123-200.535
122AFC North201023-200.535
122NFC East200223-200.535
122NFC East199623-200.535
122AFC West199123-200.535
122AFC East198523-200.535
122NFC East198523-200.535
132AFC North200823-20-10.534
133AFC East200124-210.533
134NFC East197417-150.531
135NFC Central197117-15-10.530
136AFC West197017-15-20.529
137AFC Central200120-180.526
138AFC Central198721-190.525
139AFC West200622-200.524
139AFC South200422-200.524
139AFC West200422-200.524
139AFC Central198622-200.524
143AFC West198922-20-10.523
144AFC East201723-210.523
144NFC South200523-210.523
144NFC West200123-210.523
144NFC Central199623-210.523
144NFC East197823-210.523
149AFC West198214-130.519
150AFC East197317-160.515
151NFC North201821-200.512
151AFC North201821-200.512
151AFC West201421-200.512
151AFC North200621-200.512
151AFC West197821-200.512
156NFC South201122-210.512
156AFC North200922-210.512
156NFC West199822-210.512
156NFC West199422-210.512
156AFC East199422-210.512
156NFC Central198522-210.512
156AFC Central198122-210.512
163NFC South201821-210.500
163NFC East201421-210.500
163NFC East201122-220.500
163AFC East200922-220.500
163NFC South200322-220.500
163NFC West200321-210.500
163NFC Central200122-220.500
163AFC Central199920-200.500
163NFC West199521-210.500
163AFC Central199221-210.500
163AFC East198718-180.500
163NFC East198022-220.500
163AFC East197416-160.500
163NFC Central197317-17-10.500
163AFC West197315-15-40.500
163AFC Central197316-16-20.500
163AFC East197216-16-10.500
180AFC Central199622-230.489
181NFC North200921-220.488
181NFC East200421-220.488
181NFC East200021-220.488
181AFC East199021-220.488
181NFC West199021-220.488
181NFC West198121-220.488
187NFC East201020-210.488
187AFC North200720-210.488
187AFC West199920-210.488
187AFC East198020-210.488
187AFC West197620-210.488
192NFC Central197417-180.486
193NFC West197016-17-10.485
194AFC West197216-170.485
195AFC East197715-160.484
196NFC East201821-230.477
197AFC East201220-220.476
197AFC West201120-220.476
197NFC East200620-220.476
197AFC South200520-220.476
197NFC South200420-220.476
197NFC North200320-220.476
197NFC East199420-220.476
197NFC Central199320-220.476
197AFC East197820-220.476
206AFC West198719-21-10.476
207AFC East197115-17-10.470
208NFC Central198214-16-10.468
209AFC East199621-240.467
210NFC South201320-230.465
210AFC South201220-230.465
210NFC North200620-230.465
210NFC East200320-230.465
210AFC South200220-230.465
210NFC East200120-230.465
210NFC East199520-230.465
210AFC East199320-230.465
218AFC North201319-220.463
218NFC East201219-220.463
218AFC West201019-220.463
218AFC East197919-220.463
222NFC West201820-240.455
222NFC North201620-240.455
222AFC East199220-240.455
222NFC West197820-240.455
222NFC Central197515-180.455
227NFC West201119-230.452
227AFC West200319-230.452
227AFC West200119-230.452
227NFC West199719-230.452
227AFC Central199319-230.452
227NFC East198919-230.452
233AFC East197514-170.452
234AFC East201819-240.442
234NFC Central199119-240.442
234NFC West198519-240.442
237AFC West201718-230.439
237AFC North201518-230.439
237AFC South201018-230.439
237AFC West200918-230.439
237AFC West199218-230.439
237AFC Central199018-230.439
237NFC Central198918-230.439
237NFC Central198118-230.439
245AFC Central198210-130.435
246AFC East199519-250.432
247AFC South201618-240.429
247NFC South200618-240.429
247NFC West200618-240.429
247NFC West200218-240.429
247NFC West199318-240.429
247NFC West198018-240.429
253AFC East200718-250.419
253NFC West200518-250.419
253AFC West200018-250.419
253AFC East198418-250.419
257AFC North201717-240.415
257NFC North201317-240.415
257NFC North200517-240.415
257NFC North200417-240.415
257AFC North200317-240.415
257NFC West200017-240.415
257AFC East199717-240.415
257NFC East198817-240.415
265AFC East197014-200.412
266NFC West199618-260.409
266AFC East199118-260.409
266NFC Central198818-260.409
266NFC East197313-19-10.409
270AFC East197613-190.406
271AFC East200517-250.405
271AFC Central199417-250.405
273AFC North200216-24-10.402
274AFC South201718-270.400
275NFC East199917-260.395
275AFC East198617-260.395
277NFC West197713-200.394
278NFC East201316-250.390
278NFC East199816-250.390
278AFC Central198316-250.390
278NFC Central198016-250.390
278NFC Central197816-250.390
283AFC North201616-26-10.384
283NFC Central198716-26-10.384
285AFC West197513-210.382
285NFC West197413-210.382
287AFC Central199816-260.381
287AFC Central199116-260.381
287NFC Central199016-260.381
287AFC East198116-260.381
291NFC West197212-20-10.379
292NFC East199715-25-10.378
293AFC West200716-270.372
293NFC West199916-270.372
293AFC Central199516-270.372
296NFC South200715-260.366
296NFC Central199215-260.366
296AFC Central198515-260.366
296NFC Central198315-260.366
296NFC Central197715-260.366
301AFC South201115-270.357
301NFC West200715-270.357
303AFC West198814-26-10.354
304NFC West197512-220.353
305AFC South201415-280.349
305NFC West197915-280.349
305NFC Central197915-280.349
308AFC Central197111-21-10.348
308AFC Central197011-21-10.348
310NFC East201514-270.341
310AFC West201214-270.341
310AFC East198914-270.341
310NFC Central198614-270.341
314NFC West197613-26-10.338
315NFC West201014-280.333
315AFC Central198414-280.333
317AFC South201513-280.317
317NFC North200813-280.317
317NFC West200413-280.317
317NFC North200213-280.317
321NFC West201613-290.310
321AFC South201313-290.310
321NFC West200913-290.310
324NFC West19827-160.304
325NFC Central198412-29-10.298
326NFC West200813-310.295
327AFC West200812-300.286
328NFC South201411-30-10.274

If the NFC East goes 2-5 in its final 7 games, it will cement itself as the worst division in NFL history.

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