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The Patriots And The Point Spread Under Tom Brady

Tomorrow, the Patriots will be 15-point favorites to win on the road in Washington. This is the third time in four weeks that New England is favored to win by more than two touchdowns. The Patriots had been favored in 69 consecutive games until the 2018 AFC Championship Game, but the Patriots have quickly resumed their usual role as favorites.

The graph below shows the point spread in every Patriots game since 2001. The games are colored based on whether it was a regular season game, a playoff game, or a game without Tom Brady.

Some remarkable notes.

This Sunday will be the 69th straight regular season game under Tom Brady where the Patriots are favored. The last time New England was not favored with Brady was against the Packers in 2014.

The Patriots have been home favorites in every game, regular season or not, in every single game since 2002 unless Peyton Manning was the opposing quarterback. The graph below shows the point spread in every home game.

And here are the point spreads in every road game, which is maybe even more remarkable.

As always, please leave your thoughts in the comments.

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