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The Rams Return to Los Angeles: How Will They Do?

It’s now official: the Rams are heading back to Los Angeles, home of the team from 1946 to 1994. The Rams played in Cleveland during the team’s first decade of existence before heading the league’s westward expansion after World Warr II. The Rams played in Memorial Coliseum from ’46 to ’79, before moving to Anaheim Stadium from 1980 to 1994. It is still unclear where the team will play in the short term, although a return to the Coliseum seems likely. But beginning in 2019, the team will play in Inglewood, California.

A three-year period at an interim stadium is an interesting phenomenom to analyze, and will probably be worthwhile to examine in say, three years. In general, teams have only a minimal home field advantage during year one in a new home, so a three-year window at the Coliseum could hurt the Rams on-field product a little bit (and the same goes for the 2019 season at the new stadium). But for now, let’s look at the bigger move across the country.

The Rams are the 11th team [1]Note that while the NFL doesn’t consider the 1996 Ravens an extension of the 1995 Browns, for the intent of this post, it makes sense to treat them as such. since 1960 to make a significant franchise relocation. [2]By significant, I’m excluding things like the Titans moving from Memphis to Nashville, the Jets moving to Long Island to New Jersey, the Patriots moving around Massachusetts, and so on. In general, these teams have fared pretty well relative to their play in the prior year, although that may cloud the issue (the ’95 Browns being a famous example of a team floundering in its final season in a city).

New YearOld TeamNew TeamYr N-1 RecordYr N RecordOld HCNew HC
2015St. Louis RamsLos Angeles Rams7-9??Jeff FisherJeff Fisher
1997Houston OilersTennessee Oilers8-88-8Jeff FisherJeff Fisher
1996Cleveland BrownsBaltimore Ravens5-114-12Bill BelichickTed Marchibroda
1995Los Angeles RaidersOakland Raiders9-78-8Art ShellMike White
1995Los Angeles RamsSt. Louis Rams4-127-9Chuck KnoxRich Brooks
1988St. Louis CardinalsPhoenix Cardinals7-87-9Gene StallingsGene Stallings
1984Baltimore ColtsIndianapolis Colts7-94-12Frank KushFrank Kush
1982Oakland RaidersLos Angeles Raiders7-98-1Tom FloresTom Flores
1963Dallas TexansKansas City Chiefs11-35-7-2Hank StramHank Stram
1961Los Angeles ChargersSan Diego Chargers10-412-2Sid GillmanSid Gillman
1960Chicago CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals2-106-5-1Pop IvyPop Ivy

The good news for the Rams: their head coach has experience at this sort of thing! Of course, how the 2016 Rams fare is hardly the big issue here. So I’ll open this one up to the comments: how do you feel about the Rams returning to Los Angeles?

References

References
1 Note that while the NFL doesn’t consider the 1996 Ravens an extension of the 1995 Browns, for the intent of this post, it makes sense to treat them as such.
2 By significant, I’m excluding things like the Titans moving from Memphis to Nashville, the Jets moving to Long Island to New Jersey, the Patriots moving around Massachusetts, and so on.
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