Week 13 (2018) Game Scripts: Titans and Chargers Pull Off Big Comebacks

by Chase Stuart on December 6, 2018

Previously:

- Week 1 Game Scripts
- Week 2
- Week 3
- Week 4
- Week 5
- Week 6
- Week 7
- Week 8
- Week 9
- Week 10
- Week 11
- Week 12

I am short on time this week, so just a few notes:

The Chargers won with a -6.5 Game Script in Pittsburgh, while the Titans beat the Jets at home despite a -8.2 Game Script. The worst Game Script this year by a winning team was Green Bay at -9.3 in the season opener; the Titans game is the second lowest, followed by the Bears against the Cardinals in week 3, the Panthers in Philadelphia in week 7, and the Chargers/Steelers game.

Search:

Team	H/R	Opp	Boxscore	PF	PA	Margin	Game Script	Pass	Run	P/R Ratio	Op_P	Op_R	Opp_P/R Ratio
HOU		CLE	Boxscore	29	13	16	13.8	35	39	47.3%	43	9	82.7%
SEA		SFO	Boxscore	43	16	27	13.3	20	29	40.8%	51	22	69.9%
KAN	@	OAK	Boxscore	40	33	7	9.8	38	30	55.9%	41	28	59.4%
NWE		MIN	Boxscore	24	10	14	7	32	39	45.1%	46	13	78%
DAL		NOR	Boxscore	13	10	3	6.5	35	31	53%	30	19	61.2%
TAM		CAR	Boxscore	24	17	7	6.1	34	25	57.6%	46	19	70.8%
DEN	@	CIN	Boxscore	24	10	14	5.9	23	34	40.4%	42	23	64.6%
LAR	@	DET	Boxscore	30	16	14	4.3	35	29	54.7%	38	26	59.4%
MIA		BUF	Boxscore	21	17	4	4.1	27	23	54%	35	31	53%
PHI		WAS	Boxscore	28	13	15	4.1	39	33	54.2%	28	14	66.7%
NYG		CHI	Boxscore	30	27	3	3.5	39	29	57.4%	45	32	58.4%
BAL	@	ATL	Boxscore	26	16	10	2.5	27	49	35.5%	30	15	66.7%
JAX		IND	Boxscore	6	0	6	2.2	27	27	50%	55	16	77.5%
ARI	@	GNB	Boxscore	20	17	3	0.1	28	29	49.1%	51	23	68.9%
LAC	@	PIT	Boxscore	33	30	3	-6.5	38	22	63.3%	46	17	73%
TEN		NYJ	Boxscore	26	22	4	-8.2	38	22	63.3%	32	33	49.2%

The Ravens and Broncos were the two most run-heavy teams this week; both have questionable passing games but very strong running games, and when the Game Script goes in their favor, that’s a winning formula. In the fourth quarter, Baltimore had 17 runs and just 3 passes; the Broncos had 12 runs (and just two first downs) compared to two pass plays (one sack, one attempt).

The Colts were super pass-happy in a game that was 3-0 at halftime and ended 6-0. Andrew Luck was not very good, which led to him passing more and more often. A competitive game where the team has a star quarterback who plays badly and narrowly trails most of the way is the recipe for a very high pass ratio, and you saw that on Sunday.

What stands out to you?

Tagged as: Game Scripts

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