Let’s start with a piece of good news: I’ve created a 2016 Game Scripts page! On the top right of every page, there is a link to the 2016 Game Scripts, along with a dropdown option to view prior seasons. Here’s a screenshot:
So that’s the good news. The bad news is the Jets. In other news, Houston had the second-biggest comeback of the season as measured by Game Script: the Texans beat the Colts with a Game Script of -6.9. In many ways, this was more shocking than what the Chiefs did to the Chargers in week one (-10.3). That game was a 7-point contest with three minutes left; on Sunday Night Football, the Colts led by 14 with three minutes left, yet still managed to lose the game.
Let’s get to the Week 6 Game Scripts:
| Team | H/R | Opp | Boxscore | PF | PA | Margin | Game Script | Pass | Run | P/R Ratio | Op_P | Op_R | Opp_P/R Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | NYJ | Boxscore | 28 | 3 | 25 | 11.6 | 35 | 35 | 50% | 38 | 14 | 73.1% | |
| NOR | CAR | Boxscore | 41 | 38 | 3 | 10.6 | 50 | 21 | 70.4% | 49 | 27 | 64.5% | |
| SDG | DEN | Boxscore | 21 | 13 | 8 | 8.9 | 31 | 29 | 51.7% | 52 | 16 | 76.5% | |
| DAL | @ | GNB | Boxscore | 30 | 16 | 14 | 7.9 | 29 | 33 | 46.8% | 43 | 24 | 64.2% |
| TEN | CLE | Boxscore | 28 | 26 | 2 | 6.4 | 26 | 31 | 45.6% | 48 | 15 | 76.2% | |
| BUF | SFO | Boxscore | 45 | 16 | 29 | 6.1 | 30 | 44 | 40.5% | 31 | 28 | 52.5% | |
| KAN | @ | OAK | Boxscore | 26 | 10 | 16 | 5.7 | 24 | 40 | 37.5% | 36 | 17 | 67.9% |
| WAS | PHI | Boxscore | 27 | 20 | 7 | 5.6 | 34 | 33 | 50.7% | 27 | 21 | 56.3% | |
| MIA | PIT | Boxscore | 30 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 32 | 36 | 47.1% | 37 | 16 | 69.8% | |
| NWE | CIN | Boxscore | 35 | 17 | 18 | 4.2 | 38 | 22 | 63.3% | 33 | 32 | 50.8% | |
| SEA | ATL | Boxscore | 26 | 24 | 2 | 2.5 | 38 | 27 | 58.5% | 46 | 18 | 71.9% | |
| DET | RAM | Boxscore | 31 | 28 | 3 | -0.9 | 32 | 26 | 55.2% | 33 | 22 | 60% | |
| NYG | BAL | Boxscore | 27 | 23 | 4 | -3 | 47 | 17 | 73.4% | 49 | 26 | 65.3% | |
| JAX | @ | CHI | Boxscore | 17 | 16 | 1 | -5.1 | 36 | 19 | 65.5% | 50 | 27 | 64.9% |
| HOU | IND | Boxscore | 26 | 23 | 3 | -6.9 | 40 | 28 | 58.8% | 35 | 32 | 52.2% |
Three teams stood out this week as being very pass-heavy:
- New Orleans had an insane pass ratio for a team with a +10.6 Game Script. The Saints led 21-0 midway through the second quarter, and 31-17 entering the 4th. Carolina did wind up tying the game, so it got much closer, but New Orleans still had 50 dropbacks in this game! That’s one more than the Panthers!
- Cleveland had a pretty crazy pass ratio, too, just not when compared to the Saints. The Browns were in a somewhat competitive game (-6.4 Game Script, the 6th worst of the week), but passed on 76% of all plays, the 2nd highest pass ratio of the week. Also: Asaiah Crowell was averaging 6.46 yards per carry on 61 carries through four games, and has averaged 1.73 YPC on 22 carries since.
- The Giants had the highest pass ratio among winning teams in week 6. New York passed on 73% of all plays, despite a +3.0 Game Script. Of course, Eli Manning averaged 8.44 yards per dropbacks, while the Giants rushed 17 times for just 38 yards.
On the flip side, Buffalo and Kansas City stood out for their run-heavy ways. I wrote about the Bills running game efficiency this week at 538, but the run-heavy nature of the offense was on display, too. This game wasn’t a blowout the way the final score indicates: the 49ers trailed by 8 in the 4th quarter, but the Bills still ran a league-high 44 rushing plays this week.
As for Kansas City, the Chiefs had the lowest pass ratio of the week, at just 37.5%. Spencer Ware led the charge; he, Jamaal Charles, and Charcandrick West combined for 183 yards on 36 carries, a 5.1 YPC average. Alex Smith only had to throw 22 attempts, and with just three incompletions, it was a pretty rough day for the Raiders defense.