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Week Fourteen NCAA SRS Rankings: Alabama Finishes #1

The college regular season is over, other than Army/Navy this weekend. Let’s start with a review of the final week of the season for the B12, and the conference championship games for the rest of major college football.

Washington’s destruction of Colorado lead the way, while yet another Alabama blowout only comes in second due to the weaker opponent (yes, Florida is nearly ten points worse than Colorado; 2016 is weird). Also, Temple with a huge upset win over Navy comes in third.

And now, the final 2016 standings: As you can imagine, Alabama comes in at number one, [1]Although not by as wide of a margin as you might suspect. That’s mostly a flaw of the SRS, though, and not Alabama. The Crimson Tide had one “bad” game this year, a 5-point win … Continue reading followed by Ohio State. Playoff teams Washington and Clemson are 4 and 5, meaning the only “oddity” at the top of the rankings is Michigan. But with two losses, it makes sense that Michigan would miss the playoffs even if the Wolverines ranked 3rd in the SRS.

How about a look at conference rankings? Contrary to popular belief, the Pac 12 was not only good this year, but it checks out as the best conference in all of college football:

That’s probably misleading, though. The Big 10 has two more teams than the Pac 12; if you removed Rutgers (the worst Big 10 team) and Maryland (the 4th worst), the Big 10 would have an SRS of 45.7. If you plot the two conferences team by team, you see that the Big 10 has the better top team, the better 2nd best team, 3rd best team, and 4th best team. The Pac 12 has the better 5th and 6th best teams, but the Big 10 has the better 7th and 8th best teams. The Pac 12 then have the best 9th, 10th, 11th, and 12th best teams.

b10-p12

And what about if we break it down by division?

The SEC West was against king this year, but the SEC East was garbage. It finishes as the worst division among all Power 5 conferences, and barely better than the Mountain Division in the Mountain West Conference.

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1 Although not by as wide of a margin as you might suspect. That’s mostly a flaw of the SRS, though, and not Alabama. The Crimson Tide had one “bad” game this year, a 5-point win over an Ole Miss team that finished 5-7 and in last place in the SEC West. Alabama received an SRS grade of 49.9 for that one.

The next three lowest games were 56.1 against Chattanooga, 58.1 against Kent State, and 60.7 against Kentucky. Those were the three worst teams Alabama faced, and they won by a combined 113-9. But by simply scheduling those teams and not beating them 70-0, Alabama’s rating went down.

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