In December, I noted that Antonio Brown was leading the NFL in Adjusted Catch Yards per Team Attempt. Now that the season is over, I wanted to update that post. Based on the end-of-year numbers, Brown once again led the NFL in that metric, just slightly edging Julio Jones.
ACY/TmAtt is pretty simple to calculate. Let’s use Brown as an example. He gained 1,834 yards, caught 10 touchdowns, and picked up 84 first downs. If we give 20 yards for each touchdown and 9 yards for each first down (excluding the ones that were touchdowns), you can see that Brown gained 2,700 Adjusted Catch Yards. By contrast, Julio Jones gained 1,871 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns, and had 93 first downs. That’s slightly more impressive — mostly based on the first downs total — and translates to 2,796 Adjusted Catch Yards.
But Jones played for the Falcons, who had 653 pass plays in 2015; Brown’s Steelers had only 623, which means Jones had more opportunities to pick up targets, receptions, first downs, and yards. On a per-team pass attempt basis, Brown gained 4.33 ACY/TPA, while Jones averaged 4.28. In other words, slight edge to Brown.
Bears receiver Alshon Jeffery had a sneaky good year. He was only on the field for 502 offensive snaps, which is about half that of the average star receiver (and about half of Chicago’s team snaps total). If you were to double his numbers, he’d have a 1600-yard, 86-first down season, which is even more impressive when you consider that the Bears were a run-heavy team. [1]Jeffery had monster games in Detroit and San Diego, though, so it’s unlikely that he would have kept up this pace over a full season. When calculating the ACY/TPA for players who played in fewer than 16 games, I used a straight line multiplier based on games played. For example, Jeffery had 1,238 Adjusted Catch Yards, and the Bears had 556 team pass attempts. That would give Jeffery 2.23 ACY/TPA, but we multiply that by 16/9 (since Jeffery only played in 9 games) to get at a 3.96 ACY/TPA number found in the table. Since Jeffery only played in about half of the games in St. Louis and in Minnesota, even that may understate things: if we used 8 games in the denominator instead of 9, he’d vault to number one on the list.
The table below shows the leaders in ACY/TPA this season. [2]Two notes to keep in mind. One is that sacks are included in team pass attempts. The other is that for players that missed games, we are not discounting his team’s pass attempts in those … Continue reading You can see the 2014 results here, although note that in that article, I labeled the pro-rated number as Adjusted Catch Yards per Estimated Team Attempts.
Rk | Player | G | Pos | Tm | Rec | Yds | TD | FD | Adj Catch Yds | Team PA | ACY/TPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Antonio Brown* | 16 | WR | PIT | 136 | 1834 | 10 | 84 | 2700 | 623 | 4.33 |
2 | Julio Jones* | 16 | WR | ATL | 136 | 1871 | 8 | 93 | 2796 | 653 | 4.28 |
3 | Alshon Jeffery | 9 | wr | CHI | 54 | 807 | 4 | 43 | 1238 | 556 | 3.96 |
4 | Brandon Marshall* | 16 | WR | NYJ | 109 | 1502 | 14 | 76 | 2340 | 626 | 3.74 |
5 | Sammy Watkins | 13 | WR | BUF | 60 | 1047 | 9 | 41 | 1515 | 507 | 3.68 |
6 | A.J. Green* | 16 | WR | CIN | 86 | 1297 | 10 | 63 | 1974 | 537 | 3.68 |
7 | DeAndre Hopkins* | 16 | WR | HOU | 111 | 1521 | 11 | 83 | 2389 | 655 | 3.65 |
8 | Odell Beckham* | 15 | WR | NYG | 96 | 1450 | 13 | 67 | 2196 | 650 | 3.60 |
9 | Mike Evans | 15 | WR | TAM | 74 | 1206 | 3 | 63 | 1806 | 562 | 3.43 |
10 | Jeremy Maclin | 15 | WR | KAN | 87 | 1088 | 8 | 49 | 1617 | 519 | 3.32 |
11 | Larry Fitzgerald* | 16 | WR | ARI | 109 | 1215 | 9 | 65 | 1899 | 589 | 3.22 |
12 | Allen Robinson* | 16 | WR | JAX | 80 | 1400 | 14 | 61 | 2103 | 658 | 3.20 |
13 | Steve Smith | 7 | wr | BAL | 46 | 670 | 3 | 28 | 955 | 700 | 3.12 |
14 | Greg Olsen* | 16 | TE | CAR | 77 | 1104 | 7 | 52 | 1649 | 535 | 3.08 |
15 | Doug Baldwin | 16 | WR | SEA | 78 | 1069 | 14 | 47 | 1646 | 535 | 3.08 |
16 | Jordan Reed | 14 | te | WAS | 87 | 952 | 11 | 54 | 1559 | 582 | 3.06 |
17 | Keenan Allen | 8 | wr | SDG | 67 | 725 | 4 | 34 | 1075 | 707 | 3.04 |
18 | Demaryius Thomas | 16 | WR | DEN | 105 | 1304 | 6 | 63 | 1937 | 645 | 3.00 |
19 | Julian Edelman | 9 | wr | NWE | 61 | 692 | 7 | 37 | 1102 | 667 | 2.94 |
20 | Eric Decker | 15 | WR | NYJ | 80 | 1027 | 12 | 60 | 1699 | 626 | 2.89 |
21 | Delanie Walker* | 15 | TE | TEN | 94 | 1088 | 6 | 52 | 1622 | 605 | 2.86 |
22 | Rob Gronkowski* | 15 | TE | NWE | 72 | 1176 | 11 | 52 | 1765 | 667 | 2.82 |
23 | Calvin Johnson* | 16 | WR | DET | 88 | 1214 | 9 | 65 | 1898 | 676 | 2.81 |
24 | John Brown | 15 | WR | ARI | 65 | 1003 | 7 | 49 | 1521 | 589 | 2.75 |
25 | Jarvis Landry* | 16 | WR | MIA | 110 | 1157 | 4 | 60 | 1741 | 633 | 2.75 |
26 | Emmanuel Sanders | 15 | WR | DEN | 76 | 1135 | 6 | 51 | 1660 | 645 | 2.75 |
27 | Stefon Diggs | 13 | wr | MIN | 52 | 720 | 4 | 31 | 1043 | 499 | 2.57 |
28 | Allen Hurns | 15 | WR | JAX | 64 | 1031 | 10 | 48 | 1573 | 658 | 2.55 |
29 | Tyler Eifert* | 13 | TE | CIN | 52 | 615 | 13 | 38 | 1100 | 537 | 2.52 |
30 | Travis Kelce* | 16 | TE | KAN | 72 | 875 | 5 | 40 | 1290 | 519 | 2.49 |
31 | T.Y. Hilton* | 16 | WR | IND | 69 | 1124 | 5 | 49 | 1620 | 656 | 2.47 |
32 | Martavis Bryant | 11 | wr | PIT | 50 | 765 | 6 | 25 | 1056 | 623 | 2.47 |
33 | Gary Barnidge* | 16 | TE | CLE | 79 | 1043 | 9 | 52 | 1610 | 662 | 2.43 |
34 | Jimmy Graham | 11 | TE | SEA | 48 | 605 | 2 | 29 | 888 | 535 | 2.41 |
35 | Amari Cooper* | 16 | WR | OAK | 72 | 1070 | 6 | 45 | 1541 | 639 | 2.41 |
36 | Vincent Jackson | 10 | wr | TAM | 33 | 543 | 3 | 28 | 828 | 562 | 2.36 |
37 | Brandin Cooks | 16 | WR | NOR | 84 | 1138 | 9 | 45 | 1642 | 699 | 2.35 |
38 | Ted Ginn | 15 | WR | CAR | 44 | 739 | 10 | 36 | 1173 | 535 | 2.34 |
39 | Michael Floyd | 15 | wr | ARI | 52 | 849 | 6 | 40 | 1275 | 589 | 2.31 |
40 | Anquan Boldin | 14 | WR | SFO | 69 | 789 | 4 | 35 | 1148 | 579 | 2.27 |
41 | Rishard Matthews | 11 | WR | MIA | 43 | 662 | 4 | 31 | 985 | 633 | 2.26 |
42 | Jordan Matthews | 16 | WR | PHI | 85 | 997 | 8 | 44 | 1481 | 660 | 2.24 |
43 | Michael Crabtree | 16 | WR | OAK | 85 | 922 | 9 | 45 | 1426 | 639 | 2.23 |
44 | Willie Snead | 15 | wr | NOR | 69 | 984 | 3 | 44 | 1413 | 699 | 2.16 |
45 | Marvin Jones | 16 | WR | CIN | 65 | 816 | 4 | 33 | 1157 | 537 | 2.15 |
46 | James Jones | 16 | WR | GNB | 50 | 890 | 8 | 39 | 1329 | 620 | 2.14 |
47 | Terrance Williams | 16 | WR | DAL | 52 | 840 | 3 | 36 | 1197 | 562 | 2.13 |
48 | Pierre Garcon | 16 | WR | WAS | 72 | 777 | 6 | 43 | 1230 | 582 | 2.11 |
49 | Kamar Aiken | 16 | WR | BAL | 75 | 944 | 5 | 53 | 1476 | 700 | 2.11 |
50 | Travis Benjamin | 16 | WR | CLE | 68 | 966 | 5 | 39 | 1372 | 662 | 2.07 |
51 | Randall Cobb | 16 | WR | GNB | 79 | 829 | 6 | 42 | 1273 | 620 | 2.05 |
52 | Antonio Gates | 11 | te | SDG | 56 | 630 | 5 | 33 | 982 | 707 | 2.02 |
53 | Kenny Britt | 16 | WR | STL | 36 | 681 | 3 | 29 | 975 | 491 | 1.99 |
54 | Zach Ertz | 15 | te | PHI | 75 | 853 | 2 | 39 | 1226 | 660 | 1.98 |
55 | Golden Tate | 16 | WR | DET | 90 | 813 | 6 | 50 | 1329 | 676 | 1.97 |
56 | DeSean Jackson | 10 | wr | WAS | 30 | 528 | 4 | 15 | 707 | 582 | 1.94 |
57 | Charles Clay | 13 | TE | BUF | 51 | 528 | 3 | 26 | 795 | 507 | 1.93 |
58 | Jermaine Kearse | 16 | WR | SEA | 49 | 685 | 5 | 32 | 1028 | 535 | 1.92 |
59 | Jason Witten | 16 | TE | DAL | 77 | 713 | 3 | 36 | 1070 | 562 | 1.90 |
60 | Tyler Lockett* | 16 | wr | SEA | 51 | 664 | 6 | 31 | 1009 | 535 | 1.89 |
61 | Robert Woods | 14 | wr | BUF | 47 | 552 | 3 | 27 | 828 | 507 | 1.87 |
62 | Rueben Randle | 16 | WR | NYG | 57 | 797 | 8 | 35 | 1200 | 650 | 1.85 |
63 | Ben Watson | 16 | TE | NOR | 74 | 825 | 6 | 42 | 1269 | 699 | 1.82 |
64 | Martellus Bennett | 11 | TE | CHI | 53 | 439 | 3 | 24 | 688 | 556 | 1.80 |
65 | Steve Johnson | 10 | wr | SDG | 45 | 497 | 3 | 29 | 791 | 707 | 1.79 |
66 | Donte Moncrief | 16 | WR | IND | 64 | 733 | 6 | 40 | 1159 | 656 | 1.77 |
67 | Markus Wheaton | 16 | wr | PIT | 44 | 749 | 5 | 32 | 1092 | 623 | 1.75 |
68 | Nate Washington | 14 | WR | HOU | 47 | 658 | 4 | 33 | 999 | 655 | 1.74 |
69 | Marquess Wilson | 11 | wr | CHI | 28 | 464 | 1 | 20 | 655 | 556 | 1.71 |
70 | Cecil Shorts | 11 | wr | HOU | 42 | 484 | 2 | 27 | 749 | 655 | 1.66 |
71 | Danny Amendola | 14 | wr | NWE | 65 | 648 | 3 | 32 | 969 | 667 | 1.66 |
72 | Danny Woodhead | 16 | rb | SDG | 80 | 755 | 6 | 39 | 1172 | 707 | 1.66 |
73 | Brian Hartline | 12 | wr | CLE | 46 | 523 | 2 | 30 | 815 | 662 | 1.64 |
74 | Jerricho Cotchery | 14 | wr | CAR | 39 | 485 | 3 | 26 | 752 | 535 | 1.61 |
75 | Jamison Crowder | 16 | wr | WAS | 59 | 604 | 2 | 34 | 932 | 582 | 1.60 |
Please leave your thoughts and questions in the comments.
References
↑1 | Jeffery had monster games in Detroit and San Diego, though, so it’s unlikely that he would have kept up this pace over a full season. |
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↑2 | Two notes to keep in mind. One is that sacks are included in team pass attempts. The other is that for players that missed games, we are not discounting his team’s pass attempts in those particular missed games, but just using the straight line proration method described above. |