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Over at Footballguys.com, I analyzed how the fantasy value of quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends have changed since 1990. The NFL is a very different beast than it was 23 years ago, but you might be surprised to see what that means for fantasy football. To measure value, I examined the VBD curves for each of the four major positions in fantasy football.

For those unfamiliar with VBD, you can read Joe Bryant’s landmark article here. The guiding principle is that the value of a player is determined not by the number of points he scores but by how much he outscores his peers at his particular position. This means that in a league that starts 12 quarterbacks, each quarterback’s VBD score is the difference between his fantasy points and the fantasy points scored by the 12th best quarterback. The cut-offs at the other positions are 12, 24, and 36, for tight ends, running backs, and wide receivers, respectively.

The NFL in 2013 won’t closely resemble how the league looked in 1990, but what does that mean for fantasy football? To determine that, we need to see if VBD has evolved with the rest of the football statistics. Let’s start with a graph displaying number of fantasy points scored by the last starter at each position since 1990. As you can see, quarterback scoring has risen significantly over the last two decades, and the production of the 12th tight end has nearly doubled over that time period.

Worst Starter Since 1990

You can see the full article here.

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Green Bay didn’t use a first round pick on a running back, but the Packers did spend a second round pick on Alabama’s Eddie Lacy and a fourth round pick on UCLA’s Johnathan Franklin.  How much weight should we put on draft status when one team drafts two running backs just a couple of rounds apart?  One school of thought is that the Packers liked both players and are maximizing their odds of finding a star; another is that Green Bay prefers Lacy and wants him to win the job, since he was their first choice.  Here’s another thing to consider, courtesy of my good buddy Sigmund Bloom: the Packers traded down to grab Lacy and traded up to draft Franklin, indicating that perhaps the Packers were higher on Franklin than you might think.

How rare is it for teams to double dip at the running back position like this? That depends on how you want to categorize what the Packers did. I think a reasonable comparison would be to look at all teams that:

  • Did not draft a running back in the first round but drafted one in the second or third rounds (this excludes combinations like Stepfan Taylor and Andre Ellington); and
  • Then drafted a different running back within the next two rounds

Since 1970, only 34 teams have met those criteria, meaning this is a strategy employed roughly three times every four years. In three instances, a team drafted three running backs that met those two criteria, and we’ll deal with them at the end of this post. I’m going to exclude three teams that drafted fullbacks after selecting halfbacks, as the 2008 Lions (drafted Jerome Felton after Kevin Smith), 2003 Ravens (Ovie Mughelli after Musa Smith), and 1999 Dolphins (Rob Konrad after J.J. Johnson) don’t really fit the intent of the post. That leaves us with 28 pairs of running backs. The table below lists each pair. On the left, you will see the first running back drafted, his round and overall pick, his rookie rushing yards, his rookie fantasy points total (using 0.5 points per reception), and his career rushing yards; on the right, the same information is presented for the second running back drafted. The far right column shows the difference between the two players in terms of fantasy points during their rookie year. For example, Stevan Ridley scored 41 more points than Shane Vereen in 2011, even though the Patriots drafted Vereen first.
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The Saints would dig Football Perspective

The Saints would dig Football Perspective.

Last week, Chase had a great post where he looked at what percentage of the points scored by a team in any given game is a function of the team, and what percentage is a function of the opponent. The answer, according to Chase’s method, was 58 percent for the offense and 42 percent for the defense (note that, in the context of posts like these, “offense” means “scoring ability, including defensive & special-teams scores”, and “defense” means “the ability to prevent the opponent from scoring”). Today I’m going to use a handy R extension to look at Chase’s question from a slightly different perspective, and see if it corroborates what he found.

My premise begins with every regular-season game played in the NFL since 1978. Why 1978? I’d love to tell you it was because that was the year the modern game truly emerged thanks to the liberalization of passing rules (which, incidentally, is true), but really it was because that was the most convenient dataset I had on hand with which to run this kind of study. Anyway, I took all of those games, and specifically focused on the number of points scored by each team in each game. I also came armed with offensive and defensive team SRS ratings for every season, which give me a good sense of the quality of both the team’s offense and their opponent’s defense in any given matchup.

If you know anything about me, you probably guessed that I want to run a regression here. My dependent variable is going to be the number of points scored by a team in a game, but I can’t just use raw SRS ratings as the independent variables. I need to add them to the league’s average number of points per game during the season in question to account for changing league PPG conditions, lest I falsely attribute some of the variation in scoring to the wrong side of the ball simply due to a change in scoring environment. This means for a given game, I now have the actual number points scored by a team, the number of points they’d be expected to score against an average team according to SRS, and the number of points their opponents would be expected to allow vs. an average team according to SRS.
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Oklahoma tries, fails to stop Tavon Austin

Oklahoma tries, fails to stop Tavon Austin.

It’s become trendy in recent weeks to discuss how players like Tavon Austin are “changing the game,” after the success of multi-dimensional athletes like Percy Harvin, Darren Sproles, Randall Cobb, and Aaron Hernandez. Many football analysts have described these players as the next phase in the evolution of the game; for example, here’s what Greg Cosell wrote earlier this week:

I wrote about the Seattle Seahawks a number of weeks ago, specifically relating to the trade for Percy Harvin. I made the point that Seattle did not acquire Harvin solely to line him up at wide receiver. He will be so much more than that. He will align everywhere in the formation, the ultimate chess piece that can attack from anywhere on the board. Just like Cobb in Green Bay and Hernandez in New England. This is the light bulb moment. That’s exactly what Austin should be in the NFL. Those who see him solely as a slot receiver are stuck in conventional thinking, and missing the larger, more expansive point. Austin is not a static, inert player. He’s a movement player, a peripatetic ball of energy that creates all kinds of matchup issues for defenses.

I believe Austin, Hernandez, Cobb and Harvin are representative of where NFL teams would like to go with their personnel, and their passing concepts. The objective is to have five receivers, and certainly four, who can align all over the formation. Traditionally, they can be wide receivers, tight ends or running backs. It can be the Patriots with their “12” personnel. Or the Packers, with their four-wide receiver personnel. From a schematic perspective, it doesn’t matter how you define them by position. The overriding, and superseding point is that they are all movable chess pieces, all “Jokers”, to use the term that I’ve used before and I think is aptly descriptive. That’s the “Cosell Doctrine”, and that’s the direction I see the NFL game trending. It’s about passing, and how you can create, and ultimately dictate favorable matchups. You do that with players that are amorphous and fluid in their ability to be utilized in ways both multiple and expansive, yet somewhat unstructured based on conventional definitions.

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Forgotten Stars: Hugh Taylor

Bones stretches for a touchdown

Bones stretches for a touchdown.

Only three players in NFL history have been responsible for half of their team’s receiving touchdowns over a six-year period: Don Hutson, Jerry Rice, and Hugh Taylor. You probably don’t know much about Taylor, the Washington Redskins star receiver who played from 1947 to 1954. In his first game in the NFL, he caught 8 passes for 212 yards and 3 touchdowns, giving him the record for receiving yards in a player’s first game that stood until 2003.  In his last game, he caught five passes for 106 yards and three touchdowns.  In between those games, he was a star receiver on one of the worst teams in the NFL.  Despite the short career, Taylor came in at #63 on my list of the best receivers of all time. His most impressive season came in 1952, when he was responsible for 45% of the Redskins’ receiving yards and produced the 52nd-best season ever by a wide receiver.

At 6’4, Taylor was one of the tallest receivers of his era, but at only 194 pounds, he was also very deserving of his nickname: Bones. Taylor made up for his skinny physique with a long stride that enabled him to get behind defenders.  I spoke with T.J. Troup, an NFL historian who has coached wide receivers at the college and high school levels, for his thoughts on Taylor. Troup owns a significant amount of NFL film from the late ’40s and ’50s, making him the perfect source for this subject.  He described Taylor to me as one of the best home-run threats of his day, with a playing style similar to other long-striders like Harlon Hill, Don Maynard, and Lance Alworth. The numbers certainly back that up.

The table below shows all receivers who were responsible for at least 39% of a team’s receiving touchdowns over a six-year period.  Note that several receivers would show up multiple times on this list, so for players like Hutson, I’ve limited them to their single best six-year stretch. Taylor’s stretch from ’49 to ’54 ranks second on the list:

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Good bit of trivia from my buddy Scott Kacsmar: there were 71 interceptions returned for touchdowns in 2012, the highest number in NFL history. Another interesting fact about the 2012 season: just 2.6 interceptions were thrown per 100 attempts, the lowest figure in NFL history.

We already know that the league-wide interception rate has been rapidly decreasing for years, but the significant increase in interceptions returned for touchdowns per interception is an under-reported story. Last year was the year of the Pick Six, but the Pick Six rate (INTs returned for touchdowns per interception) has been on the rise for several years. The graph below shows both the interception rate (100*INTs/Att) in blue (and measured against the left vertical axis) and the Pick Six rate (100*INT TDs/INT) in red (and measured against the right vertical axis):

Pick Six rate
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In 2006, Doug looked into how much of a role the month in which you were born could play into your chances for athletic success later in life. Doug didn’t just ponder this out of thin air: a bit more research has been spent on this topic than you might think. Steve Levitt, of Freakonomics fame, found some evidence indicating that “older” kids in the same level of play — older by as much as 365 days, I suppose — tended to be more likely to become professional athletes. Basically, if you’re the oldest kid in your travel soccer team or 8th-grade basketball team, chances are you will be better than the other kids. This leads to a snowball effect, where you might be more likely to receive more personal coaching and your confidence should increase.

J.C. Bradury graphed the birth-month of over 16,000 major league baseball players. Take a look:
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Welker won't have any more "rare" drops in New England.

Welker won't have any more 'rare' drops in New England.

The craziness continues, with Wes Welker signing with the Denver Broncos being the big story of day two of the league year. The Patriots responded by signing Danny Amendola, the least surprising move since Brandon Lloyd joined Josh McDaniels in New England last year. Arguably the biggest move so far this week has been Mike Wallace joining Dolphins, while Greg Jennings still seems likely to move on from Green Bay. Throw in Percy Harvin to Seattle and Anquan Boldin to San Francisco, and we’re seeing a lot of movement among the top receivers this year. Which gives me an opportunity to do a quick data dump on the best receivers to ever switch teams.

In some ways, it’s hard to find a comparable receiver to Welker. He’s been so productive for so long that it’s easy to be unimpressed with the 118 catches, 1,354 yards, and six touchdowns he had last year, but no receiver had ever switched teams after catching more than 101 catches in a season. Only two receivers — Muhsin Muhammad and Yancey Thigpen — gained more receiving yards in a season than Welker did in 2012 and then played for a new team the next year.

But Welker’s amazingly unique numbers are a product of playing in a very pass-friendly environment on a team that threw 641 passes last year. To compare players across systems and eras, I came up with a wide receiver ranking system last month. That will allow us to look at the best receivers to switch teams and not just the ones from the last couple of decades. For some perspective, Welker ranked 8th among wide receivers last season, although that’s without any Tom Brady-adjustment.

The table below contains a lot of information. It shows receivers who added over 200 yards of value over average in Year N and then played for a new team in Year N+1. For each player, I’ve listed his old team, his age in Year N, some traditional statistics, the amount of value added by the receiver, and his rank among wide receivers. Then starting in the “N+1 tm” category, we see his new team, his statistics in the new season, how much value he added in Year N+1 and his rank in that season.
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Mike Wallace dropped Pittsburgh for Miami.

Mike Wallace dropped Pittsburgh for Miami.

Happy New Year to the NFL, which opened for business at 4PM yesterday. It’s been a busy couple of days, as the Seahawks (Percy Harvin) and 49ers (Anquan Boldin) acquired veteran receivers a day before the floodgates opened. The Dolphins made the biggest waves yesterday by signing WR Mike Wallace and ILB Dannell Ellerbe from AFC North heavyweights, and then later released ILB Karlos Dansby and signed OLB Philip Wheeler from the Raiders. The Colts chose to go quantity over quality by signing four different players (G Donald Thomas from New England, OLB/Colin Kaepernick turnstile Erik Walden from Green Bay, T Gosder Cherilus from Detroit, and DE Lawrence Sidbury from Atlanta). The Ravens lost Paul Kruger to Cleveland but did sign former Giants DE Chris Canty.

Tennessee made some noise signing G Andy Levitre from Buffalo and TE Delanie Walker from San Francisco, while the Chiefs picked up 3-4 DE Mike DeVito and TE Anthony Fasano from the AFC East. Chicago helped out Jay Cutler by signing TE Martellus Bennett (Giants) and T Jermon Bushrod (New Orleans), while Sam Bradford will be happy to know that the Rams added TE Jared Cook from Tennessee. The Broncos added guard Louis Vasquez from division-rival San Diego to keep Peyton Manning upright, and are rumored to be after Steelers running back Rashard Mendenhall. The Eagles won’t win the headlines, but made a couple of interesting signings in NT Isaac Sopoaga (San Francisco) and TE/HB/WR/FB/Chip Kelly chess piece James Casey from Houston. About an hour later, the Eagles added CB Bradley Fletcher (Rams), S Patrick Chung (Patriots) and LB Jason Phillips (Panthers). And there were some releases, with Ryan Fitzpatrick (Buffalo), Nnamdi Asomugha (Philadelphia), Sione Pouha (Jets), and Darrius Heyward-Bey and Michael Huff (Oakland) among the more notable cuts. You can check out Pro-Football-Reference.com’s free agent tracker to stay up to date on the latest signings.

The first few days of the league year provide fans across the country with an opportunity to ring in the new year with a dash of optimism. But how often does adding a veteran or two via trade or free agency land a team in the Super Bowl? The table below lists every notable veteran acquisition [1]Here, notable means having an AV of 4 or greater in Year N. by the 40 teams to make the Super Bowl since 1993, the start of the Free Agency era in the NFL. The “W/L” column shows whether the team won or lost in the Super Bowl, while the AV column shows how much Approximate Value the player provided in his first season with the new team. The N-1 Tm and N-1 AV columns show where the player came from and how valuable he was in the prior year; the table is sorted by the average of the player’s AV in Years N and N-1.
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References

References
1 Here, notable means having an AV of 4 or greater in Year N.
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The origin of the name ‘Redskins’

The uniform worn by the Boston Redskins in 1935

The debate concerning whether the Washington Redskins should change its name has resurfaced in recent weeks. I have my opinion as to whether a name change is appropriate, but nobody cares to read that. Instead, I’d like to recount the history behind the name.

The nickname ‘Redskins’ predates the team playing football in Washington. The organization began playing football in 1932 — in Boston — under the nickname Braves. That was changed in 1933 to Redskins, and the franchise moved to Washington in 1937.

So where did the name Braves come from? The NFL was a fledgling league in the ’20s and ’30s, and teams in that era often chose names synonymous with the local baseball team. George Halas saw the success of the Cubs and named his team the Bears. When the Portsmouth Spartans moved to Detroit in 1934, the name “Lions” made sense for a city that already loved the Tigers. Major League Baseball’s San Francisco Giants began playing in New York in the 19th century, so it didn’t take the football team long to come up with a nickname in 1925. Like the Giants, the Boston football team simply copied one of the baseball team’s names — and they didn’t pick ‘Red Sox’. In 1932, the Atlanta Braves were still playing in Boston at Braves Field, and since that’s where the football team was scheduled to play, I imagine the team spent all of several seconds coming up with a name.
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The History of Black Quarterbacks in the NFL

Fritz Pollard, the first African American coach and quarterback in the NFL.

Fritz Pollard, the first African American coach and quarterback in the NFL.

Five years ago, I wrote a four part series detailing the history of the black quarterback. With February being Black History Month and Super Bowl XLVII marking the 25th anniversary of Doug Williams becoming the first black quarterback to win a Super Bowl, I figured it was worth another trip down memory lane.

The history of black quarterbacks in professional football is complicated. As recently as 2007, the New York Giants had never had a black quarterback throw even a single pass. On the other hand, as far back as 1921, Frederick Douglass “Fritz” Pollard not only quarterbacked the Akron Pros, but was also the first black head coach in NFL history.  A year earlier, Pollard and Bobby Marshall were the first two black players in professional football history and helped the Pros win the championship in the NFL’s inaugural season. [1]At the time, the NFL went by the name the American Professional Football Association. It was not known as the NFL until 1922. The Pros ran the single-wing, and Pollard was the player lined up behind the center who received the snaps. At the time the forward pass was practically outlawed, so Pollard barely resembles the modern quarterback outside of the fact that he threw a few touchdown passes during his career. [2]In addition to his NFL exploits, Pollard also achieved a great deal of fame for leading Brown to back-to-back road wins over the powerhouse schools of the time, Yale and Harvard, in 1916. He would … Continue reading

According to the great Sean Lahman, at least one African American played in the NFL in every year from 1920 to 1933, although Pollard was the only quarterback. [3]It wasn’t just African Americans that had full access during this era: Jim Thorpe coached and starred in a team composed entirely of Native Americans called the Oorang Indians in 1922 and 1923. Beginning in 1934, that there was an informal ban on black athletes largely championed by Washington Redskins owner George Marshall.   It wasn’t until 1946 that black players were re-admitted to the world of professional football, when UCLA’s Kenny Washington [4]Who occupied the same backfield with the Bruins as Jackie Robinson. and Woody Strode were signed by the Los Angeles Rams; in the AAFC, Bill Willis and Marion Motley were signed by Paul Brown’s Cleveland Browns that same season.
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References

References
1 At the time, the NFL went by the name the American Professional Football Association. It was not known as the NFL until 1922.
2 In addition to his NFL exploits, Pollard also achieved a great deal of fame for leading Brown to back-to-back road wins over the powerhouse schools of the time, Yale and Harvard, in 1916. He would become the first African American to be named an All-American and the prior season, he lead Brown to the Rose Bowl.
3 It wasn’t just African Americans that had full access during this era: Jim Thorpe coached and starred in a team composed entirely of Native Americans called the Oorang Indians in 1922 and 1923.
4 Who occupied the same backfield with the Bruins as Jackie Robinson.
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The table below lists every retired number for each of the 32 franchises. It also lists each player’s career AV (starting in 1950), position(s), and years with the team. Each column is sortable, and you can use the search box to search by team (or uniform number, or position, or anything else); you can also change how many rows are shown by clicking on the dropdown box on the left.

FranchisePlayerNumberPosAVFirst YrLast Yr
Arizona CardinalsJ.V. Cain88TE-WR2119741977
Arizona CardinalsMarshall Goldberg99B019391948
Arizona CardinalsStan Mauldin77T019461948
Arizona CardinalsPat Tillman40DB1619982001
Arizona CardinalsLarry Wilson8DB9619601972
Atlanta FalconsWilliam Andrews31RB6819791986
Atlanta FalconsSteve Bartkowski10QB7019751985
Atlanta FalconsTommy Nobis60LB6319661976
Atlanta FalconsJeff Van Note57C-G-LB7719691986
Baltimore RavensNone
Buffalo BillsJim Kelly12QB10319861996
Carolina PanthersSam Mills51LB10019951997
Chicago BearsDick Butkus51LB9719651973
Chicago BearsWillie Galimore28HB3419571963
Chicago BearsBill George61LB-G-MG-DT13219521965
Chicago BearsRed Grange77HB-BB-DB-TB019251934
Chicago BearsGeorge Halas7E019201928
Chicago BearsBill Hewitt56E-DE019321936
Chicago BearsSid Luckman42QB-HB-DB119391950
Chicago BearsGeorge McAfee5HB-DB819401950
Chicago BearsBronko Nagurski3FB-LB-T019301943
Chicago BearsWalter Payton34RB12819751987
Chicago BearsBrian Piccolo41RB719661969
Chicago BearsGale Sayers40RB5419651971
Chicago BearsBulldog Turner66C-T-LB-G2019401952
Cincinnati BengalsBob Johnson54C5719681979
Cleveland BrownsJim Brown32FB10619571965
Cleveland BrownsDon Fleming46DB1919601962
Cleveland BrownsOtto Graham14QB-DB8419461955
Cleveland BrownsLou Groza76T-C-DT-K10019461967
Cleveland BrownsErnie Davis45RB019621962
Dallas CowboysNone
Denver BroncosJohn Elway7QB13819831998
Denver BroncosFloyd Little44RB7119671975
Detroit LionsLem Barney20DB11119671977
Detroit LionsDutch Clark7TB-DB019311938
Detroit LionsChuck Hughes85WR719701971
Detroit LionsBobby Layne22QB10719501958
Detroit LionsBarry Sanders20RB12219891998
Detroit LionsJoe Schmidt56LB11919531965
Detroit LionsBilly Sims20RB5819801984
Detroit LionsDoak Walker37HB-DB5819501955
Green Bay PackersTony Canadeo3HB-TB-FB-DB1819411952
Green Bay PackersDon Hutson14E-DB-DE019351945
Green Bay PackersRay Nitschke66LB10219581972
Green Bay PackersBart Starr15QB10019561971
Green Bay PackersReggie White92DE-DT16319931998
Houston TexansNone
Indianapolis ColtsRaymond Berry82E10219551967
Indianapolis ColtsArt Donovan70DT-T8819531961
Indianapolis ColtsPeyton Manning18QB16519982011
Indianapolis ColtsGino Marchetti89DE-T-DT12119531966
Indianapolis ColtsLenny Moore24HB-FL9619561967
Indianapolis ColtsJim Parker77T-G10219571967
Indianapolis ColtsJohnny Unitas19QB14119561972
Indianapolis ColtsBuddy Young22HB-FB-DB3019531955
Jacksonville JaguarsNone
Kansas City ChiefsBobby Bell78LB-DE10519631974
Kansas City ChiefsBuck Buchanan86DT10119631975
Kansas City ChiefsLen Dawson16QB10019621975
Kansas City ChiefsAbner Haynes28HB3619601964
Kansas City ChiefsMack Lee Hill36FB-HB1319641965
Kansas City ChiefsWillie Lanier63LB9919671977
Kansas City ChiefsJan Stenerud3K819671979
Kansas City ChiefsDerrick Thomas58LB10619891999
Kansas City ChiefsEmmitt Thomas18DB7819661978
Kansas City ChiefsStone Johnson33HB-KR019631963
Miami DolphinsLarry Csonka39RB7219681979
Miami DolphinsBob Griese12QB10519671980
Miami DolphinsDan Marino13QB14619831999
Minnesota VikingsCris Carter80WR9819902001
Minnesota VikingsJim Marshall70DE10719611979
Minnesota VikingsAlan Page88DT15719671978
Minnesota VikingsKorey Stringer77T4519952000
Minnesota VikingsFran Tarkenton10QB13919611978
Minnesota VikingsMick Tingelhoff53C10219621978
New England PatriotsBruce Armstrong78T-G8719872000
New England PatriotsGino Cappelletti20FL-SE-DB-WR-K4119601970
New England PatriotsBob Dee89DE-DT4719601967
New England PatriotsJohn Hannah73G10619731985
New England PatriotsMike Haynes40DB10919761982
New England PatriotsJim Hunt79DT-DE4719601970
New England PatriotsSteve Nelson57LB7019741987
New Orleans SaintsDoug Atkins81DE12019671969
New Orleans SaintsJim Taylor31FB7019671967
New York GiantsAl Blozis32T019421944
New York GiantsCharlie Conerly42QB7619481961
New York GiantsRay Flaherty1E-DE019281935
New York GiantsFrank Gifford16HB-FL-DB-WR8819521964
New York GiantsMel Hein7C-LB019311945
New York GiantsTuffy Leemans4FB-TB-DB-QB019361943
New York GiantsJoe Morrison40HB-FL-FB4219591972
New York GiantsPhil Simms11QB9119791993
New York GiantsKen Strong50FB-TB-HB-WB-DB-K019331947
New York GiantsLawrence Taylor56LB13919811993
New York GiantsY.A. Tittle14QB11219611964
New York JetsDennis Byrd90DT-DE1919891992
New York JetsJoe Klecko73DT-NT-DE7619771987
New York JetsCurtis Martin28RB10019982005
New York JetsDon Maynard13E-FL-HB7019601972
New York JetsJoe Namath12QB9019651976
Oakland RaidersNone
Philadelphia EaglesChuck Bednarik60LB-C13319491962
Philadelphia EaglesTom Brookshier40DB5619531961
Philadelphia EaglesJerome Brown99DT4819871991
Philadelphia EaglesBrian Dawkins20DB10119962008
Philadelphia EaglesPete Retzlaff44E-HB-TE7119561966
Philadelphia EaglesSteve Van Buren15HB1219441951
Philadelphia EaglesReggie White92DE-DT16319851992
Philadelphia EaglesAl Wistert70T-G-DT2419431951
Pittsburgh SteelersErnie Stautner70DT-DE-G11219501963
San Diego ChargersLance Alworth19FL-WR7819621970
San Diego ChargersDan Fouts14QB12219731987
San Diego ChargersJunior Seau55LB12519902002
San Francisco 49ersJohn Brodie12QB8819571973
San Francisco 49ersDwight Clark87WR6119791987
San Francisco 49ersJimmy Johnson37DB-HB10819611976
San Francisco 49ersCharlie Krueger70DT-DE7919591973
San Francisco 49ersRonnie Lott42DB11719811990
San Francisco 49ersHugh McElhenny39HB8819521960
San Francisco 49ersJoe Montana16QB12319791992
San Francisco 49ersLeo Nomellini73DT-T11619501963
San Francisco 49ersJoe Perry34FB7519481963
San Francisco 49ersJerry Rice80WR16019852000
San Francisco 49ersBob St. Clair79T8019531963
San Francisco 49ersSteve Young8QB13519871999
Seattle SeahawksFans (12th man)12
Seattle SeahawksWalter Jones71T9619972008
Seattle SeahawksCortez Kennedy96DT9719902000
Seattle SeahawksSteve Largent80WR10319761989
St. Louis RamsIsaac Bruce80WR10219942007
St. Louis RamsEric Dickerson29RB9119831987
St. Louis RamsMarshall Faulk28RB13319992005
St. Louis RamsDeacon Jones75DE11219611971
St. Louis RamsMerlin Olsen74DT13919621976
St. Louis RamsJackie Slater78T-G9319761995
St. Louis RamsBob Waterfield7QB3519451952
St. Louis RamsJack Youngblood85DE12219711984
Tampa Bay BuccaneersLee Roy Selmon63DE-DT8119761984
Tennessee TitansElvin Bethea65DE8919681983
Tennessee TitansEarl Campbell34RB6819781984
Tennessee TitansBruce Matthews74G-C-T12119832001
Tennessee TitansWarren Moon1QB11919841993
Tennessee TitansMike Munchak63G8419821993
Tennessee TitansJim Norton43DB-P4419601968
Washington RedskinsSammy Baugh33QB-TB1819371952

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Now that we live in a world where Joe Flacco and Eli Manning have quarterbacked 3 of the last 6 Super Bowl-winning teams, you might be tempted to think that winning a Super Bowl as a QB doesn’t mean what it used to. After all, the playoffs are getting more random — as Aaron Schatz pointed out last night, four of the last six Super Bowl champs have finished the regular season with 10 or fewer wins. So it stands to reason that, as the championship teams themselves post less-remarkable seasons, so too would their quarterbacks not be the cream of the crop. And for all of his postseason brilliance, Flacco was just the league’s 17th-best quarterback during the regular season. Does his ascendancy, coming on the heels of Manning’s, signal a new trend?

To answer that question, I turned to a methodology I’ve used many times before. The basic premise is that, to put modern and historical quarterbacks on an even playing field (no pun intended), you must translate their stats into a common environment. To do this, you take the quarterback’s stats from a given season, pro-rate to 16 scheduled games, and multiply by the ratio of the league’s per-game average during the season in question to that of a common reference season. For instance, if I’m adjusting Terry Bradshaw’s 1977 passing yards to the 1991-2012 period, I would multiply his actual total of 2,523 by (16/14) to account for the shorter season that year, then multiply that by (225.1/162.2) to account for the change in the league’s passing environment, giving an adjusted total of 4,001 yards.

After doing that for every QB season since the merger, I then plugged the translated stats into a regression formula that predicts Football Outsiders’ Yards Above Replacement based on the QB’s box score stats (including the standard cmp/att/yds/td/int, plus sacks, fumbles, and rushing stats). This gives us Estimated Yards Above Replacement (eYAR) a measure of total value for each QB season, adjusted for schedule length and league passing conditions, which is perfect for historical analysis.

To get an idea of what we’re talking about, here are Flacco’s career translated stats and eYAR numbers:
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The winner of the first Super Bowl

The winner of the first Super Bowl.

Congratulations to Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Joe Flacco, and the Baltimore Ravens on winning Super Bowl XLVII. The Ravens and 49ers treated us to an exciting Super Bowl, and the Hall of Fame chances of Terrell Suggs, Haloti Ngata, Matt Birk, Anquan Boldin, and yes, Joe Flacco, are a lot better today than they were 24 hours ago. And while most writers today will focus on the champions, I’m going to go in a different direction.

Two years ago, the 49ers were 6-10 and floundering; they had the 5th worst record in the league from 2004 from 2010 in the pre-Jim Harbaugh era. Today, San Francisco possesses arguably the NFL’s most talented roster and best coaching staff, but is coming off a painful loss in the title game.

When I look at the 49ers, it’s hard not to see the striking similarities to an incredible turnaround executed 52 years ago. From 1953 to 1958, the Green Bay Packers were one of the league’s most poorly-run franchises. The team won just 20 games over that six-year period, the second fewest in the league. Vince Lombardi arrived in 1959, and the Packers won the NFL’s West Division in 1960, losing in the final seconds in the title game that year to Philadelphia. It was a heartbreaking loss, but the Packers used that game as motivation to win NFL titles in ’61, ’62, ’65, ’66, and ’67, with the latter two coming in the Super Bowl.

In 2011, I read and reviewed John Eisenberg’s excellent book That First Season: How Vince Lombardi Took the Worst Team in the NFL and Set It on the Path to Glory. Eisenberg looked at a subject that always fascinated me: the 1958 Packers, despite being the worst team in the league, had seven future Hall of Famers.
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Ever wondered which Super Bowl teams were the oldest or youngest? I went and calculated the AV-adjusted age of every team to appear in the Super Bowl. (AV stands for Pro-Football-Reference’s Approximate Value system, which assigns an approximate value to each player in each season; you can read more about it here.) You can probably guess who the oldest team was, but the youngest might be a bit of a surprise. Baltimore and San Francisco both come in roughly in the middle of the pack, with the Ravens slightly older than the 49ers. This also jives with Football Outsiders’ snap-adjusted ages article.

Bill Barnwell wrote a good article yesterday summarizing the success of Ozzie Newsome, the Baltimore Ravens general manager. That made me curious to see what percentage (based on AV, not total players, naturally) of the players on each Super Bowl team had never before played for another team. Great general managers do more than build their teams through the draft (and Barnwell specifically praised Newsome for that, including the trade for Anquan Boldin), but the question of what percentage of the team is “homegrown” is still an interesting one.

For the Ravens, 73% of their players (as measured by AV) have never played for another team, with Boldin, Cary Williams, Jacoby Jones, Bryant McKinnie, Matt Birk, Bernard Pollard, Corey Graham, and Vontae Leach being some notable exceptions. On the other side, 75% of the 49ers have only worn the red and gold, although Justin Smith, Jonathan Goodwin, Randy Moss, Donte Whitner, Carlos Rogers, Mario Manningham (at least, in the regular season) were key contributors who are not home-grown 49ers.

When it comes to AV-adjusted age or measuring how ‘home-grown’ each team is, neither team really stands out from the pack. The ’78 and ’79 Steelers featured 22 starters that were all home-grown, although making placekicker Roy Gerela the lone outlier (and since AV does not include kickers, both Pittsburgh teams were at 100%).

In addition to the AV-adjusted ages and “home-grownness” of each Super Bowl participant, the table below includes where each team (since 1970) ranked in points for, points allowed, yards, and yards allowed, and whether or not the team won the game. The table is fully sortable and searchable, and the rows for San Francisco and Baltimore will remain highlighted after sorting.

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I was planning on ignoring the latest Randy Moss news, using that word liberally as it applies to things said on media day. In case you missed it, Moss said yesterday that he believes he is the greatest receiver of all time. Moss is an obvious future Hall of Famer, but Jason Lisk gave Moss’ comments the appropriate treatment yesterday.

Today, though, Moss upped the ante by noting that “Jerry Rice had two Hall of Fame QBs his whole career. Give me that and see where my numbers are.” Yes, Rice was fortunate to play with Joe Montana and Steve Young, , but there is a pretty simple response to that. I wrote that response when Rice was a finalist for the Hall of Fame three years ago. You can read the full HOF profile I wrote on Rice, but I’ve reprinted Part III below:
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The Schottenheimer Index

Marty checking to make sure the pilot light is out.

Marty inquires as to whether Felix Wright's pilot light is out.

Last week, Neil brought us the latest iteration of the Manning Index, showing which quarterbacks have overachieved in the playoffs relative to expectation (based off of the Vegas line). I’m going to do the same today for coaches. A couple of introductory notes:

Neil described the exact methodology in his quarterbacks post, so I won’t waste time repeating it. However, I wanted to look at coaches over an even longer period, and 1950 sounded like a good cut-off. [1]Note that coaches, like Paul Brown, who coached before 1950 are included, but their pre-1950 stats are not. Since we don’t have point-spread data for games from 1950 to 1977 [2]One other piece of fine print: for the Super Bowls, I used the actual Vegas lines, since those are readily available., I simply used the projected point spread based on the differential between each team’s SRS ratings and by awarding the home team three points. So for pre-1977 games, coaches are credited with wins over expectation based on the SRS, and for post-1977, for wins over expectation based on the Vegas line. Here are the results.
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References

References
1 Note that coaches, like Paul Brown, who coached before 1950 are included, but their pre-1950 stats are not.
2 One other piece of fine print: for the Super Bowls, I used the actual Vegas lines, since those are readily available.
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Flaccoing?

Flaccoing?

In September, I started a post by asking you to make this assumption:

Assume that it is within a quarterback’s control as to whether or not he throws a completed pass on any given pass attempt. However, if he throws an incomplete pass, then he has no control over whether or not that pass is intercepted.

If that assumption is true, that would mean all incomplete pass attempts could be labeled as “passes in play” for the defense to intercept. Therefore, a quarterback’s average number of “Picks On Passes In Play” (or POPIP) — that is, the number of interceptions per incomplete pass he throws — is out of his control.

After doing the legwork to test that assumption, I reached two conclusions. One, interception rate is just really random, and predicting it is a fool’s errand. Two, using a normalized INT rate — essentially replacing a quarterback’s number of interceptions per incomplete pass with the league average number of interceptions per incomplete pass — was a slightly better predictor of future INT rate than actual INT rate. It’s not a slam dunk, but there is some merit to using POPIP, because completion percentage, on average, is a better predictor of future INT rate than current INT rate.

So, why am I bringing this up today, at the start of Super Bowl week? Take a look at where Sunday’s starting quarterbacks ranked this year in POPIP (playoff statistics included, minimum 250 pass attempts):
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Want to see how passing has changed in the NFL over the last 63 years? A picture is worth at least 1,000 words in this case. The graph below shows the number of interceptions per dropback (red), sacks per dropback (purple), non-INT incomplete passes per dropback (yellow) and completions per dropback (green). Of course, a dropback is simply a pass attempt or a sack. The information is stacked on top of each other for ease of viewing.

pdist2
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Those are some clutch shirts

Those are some clutch shirts.

Eight years ago — almost to the day — our old PFR colleague Doug Drinen wrote a Sabernomics post about “The Manning Index”, a metric designed to roughly gauge the clutchness (or chokeitude) of a given quarterback by looking at how he did relative to expectations (he revived this concept in version two, six years ago). In a nutshell, Doug used the location of the game and the win differential of the two teams involved to establish an expected winning percentage for each quarterback in a given matchup. He then added those up across all of a quarterback’s playoff starts, and compared to the number of wins he actually had. Therefore, quarterbacks who frequently exceeded expectations in playoff games could be considered “clutch” while those who often fell short (like the Index’s namesake, Peyton Manning) might just be inveterate chokers.

Doug ran that study in the midst of the 2004-05 playoffs, so it shouldn’t be surprising that Tom Brady (who was at the time 8-0 as a playoff starter and would run it to 10-0 before ever suffering a loss) came out on top, winning 3.5 more games than you’d expect from the particulars of the games he started. Fast-forward eight years, though, and you get this list of quarterbacks who debuted after 1977:
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Is Joe Flacco elite?

Just a guess, but I think that question will be asked quite a few times over the next couple of weeks. While the inanity of the discussion that usually follows that question is not something I wish to emulate, there’s no particular reason not to take an in-depth look at Flacco’s career. The table below shows Flacco’s performance in six key metrics — all relative to league average (1.00) — for each season of his career:

Flacco career

As you can see, with the exception of his great interception rate — which justifies its own post during this pre-Super Bowl period — Flacco’s career performance has been rather average. His touchdown rate, like those of many quarterbacks, has bounced up and down throughout his career. His sack rate was below average during his first three years, improved significantly in 2011, and landed right at the league average in 2012.

ELITE

That is an elite Fu Manchu.

In the three main statistics — Y/A, NY/A, and ANY/A — Flacco has consistently finished in a tight window around the league average. His ANY/A has been slightly better than his NY/A thanks to that lofty interception rate, but suffice it to say Joe Flacco is, and has been for years, a league average quarterback.

If we look at ESPN’s Total QBR, Flacco ranked 27th as a rookie in 2008, 15th in 2009, and 12th in 2010, signaling a young quarterback improving and on the rise. In 2011, he ranked 14th, perhaps signaling a leveling off, and then this past season, he finished 25th. The positive spin would be that he’s a league-average quarterback, and the negative one (at least prior to this post-season) would have been that he was regressing.

On the other hand, here is how Flacco has performed in the playoffs in each game, as measured by AY/A:

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Super Bowl History

Now that the Super Bowl matchup is set, I thought I’d start the two-week period with some Super Bow history. The table below lists some information from each of the first 46 Super Bowls. With Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick facing off, that ends five-year streak where at least one of the two quarterbacks in the Super Bowl had previously won (or been in) a Super Bowl:

YearSBWinnerPFLoserPALocationSTQBOpp QBMVP
2011XLVINew York Giants21New England Patriots17IndianapolisINEli ManningTom BradyEli Manning
2010XLVGreen Bay Packers31Pittsburgh Steelers25ArlingtonTXAaron RodgersBen RoethlisbergerAaron Rodgers
2009XLIVNew Orleans Saints31Indianapolis Colts17MiamiFLDrew BreesPeyton ManningDrew Brees
2008XLIIIPittsburgh Steelers27Arizona Cardinals23TampaFLBen RoethlisbergerKurt WarnerSantonio Holmes
2007XLIINew York Giants17New England Patriots14GlendaleAZEli ManningTom BradyEli Manning
2006XLIIndianapolis Colts29Chicago Bears17MiamiFLPeyton ManningRex GrossmanPeyton Manning
2005XLPittsburgh Steelers21Seattle Seahawks10DetroitMIBen RoethlisbergerMatt HasselbeckHines Ward
2004XXIXNew England Patriots24Philadelphia Eagles21JacksonvilleFLTom BradyDonovan McNabbDeion Branch
2003XXXVIIINew England Patriots32Carolina Panthers29HoustonTXTom BradyJake DelhommeTom Brady
2002XXXVIITampa Bay Buccaneers48Oakland Raiders21San DiegoCABrad JohnsonRich GannonDexter Jackson
2001XXXVINew England Patriots20St. Louis Rams17New OrleansLATom BradyKurt WarnerTom Brady
2000XXXVBaltimore Ravens34New York Giants7TampaFLTrent DilferKerry CollinsRay Lewis
1999XXXIVSt. Louis Rams23Tennessee Titans16AtlantaGAKurt WarnerSteve McNairKurt Warner
1998XXXIIIDenver Broncos34Atlanta Falcons19MiamiFLJohn ElwayChris ChandlerJohn Elway
1997XXXIIDenver Broncos31Green Bay Packers24San DiegoCAJohn ElwayBrett FavreTerrell Davis
1996XXXIGreen Bay Packers35New England Patriots21New OrleansLABrett FavreDrew BledsoeDesmond Howard
1995XXXDallas Cowboys27Pittsburgh Steelers17TempeAZTroy AikmanNeil O'DonnellLarry Brown
1994XXIXSan Francisco 49ers49San Diego Chargers26MiamiFLSteve YoungStan HumphriesSteve Young
1993XXVIIIDallas Cowboys30Buffalo Bills13AtlantaGATroy AikmanJim KellyEmmitt Smith
1992XXVIIDallas Cowboys52Buffalo Bills17PasadenaCATroy AikmanJim KellyTroy Aikman
1991XXVIWashington Redskins37Buffalo Bills24MinneapolisMNMark RypienJim KellyMark Rypien
1990XXVNew York Giants20Buffalo Bills19TampaFLJeff HostetlerJim KellyOttis Anderson
1989XXIVSan Francisco 49ers55Denver Broncos10New OrleansLAJoe MontanaJohn ElwayJoe Montana
1988XXIIISan Francisco 49ers20Cincinnati Bengals16MiamiFLJoe MontanaBoomer EsiasonJerry Rice
1987XXIIWashington Redskins42Denver Broncos10San DiegoCADoug WilliamsJohn ElwayDoug Williams
1986XXINew York Giants39Denver Broncos20PasadenaCAPhil SimmsJohn ElwayPhil Simms
1985XXChicago Bears46New England Patriots10New OrleansLAJim McMahonTony EasonRichard Dent
1984XIXSan Francisco 49ers38Miami Dolphins16StanfordCAJoe MontanaDan MarinoJoe Montana
1983XVIIILos Angeles Raiders38Washington Redskins9TampaFLJim PlunkettJoe TheismannMarcus Allen
1982XVIIWashington Redskins27Miami Dolphins17PasadenaCAJoe TheismannDavid WoodleyJohn Riggins
1981XVISan Francisco 49ers26Cincinnati Bengals21PontiacMIJoe MontanaKen AndersonJoe Montana
1980XVOakland Raiders27Philadelphia Eagles10New OrleansLAJim PlunkettRon JaworskiJim Plunkett
1979XIVPittsburgh Steelers31Los Angeles Rams19PasadenaCATerry BradshawVince FerragamoTerry Bradshaw
1978XIIIPittsburgh Steelers35Dallas Cowboys31MiamiFLTerry BradshawRoger StaubachTerry Bradshaw
1977XIIDallas Cowboys27Denver Broncos10New OrleansLARoger StaubachCraig MortonRandy White [1]Co-MVP with Harvey Martin
1976XIOakland Raiders32Minnesota Vikings14PasadenaCAKen StablerFran TarkentonFred Biletnikoff
1975XPittsburgh Steelers21Dallas Cowboys17MiamiFLTerry BradshawRoger StaubachLynn Swann
1974IXPittsburgh Steelers16Minnesota Vikings6New OrleansLATerry BradshawFran TarkentonFranco Harris
1973VIIIMiami Dolphins24Minnesota Vikings7HoustonTXBob GrieseFran TarkentonLarry Csonka
1972VIIMiami Dolphins14Washington Redskins7Los AngelesCABob GrieseBilly KilmerJake Scott
1971VIDallas Cowboys24Miami Dolphins3New OrleansLARoger StaubachBob GrieseRoger Staubach
1970VBaltimore Colts16Dallas Cowboys13MiamiFLJohnny UnitasCraig MortonChuck Howley
1969IVKansas City Chiefs23Minnesota Vikings7New OrleansLALen DawsonJoe KappLen Dawson
1968IIINew York Jets16Baltimore Colts7MiamiFLJoe NamathEarl MorrallJoe Namath
1967IIGreen Bay Packers33Oakland Raiders14MiamiFLBart StarrDaryle LamonicaBart Starr
1966IGreen Bay Packers35Kansas City Chiefs10Los AngelesCABart StarrLen DawsonBart Starr

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References

References
1 Co-MVP with Harvey Martin
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Yesterday, I provided my preview of the NFC Championship Game, and I’ll do the same for the AFC tomorrow. But today, here’s a listing of every conference championship game the since the NFL merger. The table below shows each game from the perspective of the winning team and includes a linkable boxscore for each game. The table also includes the Offensive SRS and Defensive SRS grades for each team and each opponent, along with the total SRS difference between the two teams. The final column shows the Vegas spread. You can search for all AFC or NFC games, or all games with BUF or DAL, for example. If you type in “NYG” you will see the five NFC Championship Games the Giants were in: not only was New York 5-0, but they were underdogs in four of those games. As always, the table is also fully sortable.
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Moss makes turkeys out of the Cowboys

Moss was very good when his teams won.

Last weekend, I looked at career rushing stats in wins and losses, and yesterday, I did the same for quarterbacks. Today we will check out the splits for receivers.

I looked at all games, including playoffs, from 1960 to 2011, for all players with at least 4,000 receiving yards over that time period. The table below lists the following information for each player:

– His first year (or 1960, if he played before 1960) and his last year (or 2011, if still active)
– All the franchises he played for (which you can search for in the search box)
– His number of career wins, and his career receptions, receiving yards, yards per reception, and receiving yards per game in wins
– His number of career losses, and his career receptions, receiving yards, yards per reception, and receiving yards per game in losses

You might be surprised to see Andre Johnson at the top of the list, but his career average should decline the longer he plays; that said, 2012 didn’t drop his numbers. On the flip side, Calvin Johnson moves up into the #2 slot; part of that was due to a great season (although Detroit didn’t get many wins) and part of that was due to Randy Moss slipping. Larry Fitzgerald comes up high on the list for the same reason as both Johnsons, although it’s often easy to forget how great Fitzgerald can be thanks to his current situation.

The table is sorted by receiving yards per game in wins:

RkPlayerYearsTeamsPosWinRec_WYd_WYPR_WY/G_WLossRec_LYd_LYPR_LY/G_L
1Andre Johnson2003--2011htxWR52325473914.5891.172394511812.9971.1
2Randy Moss1998--2010min-rai-nwe-otiWR114597996016.6887.493404576314.2662
3Michael Irvin1988--1999dalWR106560913316.3186.262277408614.7565.9
4Larry Fitzgerald2004--2011crdWR59352502114.2685.171383529913.8474.6
5Calvin Johnson2007--2011detWR23113192917.0783.954265415415.6876.9
6Lance Alworth1962--1972sdg-dalFL-WR83360687219.0982.842172309417.9973.7
7Jerry Rice1985--2004sfo-rai-seaWR20710991690915.3981.7118598817313.6769.3
8Art Powell1960--1968nyj-rai-buf-minSE-WR51244416017.0581.645215347716.1777.3
9Jimmy Smith1995--2005jaxWR96512782915.2981.680390510513.0963.8
10Torry Holt1999--2009ram-jaxWR93486741615.2679.789481659613.7174.1
11Charley Hennigan1960--1966otiWR44209350116.7579.640201321315.9980.3
12Steve Smith2001--2011carWR75390589815.1278.684356516214.561.5
13Del Shofner1960--1967ram-nygE41165321319.4778.43186122414.2339.5
14Dwayne Bowe2007--2011kanWR25118194816.5177.949238297912.5260.8
15Don Maynard1960--1973nyj-crdWR-HB79298615020.6477.876305509116.6967
16Terrell Owens1996--2010sfo-phi-dal-buf-cinWR1316551012715.4677.395477655813.7569
17Marvin Harrison1996--2008cltWR125723964913.3577.281444581413.0971.8
18Sterling Sharpe1988--1994gnbWR52292393713.4875.762314442614.171.4
19DeSean Jackson2008--2011phiWR39149293419.6975.22593136414.6754.6
20Wesley Walker1977--1989nyjWR73272548520.1775.171185319517.2745
21Herman Moore1991--2001detWR63314471215.0174.877383493612.8964.1
22Charlie Brown1982--1987was-atlWR42177313417.7174.62171101414.2848.3
23Sonny Randle1960--1968crd-sfo-dalE-WR45178333018.717445155218714.1148.6
24Greg Jennings2006--2011gnbWR61279449316.173.734151224314.8566
25Reggie Wayne2001--2011cltWR122639893813.9973.363306389812.7461.9
26John Jefferson1978--1985sdg-gnb-cleWR54238395316.6173.244131209115.9647.5
27Terry Glenn1996--2007nwe-gnb-dalWR793795686157261246357414.5358.6
28Darnay Scott1994--2002cin-dalWR40171285216.6871.377237334114.143.4
29Buddy Dial1960--1966pit-dalSE-FL35112249422.2771.331110205018.6466.1
30Isaac Bruce1994--2009ram-sfoWR114529811915.3571.2110539784814.5671.3
31Gary Clark1985--1995was-crd-miaWR107484760915.7271.166273407314.9261.7
32Carl Pickens1992--2000cin-otiWR39212274612.9570.484328438313.3652.2
33Homer Jones1964--1970nyg-cleSE-WR3291224024.627047131257319.6454.7
34Marques Colston2006--2011norWR61313426013.6169.832181260814.4181.5
35Cris Carter1987--2002phi-min-miaWR132701918513.169.6101463558412.0655.3
36Al Toon1985--1992nyjWR48251333613.2969.558287355112.3761.2
37Anquan Boldin2003--2011crd-ravWR65332448213.56967405518812.8177.4
38Pete Retzlaff1960--1966phiWR-TE42155288918.6468.842181280715.5166.8
39Chad Ochocinco2001--2011cin-nweWR74350508414.5368.789419604914.4468
40Steve Largent1976--1989seaWR99419679716.2268.7106423672615.963.5
41Raymond Berry1960--1967cltE57263391114.8768.632149197813.2861.8
42Gary Garrison1966--1977sdg-otiWR-SE55192376419.668.463201355717.756.5
43Darrell Jackson2000--2008sea-sfo-denWR61282414714.716863258348813.5255.4
44Mike Quick1982--1990phiWR39142264518.6367.857216366416.9664.3
45James Lofton1978--1993gnb-rai-buf-ram-phiWR109395738718.767.8115402725418.0463.1
46Rob Moore1990--1999nyj-crdWR59269399814.8667.894374557214.959.3
47Fred Barnett1990--1997phi-miaWR59243397716.3767.438136166812.2643.9
48Kellen Winslow1979--1987sdgTE58320390812.2167.455249321312.958.4
49George Sauer1965--1970nyjSE-WR45172301917.5567.130137197714.4365.9
50Joe Horn1996--2007kan-nor-atlWR71319473914.8666.777285405514.2352.7
51Otis Taylor1965--1974kanWR-FL75265498518.8166.541146232315.9156.7
52Mark Duper1983--1992miaWR88324583918.0266.455219362516.5565.9
53Bob Hayes1965--1975dal-sfoSE-WR87268567921.1965.341126212816.8951.9
54Steve Watson1979--1987denWR63223411218.4465.339147231415.7459.3
55Roddy White2005--2011atlWR62296403213.626553256353513.8166.7
56Rod Smith1995--2006denWR121575786513.686564323438413.5768.5
57Flipper Anderson1988--1995ram-cltWR3499220422.2664.858175332318.9957.3
58Eddie Brown1985--1991cinWR53175343119.6164.751197280214.2254.9
59Wes Welker2004--2011sdg-mia-nweWR86509555410.9164.645194211010.8846.9
60Derrick Alexander1994--2002cle-rav-kan-minWR48167309218.5164.469251390915.5756.7
61Andre Reed1985--2000buf-wasWR134599862114.3964.3106437580613.2954.8
62Antonio Gates2003--2011sdgTE80375512413.6664.153257310812.0958.6
63Wes Chandler1978--1988nor-sdg-sfoWR61234389416.6463.884348541915.5764.5
64Anthony Miller1988--1997sdg-den-dalWR71272451216.5963.582332477314.3858.2
65Al Denson1964--1971den-minWR-TE2589158117.7663.24916326081653.2
66Antonio Freeman1995--2003gnb-phiWR95375597815.9462.941155209613.5251.1
67Lee Evans2004--2011buf-ravWR51174320318.4162.867211287413.6242.9
68Plaxico Burress2000--2011pit-nyg-nyjWR95385592315.3862.357202296914.752.1
69Santana Moss2001--2011nyj-wasWR74285460616.1662.288387496312.8256.4
70Brandon Marshall2006--2011den-miaWR43214267612.562.248280357112.7574.4
71Keyshawn Johnson1996--2006nyj-tam-dal-carWR92447569112.7361.982406544913.4266.5
72Joey Galloway1995--2010sea-dal-tam-nwe-wasWR85321520516.2161.2107393590415.0255.2
73Muhsin Muhammad1996--2009car-chiWR105477640713.436196413558913.5358.2
74Henry Ellard1983--1998ram-was-nweWR99343604017.6161125492807916.4264.6
75Tommy McDonald1960--1968phi-dal-ram-atl-cleWR-HB49166297917.9560.861222349315.7357.3
76Anthony Carter1985--1995min-detWR80293485316.5660.762233353515.1757
77Art Monk1980--1995was-nyj-phiWR142631860913.6460.695378517413.6954.5
78Red Phillips1960--1967ram-minE2494145515.4860.653214314714.7159.4
79Roger Carr1974--1983clt-sea-sdgWR40110242522.0560.660163268116.4544.7
80Paul Flatley1963--1970min-atlWR-FL34117206117.6260.655179274215.3249.9
81David Boston1999--2005crd-sdg-miaWR27109162614.9260.247206307314.9265.4
82Ernest Givins1986--1995oti-jaxWR75320451614.1160.280311447314.3855.9
83Dwight Clark1979--1987sfoWR81343487214.260.146216264812.2657.6
84Santonio Holmes2006--2011pit-nyjWR57211342516.2360.138152221214.5558.2
85Paul Warfield1964--1977cle-miaWR-SE115340689220.2759.947132249718.9253.1
86Laveranues Coles2000--2009nyj-was-cinWR71323425313.1759.981378463812.2757.3
87Jimmy Orr1960--1970pit-cltWR73219437219.9659.938119211917.8155.8
88Elbert Dubenion1960--1967bufWR-HB53159317219.9559.842127207516.3449.4
89Ken Burrough1970--1981nor-otiWR67222397717.9159.480204323015.8340.4
90Stephone Paige1983--1991kanWR57180336118.675963203308915.2249
91Todd Christensen1980--1988raiTE-FB66306388812.7158.941186234212.5957.1
92Louis Lipps1984--1992pit-norWR48169282716.7358.963204337616.5553.6
93Jeff Graham1991--2001pit-chi-nyj-phi-sdgWR57222334515.0758.785335506415.1259.6
94Harold Jackson1969--1983phi-ram-nwe-min-seaWR-FL100296586419.8158.684292483516.5657.6
95Tim Brown1988--2004rai-tamWR135562790714.0758.6127577760813.1959.9
96Tony Martin1990--2001mia-sdg-atlWR103369603116.3458.676267373213.9849.1
97John Stallworth1974--1987pitWR103361602316.6858.558230368716.0363.6
98Eric Martin1985--1994nor-kanWR85315496915.7758.568253339613.4249.9
99Stanley Morgan1977--1990nwe-cltWR99298578719.4258.586278525018.8861
100Alfred Jenkins1975--1983atlWR50170290317.0858.160196357118.2259.5
101Jason Witten2003--2011dalTE77381445711.757.967343374510.9255.9
102Kellen Winslow Jr.2004--2011cle-tamTE34153196712.8657.958284286910.149.5
103Braylon Edwards2005--2011cle-nyj-sfoWR48172275916.0457.557184288415.6750.6
104Cris Collinsworth1981--1988cinWR60216344615.9557.448222360616.2475.1
105Gene A. Washington1969--1979sfo-detWR-SE60178344519.3557.469210353516.8351.2
106John Gilliam1967--1977nor-crd-min-atlWR-FL69206394719.1657.270176301717.1443.1
107Chris Burford1960--1967kanSE-WR52205297114.4957.138157229214.660.3
108Max McGee1960--1967gnbE57177324418.3356.91956106719.0556.2
109Charlie Joiner1969--1986oti-cin-sdgWR114404647616.0356.8114375613216.3553.8
110Tony Hill1977--1986dalWR97335550816.4456.846190309816.3167.3
111Bernie Casey1961--1968sfo-ramFB-WR45162254715.7256.644160233114.5753
112Charley Taylor1964--1977wasWR-RB87341491814.4256.570297407113.7158.2
113Javon Walker2002--2009gnb-den-raiWR45157253716.1656.438123176014.3146.3
114Jerry Butler1979--1986bufWR38139213915.3956.347146228515.6548.6
115Carlos Carson1980--1989kan-phiWR50147280919.1156.263203344416.9754.7
116Webster Slaughter1986--1998cle-oti-kan-nyj-sdgWR76276426515.4556.184314424313.5150.5
117Hines Ward1998--2011pitWR145684812911.8856.183393499612.7160.2
118Gail Cogdill1960--1970det-atlSE-WR54172302317.585653164243114.8245.9
119Johnny Morris1960--1967chiFL-HB51189284715.0655.837141179412.7248.5
120Chris Chambers2001--2010mia-sdg-kanWR74273412715.1255.876291392813.551.7
121Cliff Branch1972--1984raiWR129401718417.9255.749170273916.1155.9
122Andre Rison1989--2000clt-atl-cle-jax-gnb-kan-raiWR92361512014.1855.792411550013.3859.8
123Reggie Rucker1970--1981dal-nyg-nwe-cleWR70235389016.5555.679215323415.0440.9
124Eddie Kennison1996--2007ram-nor-chi-den-kanWR75245416316.9955.5102306423213.8341.5
125Antonio Bryant2002--2009dal-cle-sfo-tamWR40148221714.9855.464225347215.4354.3
126Donald Driver1999--2011gnbWR115471636813.5255.476313436713.9557.5
127Marty Booker1999--2009chi-mia-atlWR57242315313.0355.385299356811.9342
128Yancey Thigpen1992--2000pit-otiWR67227370116.355.233121180014.8854.5
129Tony Gonzalez1997--2011kan-atlTE122562672311.9655.1116603677211.2358.4
130Vance Johnson1985--1995denWR70269385614.3355.151183252013.7749.4
131Curtis Conway1993--2004chi-sdg-nyj-sfoWR61232335914.4855.197369495213.4251.1
132Roy Jefferson1965--1976pit-clt-wasWR-SE78251426516.9954.772217349416.148.5
133Fred Biletnikoff1965--1978raiWR-FL136475742415.6354.646148213714.4446.5
134Lionel Taylor1960--1968den-otiWR31136169112.4354.571405515312.7272.6
135Vincent Jackson2005--2011sdgWR63194342917.6854.433107182817.0855.4
136Jim Colclough1960--1968nweE49148266618.0154.445112187416.7341.6
137Carroll Dale1960--1973ram-gnb-minWR-TE91245494920.254.473211366017.3550.1
138Dave Parks1964--1973sfo-nor-otiWR-TE31107168115.7154.267215342415.9351.1
139Shannon Sharpe1990--2003den-ravTE131534710013.354.26934337741154.7
140Ben Hawkins1966--1973phiWR2875151720.2354.257171294517.2251.7
141Eric Moulds1996--2007buf-htx-otiWR89344480313.9654100435551212.6755.1
142Isaac Curtis1973--1984cinWR79226426318.865475203302214.8940.3
143Brian Blades1988--1998seaWR66268355613.2753.978318414213.0353.1
144Lynn Swann1974--1982pitWR94302505416.7453.83280130016.2540.6
145Deion Branch2002--2011nwe-seaWR94367504813.7553.751197238312.146.7
146Sammy White1976--1985minWR68211364617.2853.661188289315.3947.4
147Kevin House1980--1987tam-ramWR3089160818.0753.670218369316.9452.8
148Haywood Jeffires1987--1996oti-norWR65272348312.8153.668304336411.0749.5
149Roy Green1979--1992crd-phiWR76239406617.0153.5104318482615.1846.4
150Ahmad Rashad1972--1982crd-buf-minWR71271376913.9153.167236329513.9649.2
151Amani Toomer1996--2008nygWR110403583114.475389307423213.7947.6
152Bobby Mitchell1960--1968cle-wasWR-HB52175275015.7152.962263419215.9467.6
153Bill Brooks1986--1996clt-buf-wasWR74278391014.0652.885332440313.2651.8
154Harold Carmichael1971--1984phi-dalWR-TE82279430615.4352.599333500115.0250.5
155Drew Pearson1973--1983dalWR121391635016.2452.550165257715.6251.5
156Lance Rentzel1965--1974min-dal-ramWR-FL66180345819.2152.44294154416.4336.8
157Irving Fryar1984--2000nwe-mia-phi-wasWR119398623015.6552.4135477684514.3550.7
158Bert Emanuel1994--2001atl-tam-mia-nwe-detWR44158230014.5652.352202268313.2851.6
159Keenan McCardell1992--2007cle-jax-tam-sdg-wasWR123495642812.9952.387443556712.5764
160Aaron Thomas1961--1970sfo-nygTE-SE3587182821.0152.255170266515.6848.5
161Mark Clayton1983--1993mia-gnbWR102336530315.785265278417815.0364.3
162Jake Reed1992--2002min-norWR72251374214.915262225366616.2959.1
163Roy E. Williams2004--2011det-dal-chiWR46161238814.8351.966237338614.2951.3
164Henry Marshall1976--1987kanWR58188298215.8651.484234363515.5343.3
165John Taylor1987--1995sfoWR94302482515.9851.33591150716.5643.1
166Ricky Sanders1986--1995was-atlWR80286410514.3551.357228288912.6750.7
167Alvin Harper1991--1997dal-tam-wasWR56139287120.6551.32976125716.5443.3
168Frank Clarke1960--1967dalE37112188716.855151149295919.8658
169Marcus Robinson1998--2006chi-rav-minWR47160239414.9650.955172244114.1944.4
170T.J. Houshmandzadeh2001--2011cin-sea-rav-raiWR57253289311.4350.881370428611.5852.9
171Drew Hill1979--1993ram-oti-atlWR103334522015.6350.7105339515215.249.1
172Michael Jackson1991--1998cle-ravWR39127196915.550.562234355615.257.4
173Willie Davis1992--1998kan-otiWR61183307316.7950.444119166914.0337.9
174Boyd Dowler1960--1971gnb-wasFL-SE102324511215.7850.140119160013.4540
175Derrick Mason1997--2011oti-rav-nyj-htxWR141542705313.015097450560912.4657.8
176Johnnie Morton1994--2005det-kan-sfoWR75267374614.0349.997368509213.8452.5
177Mark Carrier1987--1998tam-cle-carWR64212318815.0449.8102366566815.4955.6
178Danny Abramowicz1967--1974nor-sfoE3097149415.449.874255388415.2352.5
179Wayne Chrebet1995--2005nyjWR69263343513.0649.881336419912.551.8
180Dave Kocourek1960--1968sdg-mia-raiTE-FL55157272717.3749.63798150915.440.8
181Ed McCaffrey1991--2003nyg-sfo-denWR106380521213.7249.258227276412.1847.7
182Michael Westbrook1995--2002was-cinWR39135191414.1849.142144236116.456.2
183Lionel Manuel1984--1990nygWR50143244417.0948.933103174016.8952.7
184Gary Collins1962--1971cleWR80240387716.1548.54295149715.7635.6
185Robert Brooks1992--2000gnb-denWR67226324414.3548.436128168313.1546.8
186Frank Sanders1995--2003crd-ravWR48178232313.0548.480336452813.4856.6
187Jerry Porter2000--2008rai-jaxWR38116183915.8548.462197257313.0641.5
188Mel Gray1971--1982crdWR65167311318.6447.978188354518.8645.4
189Tim McGee1986--1994cin-wasWR53145252617.4247.769183273714.9639.7
190Frank Lewis1971--1983pit-bufWR86229409817.947.758190311416.3953.7
191Bernard Berrian2004--2011chi-minWR58178276115.5147.652143182712.7835.1
192Sean Dawkins1993--2001clt-nor-sea-jaxWR54173256614.8347.578290396013.6650.8
193Willie Gault1983--1993chi-raiWR98227465320.547.558127247919.5242.7
194Dallas Clark2003--2011cltTE88358417511.6647.436133155911.7243.3
195Jessie Hester1985--1995rai-atl-clt-ramWR49133231817.4347.373241354814.7248.6
196Michael Haynes1988--1997atl-norWR52155245915.8647.381280428815.3152.9
197Haven Moses1968--1981buf-denWR-SE82199385619.384790253442517.4949.2
198Jackie Smith1963--1978crd-dalTE84226395017.484777235369615.7348
199Mark Jackson1986--1994den-nyg-cltWR74205347216.9446.953159249115.6747
200Terance Mathis1990--2002nyj-atl-pitWR86299400213.3846.5114419520612.4245.7
201Bob Chandler1971--1981buf-raiWR48145223315.446.567229305813.3545.6
202Milt Morin1966--1975cleTE56165259915.7546.446117171014.6237.2
203Reggie Langhorne1985--1993cle-cltWR63205292314.2646.459229287412.5548.7
204Pat Tilley1976--1986crdWR61189283014.9746.474280418614.9556.6
205John Mackey1963--1972clt-sdgTE89253412816.3246.43377113314.7134.3
206Michael Timpson1989--1997nwe-chi-phiWR41137190013.8746.361164215413.1335.3
207Bill Schroeder1997--2004gnb-det-tamWR50150231115.4146.247159234214.7349.8
208Chris Cooley2004--2011wasTE48187221111.8246.160252263510.4643.9
209Brett Perriman1988--1997nor-det-kan-miaWR74258339013.1445.872294352211.9848.9
210Dave Casper1974--1984rai-oti-minTE70230320213.9245.744175237713.5854
211Dave Logan1976--1984cle-denWR47133214716.1445.747133216616.2946.1
212Bobby Joe Conrad1960--1969crd-dalWR-HB62191283014.8245.655192256313.3546.6
213Koren Robinson2001--2008sea-min-gnbWR51159232514.6245.646150206313.7544.8
214Bobby Engram1996--2009chi-sea-kanWR80301364112.145.5101384458611.9445.4
215Gary Ballman1962--1973pit-phi-nyg-minWR-TE3589156517.5844.768212345116.2850.8
216Nat Moore1974--1986miaWR-RB119363531514.6444.755163231214.1842
217Duriel Harris1976--1985mia-cle-dalWR68185303716.4244.744133228417.1751.9
218Jack Snow1965--1975ramWR-SE85214377317.6344.442115197817.247.1
219Freddie Scott1974--1983clt-detWR3695159216.7644.258173276615.9947.7
220Ray Butler1980--1988clt-seaWR3490150316.744.264152254316.7339.7
221Devery Henderson2005--2011norWR64150282818.8544.247104169716.3236.1
222J.J. Stokes1995--2003sfo-jax-nweWR66238291312.2444.149141181212.8537
223Charlie Sanders1968--1977detTE60174264315.1944.150151199513.2139.9
224Kevin Johnson1999--2005cle-jax-rav-detWR38133167212.574463255306312.0148.6
225Donte Stallworth2002--2011nor-phi-nwe-cle-rav-wasWR61164265616.243.555170237213.9543.1
226Freddie Solomon1975--1985mia-sfoWR83214359516.843.363191278814.644.3
227Ben Coates1991--2000nwe-ravTE70276301910.9443.170249279411.2239.9
228Vernon Davis2006--2011sfoTE42150181112.0743.145164228413.9350.8
229Rocket Ismail1993--2001rai-car-dalWR61168261715.5842.965204286514.0444.1
230Qadry Ismail1993--2002min-mia-nor-rav-cltWR83228354415.5442.758143188013.1532.4
231O.J. McDuffie1993--2000miaWR71248300512.1242.352217267212.3151.4
232Mark Bavaro1985--1994nyg-cle-phiTE77239325413.6242.340142184512.9946.1
233James Jett1993--2001raiWR55127232218.2842.253142226915.9842.8
234Brent Jones1987--1997sfoTE113366476913.0342.233111116610.535.3
235Jeremy Shockey2002--2011nyg-nor-carTE82309345011.1742.161260291811.2247.8
236Chris Calloway1990--2000pit-nyg-atl-nweWR64170269115.834272223289112.9640.2
237David Patten1997--2008nyg-cle-nwe-was-norWR77200323616.184263144173912.0827.6
238J.T. Smith1978--1990was-kan-crdWR64211267112.6641.791323417212.9245.8
239Brandon Stokley1999--2011rav-clt-den-sea-nygWR80226329514.5841.249156200512.8540.9
240Calvin Williams1990--1996phi-ravWR58184238112.9441.141141174412.3742.5
241Nate Burleson2003--2011min-sea-detWR64210262612.54160204257612.6342.9
242Ron Jessie1971--1981det-ram-bufWR74181303116.75414396143114.9133.3
243Keith Jackson1988--1996phi-mia-gnbTE87288356012.3640.947204255712.5354.4
244Jeff Chadwick1983--1992det-sea-ramWR44103179917.4740.962191275014.444.4
245Curtis Duncan1987--1993otiWR58210236811.2840.842146184112.6143.8
246Mike Sherrard1986--1996dal-sfo-nyg-denWR62162252815.640.832104147614.1946.1
247Shawn Jefferson1991--2003sdg-nwe-atl-detWR96253391415.4740.888244339013.8938.5
248Marshall Faulk1994--2005clt-ramRB9942240229.5340.68939733728.4937.9
249Jabar Gaffney2002--2011htx-nwe-den-wasWR66199268113.4740.682269322311.9839.3
250Willie Green1991--1998det-tam-car-denWR55147223315.1940.635117184415.7652.7
251Todd Heap2001--2011rav-crdTE83273336912.3440.663250279111.1644.3
252Mike Ditka1961--1972chi-phi-dalTE80239324013.5640.554184241613.1344.7
253Torrance Small1992--2001nor-ram-clt-phi-nweWR51141205314.5640.371213262412.3237
254Peerless Price1999--2007buf-atl-dalWR54159215813.574067254324412.7748.4
255Mike Renfro1978--1987oti-dalWR53140211715.1239.960190275914.5246
256Quinn Early1988--1999sdg-nor-buf-nyjWR73203291414.3539.976278379013.6349.9
257Chris Burkett1985--1993buf-nyjWR41110163514.8639.966185277214.9842
258Ike Hilliard1997--2008nyg-tamWR79258314812.239.885312353411.3341.6
259Drew Bennett2001--2008oti-ramWR44116175215.139.853205286813.9954.1
260Jerricho Cotchery2004--2011nyj-pitWR62206246111.9539.758199276113.8747.6
261Mike Pritchard1991--1999atl-den-seaWR58172229713.3539.667263304311.5745.4
262Nate Washington2005--2011pit-otiWR55139217515.6539.545137189213.8142
263Riley Odoms1972--1983denTE83220327914.939.561176237913.5239
264Sam McCullum1974--1983min-seaWR51131200315.2939.363150212814.1933.8
265Jay Novacek1985--1995crd-dalTE84298328111.0139.152186199410.7238.3
266Ozzie Newsome1978--1990cleTE102324397712.273998365437611.9944.7
267Bob Trumpy1968--1977cinTE-WR60147233115.8638.958147210314.3136.3
268Raymond Chester1970--1981rai-cltTE80199309915.5738.763172214612.4834.1
269Travis Taylor2000--2007rav-min-rai-ramWR52153201313.1638.750172216212.5743.2
270Joe Jurevicius1998--2007nyg-tam-sea-cleWR68195262913.4838.751145183212.6335.9
271Wesley Walls1989--2003sfo-nor-car-gnbTE68206260412.6438.381253276610.9334.1
272Ricky Proehl1990--2006crd-sea-chi-ram-car-cltWR112299427914.3138.2117393496212.6342.4
273Bob Tucker1970--1980nyg-minTE56161212913.223882255318712.538.9
274Steve Jordan1982--1994minTE86255326912.823881269338112.5741.7
275Leonard Thompson1975--1986detWR-HB52116197617.033880169286816.9735.9
276Charles Johnson1994--2002pit-phi-nwe-bufWR69204261612.8237.949173228313.246.6
277Jerry Smith1965--1977wasTE-WR75206284113.7937.960190234412.3439.1
278Rich Caster1970--1981nyj-oti-nor-wasTE-WR58123219717.8637.976207338516.3544.5
279Michael Jenkins2004--2011atl-minWR52144195413.5737.654184216811.7840.1
280Alge Crumpler2001--2010atl-oti-nweTE73196274013.9837.568191216811.3531.9
281Paul Coffman1979--1987gnb-kanTE49145183812.6837.562196248912.740.1
282Courtney Hawkins1992--2000tam-pitWR55170205912.1137.470204257212.6136.7
283Russ Francis1975--1988nwe-sfoTE96277358712.9537.455151214914.2339.1
284Billy Cannon1960--1970oti-rai-kanTE-RB80174298617.1637.3318194511.6730.5
285Jimmie Giles1977--1989oti-tam-det-phiTE50122186115.2537.288232330614.2537.6
286Brian Brennan1984--1992cle-cin-sdgWR61172226713.1837.262184237812.9238.4
287Eric Green1990--1999pit-mia-rav-nyjTE55167201712.0836.757200248812.4443.6
288Troy Brown1993--2007nweWR120392439211.236.681223266811.9632.9
289Gino Cappelletti1960--1970nweFL-SE63132230517.4636.670139203714.6529.1
290Justin McCareins2001--2008oti-nyjWR61145223015.3836.653118180615.3134.1
291Rick Upchurch1975--1983denWR67151243916.1536.453117193916.5736.6
292Frank Wycheck1993--2003was-otiTE86299312910.4636.46724323109.5134.5
293Heath Miller2005--2011pitTE80239286311.9835.839138149810.8638.4
294Floyd Turner1989--1998nor-clt-ravWR46129163812.735.654167238214.2644.1
295Mark Ingram1987--1996nyg-mia-gnb-phiWR65153230115.0435.447128181514.1838.6
296Ken Dilger1995--2004clt-tamTE69192243912.735.375180181910.1124.3
297Rodney Holman1982--1995cin-detTE81210281613.4134.879173220012.7227.8
298Dennis Northcutt2000--2009cle-jax-detWR49132170212.8934.797278339012.1934.9
299Pete Holohan1981--1992sdg-ram-kan-cleTE62190214911.3134.763189199510.5631.7
300Mickey Shuler1978--1991nyj-phiTE68222235210.5934.671248284511.4740.1
301Jerome Barkum1972--1983nyjTE-WR54129185514.3834.472201299014.8841.5
302Az-Zahir Hakim1998--2006ram-det-norWR57145191713.2233.655192255813.3246.5
303Brian Westbrook2002--2010phi-sfoRB8026926589.8833.24920316057.9132.8
304Larry Centers1990--2003crd-was-buf-nweFB8434127828.1633.111950741778.2435.1
305John L. Williams1986--1995sea-pitFB8129026779.23337528722227.7429.6
306Brandon Lloyd2003--2011sfo-was-chi-den-ramWR3281104912.9532.873230373516.2451.2
307Billy Johnson1974--1988oti-atl-wasWR65159211013.2732.571176207711.829.3
308Randy McMichael2002--2011mia-ram-sdgTE53160168610.5431.888257280210.931.8
309Roger Craig1983--1993sfo-rai-minRB12743140059.2931.55319515007.6928.3
310Ricky Watters1992--2001sfo-phi-seaRB9128928519.8731.36321518158.4428.8
311Ronnie Harmon1986--1997buf-sdg-oti-chiRB-WR94283293410.3731.289350361210.3240.6
312Tiki Barber1997--2006nygRB8026724979.3531.28033828178.3335.2
313Eric Metcalf1989--2002cle-atl-sdg-crd-car-was-gnbRB-WR83238256410.7730.9102317318510.0531.2
314Jim R. Mitchell1969--1979atlTE57139175912.6530.966160237514.8436
315Keith Byars1986--1998phi-mia-nwe-nyjFB-TE11939036659.430.87927224398.9730.9
316Freddie Jones1997--2004sdg-crdTE37109113110.3830.679295310110.5139.3
317Tony Nathan1979--1987miaRB8929027059.3330.44515815369.7234.1
318Tony McGee1993--2002cin-dalTE3992117812.830.289230291112.6632.7
319Jackie Harris1990--2001gnb-tam-oti-dalTE63157188111.9829.979251265010.5633.5
320Joe Morrison1960--1972nygRB-WR66147195813.3229.779224274712.2634.8
321Charle Young1973--1985phi-ram-sfo-seaTE76190225311.8629.671241300212.4642.3
322David Hill1976--1987det-ramTE71182209111.4929.576187221111.8229.1
323Billy Joe DuPree1973--1983dalTE101213293313.77294293107911.625.7
324Antwaan Randle El2002--2010pit-wasWR88184247313.4428.166220240210.9236.4
325Kelvin Martin1987--1996dal-sea-phiWR68138183913.332774238302312.740.9
326Thurman Thomas1988--2000buf-miaRB13034634119.8626.27120217198.5124.2
327Marcus Pollard1996--2008clt-det-sea-atlTE81183211311.5526.181185240212.9829.7
328LaDainian Tomlinson2001--2011sdg-nyjRB10434126837.8725.87630822657.3529.8
329Walter Payton1975--1987chiRB11327826459.5123.48623620718.7824.1
330Herschel Walker1986--1997dal-min-phi-nygRB8421119579.2723.310631129629.5227.9
331Kevin Faulk1999--2011nweRB12532828858.823.15415412287.9722.7
332Marcus Allen1982--1997rai-kanRB14534131869.34229129927559.2130.3
333Warrick Dunn1997--2008tam-atlRB9824421418.7721.89230124548.1526.7
334Earnest Byner1984--1997cle-was-ravRB11127123998.8521.610227825849.2925.3
335Tony Galbreath1976--1987nor-min-nygRB7917514708.418.69032626678.1829.6

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{ 2 comments }

Is this a thinly-veiled Brady/Manning post?

Is this a thinly-veiled Brady/Manning post?

Last weekend, I looked at career rushing stats in wins and losses; today I will do the same but for quarterbacks.

I looked at all games, including playoffs, from 1960 to 2011, for all quarterbacks with at least 5,000 career passing yards over that time period. The table below lists the following information for each passer:

– His first year (or 1960, if he played before 1960) and his last year (or 2011, if still active)
– All the franchises he played for (which you can search for in the search box)
– His number of career wins, and his touchdown rate, interception rate, yards per attempt and Adjusted Yards per Attempt (which includes a 20-yard bonus for touchdown passes and a 45-yard penalty for interceptions) in wins [1]Unfortunately, I excluded sack data from this study due to its general unavailability for most of the covered time period.
– His number of career losses, and his touchdown rate, interception rate, yards per attempt and Adjusted Yards per Attempt in losses

The table is sorted by AY/A in wins; unsurprisingly, Aaron Rodgers — who is the career leader in that metric — tops this table, too. In fact, Rodgers is also the leader in AY/A in losses. Note that this table includes all games played by the quarterback, not just his starts.

RkPlayerYearsTeamsPYDWinTD%_WINT%_WY/A_WAY/A_WLossTD%_LINT%_LY/A_LAY/A_L
1Aaron Rodgers2005--2011gnb19147497.6%1.3%8.78.3274.3%2.5%7.46.4
2Matt Schaub2004--2011atl-htx17936485.3%1.7%8.78.1533.5%3.3%7.25.8
3Tony Romo2005--2011dal21666606.6%2.1%8.77.9434.3%3.4%75.5
4Kurt Warner1998--2009ram-nyg-crd36296816.8%2.2%8.77.8573.3%4.4%7.25.3
5Daunte Culpepper1999--2009min-mia-rai-det25133457.1%2.2%8.77.8643.3%4%6.95.1
6Bob Berry1965--1975min-atl9197327.4%2.3%8.67.7364.2%7.4%7.13.8
7Steve Young1985--1999tam-sfo364501256.8%1.7%8.37.6602.9%4.2%7.25.3
8Philip Rivers2004--2011sdg26105696.2%2.3%8.57.6394%3.1%7.36
9Ben Roethlisberger2004--2011pit29729905.7%2.2%8.47.6383.7%4.9%7.25
10John Friesz1990--2000sdg-was-sea-nwe8699195%1%7.87.5382.6%4%5.84
11Bart Starr1960--1971gnb22810996.6%2.9%8.67.5412.4%5.9%6.74.1
12Don Meredith1960--1968dal17750518.5%3.3%8.87.5503.5%6%6.23.6
13Drew Brees2001--2011sdg-nor43722976.5%1.7%87.4663.4%3.7%6.75.1
14Ken O'Brien1984--1993nyj-phi25598565.8%1.7%87.4722.1%3.6%6.34.7
15J.P. Losman2004--2011buf-rai-mia6271175.8%1.5%7.97.4282.5%4.4%6.14.1
16Trent Green1997--2008was-ram-kan-mia28794595.3%2.1%8.27.3633.6%3.8%7.15.5
17Rob Johnson1995--2003jax-buf-tam-was-rai5947204.8%1.5%7.97.3252.8%3.6%6.75.1
18Chad Pennington2000--2010nyj-mia19241465.1%1.2%7.77.3493.2%4.1%6.64.9
19Boomer Esiason1984--1997cin-nyj-crd38520896.6%2.4%8.27.31033.3%4.4%6.54.6
20Neil Lomax1981--1988crd23156486.4%2.1%8.17.3593%3.3%6.65.2
21David Garrard2002--2010jax16489455.3%1.4%7.87.3442.7%3.4%6.44.9
22Matthew Stafford2009--2011det8220138.1%1.8%7.97.2173.4%4.4%6.34.4
23Joe Montana1979--1994sfo-kan463231406.4%2.2%8.17.2602.7%3.4%6.34.9
24Eddie LeBaron1960--1963dal53311112.5%5.5%9.47.2314.7%8.7%7.13.3
25Peyton Manning1998--2010clt602171506.3%1.9%87.2773.9%4.1%6.95.2
26Ed Brown1960--1965chi-pit-clt7723357.7%5.8%9.77.2332.9%8.8%6.52.6
27Wade Wilson1981--1998min-atl-nor-dal-rai18605666.1%2.6%8.37.2632.4%5.3%6.23.9
28Jay Cutler2006--2011den-chi18637426.6%2.2%8.17.2382.7%4.6%6.54.5
29Josh Freeman2009--2011tam8898175.6%1.8%7.97.2242.8%4.6%6.14.1
30Tom Brady2000--2011nwe452641406.1%1.6%7.87.2433.6%4.2%6.34.5
31Matt Moore2007--2011car-mia5137176.2%1.8%7.87.1192.8%5%6.24
32Chris Chandler1988--2004clt-tam-crd-ram-oti-atl-chi29212725.9%2.6%8.27.11053.1%4.4%6.44.4
33Len Dawson1960--1975cle-kan301121058.7%3.6%8.67.1643.2%6.3%6.63.8
34Joe Flacco2008--2011rav15348494.6%1.2%7.67.1243%4.4%5.94
35Trent Edwards2007--2010buf-jax6019144%1.6%7.77.1222%4.3%5.73.8
36Jeff Garcia1999--2009sfo-cle-det-phi-tam26894635.4%1.3%7.57.1683.4%3.1%6.45.1
37Ken Anderson1971--1986cin341591006.2%2.4%87.1922.7%4.7%6.74.7
38Rudy Bukich1960--1968pit-chi7865307.5%3.5%8.57353.5%8.6%62.3
39Troy Aikman1989--2000dal367911054.8%2.1%7.97762.1%4.1%64.2
40Damon Huard1998--2008mia-nwe-kan6349204.9%1.1%7.47242%4.3%5.84
41Jim Everett1986--1997ram-nor-sdg35957665.7%2.6%8.17973.2%4.2%6.54.6
42Roger Staubach1969--1979dal254911066.1%2.5%87443.5%6.3%6.73.9
43Bert Jones1973--1982clt-ram18589476.4%3.1%8.27583.6%4.6%6.34.3
44Frank Reich1985--1998buf-car-nyj-det6858398.8%2.1%7.77393.3%4.3%6.34.4
45Jeff Hostetler1986--1997nyg-rai-was17464705.5%1.9%7.77402.3%4.1%6.34.5
46Dan Fouts1973--1987sdg45165915.9%3.2%8.36.9953.1%5.5%7.14.7
47Bill Kenney1980--1988kan17374375.9%2.5%86.9493.2%4.2%6.54.6
48Y.A. Tittle1960--1964sfo-nyg11542408.9%4.3%8.76.9232.5%6.9%5.72.7
49Mark Brunell1994--2011gnb-jax-was-nor-nyj33905994.8%1.8%7.66.9913.2%2.9%6.24.9
50Aaron Brooks2000--2006nor-rai20822415.8%1.6%7.56.9543.3%4.1%6.44.7
51Patrick Ramsey2002--2008was-nyj-den5929165.2%2.3%7.86.9243.1%3.8%5.84.2
52Scott Mitchell1992--2001mia-det-rav-cin15925406%2.1%7.76.9452.6%4.6%5.93.9
53Randy Wright1984--1988gnb7106125.4%3.4%8.36.9332.2%5.5%5.93.5
54Rich Gannon1987--2004min-was-kan-rai30434915.5%1.5%7.46.9713%3.6%6.24.6
55Earl Morrall1960--1976det-nyg-clt-mia17529927.9%4.8%8.96.9444.2%6.9%6.63.6
56Sonny Jurgensen1960--1974phi-was31546747.7%3.9%8.46.9794.5%4.9%6.84.7
57Steve DeBerg1978--1998sfo-den-tam-kan-mia-atl34752725.4%2.3%7.86.91143.2%4.9%6.44.2
58Steve Beuerlein1988--2003rai-dal-crd-jax-car-den24317645.6%2.3%7.86.8663.4%4.2%6.85
59Fran Tarkenton1961--1978min-nyg488061316.8%2.8%86.81173.6%5.5%6.54.1
60John Brodie1960--1973sfo30783786.7%3.3%8.26.8793.3%6%6.13.5
61Doug Flutie1986--2005chi-nwe-buf-sdg15209485.2%2.4%7.86.8452.9%3.9%64.3
62Johnny Unitas1960--1973clt-sdg323351076.3%3.8%8.46.8592.7%7.3%6.53.2
63Joe Namath1965--1977nyj-ram28299686.4%4%8.56.8713.3%6.8%6.53.5
64Matt Ryan2008--2011atl14832436.1%1.9%7.56.8222.4%3%6.14.8
65Craig Erickson1992--1997tam-clt-mia7625184.8%2.7%7.96.8343.2%3.9%6.54.8
66Marc Bulger2002--2009ram23758424.9%2.6%7.86.8573.1%3.3%6.85.4
67Matt Cassel2005--2011nwe-kan11769425.1%2%7.66.8303.5%3.3%5.74.3
68Tom Flores1960--1969rai-buf-kan11960408.3%3.8%8.36.8442.8%6.7%5.72.8
69Phil Simms1979--1993nyg351411025.3%2.5%7.76.7723%4.3%6.44.6
70Derek Anderson2006--2011cle-crd-car9148215.5%2.4%7.76.7322.7%4.6%5.73.6
71Michael Vick2001--2011atl-phi18889655.8%2.4%7.76.7512.8%3.4%6.34.9
72Brett Favre1991--2010atl-gnb-nyj-min776932016.3%2.2%7.66.71253.2%4.9%6.44.3
73Craig Morton1965--1982dal-nyg-den291431186.7%3.7%8.26.7822.6%6.5%6.23.4
74Steve Pelluer1985--1990dal-kan6870173.3%2.2%7.66.7262.9%4.7%6.94.8
75Dan Marino1983--1999mia658711555.7%2.4%7.76.71054.1%3.9%6.85.1
76Donovan McNabb1999--2011phi-was-min408591065.4%2%7.46.7742.9%2.6%6.15
77Dave Krieg1980--1998sea-kan-det-crd-chi-oti400421136.7%3%7.96.7983%4.4%6.54.5
78Warren Moon1984--2000oti-min-sea-kan521951085.5%2.6%7.76.61103.1%4.2%6.84.9
79Jim Kelly1986--1996buf393301106.1%3.2%86.6673.1%4.6%6.64.6
80John Hadl1962--1977sdg-ram-gnb-oti339411037%3.7%8.26.6923.3%7.8%6.12.7
81Bernie Kosar1985--1996cle-dal-mia25254674.8%1.9%7.46.6663.1%3.4%6.65.1
82Jake Delhomme1999--2011nor-car-cle-htx22822655.5%2.9%7.86.6453.1%4.2%6.64.8
83Vince Evans1977--1995chi-rai9511377.1%3.8%8.26.6572.4%6%6.33.6
84John Elway1983--1998den564391635%2.6%7.76.6922.8%3.9%6.34.6
85Drew Bledsoe1993--2006nwe-buf-dal459461025.1%1.9%7.46.6992.4%4.2%5.94
86Jason Campbell2006--2011was-rai14417323.8%1.7%7.36.6393.3%2.7%6.45.3
87Pete Liske1964--1972nyj-den-phi5170167%2.6%7.66.6232.2%8.2%5.92.3
88Jeff George1990--2001clt-atl-rai-min-was28603485.5%2.7%7.76.6853.2%2.9%6.65.4
89Alex Smith2005--2011sfo13038334.4%1.1%76.6392.9%4.3%64.1
90Jim Zorn1976--1987sea-gnb-tam21249524.9%2.9%7.86.6682.8%5.4%6.13.7
91Lynn Dickey1971--1985oti-gnb23914526.5%4.4%8.46.6763.5%6.6%74.1
92Jon Kitna1997--2011sea-cin-det-dal30104565.7%2%7.46.6862.8%4.7%6.34.3
93Eric Hipple1981--1989det11009306.3%3%7.86.6361.8%5.5%6.44
94Bob Griese1967--1980mia265591087.4%3.9%8.16.5623.5%6.4%6.43.5
95Chris Miller1987--1999atl-ram-den19789375.7%2.4%7.56.5633.6%4.2%6.34.5
96Gus Frerotte1994--2008was-det-den-cin-min-mia-ram21666585.1%2.7%7.66.5602.5%4.1%6.24.4
97Matt Hasselbeck1999--2011gnb-sea-oti35891915.1%2.4%7.56.5803%3.4%6.34.8
98Tarvaris Jackson2006--2011min-sea7239274.5%3.1%7.86.5232.8%3.4%5.84.3
99Jeff Blake1992--2005nyj-cin-nor-rav-crd-phi-chi21711425.1%2.1%7.46.5773.6%3.6%6.34.7
100Tony Eason1983--1990nwe-nyj11703355.1%2.8%7.76.5313.3%3.4%6.75.2
101Jim Harbaugh1987--2000chi-clt-rav-sdg27194784.8%2.1%7.36.5932.3%3.6%6.24.6
102Don Majkowski1987--1996gnb-clt-det12906344.8%2.8%7.76.5432.6%4.2%64.2
103Gary Hogeboom1982--1989dal-clt-crd9598315.1%2.6%7.56.5282.7%6.1%6.74
104Joe Theismann1974--1985was26988956%2.8%7.66.5592.4%5.1%6.34.1
105Randall Cunningham1985--2001phi-min-dal-rav32405986.1%2.6%7.66.5733.1%3.6%6.34.7
106Byron Leftwich2003--2010jax-atl-pit-tam10439305%1.6%7.16.5312.6%3.5%6.24.7
107Tony Banks1996--2005ram-rav-was-htx15315435.2%2.2%7.46.5522%3.7%5.94.3
108Bobby Hebert1985--1996nor-atl22331635.2%3%7.76.5553.5%5%6.24.1
109Greg Landry1968--1984det-clt-chi16100556.7%3.9%8.16.5652.5%4.7%6.34.2
110Eli Manning2004--2011nyg30095775.5%2.2%7.36.4543.7%4.5%6.74.7
111Jay Fiedler1998--2005min-jax-mia-nyj12499505%2.6%7.56.4292.5%5.9%63.4
112Stan Humphries1989--1997was-sdg18538554.4%2.3%7.46.4392.2%5.1%5.93.7
113Jim Plunkett1971--1986nwe-sfo-rai28175855.6%3.4%7.96.4823.2%7.1%6.43.2
114Elvis Grbac1994--2001sfo-kan-rav17492614.8%2.4%7.46.4393.1%4.4%6.24.3
115Richard Todd1976--1985nyj-nor21636515.2%3.6%7.96.4703.2%7%6.23.1
116Steve Grogan1975--1990nwe27457806.7%4.3%8.26.4713.5%7.2%6.83.6
117Frank Ryan1960--1970ram-cle-was15833669.3%4.4%8.26.4424%6.1%6.63.9
118Carson Palmer2004--2011cin-rai25659505.9%2.9%7.66.4593.8%3.5%6.95.3
119Shaun Hill2005--2011min-sfo-det6209185.5%1.8%7.16.4163.2%2.8%6.35.1
120Mark Rypien1988--2001was-cle-ram-phi-clt20249585.7%3.3%7.76.4472.9%3.6%6.54.9
121Bubby Brister1986--2000pit-phi-nyj-den-min14801475.7%2.3%7.36.4511.9%4.3%5.93.9
122Kerry Collins1995--2011car-nor-nyg-rai-oti-clt42478924.4%2.1%7.26.41132.7%4%6.14.3
123Steve McNair1995--2007oti-rav330681004.6%2.1%7.26.4722.6%3.4%6.44.9
124Charlie Batch1998--2011det-pit10610405.2%2.8%7.56.3373.1%3.4%6.65.1
125Bill Nelsen1963--1972pit-cle15004466.5%4.1%86.3433%7.2%6.53.4
126Charley Johnson1961--1975crd-oti-den24410687.3%4.7%8.36.3703%5.9%6.33.6
127Steve Bartkowski1975--1986atl-ram24916605.9%3.1%7.66.3733.5%5.2%6.54.3
128Sam Bradford2010--2011ram567684.1%1.5%6.96.3181.9%2.5%5.64.5
129Gary Danielson1977--1988det-cle14000424.9%2.9%7.56.3433.5%5.3%6.74.4
130Brian Sipe1974--1983cle23896606%3.2%7.66.3623%5.4%6.23.8
131Jay Schroeder1985--1994was-rai-cin-crd20854715.2%2.7%7.46.3502.7%5.3%6.64.3
132Virgil Carter1968--1976chi-cin-sdg5127215.7%3%7.56.3242.1%4.7%5.63.5
133Tommy Kramer1977--1990min-nor25651645.9%2.8%7.46.3662.9%5.7%6.23.7
134Brad Johnson1994--2008min-was-tam-dal304571024.6%2.1%7.16.2702.9%3.9%6.24.5
135Kelly Holcomb1995--2007tam-clt-cle-buf-min645395.5%3.4%7.76.2294%4.5%6.54.6
136Quincy Carter2001--2004dal-nyj6491204.7%2.2%7.16.2181.8%5.3%5.93.5
137Ryan Fitzpatrick2005--2011ram-cin-buf10936226.2%2.4%7.26.2342.9%4.5%5.93.9
138Neil O'Donnell1991--2003pit-nyj-cin-oti23399725%2%76.2582.5%2.3%6.35.4
139James Harris1969--1979buf-ram-sdg8479445.8%4.2%86.2341.8%6.6%63.1
140Brian Griese1998--2008den-mia-tam-chi19440535.2%2.8%7.46.2403.3%4.2%6.64.7
141Terry Bradshaw1970--1983pit318221257%4.3%86.2623%7.3%6.12.9
142Bill Munson1964--1979ram-det-sea-sdg-buf12940416.4%2.6%7.26.2582.8%5%6.13.9
143Steve Tensi1966--1970sdg-den5558158.5%4.4%86.1293.5%5.7%5.83.3
144Jeff Kemp1981--1991ram-sfo-sea-phi6403286.7%2.9%7.36.1261.9%5.5%6.33.8
145Ty Detmer1993--2001gnb-phi-sfo-cle-det6499184.9%2.5%7.16.1242.7%4.6%6.54.4
146Billy Wade1960--1966ram-chi11390346.1%3.5%7.66.1333.8%6.3%6.43.7
147Dave M. Brown1992--2000nyg-crd10304294.1%2.5%7.26.1421.9%4.2%5.84
148Mark Sanchez2009--2011nyj10364305.1%2%6.96.1222.9%5%6.24
149Joe Ferguson1973--1990buf-det-tam-clt30631836.4%3.1%7.46.11073%5.8%6.13.5
150Norm Snead1961--1976was-phi-min-nyg-sfo30797576.9%4.3%7.96.11143.5%6.7%6.73.7
151Dennis Shaw1970--1975buf-crd6347125.9%5.3%8.46.1342.8%8.1%6.52.9
152Vince Ferragamo1977--1986ram-buf-gnb12564357.1%3.7%7.66.1422.9%7.1%6.53.4
153Jake Plummer1997--2006crd-den30593744.7%2.5%7.16.1752.9%4.8%6.44.3
154Tommy Maddox1992--2005den-ram-nyg-pit8754275.9%3.2%7.46.1282.6%5.3%6.13.7
155Daryle Lamonica1963--1974buf-rai210821047.8%4.6%86.1373%7.3%62.8
156Kyle Orton2005--2011chi-den-kan14532364.5%1.9%6.86.1353%3.1%6.45
157Roman Gabriel1962--1977ram-phi29780875.7%2.6%7.16.1793.2%4%5.84.1
158Bob Lee1969--1980min-atl-ram5416605.9%4.8%8.16.1241.2%6.2%52.3
159David Carr2002--2010htx-car-nyg-sfo14433323.4%2.2%76.1612.7%3.4%6.24.7
160Jack Trudeau1986--1995clt-nyj-car10494253.2%2.4%7.16432.3%5.2%5.83.5
161Steve Fuller1979--1986kan-chi7454334%3.5%7.56291.9%4%6.24.5
162Danny White1976--1988dal242431245.8%4%7.76594%5.3%6.74.4
163Archie Manning1971--1984nor-oti-min23911374.4%3.2%7.461103.1%5.1%6.34.1
164Ken Stabler1970--1984rai-oti-nor305791106.6%4.6%7.96643%7.3%6.53.3
165Doug Williams1978--1989tam-was18108495.4%2.8%7.26453.1%4.8%6.54.4
166Joe Pisarcik1977--1984nyg-phi5552254.6%4.1%7.86322.1%5.7%5.73.1
167Jim McMahon1982--1996chi-sdg-phi-min-crd-gnb19260864.5%3.3%7.46402.6%3.8%6.44.8
168Milt Plum1960--1969cle-det-ram-nyg13335466.9%4.9%8.16403.1%6%6.33.7
169Ron Jaworski1974--1989ram-phi-mia-kan29859895.4%2.9%7.26793.4%4.8%6.54.4
170Rodney Peete1989--2004det-dal-phi-was-car16636554.3%3.4%7.56482.2%4.3%6.54.6
171Vinny Testaverde1987--2007tam-cle-rav-nyj-dal-nwe-car475531025.3%3.1%7.361373.3%4.5%6.74.7
172Billy Kilmer1961--1978sfo-nor-was21555886.7%3.7%7.56813.3%5.9%6.13.5
173Tim Couch1999--2003cle11131225.5%3.2%7.36402.7%4.3%64.1
174Erik Kramer1987--1999atl-det-chi-sdg16336384.9%2.4%76483.4%4.1%6.54.7
175Trent Dilfer1994--2007tam-rav-sea-cle-sfo21489685.3%2.7%7.16652%5.1%63.7
176Mike Pagel1982--1993clt-cle-ram9593224.5%2.6%7.16532.9%4.9%63.8
177Kordell Stewart1995--2005pit-chi-rav15490763.5%2.1%6.85.9542.7%5.6%5.53
178Chad Henne2008--2011mia7114143.6%1.7%6.65.9202.4%4.6%6.74.7
179Jim Hart1966--1984crd-was35156935.7%4%7.65.91032.9%5.5%6.23.8
180Vince Young2006--2011oti-phi9102354.5%3%7.15.9272.2%4.9%6.54.3
181Josh McCown2002--2011crd-det-rai-car-chi6998154.2%1.6%6.55.9362.9%5.2%6.23.9
182Mark Malone1981--1989pit-sdg-nyj10733296.3%3%7.15.8442.3%5.9%5.83.2
183Babe Parilli1960--1969rai-nwe-nyj18778647.1%4.1%7.55.8473.2%7.5%5.92.5
184Don Strock1974--1988mia-cle5913377.1%3.6%7.35.8304.5%7.3%6.63.3
185Dick Wood1962--1966sdg-nyj-rai-mia7153177.1%3.4%7.25.8282.6%7.3%5.32.1
186Shaun King1999--2004tam-crd5057195.9%2.3%6.75.8161.1%4.1%5.53.7
187Pat Haden1976--1981ram10024414.4%2.9%75.8263.1%7.1%6.43.3
188Bobby Douglass1969--1978chi-sdg-nor-gnb6493166.2%3.5%7.25.8572.1%5.8%5.12.5
189Cotton Davidson1960--1968kan-rai11451306.5%4.1%7.55.7402.9%7.2%6.33.1
190Steve Bono1985--1999min-pit-sfo-kan-gnb-ram-car10576494.6%1.8%6.45.7262.5%3.7%5.74.1
191Marc Wilson1980--1990rai-nwe14526395.8%4%7.45.7422.8%5.8%6.53.9
192Billy Joe Tolliver1989--1999sdg-atl-oti-kan-nor10760245%2.6%6.85.7533%4.1%6.14.4
193Rick Mirer1993--2003sea-chi-nyj-sfo-rai11969273.9%2.4%6.65.6521.8%4.4%5.53.5
194Steve Ramsey1970--1976nor-den6437235.4%5.9%8.15.6282.4%6.5%6.33.4
195Jacky Lee1960--1969oti-den-kan6191309%7%8.55.5294%6.9%6.63.6
196Hugh Millen1987--1995ram-atl-nwe-den644082.3%4.2%7.45.5302.4%3.6%6.85.2
197Jim Ninowski1960--1969det-cle-was-nor6953334.3%4.5%7.55.5272.6%7.4%6.22.9
198Dave Wilson1981--1988nor7007164.2%5.2%7.85.5373.1%5.5%6.23.8
199Kyle Boller2003--2011rav-ram-rai8931304.1%1.7%6.25.5362.6%4.7%5.73.6
200Joey Harrington2002--2007det-mia-atl14693274.4%2.2%6.45.5552.5%3.8%5.53.9
201Todd Blackledge1983--1989kan-pit5366225.2%3.4%6.95.5221.7%5.2%5.32.9
202Mike Tomczak1985--1999chi-gnb-cle-pit16963793.8%3.9%7.15.5593.4%5.3%6.64.2
203Mike Livingston1968--1979kan11295374.4%3.2%6.85.5522.4%5.7%6.23.7
204Danny Kanell1996--2003nyg-atl-den5328145.3%2.5%6.55.5252.2%4%4.93.2
205Steve Dils1980--1988min-ram-atl5816183.5%2.6%6.55.4292.4%3.6%5.74.1
206Jack Thompson1979--1984cin-tam5329155.3%1.8%6.15.4303.5%6.2%6.33.6
207Kent Graham1992--2001nyg-crd-pit-was7801274.4%1.6%65.4331.8%3.1%5.74.3
208David Woodley1980--1985mia-pit9203384.4%3.5%6.95.4243%7.4%6.33.1
209Randy Johnson1966--1976atl-nyg-was-gnb8329147.8%4.4%7.25.4583.2%7.6%6.33
210Rex Grossman2003--2011chi-htx-was11015304.7%3.3%6.85.4272.3%4.3%6.24.3
211Jim Miller1995--2002pit-chi6410203.9%2.9%6.65.3183%3.2%5.64.3
212Dan Pastorini1971--1983oti-rai-ram-phi19469624.6%4.2%7.15.3812.5%6.1%5.42.7
213Paul McDonald1980--1984cle5550123.8%3.4%6.85.3232.8%5.1%74.7
214George Blanda1960--1975oti-rai220291428.4%6%7.85.3793.9%8%6.12.5
215Jack Kemp1960--1969sdg-buf22256714.6%5.2%7.55.2462.2%7.1%6.23
216David Whitehurst1977--1983gnb6205216.1%5.3%7.45.1301.1%5.4%5.73.3
217Zeke Bratkowski1960--1971chi-ram-gnb8005304.7%5.5%7.55.1453.5%8.9%6.62.7
218Steve Spurrier1967--1976sfo-tam6878486.4%4.9%7.15.1532.2%5.2%5.43.1
219Joe Kapp1967--1970min-nwe6746266.6%6.2%7.75.1262.2%8.1%5.72.1
220Bob Avellini1975--1984chi7288304.2%5.9%7.55362.3%6.8%5.72.7
221Frank Tripucka1960--1963den7676135.1%5.9%7.55293.3%6.7%5.22.3
222Pete Beathard1964--1973kan-oti-crd-ram8544404.5%5.3%7.24.9342.5%7.3%5.62.4
223Gary Cuozzo1963--1972clt-nor-min-crd7688474.6%3.9%6.54.9352.9%5.7%63.5
224Al Dorow1960--1962nyj-buf5732145.7%5%6.94.8184.7%8.5%5.82.1
225Steve Walsh1989--1999dal-nor-chi-ram-tam-clt8248273.9%3.2%6.24.8342.4%4.5%5.93.9
226Mike Phipps1970--1981cle-chi10806504.5%3.7%6.44.8511.7%8.4%5.31.6
227Scott Brunner1980--1985nyg-crd6843163.7%3.7%6.34.7293%5.8%6.23.6
228Jack Concannon1964--1975phi-chi-gnb-det6270274.6%4.3%6.54.6322.5%6.8%5.12.1
229Mike Taliaferro1964--1972nyj-nwe-buf5241198.2%4.7%6.34.4412.2%7.2%5.11.9

[continue reading…]

References

References
1 Unfortunately, I excluded sack data from this study due to its general unavailability for most of the covered time period.
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This is mostly a huge end-of-regular-season data dump, but I’ll explain a little before the table…

PFR’s Simple Rating System can be broken into offensive and defensive components, which represent the number of points per game the team scored/allowed per game compared to the league average, after adjusting for the strength of opposing offenses and defenses faced. If you want to derive an expected winning percentage from that, you have to “back out” to total points scored/allowed again. To do that, you just add OSRS (or subtract DSRS) to the league’s average PPG, then multiply by the number of games the team played. This will give you adjusted points scored/allowed totals for the season.

To get that into a winning percentage-like form, you then need to plug those totals into the Pythagorean Formula. It usually takes the form of

(Pts Scored ^ x) / (Pts Scored ^ x + Pts Allowed ^ x)

where x was determined to be around 2.4 for the NFL in the 1990s, when current Houston Rockets (yep, basketball) GM Daryl Morey researched it for STATS, Inc. Last year, Football Outsiders decided to employ a “floating” exponent that varies with the scoring environment in which a team played, recognizing that a single point is more important to winning in lower-scoring environments. To that end, they used what’s known as the “Pythagenport” method of determining the exponent, which is

1.5 * log10((PF + PA) / G)

I was poking around in the data the other day, though, and found that the so-called “Pythagenpat” variant actually correlates slightly better with teams’ actual won-lost records since the NFL-AFL merger. That formula suggests for each team an exponent of

((PF + PA) / G) ^ 0.2466

This gives you a 1.204 RMSE vs. wins since 1970, a very slight improvement over the 1.205 RMSE you get using FO’s formula.

At any rate, I applied the Pythagenpat exponent to each team’s schedule-adjusted points scored/allowed totals since 1970, and tweaked the pythagorean win/loss totals up/down at the league-season level to match actual league-wide win/loss totals. The result was a definitive set of pythagorean ratings for every team since the merger:

YearTmpfr_idDivisionGWLTWPctPtsPtsOOSRSDSRSadj_PFadj_PAadj_Pyth
2012Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.375344435-0.9-5.8349.84456.840.3331
2012Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East167900.438288317-5.52.9276.24317.640.4174
2012New England PatriotsnweAFC East1612400.75055733112.20.5559.44356.040.7747
2012New York JetsnyjAFC East1661000.375281375-5.1-0.9282.64378.440.3267
2012Baltimore RavensravAFC North1610600.6253983441.91.0394.64348.040.5819
2012Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1610600.6253913201.20.9383.44349.640.5606
2012Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313302368-4.6-0.7290.64375.240.3467
2012Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North168800.500336314-2.82.1319.44330.440.4806
2012Houston TexanshtxAFC South1612400.7504163311.81.7393.04336.840.5993
2012Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1611500.688357387-1.9-2.8333.84408.840.3740
2012Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1621400.125255444-8.1-4.9234.64442.440.1700
2012Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1661000.375330471-2.6-7.4322.64482.440.2595
2012Denver BroncosdenAFC West1613300.8134812896.33.8465.04303.240.7539
2012Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1621400.125211425-10.3-3.7199.44423.240.1368
2012Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1641200.250290443-4.6-6.2290.64463.240.2322
2012San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West167900.438350350-2.0-0.4332.24370.440.4329
2012Dallas CowboysdalNFC East168800.5003764001.4-1.2386.64383.240.5074
2012New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.5634293444.02.2428.24328.840.6662
2012Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1641200.250280444-5.3-3.6279.44421.640.2619
2012Washington RedskinswasNFC East1610600.6254363884.6-1.2437.84383.240.5887
2012Chicago BearschiNFC North1610600.6253752771.06.0380.24268.040.7066
2012Detroit LionsdetNFC North1641200.2503724372.1-4.4397.84434.440.4436
2012Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1611500.6884333364.92.4442.64325.640.6911
2012Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1610600.6253793481.61.8389.84335.240.5971
2012Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1613300.8134192992.04.5396.24292.040.6855
2012Carolina PantherscarNFC South167900.438357363-0.51.3356.24343.240.5252
2012New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South167900.4384614546.5-5.1468.24445.640.5351
2012Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South167900.4383893941.3-1.3385.04384.840.5020
2012Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1651100.313250357-4.81.6287.44338.440.4022
2012San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1611410.7193972733.56.7420.24256.840.7772
2012Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1611500.6884122454.57.7436.24240.840.8186
2012St. Louis RamsramNFC West167810.469299348-2.12.4330.64325.640.5112
2011Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.3753724341.2-4.5374.03426.930.4200
2011Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1661000.375329313-2.23.2319.63303.730.5374
2011New England PatriotsnweAFC East1613300.8135133429.4-0.1505.23356.530.7234
2011New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003773631.2-0.3374.03359.730.5310
2011Baltimore RavensravAFC North1612400.7503782662.63.5396.43298.930.6776
2011Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North169700.5633443230.7-0.2366.03358.130.5199
2011Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1641200.250218307-7.21.8239.63326.130.3284
2011Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1612400.750325227-0.86.0342.03258.930.6698
2011Houston TexanshtxAFC South1610600.6253812781.43.2377.23303.730.6393
2011Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1621400.125243430-6.0-5.3258.83439.730.2127
2011Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1651100.313243329-7.11.4241.23332.530.3212
2011Tennessee TitansotiAFC South169700.563325317-2.21.2319.63335.730.4753
2011Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500309390-3.6-1.7297.23382.130.3527
2011Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.438212338-10.22.1191.63321.330.2347
2011Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5003594330.2-5.1358.03436.530.3790
2011San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5004063772.7-1.8398.03383.730.5298
2011Dallas CowboysdalNFC East168800.5003693470.70.9366.03340.530.5518
2011New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.5633944003.1-1.5404.43378.930.5484
2011Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East168800.5003963283.11.7404.43327.730.6377
2011Washington RedskinswasNFC East1651100.313288367-4.30.2286.03351.730.3804
2011Chicago BearschiNFC North168800.500353341-1.53.1330.83305.330.5555
2011Detroit LionsdetNFC North1610600.6254743876.9-0.8465.23367.730.6569
2011Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1615100.93856035911.5-0.1538.83356.530.7589
2011Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1631300.188340449-1.6-4.1329.23420.530.3530
2011Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1610600.6254023501.81.7383.63327.730.6050
2011Carolina PantherscarNFC South1661000.3754064292.6-3.9396.43417.330.4722
2011New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1613300.81354733910.60.8524.43342.130.7642
2011Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South1641200.250287494-4.0-6.6290.83460.530.2397
2011Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West168800.500312348-1.7-0.5327.63362.930.4416
2011San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8133802291.76.6382.03249.330.7479
2011Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West167900.438321315-0.51.3346.83334.130.5295
2011St. Louis RamsramNFC West1621400.125193407-8.4-2.1220.43388.530.2053
2010Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1641200.250283425-1.5-3.1328.74402.040.3740
2010Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East167900.438273333-2.83.1307.94302.840.5106
2010New England PatriotsnweAFC East1614200.87551831312.62.8554.34307.640.8287
2010New York JetsnyjAFC East1611500.6883673042.24.2387.94285.240.6846
2010Baltimore RavensravAFC North1612400.7503572700.95.5367.14264.440.6929
2010Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1641200.2503223950.4-1.9359.14382.840.4593
2010Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313271332-3.42.0298.34320.440.4565
2010Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1612400.7503752322.57.7392.74229.240.7908
2010Houston TexanshtxAFC South1661000.3753904271.8-3.7381.54411.640.4508
2010Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1610600.6254353883.7-0.9411.94366.840.5753
2010Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South168800.500353419-1.2-3.3333.54405.240.3777
2010Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1661000.375356339-0.91.9338.34322.040.5312
2010Denver BroncosdenAFC West1641200.250344471-1.1-7.8335.14477.240.2831
2010Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1610600.625366326-1.50.8328.74339.640.4799
2010Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5004103712.3-2.2389.54387.640.5035
2010San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West169700.5634413223.21.6403.94326.840.6330
2010Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1661000.3753944362.5-4.7392.74427.640.4444
2010New York GiantsnygNFC East1610600.6253943471.70.4379.94346.040.5599
2010Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1610600.6254393775.4-1.2439.14371.640.6085
2010Washington RedskinswasNFC East1661000.375302377-3.4-0.5298.34360.440.3843
2010Chicago BearschiNFC North1611500.688334286-0.64.7343.14277.240.6288
2010Detroit LionsdetNFC North1661000.3753623692.4-0.5391.14360.440.5530
2010Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1610600.6253882403.17.9402.34226.040.8065
2010Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1661000.375281348-3.31.7299.94325.240.4505
2010Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1613300.8134142883.82.2413.54317.240.6641
2010Carolina PantherscarNFC South1621400.125196408-9.1-4.1207.14418.040.1505
2010New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1611500.6883843071.50.8376.74339.640.5661
2010Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South1610600.625341318-1.00.4336.74346.040.4832
2010Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1651100.313289434-5.6-7.1263.14466.040.1879
2010San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1661000.375305346-4.7-1.1277.54370.040.3285
2010Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West167900.438310407-3.9-5.5290.34440.440.2559
2010St. Louis RamsramNFC West167900.438289328-6.3-0.4251.94358.840.2960
2009Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.375258326-4.52.7271.47300.270.4395
2009Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East167900.4383603902.9-1.2389.87362.670.5466
2009New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6254272856.74.5450.67271.470.7853
2009New York JetsnyjAFC East169700.5633482361.17.5361.07223.470.7623
2009Baltimore RavensravAFC North169700.5633912612.64.9385.07265.070.7173
2009Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1610600.625305291-2.53.2303.47292.270.5230
2009Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313245375-6.0-2.4247.47381.870.2549
2009Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North169700.5633683241.00.7359.47332.270.5497
2009Houston TexanshtxAFC South169700.5633883332.7-0.7386.67354.670.5554
2009Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1614200.8754163074.41.5413.87319.470.6604
2009Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South167900.438290380-3.8-2.6282.67385.070.3153
2009Tennessee TitansotiAFC South168800.5003544020.9-3.6357.87401.070.4268
2009Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500326324-1.01.3327.47322.670.5092
2009Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1641200.250294424-2.5-5.9303.47437.870.2801
2009Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1651100.313197379-8.7-1.6204.27369.070.1932
2009San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1613300.8134543206.40.2445.87340.270.6696
2009Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1611500.6883612500.46.7349.87236.270.7220
2009New York GiantsnygNFC East168800.5004024274.6-4.5417.07415.470.5026
2009Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1611500.6884293375.80.2436.27340.270.6564
2009Washington RedskinswasNFC East1641200.250266336-5.51.0255.47327.470.3538
2009Chicago BearschiNFC North167900.438327375-1.9-2.0313.07375.470.3871
2009Detroit LionsdetNFC North1621400.125262494-5.2-9.2260.27490.670.1628
2009Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1611500.6884612976.31.1444.27325.870.6912
2009Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1612400.7504703126.60.6449.07333.870.6844
2009Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South169700.5633633252.72.3386.67306.670.6427
2009Carolina PantherscarNFC South168800.500315308-0.64.5333.87271.470.6241
2009New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1613300.81351034111.2-0.5522.67351.470.7435
2009Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South1631300.188244400-4.6-1.1269.87361.070.3273
2009Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1610600.6253753250.1-0.4345.07349.870.4913
2009San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West168800.500330281-2.93.0297.07295.470.5033
2009Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1651100.313280390-5.0-4.4263.47413.870.2429
2009St. Louis RamsramNFC West1611500.063175436-11.7-5.8156.27436.270.0758
2008Buffalo BillsbufAFC East167900.438336342-2.8-0.6307.67362.070.3972
2008Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.688345317-2.41.8314.07323.670.4794
2008New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6884103092.31.6389.27326.870.6078
2008New York JetsnyjAFC East169700.5634053562.2-1.9387.67382.870.5062
2008Baltimore RavensravAFC North1611500.6883852444.25.6419.67262.870.7631
2008Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1641110.281204364-6.9-0.1242.07354.070.2814
2008Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1641200.250232350-5.20.6269.27342.870.3539
2008Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1612400.7503472231.68.2378.07221.270.7854
2008Houston TexanshtxAFC South168800.5003663942.8-3.2397.27403.670.4876
2008Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1612400.7503772982.63.9394.07290.070.6823
2008Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1651100.313302367-2.1-0.4318.87358.870.4242
2008Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1613300.8133752341.57.5376.47232.470.7635
2008Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.5003704480.7-6.5363.67456.470.3524
2008Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1621400.125291440-3.9-5.3290.07437.270.2569
2008Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1651100.313263388-6.5-1.0248.47368.470.2730
2008San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5004393475.00.0432.47352.470.6285
2008Dallas CowboysdalNFC East169700.5633623651.7-1.2379.67371.670.5118
2008New York GiantsnygNFC East1612400.7504272945.52.8440.47307.670.7143
2008Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East169610.5944162894.73.2427.67301.270.7087
2008Washington RedskinswasNFC East168800.500265296-5.84.1259.67286.870.4389
2008Chicago BearschiNFC North169700.5633753501.11.0370.07336.470.5583
2008Detroit LionsdetNFC North1601600.000268517-4.0-9.1288.47498.070.1916
2008Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1661000.3754193804.1-1.2418.07371.670.5744
2008Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1610600.6253793331.12.9370.07306.070.6153
2008Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1611500.6883913251.32.5373.27312.470.6085
2008Carolina PantherscarNFC South1612400.7504143292.82.9397.27306.070.6580
2008New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South168800.5004633936.8-2.8461.27397.270.5965
2008Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South169700.563361323-0.62.9342.87306.070.5683
2008Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West169700.5634274264.1-6.0418.07448.470.4512
2008San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West167900.438339381-2.9-2.4306.07390.870.3478
2008Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1641200.250294392-4.9-2.8274.07397.270.2804
2008St. Louis RamsramNFC West1621400.125232465-8.1-7.0222.87464.470.1332
2007Buffalo BillsbufAFC East167900.438252354-5.61.5257.55322.950.3735
2007Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.063267437-4.1-4.2281.55414.150.2805
2007New England PatriotsnweAFC East1616001.00058927415.94.2601.55279.750.8940
2007New York JetsnyjAFC East1641200.250268355-4.00.3283.15342.150.3926
2007Baltimore RavensravAFC North1651100.313275384-5.0-1.8267.15375.750.3072
2007Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North167900.4383803851.6-4.0372.75410.950.4440
2007Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1610600.6254023822.2-3.3382.35399.750.4783
2007Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1610600.6253932690.94.3361.55278.150.6646
2007Houston TexanshtxAFC South168800.5003793842.5-2.5387.15386.950.5076
2007Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1613300.8134502626.65.4452.75260.550.8110
2007Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1611500.6884113044.82.0423.95314.950.6897
2007Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1610600.625301297-2.93.6300.75289.350.5308
2007Denver BroncosdenAFC West167900.438320409-0.2-3.8343.95407.750.3991
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2005Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1611500.6883892583.84.0390.48265.830.7259
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2005Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1614200.8754392475.65.2419.28246.630.7935
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2005Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1641200.250299421-2.0-5.5297.68417.830.2988
2005Denver BroncosdenAFC West1613300.8133952585.05.8409.68237.030.7987
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2005New York GiantsnygNFC East1611500.6884223145.81.7422.48302.630.7041
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2005New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1631300.188235398-6.2-4.9230.48408.230.1974
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2005Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1651100.313311387-2.0-3.0297.68377.830.3569
2005San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1641200.250239428-5.6-5.5240.08417.830.2027
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2005St. Louis RamsramNFC West1661000.3753634291.3-6.4350.48432.230.3691
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2004Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1641200.250275354-2.70.5300.60335.800.4354
2004New England PatriotsnweAFC East1614200.8754372606.36.5444.60239.800.8298
2004New York JetsnyjAFC East1610600.6253332610.56.0351.80247.800.7056
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2004Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1641200.250276390-1.5-1.9319.80374.200.4054
2004Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1615100.9383722513.45.6398.20254.200.7576
2004Houston TexanshtxAFC South167900.438309339-2.41.8305.40315.000.4846
2004Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1612400.75052235111.7-0.3531.00348.600.7595
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2004Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1651100.3133444390.3-4.6348.60417.400.3888
2004Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.6253813041.64.3369.40275.000.6794
2004Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.43848343510.0-4.7503.80419.000.6263
2004Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1651100.313320442-0.6-3.7334.20403.000.3856
2004San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1612400.7504463136.13.0441.40295.800.7404
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2004New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375303347-2.3-1.6307.00369.400.3893
2004Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1613300.8133862602.03.5375.80287.800.6648
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2004Chicago BearschiNFC North1651100.313231331-8.50.3207.80339.000.2407
2004Detroit LionsdetNFC North1661000.375296350-3.8-1.4283.00366.200.3484
2004Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1610600.6254243804.3-4.0412.60407.800.5114
2004Minnesota VikingsminNFC North168800.5004053953.0-4.7391.80419.000.4596
2004Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1611500.688340337-1.8-0.4315.00350.200.4376
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2004New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South168800.500348405-1.2-4.3324.60412.600.3541
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2004Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1661000.375284322-5.00.2263.80340.600.3521
2004San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1621400.125259452-5.1-8.6262.20481.400.1765
2004Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West169700.5633713730.4-3.3350.20396.600.4241
2004St. Louis RamsramNFC West168800.500319392-2.2-3.8308.60404.600.3375
2003Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.375243279-5.04.0253.26269.360.4670
2003Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.625311261-0.74.1322.06267.760.6138
2003New England PatriotsnweAFC East1614200.8753482382.14.9366.86254.960.7137
2003New York JetsnyjAFC East1661000.375283299-1.91.3302.86312.560.4840
2003Baltimore RavensravAFC North1610600.6253912813.33.0386.06285.360.6846
2003Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North168800.5003463841.1-3.5350.86389.360.4367
2003Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313254322-5.32.4248.46294.960.4024
2003Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1661000.375300327-2.51.4293.26310.960.4675
2003Houston TexanshtxAFC South1651100.313255380-4.4-1.5262.86357.360.3227
2003Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1612400.7504473368.2-1.2464.46352.560.6775
2003Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1651100.313276331-3.30.9280.46318.960.4254
2003Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1612400.7504353247.0-0.5445.26341.360.6703
2003Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.6253813012.43.1371.66283.760.6658
2003Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1613300.8134843329.2-0.9480.46347.760.7050
2003Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1641200.250270379-4.2-1.3266.06354.160.3341
2003San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1641200.250313441-0.6-6.2323.66432.560.3241
2003Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1610600.625289260-3.22.7282.06290.160.4863
2003New York GiantsnygNFC East1641200.250243387-4.8-3.7256.46392.560.2605
2003Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1612400.7503742872.91.5379.66309.360.6300
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2003Chicago BearschiNFC North167900.438283346-4.20.7266.06322.160.3891
2003Detroit LionsdetNFC North1651100.313270379-4.3-1.6264.46358.960.3233
2003Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1610600.6254423076.21.9432.46302.960.7173
2003Minnesota VikingsminNFC North169700.5634163534.0-1.1397.26350.960.5826
2003Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1651100.313299422-2.0-5.4301.26419.760.3031
2003Carolina PantherscarNFC South1611500.688325304-1.50.6309.26323.760.4750
2003New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South168800.5003403260.1-0.4334.86339.760.4942
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2003Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1641200.250225452-6.3-6.2232.46432.560.1774
2003San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West167900.4383843373.00.1381.26331.760.5911
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2003St. Louis RamsramNFC West1612400.7504473286.0-0.2429.26336.560.6562
2002Buffalo BillsbufAFC East168800.5003793972.1-2.3380.43383.580.4952
2002Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633783011.74.4374.03276.380.6807
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2002Cleveland BrownscleAFC North169700.563344320-0.41.7340.43319.580.5400
2002Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1610510.6563903453.1-0.4396.43353.180.5746
2002Houston TexanshtxAFC South1641200.250213356-8.4-1.1212.43364.380.2137
2002Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1610600.6253493130.40.7353.23335.580.5329
2002Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1661000.375328315-1.31.1326.03329.180.4946
2002Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1611500.6883673241.60.1372.43345.180.5490
2002Denver BroncosdenAFC West169700.5633923443.01.9394.83316.380.6381
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2002Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1611500.6884503046.34.3447.63277.980.7727
2002San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.500333367-1.00.2330.83343.580.4768
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2002New York GiantsnygNFC East1610600.625320279-2.23.0311.63298.780.5264
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2002Chicago BearschiNFC North1641200.250281379-4.4-0.9276.43361.180.3405
2002Detroit LionsdetNFC North1631300.188306451-2.5-6.7306.83453.980.2665
2002Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1612400.7503983282.41.2385.23327.580.6025
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2002Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South169610.5944023143.51.5402.83322.780.6388
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2002New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South169700.5634323885.8-3.3439.63399.580.5636
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2002St. Louis RamsramNFC West167900.438316369-1.6-1.8321.23375.580.4028
2001Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1610600.625303265-0.84.0310.61259.410.6059
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2001Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1661000.375294286-1.12.0305.81291.410.5283
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2001Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1661000.3754134866.1-9.8421.01480.210.4109
2001Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.688344290-0.33.1318.61273.810.5902
2001New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6883712721.23.1342.61273.810.6334
2001New York JetsnyjAFC East1610600.625308295-2.02.8291.41278.610.5260
2001Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.5003403390.5-1.0331.41339.410.4839
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2001Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1610600.6253993274.0-0.4387.41329.810.6002
2001San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1651100.3133323210.3-0.6328.21333.010.4898
2001Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.563301324-1.4-0.4301.01329.810.4426
2001Chicago BearschiNFC Central1613300.8133382030.87.1336.21209.810.7540
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2001Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1612400.7503902664.02.6387.41281.810.6887
2001Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1651100.313290390-0.8-3.9310.61385.810.3648
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2001Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East167900.438295343-1.5-2.6299.41365.010.3772
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2001New York GiantsnygNFC East167900.438294321-1.80.0294.61323.410.4417
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2000Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1612400.7503331650.08.0330.72202.830.7587
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2000Tennessee TitansotiAFC Central1613300.8133461911.56.8354.72222.030.7537
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2000San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1611500.063269440-3.7-4.4271.52401.230.2697
2000Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1661000.375320405-1.4-2.3308.32367.630.3882
2000Chicago BearschiNFC Central1651100.313216355-6.40.1228.32329.230.2907
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2000Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.5633533231.80.7359.52319.630.5707
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2000Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1631300.188210443-7.2-8.1215.52460.430.1261
2000Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1651100.313294361-1.5-3.0306.72378.830.3669
2000New York GiantsnygNFC East1612400.750328246-1.33.8309.92270.030.5799
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2000New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1610600.625354305-1.22.1311.52297.230.5259
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2000St. Louis RamsramNFC West1610600.62554047112.6-9.5532.32482.830.5646
1999Baltimore RavensravAFC Central168800.500324277-1.62.5307.43293.080.5251
1999Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1641200.250283460-3.3-8.2280.23464.280.2099
1999Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1621400.125217437-7.6-6.5211.43437.080.1367
1999Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1614200.8753962171.35.1353.83251.480.6937
1999Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1661000.375317320-2.2-0.2297.83336.280.4213
1999Tennessee TitansotiAFC Central1613300.8133923242.0-1.0365.03349.080.5244
1999Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1611500.688320229-0.27.4329.83214.680.7319
1999Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1613300.8134233336.6-0.5438.63341.080.6543
1999Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633263361.20.7352.23321.880.5524
1999New England PatriotsnweAFC East168800.500299284-1.03.2317.03281.880.5672
1999New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003083090.22.9336.23286.680.5930
1999Denver BroncosdenAFC West1661000.3753143181.02.4349.03294.680.5997
1999Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West169700.5633903225.51.3421.03312.280.6789
1999Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5003903295.71.0424.23317.080.6751
1999San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.500269316-3.92.9270.63286.680.4614
1999Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5633382981.92.6363.43291.480.6303
1999Chicago BearschiNFC Central1661000.375272341-3.01.0285.03317.080.4312
1999Detroit LionsdetNFC Central168800.5003223230.11.8334.63304.280.5547
1999Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003573412.5-0.9373.03347.480.5412
1999Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1610600.6253993355.2-0.8416.23345.880.6137
1999Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1611500.688270235-4.16.7267.43225.880.5930
1999Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1661000.375245382-5.5-3.2245.03384.280.2433
1999Dallas CowboysdalNFC East168800.500352276-0.33.4328.23278.680.5949
1999New York GiantsnygNFC East167900.438299358-1.8-1.2304.23352.280.4054
1999Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1651100.313272357-3.3-0.9280.23347.480.3661
1999Washington RedskinswasNFC East1610600.6254433776.8-3.9441.83395.480.5689
1999Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1651100.313285380-4.0-3.0269.03381.080.2916
1999Carolina PantherscarNFC West168800.5004213812.9-4.0379.43397.080.4664
1999New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1631300.188260434-5.3-6.9248.23443.480.1831
1999San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1641200.250295453-4.5-6.8261.03441.880.2038
1999St. Louis RamsramNFC West1613300.8135262428.73.2472.23281.880.7875
1998Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1661000.375269335-5.2-0.2257.35343.590.3389
1998Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188268452-4.5-6.5268.55444.390.2253
1998Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1611500.6883923383.1-0.6390.15349.990.5780
1998Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central167900.438263303-5.11.3258.95319.590.3838
1998Tennessee OilersotiAFC Central168800.500330320-0.50.5332.55332.390.5088
1998Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1610600.6254003334.40.7410.95329.190.6475
1998Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1631300.188310444-0.1-5.3338.95425.190.3656
1998Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.625321265-0.76.5329.35236.390.6983
1998New England PatriotsnweAFC East169700.5633373291.12.8358.15295.590.6261
1998New York JetsnyjAFC East1612400.7504162665.45.8426.95247.590.8060
1998Denver BroncosdenAFC West1614200.8755013099.5-0.6492.55349.990.7211
1998Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.438327363-0.7-2.4329.35378.790.4204
1998Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.500288356-4.1-1.5274.95364.390.3405
1998San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1651100.313241342-7.7-0.7217.35351.590.2472
1998Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West168800.5003723100.90.6354.95330.790.5529
1998Chicago BearschiNFC Central1641200.250276368-3.4-0.3286.15345.190.3945
1998Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1651100.313306378-1.9-1.5310.15364.390.4085
1998Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1611500.6884083194.30.7409.35329.190.6451
1998Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1615100.93855629613.21.6551.75314.790.8264
1998Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central168800.500314295-2.33.5303.75284.390.5485
1998Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East169700.563325378-1.6-5.8314.95433.190.3137
1998Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1610600.6253812750.92.6354.95298.790.6144
1998New York GiantsnygNFC East168800.500287309-4.31.1271.75322.790.4051
1998Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1631300.188161344-12.3-0.5143.75348.390.1215
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1998Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1614200.8754422897.03.0452.55292.390.7637
1998Carolina PantherscarNFC West1641200.2503364131.0-2.4356.55378.790.4697
1998New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1661000.375305359-1.51.6316.55314.790.5120
1998San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1612400.7504793288.81.8481.35311.590.7660
1998St. Louis RamsramNFC West1641200.250285378-2.30.0303.75340.390.4382
1997Baltimore RavensravAFC Central166910.406326345-0.4-0.2325.61335.050.4824
1997Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central167900.4383554051.8-4.0360.81395.850.4406
1997Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1611500.6883943184.41.0402.41315.850.6503
1997Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1611500.6883723072.72.6375.21290.250.6559
1997Tennessee OilersotiAFC Central168800.500333310-0.31.9327.21301.450.5508
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1997Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1631300.188313401-0.6-3.8322.41392.650.3771
1997Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633393271.00.3348.01327.050.5393
1997New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6253692892.33.0368.81283.850.6581
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1997Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1641200.250324419-0.1-5.0330.41411.850.3621
1997San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1641200.250266425-4.1-4.8266.41408.650.2545
1997Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West168800.5003653621.8-1.7360.81359.050.5034
1997Chicago BearschiNFC Central1641200.250263421-3.1-5.3282.41416.650.2718
1997Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.5633793063.00.9380.01317.450.6124
1997Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1613300.8134222825.32.4416.81293.450.7101
1997Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central169700.5633543591.7-1.8359.21360.650.4978
1997Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1610600.625299263-2.45.1293.61250.250.5945
1997Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1641200.250283379-2.6-3.8290.41392.650.3187
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1997New York GiantsnygNFC East1610510.656307265-1.83.3303.21279.050.5505
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1997New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1661000.375237327-6.8-0.6223.21341.450.2646
1997San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8133752652.42.7370.41288.650.6514
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1996Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1641200.2503714413.9-6.8389.18435.630.4254
1996Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central168800.5003723692.5-2.6366.78368.430.4964
1996Houston OilersotiAFC Central168800.5003453190.10.8328.38314.030.5271
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1996Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1610600.6253442570.05.1326.78245.230.6661
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1996Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East169700.563317334-1.80.2297.98323.630.4486
1996Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East168800.5003393250.6-0.4336.38333.230.5052
1996New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6884183134.90.2405.18323.630.6395
1996New York JetsnyjAFC East1611500.063279454-2.5-7.6286.78448.430.2400
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1996Oakland RaidersraiAFC West167900.4383402930.32.1331.58293.230.5746
1996San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5003103760.4-2.1333.18360.430.4497
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1996Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438283305-1.41.2304.38307.630.4928
1996Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1651100.313302368-0.4-2.5320.38366.830.4146
1996Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1613300.8134562108.76.6465.98221.230.8673
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1996Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East167900.438300397-1.7-5.8299.58419.630.2964
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1996New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375242297-5.71.5235.58302.830.3542
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1996Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1631300.188309461-0.2-8.9323.58469.230.2736
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1996New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1631300.188229339-7.1-1.0213.18342.830.2417
1996San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1612400.7503982573.74.3385.98258.030.7307
1996St. Louis RamsramNFC West1661000.375303409-1.7-4.6299.58400.430.3231
1995Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central167900.4383493740.1-1.9345.35374.040.4529
1995Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1651100.313289356-3.2-0.6292.55353.240.3885
1995Houston OilersotiAFC Central167900.438348324-0.10.9342.15329.240.5279
1995Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1641200.250275404-4.4-3.7273.35402.840.2774
1995Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1611500.6884073273.41.2398.15324.440.6318
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1995Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East169700.563331316-1.70.4316.55337.240.4643
1995Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633983323.1-0.4393.35350.040.5783
1995New England PatriotsnweAFC East1661000.375294377-2.8-2.6298.95385.240.3489
1995New York JetsnyjAFC East1631300.188233384-7.9-3.3217.35396.440.1896
1995Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.5003883453.3-0.2396.55346.840.5892
1995Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1613300.8133582410.86.9356.55233.240.7412
1995Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5003483321.11.0361.35327.640.5653
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1995Chicago BearschiNFC Central169700.5633923603.1-0.8393.35356.440.5670
1995Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1610600.6254363365.91.0438.15327.640.6839
1995Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1611500.6884043143.52.5399.75303.640.6717
1995Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central168800.5004123855.1-1.4425.35366.040.6007
1995Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central167900.438238335-6.91.9233.35313.240.3348
1995Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1641200.250275422-3.5-4.0287.75407.640.2963
1995Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504352916.23.5442.95287.640.7554
1995New York GiantsnygNFC East1651100.313290340-2.61.1302.15326.040.4568
1995Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1610600.625318338-1.90.2313.35340.440.4522
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1995New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.438319348-1.7-0.4316.55350.040.4410
1995San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1611500.6884572586.55.3447.75258.840.8050
1995St. Louis RamsramNFC West167900.438309418-1.8-4.6314.95417.240.3307
1994Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188276406-1.6-5.4298.56410.450.3110
1994Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1611500.6883402041.26.1343.36226.450.7352
1994Houston OilersotiAFC Central1621400.125226352-4.7-2.6248.96365.650.2831
1994Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1612400.750316234-0.25.0320.96244.050.6625
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1994Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East168800.500307320-1.3-0.2303.36327.250.4565
1994Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.6253893274.5-0.3396.16328.850.6203
1994New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6253513121.91.3354.56303.250.5997
1994New York JetsnyjAFC East1661000.375264320-3.71.5264.96300.050.4289
1994Denver BroncosdenAFC West167900.4383473961.3-4.6344.96397.650.4127
1994Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West169700.563319298-1.32.1303.36290.450.5297
1994Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West169700.563303327-1.90.3293.76319.250.4523
1994San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1611500.6883813062.90.7370.56312.850.6085
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1994Chicago BearschiNFC Central169700.563271307-3.21.3272.96303.250.4399
1994Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.5633573422.8-0.4368.96330.450.5728
1994Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.5633822873.82.2384.96288.850.6764
1994Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1610600.6253563142.40.8362.56311.250.5980
1994Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1661000.375251351-5.4-0.8237.76336.850.3043
1994Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East168800.500235267-5.63.3234.56271.250.4189
1994Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504142485.64.5413.76252.050.7793
1994New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.563279305-2.71.0280.96308.050.4475
1994Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East167900.438308308-0.41.0317.76308.050.5224
1994Washington RedskinswasNFC East1631300.1883204120.3-6.4328.96426.450.3414
1994Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West167900.438317385-1.2-3.1304.96373.650.3780
1994Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1641200.250286365-3.2-2.1272.96357.650.3421
1994New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.4383484071.0-4.6340.16397.650.4042
1994San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8135052969.91.7482.56296.850.7834
1993Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188187319-7.4-1.0180.78315.180.2164
1993Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central167900.438304307-0.6-0.6289.58308.780.4625
1993Houston OilersotiAFC Central1612400.7503682384.13.1364.78249.580.7193
1993Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central169700.5633082810.11.5300.78275.180.5552
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1993Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1641200.250189378-6.2-5.1199.98380.780.1750
1993Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633493513.9-4.3361.58367.980.4903
1993New England PatriotsnweAFC East1651100.313238286-4.00.3235.18294.380.3716
1993New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.500270247-2.12.9265.58252.780.5307
1993Denver BroncosdenAFC West169700.5633732844.60.4372.78292.780.6485
1993Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1611500.6883282911.91.0329.58283.180.5937
1993Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West1610600.6253063261.1-1.7316.78326.380.4830
1993San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5003222901.11.1316.78281.580.5730
1993Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1661000.375280314-0.8-0.5286.38307.180.4589
1993Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438234230-4.64.3225.58230.380.4896
1993Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1610600.625298292-0.30.0294.38299.180.4917
1993Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.5633402822.70.5342.38291.180.6006
1993Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central169700.563277290-1.31.2278.38279.980.4981
1993Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651100.313237376-3.3-4.3246.38367.980.2732
1993Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7503762294.94.7377.58223.980.7835
1993New York GiantsnygNFC East1611500.688288205-0.85.4286.38212.780.6684
1993Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East168800.5002933150.7-0.3310.38303.980.5144
1993Phoenix CardinalscrdNFC East167900.4383262691.92.1329.58265.580.6303
1993Washington RedskinswasNFC East1641200.250230345-3.8-2.7238.38342.380.2952
1993Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1661000.3753163850.8-5.2311.98382.380.3755
1993Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1651100.313221367-5.0-3.4219.18353.580.2411
1993New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West168800.5003173430.7-2.1310.38332.780.4584
1993San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610600.6254732959.9-0.3457.58303.980.7443
1992Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1651100.313274364-0.9-5.7285.28390.940.3152
1992Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central167900.438272275-2.01.0267.68283.740.4689
1992Houston OilersotiAFC Central1610600.6253522583.02.6347.68258.140.6784
1992Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1611500.688299225-0.44.0293.28235.740.6303
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1992Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East169700.563216302-6.0-1.0203.68315.740.2660
1992Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.6883402812.1-0.6333.28309.340.5499
1992New England PatriotsnweAFC East1621400.125205363-6.5-4.5195.68371.740.1792
1992New York JetsnyjAFC East1641200.250220315-6.0-0.9203.68314.140.2685
1992Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500262329-1.4-1.9277.28330.140.3984
1992Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1610600.6253482823.7-0.2358.88302.940.6082
1992Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West167900.438249281-3.21.5248.48275.740.4425
1992San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1611500.6883352411.81.3328.48278.940.6026
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1992Chicago BearschiNFC Central1651100.313295361-0.2-3.3296.48352.540.3975
1992Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1651100.313273332-0.7-1.1288.48317.340.4456
1992Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.563276296-2.61.0258.08283.740.4475
1992Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1611500.6883742494.43.3370.08246.940.7339
1992Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651100.313267365-2.0-3.9267.68362.140.3251
1992Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1613300.8134092436.43.5402.08243.740.7803
1992New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.3753063671.6-3.4325.28354.140.4504
1992Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1611500.6883542454.84.1376.48234.140.7661
1992Phoenix CardinalscrdNFC East1641200.250243332-2.9-0.1253.28301.340.4011
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1992Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1661000.3753274142.3-6.4336.48402.140.3910
1992Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1661000.3753133831.1-4.0317.28363.740.4184
1992New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1612400.7503302020.77.1310.88186.140.7717
1992San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1614200.8754312367.34.5416.48227.740.8215
1991Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188263435-1.8-6.9275.04414.190.2645
1991Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1661000.375293298-0.70.4292.64297.390.4927
1991Houston OilersotiAFC Central1611500.6883862514.93.4382.24249.390.7446
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1989New England PatriotsnweAFC East1651100.313297391-3.0-4.0281.66393.830.2999
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1989Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1610600.6253623561.0-2.0345.66361.830.4701
1989Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1610600.6253512750.24.1332.86264.230.6364
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1988Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1641200.250240315-3.90.6261.65314.390.3942
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1987Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1541100.267269384-4.5-5.3256.46403.520.2421
1987Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central155910.367255300-5.41.8242.96297.020.3829
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1985San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610600.6254112634.64.2418.01277.320.7406
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1984Houston OilersotiAFC Central1631300.188240437-5.9-6.0244.90435.360.1897
1984Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central169700.5633873102.40.9377.70324.960.5942
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1984New York JetsnyjAFC East167900.438332364-1.8-2.7310.50382.560.3706
1984Denver BroncosdenAFC West1613300.8133532411.06.7355.30232.160.7376
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1984Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1612400.7504182825.43.5425.70283.360.7380
1984Chicago BearschiNFC Central1610600.625325248-1.76.4312.10236.960.6587
1984Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1641110.281283408-2.9-3.4292.90393.760.3211
1984Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003903092.92.1385.70305.760.6427
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1984Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1661000.375335380-0.2-3.4336.10393.760.3996
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1984New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.563299301-2.23.1304.10289.760.5292
1984Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East166910.406278320-4.31.9270.50308.960.4199
1984St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East169700.5634233456.2-0.9438.50353.760.6367
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1984San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1615100.9384752277.45.4457.70252.960.8190
1983Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central167900.438346302-1.21.7330.11322.110.5211
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1983Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1610600.625355303-1.21.1330.11331.710.5028
1983Baltimore ColtscltAFC East167900.438264354-4.1-2.7283.71392.510.3122
1983Buffalo BillsbufAFC East168800.500283351-3.4-0.4294.91355.710.3911
1983Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1612400.7503892502.65.2390.91266.110.7292
1983New England PatriotsnweAFC East168800.500274289-4.73.7274.11290.110.4717
1983New York JetsnyjAFC East167900.438313331-1.90.7318.91338.110.4694
1983Denver BroncosdenAFC West169700.563302327-4.11.3283.71328.510.4167
1983Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1661000.3753863671.70.3376.51344.510.5624
1983Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West1612400.7504423385.11.7430.91322.110.6855
1983San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1661000.3753584621.1-5.7366.91440.510.3879
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1983Chicago BearschiNFC Central168800.500311301-2.51.5309.31325.310.4746
1983Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.563347286-1.23.3330.11296.510.5717
1983Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5004294395.2-7.1432.51462.910.4601
1983Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central168800.500316348-2.9-0.1302.91350.910.4150
1983Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1621400.125241380-7.5-1.6229.31374.910.2366
1983Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504793608.6-0.1486.91350.910.7104
1983New York GiantsnygNFC East1631210.219267347-5.53.4261.31294.910.4338
1983Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1651100.313233322-6.73.6242.11291.710.3969
1983St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East168710.5313744282.5-3.6389.31406.910.4769
1983Washington RedskinswasNFC East1614200.87554133211.72.2536.51314.110.8121
1983Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West167900.4383703892.9-2.1395.71382.910.5272
1983Los Angeles RamsramNFC West169700.5633613442.00.9381.31334.910.5879
1983New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West168800.500319337-1.11.1331.71331.710.5058
1983San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610600.6254322935.73.0440.51301.310.7326
1982Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central97200.7782321773.60.3213.86178.760.6166
1982Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central94500.444140182-4.91.6137.36167.060.3903
1982Houston OilersotiAFC Central91800.111136245-4.0-7.2145.46246.260.2132
1982Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central96300.6672041463.51.9212.96164.360.6620
1982Baltimore ColtscltAFC East90810.056113236-6.0-2.6127.46204.860.2443
1982Buffalo BillsbufAFC East94500.444150154-1.93.4164.36150.860.5561
1982Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East97200.7781981312.75.8205.76129.260.7614
1982New England PatriotsnweAFC East95400.556143157-3.51.4149.96168.860.4338
1982New York JetsnyjAFC East96300.6672451668.91.8261.56165.260.7714
1982Denver BroncosdenAFC West92700.222148226-6.1-3.8126.56215.660.2178
1982Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West93600.333176184-1.81.7165.26166.160.5015
1982Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West98100.8892602006.1-0.8236.36188.660.6466
1982San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West96300.66728822110.7-5.2277.76228.260.6343
1982Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West94500.444127147-7.52.0113.96163.460.3063
1982Chicago BearschiNFC Central93600.333141174-4.1-1.2144.56192.260.3374
1982Detroit LionsdetNFC Central94500.444181176-0.41.6177.86167.060.5432
1982Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central95310.6112261694.71.6223.76167.060.6819
1982Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central95400.5561871982.1-1.0200.36190.460.5369
1982Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central95400.556158178-0.51.2176.96170.660.5271
1982Dallas CowboysdalNFC East96300.6672261455.12.9227.36155.360.7279
1982New York GiantsnygNFC East94500.444164160-2.12.8162.56156.260.5286
1982Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East93600.3331911952.6-2.1204.86200.360.5190
1982St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East95400.556135170-4.11.4144.56168.860.4127
1982Washington RedskinswasNFC East98100.8891901282.25.1201.26135.560.7290
1982Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West95400.556183199-0.6-3.4176.06212.060.3893
1982Los Angeles RamsramNFC West92700.2222002500.8-8.0188.66253.460.3210
1982New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West94500.444129160-5.81.8129.26165.260.3636
1982San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West93600.3332092060.2-2.9183.26207.560.4266
1981Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1612400.7504213044.51.0402.73314.790.6482
1981Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1651100.313276375-4.1-2.4265.13369.190.3016
1981Houston OilersotiAFC Central167900.438281355-3.1-1.6281.13356.390.3529
1981Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central168800.5003562971.21.5349.93306.790.5774
1981Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1621400.125259533-3.8-12.0269.93522.790.1464
1981Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1610600.625311276-2.53.9290.73268.390.5438
1981Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611410.7193452750.12.8332.33285.990.5873
1981New England PatriotsnweAFC East1621400.125322370-0.6-3.1321.13380.390.3900
1981New York JetsnyjAFC East1610510.6563552870.21.7333.93303.590.5547
1981Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.625321289-1.62.9305.13284.390.5386
1981Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West169700.5633432900.42.8337.13285.990.5960
1981Oakland RaidersraiAFC West167900.438273343-3.60.0273.13330.790.3808
1981San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1610600.6254783909.2-4.7477.93405.990.6039
1981Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1661000.375322388-0.1-3.2329.13381.990.4021
1981Chicago BearschiNFC Central1661000.375253324-4.41.5260.33306.790.3982
1981Detroit LionsdetNFC Central168800.5003973224.80.5407.53322.790.6411
1981Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003243610.7-2.3341.93367.590.4500
1981Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central167900.4383253690.0-2.1330.73364.390.4348
1981Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central169700.563315268-1.44.4308.33260.390.5964
1981Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7503672772.93.2377.13279.590.6746
1981New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.563295257-2.25.5295.53242.790.6108
1981Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1610600.6253682212.06.7362.73223.590.7601
1981St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East167900.4383154080.1-4.8332.33407.590.3675
1981Washington RedskinswasNFC East168800.5003473492.2-1.2365.93349.990.5243
1981Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West167900.4384263556.5-2.6434.73372.390.5963
1981Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1661000.375303351-1.4-1.0308.33346.790.4230
1981New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1641200.250207378-7.2-2.3215.53367.590.2108
1981San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8133572501.34.9351.53252.390.6883
1980Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1661000.375244312-4.50.8255.61314.810.3766
1980Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1611500.6883573101.70.1354.81326.010.5529
1980Houston OilersotiAFC Central1611500.688295251-2.74.4284.41257.210.5593
1980Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central169700.5633523132.4-0.1366.01329.210.5665
1980Baltimore ColtscltAFC East167900.4383553872.8-4.3372.41396.410.4593
1980Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1611500.688320260-1.65.5302.01239.610.6342
1980Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East168800.500266305-4.63.1254.01278.010.4464
1980New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6254413256.8-0.3436.41332.410.6695
1980New York JetsnyjAFC East1641200.250302395-1.5-3.6303.61385.210.3536
1980Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500310323-1.11.6310.01302.010.5158
1980Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West168800.500319336-0.80.3314.81322.810.4842
1980Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1611500.6883643062.91.3374.01306.810.6221
1980San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1611500.6884183276.5-0.4431.61334.010.6602
1980Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1641200.250291408-1.6-3.7302.01386.810.3482
1980Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438304264-1.22.6308.41286.010.5456
1980Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.563334272-0.82.5314.81287.610.5548
1980Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1651010.344231371-5.8-3.2234.81378.810.2356
1980Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central169700.5633173080.0-0.3327.61332.410.4906
1980Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651010.344271341-3.5-1.6271.61353.210.3431
1980Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504543117.80.1452.41326.010.7011
1980New York GiantsnygNFC East1641200.250249425-4.3-5.5258.81415.610.2327
1980Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1612400.7503842222.96.8374.01218.810.7866
1980St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1651100.313299350-1.7-0.7300.41338.810.4256
1980Washington RedskinswasNFC East1661000.375261293-4.43.3257.21274.810.4606
1980Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1612400.7504052724.53.4399.61273.210.7221
1980Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1611500.6884242894.42.1398.01294.010.6826
1980New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1611500.063291487-1.1-9.4310.01478.010.2435
1980San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1661000.375320415-1.2-5.1308.41409.210.3266
1979Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1641200.2503374213.1-4.4370.75391.320.4667
1979Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central169700.5633593522.90.1367.55319.320.5896
1979Houston OilersotiAFC Central1611500.6883623312.91.4367.55298.520.6292
1979Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1612400.7504162626.85.1429.95239.320.8149
1979Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1651100.313271351-2.0-1.5289.15344.920.3941
1979Buffalo BillsbufAFC East167900.438268279-3.33.1268.35271.320.4951
1979Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.6253412570.34.0325.95256.920.6422
1979New England PatriotsnweAFC East169700.5634113266.1-1.1418.75338.520.6359
1979New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003373831.1-4.0338.75384.920.4206
1979Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.625289262-1.65.7295.55229.720.6464
1979Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.438238262-4.05.4257.15234.520.5550
1979Oakland RaidersraiAFC West169700.5633653373.80.0381.95320.920.6105
1979San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1612400.7504112466.05.7417.15229.720.8170
1979Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5633783724.9-2.3399.55357.720.5727
1979Chicago BearschiNFC Central1610600.625306249-2.22.1285.95287.320.4988
1979Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1621400.125219365-6.6-4.4215.55391.320.1899
1979Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1651100.313246316-5.3-1.5236.35344.920.2873
1979Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central167900.438259337-4.5-3.1249.15370.520.2750
1979Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1610600.625273237-4.61.8247.55292.120.4044
1979Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1611500.6883713133.00.3369.15316.120.5983
1979New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375237323-5.4-0.8234.75333.720.3014
1979Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1611500.6883392820.32.4325.95282.520.5884
1979St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1651100.313307358-0.7-2.0309.95352.920.4211
1979Washington RedskinswasNFC East1610600.6253482950.91.5335.55296.920.5768
1979Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1661000.375300388-1.9-4.7290.75396.120.3157
1979Los Angeles RamsramNFC West169700.563323309-1.20.6301.95311.320.4829
1979New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West168800.5003703602.3-3.5357.95376.920.4685
1979San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1621400.125308416-1.3-6.1300.35418.520.3015
1978Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1641200.250252284-2.71.3250.06272.520.4499
1978Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central168800.5003343562.5-4.5333.26365.320.4425
1978Houston OilersotiAFC Central1610600.625283298-0.60.2283.66290.120.4869
1978Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1614200.8753561952.65.6334.86203.720.7660
1978Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1651100.313239421-2.8-6.0248.46389.320.2476
1978Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1651100.313302354-0.1-3.2291.66344.520.3987
1978Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.6883722544.23.3360.46240.520.7295
1978New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6883582863.61.4350.86270.920.6547
1978New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003593644.4-3.3363.66346.120.5320
1978Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.625282198-1.96.9262.86182.920.6955
1978Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1641200.250243327-3.0-1.4245.26315.720.3533
1978Oakland RaidersraiAFC West169700.5633112831.61.1318.86275.720.5882
1978San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West169700.5633553094.6-0.9366.86307.720.6093
1978Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5633453583.4-3.7347.66352.520.4917
1978Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438253274-2.70.3250.06288.520.4162
1978Detroit LionsdetNFC Central167900.438290300-0.1-1.7291.66320.520.4429
1978Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168710.531249269-2.21.6258.06267.720.4788
1978Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central168710.5312943061.0-1.1309.26310.920.4972
1978Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651100.313241259-4.10.8227.66280.520.3805
1978Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7503842085.85.2386.06210.120.8158
1978New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375264298-1.1-1.3275.66314.120.4217
1978Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East169700.563270250-1.13.4275.66238.920.5839
1978St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1661000.375248296-2.60.0251.66293.320.4101
1978Washington RedskinswasNFC East168800.500273283-1.10.7275.66282.120.4866
1978Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West169700.563240290-3.7-0.9234.06307.720.3430
1978Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1612400.7503162451.31.9314.06262.920.6065
1978New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.438281298-0.5-1.2285.26312.520.4450
1978San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1621400.125219350-4.6-4.5219.66365.320.2257
1977Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central148600.5712382350.61.6248.86218.060.5811
1977Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central146800.4292692672.40.1274.06239.060.5856
1977Houston OilersotiAFC Central148600.5712992304.42.3302.06208.260.7148
1977Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central149500.6432832433.92.3295.06208.260.7023
1977Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1410400.7142952213.61.5290.86219.460.6679
1977Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1431100.214160313-4.3-3.7180.26292.260.2437
1977Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410400.7143131974.43.5302.06191.460.7531
1977New England PatriotsnweAFC East149500.6432782172.51.5275.46219.460.6369
1977New York JetsnyjAFC East1431100.214191300-3.8-2.0187.26268.460.3027
1977Denver BroncosdenAFC West1412200.8572741481.99.4267.06108.860.8862
1977Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1421200.1432253490.9-5.8253.06321.660.3578
1977Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1411300.7863512308.81.6363.66218.060.7861
1977San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West147700.500222205-1.45.2220.86167.660.6548
1977Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West145900.3572823734.2-8.6299.26360.860.3846
1977Chicago BearschiNFC Central149500.6432552530.0-3.6240.46290.860.3888
1977Detroit LionsdetNFC Central146800.429183252-4.4-3.0178.86282.460.2565
1977Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1441000.286134219-9.10.4113.06234.860.1693
1977Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central149500.643231227-1.0-0.6226.46248.860.4473
1977Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1421200.143103223-11.10.385.06236.260.1020
1977Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1412200.8573452127.60.2346.86237.660.7242
1977New York GiantsnygNFC East145900.357181265-4.0-2.2184.46271.260.2903
1977Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East145900.357220207-2.51.9205.46213.860.4802
1977St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East147700.5002722872.6-4.0276.86296.460.4607
1977Washington RedskinswasNFC East149500.643196189-3.12.6197.06204.060.4834
1977Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West147700.500179129-6.16.6155.06148.060.5279
1977Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1410400.7143021463.84.6293.66176.060.7748
1977New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1431100.2142323360.3-9.4244.66372.060.2595
1977San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West145900.357220260-1.1-2.7225.06278.260.3778
1976Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1410400.7143352105.05.1338.14196.690.7840
1976Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central149500.6432672870.7-2.4277.94301.690.4419
1976Houston OilersotiAFC Central145900.357222273-2.71.0230.34254.090.4346
1976Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1410400.7143421385.79.6347.94133.690.9010
1976Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1411300.7864172469.30.4398.34262.490.7394
1976Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1421200.143245363-2.5-6.7233.14361.890.2413
1976Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East146800.429263264-1.81.7242.94244.290.4898
1976New England PatriotsnweAFC East1411300.7863762366.52.2359.14237.290.7330
1976New York JetsnyjAFC East1431100.214169383-7.1-6.8168.74363.290.1254
1976Denver BroncosdenAFC West149500.6433152062.54.4303.14206.490.7105
1976Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West145900.3572903762.2-6.9298.94364.690.3672
1976Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1413100.9293502376.32.2356.34237.290.7289
1976San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West146800.429248285-1.70.5244.34261.090.4531
1976Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamAFC West1401400.000125412-10.8-8.8116.94391.290.0439
1976Chicago BearschiNFC Central147700.5002532160.34.2272.34209.290.6456
1976Detroit LionsdetNFC Central146800.429262220-0.63.4259.74220.490.5898
1976Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central145900.357218299-2.5-2.0233.14296.090.3508
1976Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1411210.8213051763.75.7319.94188.290.7765
1976Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1411300.7862961940.54.0275.14212.090.6444
1976New York GiantsnygNFC East1431100.214170250-5.52.1191.14238.690.3667
1976Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1441000.286165286-7.3-1.4165.94287.690.2077
1976St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1410400.7143092673.5-1.0317.14282.090.5665
1976Washington RedskinswasNFC East1410400.7142912171.21.8284.94242.890.5896
1976Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1441000.286172312-6.7-3.5174.34317.090.1849
1976Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1410310.7503511905.94.5350.74205.090.7840
1976New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1441000.286253346-0.6-5.5259.74345.090.3207
1976San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West148600.571270190-1.35.0249.94198.090.6264
1976Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1421200.143229429-2.2-12.9237.34448.690.1525
1975Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1411300.7863402464.02.9344.27247.560.6979
1975Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1431100.214218372-2.6-4.2251.87346.960.3097
1975Houston OilersotiAFC Central1410400.7142932261.25.2305.07215.360.7019
1975Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1412200.8573731625.48.8363.87164.960.8755
1975Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1410400.7143952696.32.2376.47257.360.7274
1975Buffalo BillsbufAFC East148600.57142035510.4-3.4433.87335.760.6671
1975Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410400.7143572223.36.0334.47204.160.7725
1975New England PatriotsnweAFC East1431100.214258358-2.3-2.0256.07316.160.3729
1975New York JetsnyjAFC East1431100.214258433-1.2-7.1271.47387.560.2864
1975Denver BroncosdenAFC West146800.429254307-2.7-0.7250.47297.960.3959
1975Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West145900.357282341-0.6-3.7279.87339.960.3801
1975Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1411300.7863752555.51.3365.27269.960.6860
1975San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1421200.143189345-6.0-3.4204.27335.760.2289
1975Chicago BearschiNFC Central1441000.286191379-4.9-6.6219.67380.560.2012
1975Detroit LionsdetNFC Central147700.500245262-3.21.3243.47269.960.4391
1975Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1441000.286226285-3.3-0.9242.07300.760.3708
1975Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1412200.8573771803.55.4337.27212.560.7594
1975Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7143502684.00.1344.27286.760.6163
1975New York GiantsnygNFC East145900.357216306-6.2-0.6201.47296.560.2839
1975Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1441000.286225302-4.0-0.6232.27296.560.3562
1975St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1411300.7863562763.40.1335.87286.760.6009
1975Washington RedskinswasNFC East148600.5713252762.60.2324.67285.360.5826
1975Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1441000.286240289-2.7-0.8250.47299.360.3930
1975Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1412200.8573121350.58.7295.27166.360.7970
1975New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1421200.143165360-8.2-5.9173.47370.760.1347
1975San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West145900.357255286-2.2-2.5257.47323.160.3629
1974Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central147700.5002832591.90.2281.14251.740.5704
1974Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1441000.2862513440.5-4.7261.54320.340.3787
1974Houston OilersotiAFC Central147700.500236282-1.3-0.6236.34262.940.4391
1974Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1410310.7503051892.34.5286.74191.540.7270
1974Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1421200.143190329-4.6-4.1190.14311.940.2352
1974Buffalo BillsbufAFC East149500.643264244-0.31.4250.34234.940.5411
1974Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1411300.7863272163.92.3309.14222.340.6948
1974New England PatriotsnweAFC East147700.5003482896.6-1.8346.94279.740.6372
1974New York JetsnyjAFC East147700.5002793001.1-3.7269.94306.340.4247
1974Denver BroncosdenAFC West147610.5363022943.4-2.8302.14293.740.5209
1974Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West145900.357233293-1.3-1.1236.34269.940.4233
1974Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1412200.8573552286.42.7344.14216.740.7624
1974San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West145900.357212285-3.5-1.3205.54272.740.3403
1974Chicago BearschiNFC Central1441000.286152279-7.4-2.9150.94295.140.1747
1974Detroit LionsdetNFC Central147700.5002562700.5-2.1261.54283.940.4526
1974Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central146800.429210206-3.22.0209.74226.540.4582
1974Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1410400.7143101953.62.5304.94219.540.6937
1974Dallas CowboysdalNFC East148600.5712972354.01.9310.54227.940.6846
1974New York GiantsnygNFC East1421200.143195299-3.5-2.1205.54283.940.3182
1974Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East147700.5002422170.03.0254.54212.540.6085
1974St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1410400.7142852182.83.0293.74212.540.6896
1974Washington RedskinswasNFC East1410400.7143201965.74.5334.34191.540.7992
1974Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1431100.214111271-9.7-2.6118.74290.940.1161
1974Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1410400.714263181-0.14.0253.14198.540.6424
1974New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West145900.357166263-5.7-1.7174.74278.340.2533
1974San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West146800.429226236-2.1-0.5225.14261.540.4142
1973Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1410400.7142862310.12.9273.69231.750.5939
1973Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central147520.571234255-2.71.3234.49254.150.4463
1973Houston OilersotiAFC Central1411300.071199447-4.4-12.4210.69445.950.1205
1973Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1410400.7143472104.23.5331.09223.350.7207
1973Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1441000.286226341-2.4-5.9238.69354.950.2635
1973Buffalo BillsbufAFC East149500.643259230-1.72.2248.49241.550.5115
1973Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1412200.8573431505.18.3343.69156.150.8650
1973New England PatriotsnweAFC East145900.357258300-2.5-3.4237.29319.950.3172
1973New York JetsnyjAFC East1441000.286240306-1.5-1.3251.29290.550.4061
1973Denver BroncosdenAFC West147520.5713542965.4-2.5347.89307.350.5738
1973Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West147520.571231192-4.25.1213.49200.950.5293
1973Oakland RaidersraiAFC West149410.6792921750.06.6272.29179.950.7208
1973San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1421110.179188386-3.7-8.4220.49389.950.1851
1973Chicago BearschiNFC Central1431100.214195334-4.4-4.4210.69333.950.2376
1973Detroit LionsdetNFC Central146710.4642712470.81.2283.49255.550.5580
1973Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central145720.429202259-5.00.2202.29269.550.3300
1973Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1412200.8572961681.76.9296.09175.750.7704
1973Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7143822036.86.0367.49188.350.8343
1973New York GiantsnygNFC East1421110.179226362-2.8-4.7233.09338.150.2777
1973Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East145810.3933103933.5-7.7321.29380.150.3859
1973St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East144910.3212863651.8-5.1297.49343.750.4028
1973Washington RedskinswasNFC East1410400.7143251981.26.1289.09186.950.7334
1973Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West149500.6433182242.33.6304.49221.950.6787
1973Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1412200.8573881788.15.2385.69199.550.8340
1973New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West145900.357163312-7.0-1.7174.29296.150.2153
1973San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West145900.3572623191.4-1.6291.89294.750.4884
1972Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central148600.5712992291.23.0300.34241.590.6239
1972Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1410400.714268249-1.61.9261.14256.990.5028
1972Houston OilersotiAFC Central1411300.071164380-7.1-5.9184.14366.190.1475
1972Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1411300.7863431753.46.6331.14191.190.7856
1972Baltimore ColtscltAFC East145900.357235252-5.12.8212.14244.390.4102
1972Buffalo BillsbufAFC East144910.321257377-1.6-5.6261.14361.990.2961
1972Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1414001.0003851714.56.5346.54192.590.8023
1972New England PatriotsnweAFC East1431100.214192446-6.3-11.1195.34438.990.1047
1972New York JetsnyjAFC East147700.5003673244.7-4.2349.34342.390.5061
1972Denver BroncosdenAFC West145900.3573253502.9-4.7324.14349.390.4444
1972Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West148600.5712872540.42.2289.14252.790.5750
1972Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1410310.7503652485.03.0353.54241.590.7161
1972San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West144910.321264344-0.2-2.6280.74319.990.4111
1972Chicago BearschiNFC Central144910.321225275-2.81.5244.34262.590.4495
1972Detroit LionsdetNFC Central148510.6073392904.40.0345.14283.590.6159
1972Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1410400.7143042262.34.7315.74217.790.7063
1972Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central147700.5003012522.63.4319.94235.990.6731
1972Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7143192403.42.7331.14245.790.6712
1972New York GiantsnygNFC East148600.5713312473.52.4332.54249.990.6646
1972Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1421110.179145352-9.2-5.3154.74357.790.1084
1972St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East144910.321193303-4.5-1.2220.54300.390.3130
1972Washington RedskinswasNFC East1411300.7863362182.73.7321.34231.790.6849
1972Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West147700.500269274-2.30.4251.34277.990.4316
1972Los Angeles RamsramNFC West146710.4642912860.1-0.6284.94291.990.4777
1972New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1421110.179215361-5.3-5.0209.34353.590.2066
1972San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West148510.6073532494.91.5352.14262.590.6712
1971Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1441000.286284265-0.4-0.1265.37272.640.4793
1971Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central149500.6432852731.1-0.8286.37282.440.5046
1971Houston OilersotiAFC Central144910.321251330-3.0-3.8228.97324.440.2927
1971Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central146800.429246292-1.8-1.8245.77296.440.3825
1971Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1410400.7143131402.08.5298.97152.240.8264
1971Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1411300.071184394-4.5-8.9207.97395.840.1600
1971Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410310.7503151742.45.3304.57197.040.7372
1971New England PatriotsnweAFC East146800.429238325-2.1-3.0241.57313.240.3404
1971New York JetsnyjAFC East146800.429212299-3.7-1.6219.17293.640.3254
1971Denver BroncosdenAFC West144910.321203275-5.51.0193.97257.240.3356
1971Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1410310.7503022080.64.5279.37208.240.6653
1971Oakland RaidersraiAFC West148420.6433442784.8-1.1338.17286.640.5999
1971San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West146800.4293113412.6-6.6307.37363.640.3885
1971Chicago BearschiNFC Central146800.429185276-4.41.1209.37255.840.3793
1971Detroit LionsdetNFC Central147610.5363412866.5-2.4361.97304.840.6055
1971Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central144820.3572742981.4-2.3290.57303.440.4687
1971Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1411300.786245139-3.49.9223.37132.640.7568
1971Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1411300.7864062228.31.6387.17248.840.7523
1971New York GiantsnygNFC East1441000.286228362-1.7-6.3247.17359.440.2751
1971Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East146710.464221302-2.7-1.6233.17293.640.3586
1971St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East144910.321231279-4.0-0.2214.97274.040.3542
1971Washington RedskinswasNFC East149410.679276190-0.65.8262.57190.040.6777
1971Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West147610.5362742770.31.0275.17257.240.5372
1971Los Angeles RamsramNFC West148510.6073132604.22.4329.77237.640.6894
1971New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West144820.3572663471.4-4.1290.57328.640.4182
1971San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West149500.6433002162.43.8304.57218.040.6893
1970Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central148600.5713122551.2-0.6286.47278.120.5201
1970Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central147700.5002862650.50.1276.67268.320.5206
1970Houston OilersotiAFC Central1431010.250217352-3.5-5.8220.67350.920.2408
1970Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central145900.357210272-5.9-1.5187.07290.720.2604
1970Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1411210.8213212340.9-0.5282.27276.720.5140
1970Boston PatriotsnweAFC East1421200.143149361-9.1-6.8142.27364.920.0943
1970Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1431010.250204337-5.8-6.5188.47360.720.1691
1970Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410400.714297228-1.30.0251.47269.720.4591
1970New York JetsnyjAFC East1441000.286255286-2.2-2.7238.87307.520.3507
1970Denver BroncosdenAFC West145810.393253264-2.5-0.1234.67271.120.4152
1970Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West147520.571272244-0.11.6268.27247.320.5510
1970Oakland RaidersraiAFC West148420.6433002932.3-1.3301.87287.920.5314
1970San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West145630.4642822780.5-1.2276.67286.520.4800
1970Chicago BearschiNFC Central146800.4292562610.41.8275.27244.520.5734
1970Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1410400.7143472027.46.6373.27177.320.8647
1970Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central146800.429196293-2.40.6236.07261.320.4407
1970Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1412200.8573351435.99.2352.27140.920.9024
1970Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7142992212.54.5304.67206.720.7212
1970New York GiantsnygNFC East149500.6433012701.90.1296.27268.320.5630
1970Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1431010.250241332-0.9-3.6257.07320.120.3678
1970St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East148510.6073252283.83.6322.87219.320.7234
1970Washington RedskinswasNFC East146800.4292973143.6-0.6320.07278.120.5894
1970Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West144820.357206261-3.51.2220.67252.920.4211
1970Los Angeles RamsramNFC West149410.6793252024.45.3331.27195.520.7858
1970New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1421110.179172347-4.6-3.3205.27315.920.2606
1970San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1410310.7503522676.40.1359.27268.320.6799

Now, as an aside, I wouldn’t go plugging those directly into the log5 formula to predict this weekend’s games just yet. You first need to regress to the mean to account for the uncertainty we see in any observed result. To do that, just add about 17.65 games of .500 performance to each team’s pythagorean Wpct, and you’ll get a “true talent” number that should yield more accurate probabilities regarding future outcomes.

{ 6 comments }

Three weeks ago, I set forth the argument that perhaps Calvin Johnson was not even the most productive receiver in his own division. While Megatron racked up the numbers, I argued that you have to account for the situation. The relevant situation here is that the Lions ran an incredible 1,160 plays compared to just 999 for the Bears, and Detroit attempted 740 passes while Chicago threw only 485 times.

When one team throws 255 more passes than the other, I don’t think it’s appropriate to compare the receivers based on their raw receiving yards. One thing we could look at is yards per team attempt. The table below lists the number of team attempts for each wide receiver, his raw receiving statistics, and also his yards per attempt. The table is sorted by yards per team passing attempt. And while it is not relevant when discussing Marshall and Megatron, I have also included a Pro-rated Yards per Attempt column, which pro-rates the number of team attempts for the number of games played by the receiver (this helps Percy Harvin, of course).

RkPlayerTmGTmAttRecYdsYPRTDY/APY/A
1Brandon MarshallCHI16485118150812.8113.113.11
2Andre JohnsonHOU16554112159814.342.882.88
3Calvin JohnsonDET16740122196416.152.652.65
4Michael CrabtreeSFO164368511051392.532.53
5A.J. GreenCIN1654097135013.9112.52.5
6Vincent JacksonTAM1656672138419.282.452.45
7Demaryius ThomasDEN1658894143415.3102.442.44
8Steve SmithCAR1649073117416.142.42.4
9Roddy WhiteATL1661592135114.772.22.2
10Reggie WayneIND16628106135512.852.162.16
11Brian HartlineMIA1650474108314.612.152.15
12Wes WelkerNWE16641118135411.562.112.11
13Dez BryantDAL1665892138215122.12.1
14Steve JohnsonBUF1651179104613.262.052.05
15Victor CruzNYG1653986109212.7102.032.03
16Julio JonesATL1661579119815.2101.951.95
17Sidney RiceSEA16405507481571.851.85
18Eric DeckerDEN1658885106412.5131.811.81
19Mike WilliamsTAM165666399615.891.761.76
20Greg OlsenCAR164906984312.251.721.72
21Marques ColstonNOR1667183115413.9101.721.72
22Randall CobbGNB155588095411.981.711.82
23Golden TateSEA154054568815.371.71.81
24Dwayne BoweKAN134755980113.631.692.08
25Jeremy KerleyNYJ164935682714.821.681.68
26Cecil ShortsJAX145865597917.871.671.91
27Anquan BoldinBAL155606592114.241.641.75
28Jason WittenDAL1665811010399.431.581.58
29Lance MooreNOR156716510411661.551.65
30Davone BessMIA135046177812.811.541.9
31Malcom FloydSDG145285681414.551.541.76
32Torrey SmithBAL165604985517.481.531.53
33Tony GonzalezATL16615939301081.511.51
34Justin BlackmonJAX165866486513.551.481.48
35Jimmy GrahamNOR156718598211.691.461.56
36Mike WallacePIT155746483613.181.461.55
37Miles AustinDAL166586694314.361.431.43
38Pierre GarconWAS104424463314.441.432.29
39Josh GordonCLE165665080516.151.421.42
40Heath MillerPIT155747181611.581.421.52
41Brandon LloydNWE166417491112.341.421.42
42James JonesGNB165586478412.3141.411.41
43Percy HarvinMIN94836267710.931.42.49
44Jeremy MaclinPHI156186985712.471.391.48
45Brandon LaFellCAR144904467715.441.381.58
46Nate WashingtonTEN165404674616.241.381.38
47Antonio BrownPIT135746678711.951.371.69
48T.Y. HiltonIND156285086117.271.371.46
49Jermaine GreshamCIN165406473711.551.361.36
50Jordy NelsonGNB125584974515.271.341.78
51Larry FitzgeraldARI166087179811.241.311.31
52Santana MossWAS16442415731481.31.3
53Owen DanielsHOU155546271611.561.291.38
54Hakeem NicksNYG135395369213.131.281.58
55Brandon MyersOAK166297980610.241.281.28
56Vernon DavisSFO164364154813.451.261.26
57Chris GivensSTL155574269816.631.251.34
58Andre RobertsARI156086475911.951.251.33
59Danario AlexanderSDG105283765817.871.251.99
60Donnie AveryIND16628607811331.241.24
61Brandon GibsonSTL165575169113.551.241.24
62Rob GronkowskiNWE116415579014.4111.231.79
63Leonard HankersonWAS164423854314.331.231.23
64Danny AmendolaSTL115576366610.631.21.74
65Jermichael FinleyGNB165586166710.921.21.2
66Dennis PittaBAL16560616691171.191.19
67Denarius MooreOAK156295174114.571.181.26
68Martellus BennettNYG165395562611.451.161.16
69Kendall WrightTEN15540646269.841.161.24
70Josh MorganWAS164424851010.621.151.15

Why can't we throw it like the Lions do??

Why can't we throw it like the Lions do??


As it turns out, Calvin Johnson was neither the best Johnson nor the best receiver in his division, at least as measured by this metric. I’m not convinced or even arguing that yards/attempt is the best way to rank receivers, but I do think the statistic represents an improvement on just receiving yards. Since receiving yards are so highly correlated with attempts, some adjustment needs to be made, and I plan on providing more analysis on how to grade wide receivers this off-season.
[continue reading…]

{ 3 comments }

In 2011, the Broncos scored 309 points and allowed 390 points. Despite being outscored by 81 points, the Tim Tebow express still made it into the post-season. In June, I speculated that the 2012 Broncos might set the record for the largest increase in pass completions in one year, and they did just that on Sunday. They also moved into fourth place on another list.

With 481 points and 289 points allowed, Denver outscored its opponents by 192 points in 2012. Peyton Manning and Von Miller have turned the Broncos into one of the best teams in the league a year after they were one of the worst (at least, as measured by points differential). Denver improving their points differential by a whopping 273 points this year relative to 2011, the fourth largest increase in football history.

RankYearTeamPFPADiffN-1 PFN-1 PAN-1 DiffImpr
11999St. Louis Rams526242284285378-93377
21929New York Giants3128622679136-57283
32001Chicago Bears338203135216355-139274
42012Denver Broncos481289192309390-81273
51998Minnesota Vikings556296260354359-5265
61975Baltimore Colts395269126190329-139265
72004San Diego Chargers446313133313441-128261
82006New Orleans Saints41332291235398-163254
91965Chicago Bears409275134260379-119253
102008Baltimore Ravens385244141275384-109250
111955Washington Redskins24622224207432-225249
121976New England Patriots376236140258358-100240
131963Oakland Raiders36328281213370-157238
141997New York Jets34828761279454-175236
151923Columbus Tigers119358424174-150234
161987Indianapolis Colts30023862229400-171233
171991Cleveland Browns293298-5228462-234229
181967New York Giants369379-10263501-238228
191969Atlanta Falcons2762688170389-219227
202010Detroit Lions362369-7262494-232225
211976Chicago Bears25321637191379-188225
222001Cleveland Browns285319-34161419-258224
231999Indianapolis Colts42333390310444-134224
242000New Orleans Saints35430549260434-174223
252010St. Louis Rams289328-39175436-261222
{ 1 comment }

Trent Richardson thinks this guy was an average running back in losses.

Trent Richardson thinks this guy was an average running back in losses.

Yesterday, I noted that Adrian Peterson is averaging nearly two more yards per rush in losses than wins. He’s also averaging a nearly identical number of rushing yards per game in wins and losses.

As you’re about to see, that’s pretty rare. We all know that wins are correlated with rushing yards, so it should come as no surprise that running backs generally gain more rushing yards in wins than in losses.

I looked at all games, including playoffs, from 1960 to 2011, for all players with at least 3,000 rushing yards over that time period. The table below lists the following information for each player:

— His first year (or 1960, if he played before 1960) and his last year (or 2011, if still active)
— All the franchises he played for (which you can search for in the search box)
— His number of career wins, and his career rush attempts, rushing yards, rushing yards per carry, and rushing yards per game in wins
— His number of career losses, and his career rush attempts, rushing yards, rushing yards per carry, and rushing yards per game in losses

The table is sorted by rushing yards per game in wins. Again, for players like Jim Brown or Peterson, they are included but only their stats from 1960 to 2011 are shown. The table only shows the top 50 players, but the search feature works for the entire table, which includes 281 players. In addition, you can click on the drop arrow and change the number of rows shown.

As always, the table is fully sortable. If you click twice on the far right column, you see the career leaders in rushing yards per game in losses. You probably aren’t surprised to see Barry Sanders at the top, but the presence of the running back formerly known as Dom Davis up there is a bit surprising. Steven Jackson is one of the few players who have averaged over 70 rushing yards per game in losses, which jives with the sixth post in Football Perspective history. In addition, Jackson (at least through 2011) and LaDainian Tomlinson form an interesting example of Simpson’s Paradox: Jackson has a higher career rushing yards per game average in both wins (93.9 to 89.9) and losses (71.1 to 63.2), while Tomlinson has the higher career average overall (78.6 to 78.3).

RkPlayerYearsTeamsPosWRsh_WYd_WYPC_WYd/G_WLRsh_LYd_LYPC_LYd/G_L
1Jim Brown1960--1965cleFB55117665905.6119.82538417064.4468.2
2Terrell Davis1995--2001denRB58141568674.85118.42844418804.2367.1
3Barry Sanders1989--1998detRB75167085265.11113.784148371294.8184.9
4Eric Dickerson1983--1993ram-clt-rai-atlRB74177684114.74113.778136855724.0771.4
5O.J. Simpson1969--1979buf-sfoRB4395048185.0711292144263514.469
6Earl Campbell1978--1985oti-norRB50120954094.47108.270111344183.9763.1
7Adrian Peterson2007--2011minRB3879240025.05105.33868530184.4179.4
8Chris Johnson2008--2011otiRB3677237764.89104.92842619414.5669.3
9Clinton Portis2002--2010den-wasRB58128160514.72104.359101940864.0169.3
10Arian Foster2009--2011htxRB2042820774.85103.91628213054.6381.6
11Emmitt Smith1990--2004dal-crdRB1353036131984.3597.8108172267433.9262.4
12Jamal Lewis2000--2009rav-cleRB74165371934.3597.263101938403.7761
13Walter Payton1975--1987chiRB1132460109754.4697.186155863834.174.2
14Larry Johnson2003--2011kan-cin-was-miaRB4081338424.7396.14362724133.8556.1
15Edgerrin James1999--2009clt-crd-seaRB99225194694.2195.66299536293.6558.5
16Billy Sims1980--1984detRB3060328614.7495.43255423784.2974.3
17Curtis Martin1995--2005nwe-nyjRB96223591344.0995.182146557623.9370.3
18Frank Gore2005--2011sfoRB4793944224.7194.15574333664.5361.2
19Jamaal Charles2008--2011kanRB1621815046.9943429016055.5347.2
20Steven Jackson2004--2011ramRB3776934734.5293.980138856884.171.1
21Shaun Alexander2000--2008sea-wasRB73150666074.3990.55985034104.0157.8
22LaDainian Tomlinson2001--2011sdg-nyjRB104204893464.5689.976125748063.8263.2
23Corey Dillon1997--2006cin-nweRB72139164604.6489.786134752893.9361.5
24Rudi Johnson2001--2008cin-detRB4190136724.0889.65262923633.7645.4
25Eddie George1996--2004oti-dalRB90209478633.7687.46097733543.4355.9
26Wilbert Montgomery1977--1985phi-detRB55101647664.6986.75465225133.8546.5
27Fred Taylor1998--2010jax-nweRB89158876744.8386.272107546344.3164.4
28Jamal Anderson1994--2001atlRB3776731894.1686.24763224233.8351.6
29Gale Sayers1965--1971chiRB2942624925.8585.93651021224.1658.9
30Barry Foster1990--1994pitRB3570429974.2685.62327512304.4753.5
31Curt Warner1983--1990sea-ramRB55113347044.1585.54863623893.7649.8
32Matt Forte2008--2011chiRB3566129854.5285.32739513983.5451.8
33Cookie Gilchrist1962--1967buf-den-miaFB3462528714.5984.43137213813.7144.5
34William Andrews1979--1986atlRB4374936094.8283.94258624394.1658.1
35Marshall Faulk1994--2005clt-ramRB99177483074.6883.989122745743.7351.4
36John Henry Johnson1960--1966pit-otiFB-HB3258926824.5583.83843517183.9545.2
37Tony Dorsett1977--1988dal-denRB1212237101374.5383.868100139853.9858.6
38Jerome Bettis1993--2005ram-pitRB111233392743.9883.593134550623.7654.4
39Priest Holmes1997--2007rav-kanRB61109350774.6583.24972933164.5567.7
40Ricky Watters1992--2001sfo-phi-seaRB91182375524.14836396337203.8659
41Jim Nance1965--1973nwe-nyjRB3057124554.381.86268025853.841.7
42Robert Smith1993--2000minRB63103951464.9581.74151722624.3855.2
43George Rogers1981--1987nor-wasRB53100943264.2981.64577231284.0569.5
44Jim Taylor1960--1967gnb-norFB81146865764.4881.23140115823.9551
45Travis Henry2001--2007buf-oti-denRB3667229064.3280.75281631803.961.2
46Willie Parker2004--2009pitRB5597744364.5480.72740314133.5152.3
47Ray Rice2008--2011ravRB4579236274.5880.62227411944.3654.3
48Maurice Jones-Drew2006--2011jaxRB4577636164.6680.45072232864.5565.7
49Deuce McAllister2001--2008norRB5091340174.480.34754322404.1347.7
50Thurman Thomas1988--2000buf-miaRB1302373103784.3779.87184331383.7244.2
51Terry Allen1991--2001min-was-nwe-nor-ravRB69130355044.2279.86589032633.6750.2
52Fred Jackson2007--2011bufRB2539319805.0479.24042418144.2845.4
53Jonathan Stewart2008--2011carRB2841422175.3679.23531412954.1237
54Franco Harris1972--1984pit-seaRB1362553106824.1878.55577629243.7753.2
55John Riggins1971--1985nyj-wasRB103204880883.9578.579111942603.8153.9
56Tiki Barber1997--2006nygRB80127762694.9178.480105446324.3957.9
57Lydell Mitchell1972--1980clt-sdg-ramRB58110344724.0577.14964522803.5346.5
58Ricky Williams1999--2011nor-mia-ravRB81148662214.1976.8709673868455.3
59Greg Bell1984--1990buf-ram-raiRB3559626414.4375.55068426763.9153.5
60Marshawn Lynch2007--2011buf-seaRB3159223373.9575.44356823384.1254.4
61Stephen Davis1996--2006was-car-ramRB72123454224.3975.36380731013.8449.2
62LeSean McCoy2009--2011phiRB2842721004.9275202259964.4349.8
63Domanick Williams2003--2005htxRB122268983.9774.82854422974.2282
64Hoyle Granger1966--1972oti-norRB2744320134.5474.63835815304.2740.3
65DeAngelo Williams2006--2011carRB3855728335.0974.64345122775.0553
66Rodney Hampton1990--1997nygRB56104841223.9373.65182629693.5958.2
67Ahman Green1998--2009sea-gnb-htxRB89141665454.6273.56375931814.1950.5
68Earnest Jackson1983--1988sdg-phi-pitRB3154422794.1973.54451518883.6742.9
69Lawrence McCutcheon1973--1981ram-den-sea-bufRB75124354624.3972.83842216934.0144.6
70Freeman McNeil1981--1992nyjRB71113251094.51727578233644.344.9
71Rashard Mendenhall2008--2011pitRB3764626434.0971.4172289544.1856.1
72Warrick Dunn1997--2008tam-atlRB98161869964.3271.492116743713.7547.5
73Cedric Benson2005--2011chi-cinRB5092535683.8671.44564724463.7854.4
74Natrone Means1993--1999sdg-jaxRB55100439173.971.23954919483.5549.9
75Gary Brown1991--1999oti-sdg-nygRB4061928414.59713542414763.4842.2
76Michael Turner2004--2011sdg-atlRB76113053914.7770.93837614573.8838.3
77Christian Okoye1987--1992kanRB447803120470.93544717713.9650.6
78Karim Abdul-Jabbar1996--2000mia-cle-cltRB3365123393.5970.93138811883.0638.3
79Garrison Hearst1993--2004crd-cin-sfo-denRB76121053854.4570.95568128404.1751.6
80Joe Morris1982--1991nyg-cleRB63110344604.0470.85044816783.7533.6
81Johnny Johnson1990--1994crd-nyjRB2442816853.9470.24761823933.8750.9
82Thomas Jones2000--2011crd-tam-chi-nyj-kanRB88154161543.9969.999126249503.9250
83Chuck Muncie1976--1984nor-sdgRB5181735544.3569.76585436644.2956.4
84Chuck Foreman1973--1980min-nweRB77132453184.0269.13842614093.3137.1
85Ottis Anderson1979--1992crd-nygRB94163064893.986980103342174.0852.7
86Larry Csonka1968--1979mia-nygRB91138762234.4968.46469125873.7440.4
87Randy McMillan1981--1986cltRB2028213654.8468.36669524843.5737.6
88John Brockington1971--1977gnb-kanRB3663724563.8668.25465123083.5542.7
89Ryan Grant2007--2011gnbRB4567030524.5667.82231312914.1258.7
90Willis McGahee2004--2011buf-rav-denRB66104244154.2466.96185933593.9155.1
91Ron A. Johnson1969--1975cle-nygRB3762924263.8665.64153317293.2442.2
92Joe Cribbs1980--1988buf-sfo-miaRB5583435804.2965.14952319613.7540
93Marcus Allen1982--1997rai-kanRB145222194334.2565.191106841573.8945.7
94Antowain Smith1997--2005buf-nwe-oti-norRB75124848723.9656167425593.842
95Larry Brown1969--1976wasRB69117144413.7964.43546417803.8450.9
96Kevin Jones2004--2008det-chiRB2232614154.3464.34146917613.7543
97Floyd Little1967--1975denRB4573828803.9646782031873.8947.6
98Wendell Tyler1977--1986ram-sfoRB7193145104.8463.54655024434.4453.1
99Ricky Bell1977--1982tam-sdgRB253971588463.53846215913.4441.9
100Abner Haynes1960--1967kan-den-mia-nyjHB4860130465.0763.56043915923.6326.5
101Cadillac Williams2005--2011tam-ramRB3350520944.1563.55056819933.5139.9
102Clem Daniels1960--1968kan-rai-sfoRB5168932364.763.54940116694.1634.1
103Pete Johnson1977--1984cin-sdg-miaRB64102839953.8962.45053818793.4937.6
104Leonard Russell1991--1996nwe-den-ram-sdgRB3154919343.5262.45161520393.3240
105Bam Morris1994--1999pit-rav-chi-kanRB396052423462.13744416363.6844.2
106Rueben Mayes1986--1993nor-seaRB3655522334.02624031412624.0231.6
107Errict Rhett1994--2000tam-rav-cleRB3663522133.4961.54253919303.5846
108Anthony Thomas2001--2007chi-dal-nor-bufRB3962823953.8161.44943115323.5531.3
109James Wilder1981--1990tam-detRB3248119644.0861.486112341603.748.4
110Joseph Addai2006--2011cltRB6294338044.0361.42631012704.148.8
111Marion Butts1989--1995sdg-nwe-otiRB507663067461.35560122623.7641.1
112Matt Snell1964--1972nyjRB4264125734.0161.33543518494.2552.8
113Delvin Williams1974--1980sfo-miaRB5174531154.1861.14758825254.2953.7
114James Brooks1981--1992sdg-cin-cle-tamRB8397650605.18618676731184.0736.3
115Kevin Mack1985--1993cleRB5175331094.13615464524383.7845.1
116Mike Thomas1975--1980was-sdgRB5279631633.9760.82831911483.641
117Neal Anderson1986--1993chiRB6899241304.1660.74960423153.8347.2
118Paul Lowe1960--1969sdg-kanHB6676739985.2160.62822810754.7138.4
119DeShaun Foster2003--2008car-sfoRB4768928334.1160.33332311383.5234.5
120Napoleon Kaufman1995--2000raiRB4651227605.39604646720364.3644.3
121Mike Garrett1966--1973kan-sdgRB6282337124.5159.94147717033.5741.5
122Dave Hampton1969--1976gnb-atl-phiRB3654721443.9259.65558322963.9441.7
123Leroy Kelly1964--1973cleRB92126854654.3159.44953821453.9943.8
124Sam Cunningham1973--1982nweRB5380031333.9259.15261524303.9546.7
125Duce Staley1997--2006phi-pitRB6692338814.258.85262123683.8145.5
126Charlie Garner1994--2004phi-sfo-rai-tamRB6983040354.8658.58278435034.4742.7
127Mike Rozier1985--1991oti-atlRB4565426224.0158.35256020223.6138.9
128Brian Westbrook2002--2010phi-sfoRB8097146604.858.34952922064.1745
129Mark van Eeghen1974--1983rai-nweRB96139355613.9957.94143217143.9741.8
130Julius Jones2004--2010dal-sea-norRB4868427754.0657.84863624723.8951.5
131Marion Barber2005--2011dal-chiRB5978334074.3557.74441415243.6834.6
132James Stewart1995--2002jax-detRB5482831083.7557.65368128954.2554.6
133Eddie Lee Ivery1979--1986gnbRB3540720144.9557.5342448913.6526.2
134Ken Willard1965--1974sfo-crdRB69100339553.9457.35857919633.3933.8
135Mike Pruitt1976--1986cle-buf-kanRB6794438404.0757.37692136053.9147.4
136Marv Hubbard1969--1977rai-detRB6676737734.9257.2242258673.8536.1
137Gerald Riggs1982--1991atl-wasRB6289435443.9657.272111046904.2365.1
138Ronnie Brown2005--2011mia-phiRB4359624484.1156.95058625224.350.4
139Adrian Murrell1993--2003nyj-crd-was-dalRB4463724943.9256.77276528623.7439.8
140Don Perkins1961--1968dalFB-HB5575831074.156.55175430794.0860.4
141Lamar Smith1994--2003sea-nor-mia-carRB5481130433.7556.45856520303.5935
142Mike Anderson2000--2007den-ravRB5871632544.5456.1402509763.924.4
143J.D. Smith1960--1966sfo-dalFB-HB3345118504.156.13641115643.8143.4
144Ted Brown1979--1986minRB5066027994.24565649919073.8234.1
145Dick Bass1960--1969ramFB-HB4759026124.4355.65956725044.4242.4
146Sammy Winder1982--1990denRB80119544433.7255.55242313563.2126.1
147Emerson Boozer1966--1975nyjRB5477429843.8655.35851820924.0436.1
148Ed Podolak1969--1977kanRB4865526304.0254.84742314823.531.5
149Earnest Byner1984--1997cle-was-ravRB111152260643.9854.610275730344.0129.7
150Brandon Jacobs2005--2011nygRB7186238694.4954.53933614414.2936.9
151Roger Craig1983--1993sfo-rai-minRB127165868734.1554.15352921063.9839.7
152Mel Farr1967--1973detRB3137716774.4554.1272929603.2935.6
153Bobby Humphrey1989--1992den-miaRB3342217814.22542234213383.9160.8
154Jim Otis1970--1978nor-kan-crdRB5778230573.9153.65139113353.4126.2
155Chris Warren1990--2000sea-dal-phiRB7087237434.2953.59194840614.2844.6
156Ahmad Bradshaw2007--2011nygRB5256527804.9253.5272469173.7334
157John Stephens1988--1993nwe-gnb-kanRB2841014773.652.85953519633.6733.3
158Gary W. Anderson1985--1993sdg-tam-detRB3642018994.5252.87344915103.3620.7
159Otis Armstrong1973--1980denRB5872130554.2452.73932114084.3936.1
160Mercury Morris1969--1976mia-sdgRB7473738965.2952.6331616824.2420.7
161Kevan Barlow2001--2006sfo-nyjRB3745119464.3152.65058320743.5641.5
162Tom Sullivan1972--1978phi-cleRB2637513593.6252.35148316833.4833
163Reggie Cobb1990--1996tam-gnb-jax-nyjRB2940715143.7252.26267022553.3736.4
164Hewritt Dixon1963--1970den-raiRB-TE5567728614.2352381615533.4314.6
165Altie Taylor1969--1976det-otiRB5471827943.8951.74541714063.3731.2
166Tony Collins1981--1990nwe-miaRB5668228854.2351.55355619623.5337
167Sherman Smith1976--1983sea-sdgRB3540317924.4551.25343117284.0132.6
168Justin Fargas2003--2009raiFB2528712784.4551.16554020913.8732.2
169Edgar Bennett1992--1999gnb-chiRB6489932643.63514737912893.427.4
170Terry Metcalf1973--1981crd-wasRB-WR4649923414.6950.93628212164.3133.8
171Calvin Hill1969--1981dal-was-cleRB96114548844.2750.95439515593.9528.9
172Michael Vick2001--2011atl-phiQB6545932877.1650.65129721657.2942.5
173MacArthur Lane1968--1978crd-gnb-kanRB5260226204.3550.46755118843.4228.1
174Larry Kinnebrew1983--1990cin-bufRB3745818634.0750.44032812873.9232.2
175Gerry Ellis1980--1986gnbRB4647923144.8350.35435014994.2827.8
176Barry Word1987--1993nor-kan-minRB4554122354.1349.7242238593.8535.8
177Johnny Roland1966--1973crd-nygRB4050119683.9349.24742714583.4131
178Herschel Walker1986--1997dal-min-phi-nygRB8496241224.2849.1106102042354.1540
179Curtis Dickey1980--1986clt-cleRB3038314673.8348.95155325454.649.9
180Keith Lincoln1961--1968sdg-bufFB-HB4744022945.2148.83830812554.0733
181Boobie Clark1973--1980cin-otiRB4860123113.8548.1312258373.7227
182Clarence Davis1971--1978raiRB7375935114.6348.1251666253.7725
183Michael Pittman1998--2008crd-tam-denRB6978233154.24488166524993.7630.9
184Tom Woodeshick1963--1972phi-crdRB3134614834.2947.85045619224.2138.4
185Tyrone Wheatley1995--2004nyg-raiRB6781831853.8947.56149218783.8230.8
186Charley Tolar1960--1966otiFB4657621733.7747.24235411833.3428.2
187Frank Pollard1980--1988pitRB5255124484.4447.15044717723.9635.4
188Lorenzo White1988--1995oti-cleRB5461225384.15475952619683.7433.4
189Ron Dayne2000--2007nyg-den-htxRB5469325373.66474232012713.9730.3
190Walter Abercrombie1982--1988pit-phiRB4551621134.09474236914233.8633.9
191Harvey Williams1991--1998kan-raiRB5363224873.9446.95541115283.7227.8
192Don Calhoun1974--1981buf-nweRB5557725324.39463928810443.6326.8
193Greg Hill1994--1999kan-ram-detRB5357924394.2146281967954.0628.4
194Roland Harper1975--1982chiRB3439815543.945.74036415014.1237.5
195Rob Carpenter1977--1986oti-nyg-ramRB7690434493.8245.44835412463.5226
196Dexter Bussey1974--1984detRB5757825714.4545.17662825514.0633.6
197Wray Carlton1960--1967bufHB-FB4347219354.1453833814024.1536.9
198John David Crow1960--1968crd-sfoHB-TE5253923244.3144.74535514254.0131.7
199Mike Alstott1996--2006tamRB89100239483.9444.47946914813.1618.7
200Dalton Hilliard1986--1993norRB6576228643.7644.14438313643.5631
201Joe Washington1977--1985sdg-clt-was-atlRB6467228194.19446254220763.8333.5
202Wilbur Jackson1974--1982sfo-wasRB3637115744.2443.76060823053.7938.4
203Nick Pietrosante1960--1967det-cleFB5052021854.243.73630612414.0634.5
204Mario Bates1994--2000nor-crd-detRB3844016443.7443.35341614393.4627.2
205Les Josephson1964--1974ramRB5855225014.5343.1352006283.1417.9
206Reggie Bush2006--2011nor-miaRB4542919384.5243.13634914384.1239.9
207Rocky Bleier1968--1980pitRB8586136024.1842.4362077403.5720.6
208Chris Brown2003--2009oti-htxRB3230213524.4842.33844217814.0346.9
209James R. Jones1983--1992det-seaFB-TE3742915553.62427557520243.5227
210Charlie H. Smith1968--1975rai-sdgRB6672127513.8241.7221737154.1332.5
211Don Woods1974--1980sdg-sfoRB2933812053.5741.64042518824.4347.1
212Wayne Morris1976--1984crd-sdgRB4749619513.9341.56439914323.5922.4
213LaMont Jordan2001--2009nyj-rai-nwe-denRB5346721804.6741.16046917703.7729.5
214Ernie Green1962--1968cleHB-FB6455626214.7141271346544.8824.2
215Doug Kotar1974--1981nygRB3132412533.8740.45857621273.6936.7
216Dorsey Levens1994--2004gnb-phi-nygRB104102841824.0740.24838014753.8830.7
217Charles White1980--1988cle-ramRB5148720394.19405130310683.5220.9
218Craig Heyward1988--1998nor-chi-atl-ram-cltRB7164728374.38407240715183.7321.1
219Reuben Droughns2001--2008det-den-cle-nygRB5047819934.1739.94745916383.5734.9
220Johnny Hector1983--1992nyjRB5856923064.0539.86348920074.131.9
221Harold Green1990--1998cin-ram-atlRB4744218664.2239.77872025543.5532.7
222Amos Marsh1961--1967dal-detHB-FB3126412224.6339.45241216554.0231.8
223Dave Osborn1965--1976min-gnbRB8288632323.6539.44735213123.7327.9
224Cid Edwards1968--1975crd-sdg-chiRB2923511434.8639.4494181670434.1
225Tom Matte1961--1972cltRB9494237003.9339.44329811473.8526.7
226John L. Williams1986--1995sea-pitFB8173931724.2939.27553119393.6525.9
227Ladell Betts2002--2010was-norRB5248120164.1938.86035613553.8122.6
228Walt Garrison1966--1974dalRB8777733194.2738.1372369754.1326.4
229Michael Bennett2001--2010min-kan-tam-sdg-raiRB4742417884.22386044020084.5633.5
230Wendell Hayes1963--1974dal-den-kanRB625872349437.95840114453.624.9
231Willie Ellison1967--1974ram-kanRB5549020624.2137.52624810164.139.1
232Essex Johnson1968--1976cin-tamRB4839917894.4837.36532914614.4422.5
233Jim Kiick1968--1977mia-denRB8079129723.7637.23431310563.3731.1
234Stump Mitchell1981--1989crdRB5143918904.3137.16451425735.0140.2
235John Fuqua1969--1976nyg-pitRB5752421014.0136.93723910874.5529.4
236Robert Newhouse1972--1983dalRB115103042374.1136.84230411983.9428.5
237Curtis McClinton1962--1968kanFB-TE5851721344.1336.8322429784.0430.6
238Leroy Hoard1990--1999cle-rav-car-minRB7667727964.1336.87039213973.5620
239Merril Hoge1987--1994pit-chiRB5650520274.0136.25435913593.7925.2
240Charlie Harraway1966--1973cle-wasRB6258822403.8136.1342759213.3527.1
241Larry Garron1960--1968nweHB-FB5245718774.1136.1372609193.5324.8
242Correll Buckhalter2001--2010phi-denRB6249022224.5335.8482229594.3220
243Erric Pegram1991--1997atl-pit-sdg-nygRB5856420673.6635.64132714504.4335.4
244Carl Garrett1969--1977nwe-chi-nyj-raiRB5043517524.03356460424784.138.7
245Rickey Young1975--1983sdg-minRB5852820323.85357347216053.422
246Greg Pruitt1973--1984cle-raiRB8861430785.01357157725174.3635.5
247Darrin Nelson1982--1992min-sdgRB7358325454.3734.97648320674.2827.2
248Lenny Moore1960--1967cltRB-WR5846720114.3134.7332479863.9929.9
249Donny Anderson1966--1974gnb-crdRB6859423493.9534.55758922563.8339.6
250Kenneth Davis1986--1994gnb-bufRB7760326564.434.55433313714.1225.4
251Tommy Mason1961--1971min-ram-wasRB6154421023.8634.55542418554.3833.7
252Chester Taylor2002--2011rav-min-chi-crdRB8672629534.0734.37047019324.1127.6
253Tony Nathan1979--1987miaRB8963630474.7934.2452149504.4421.1
254Dominic Rhodes2001--2010clt-raiRB7057823874.1334.14033413063.9132.7
255Timmy Brown1960--1968phi-cltRB5139017244.4233.85346320054.3337.8
256Dick Hoak1961--1970pitRB-WR4341314203.44337963823073.6229.2
257Bill Mathis1960--1969nyjFB-HB6661521643.5232.86041713803.3123
258Earl Gros1962--1970gnb-phi-pit-norFB4434814414.1432.85245516733.6832.2
259Bill Brown1961--1974chi-minRB9689331383.5132.77770924613.4732
260Anthony Johnson1990--2000clt-nyj-chi-car-jaxRB5348217123.5532.37437113893.7418.8
261Jess Phillips1968--1977cin-nor-rai-nweRB6244419804.4631.96145116013.5526.2
262Terry Kirby1993--2002mia-sfo-cle-raiRB6853821564.0131.75130510193.3420
263Ronnie Bull1962--1971chi-phiRB6052018963.6531.64932712483.8225.5
264Norm Bulaich1970--1979clt-phi-miaRB7255222754.1231.64630011953.9826
265John Cappelletti1974--1983ram-sdgRB7767624103.5731.3341836243.4118.4
266Sammy Morris2000--2011buf-mia-nwe-dalRB6544319894.4930.66529410733.6516.5
267Pete Banaszak1966--1978raiRB11386734533.9830.6401856373.4415.9
268Cullen Bryant1973--1987ram-seaRB9571827463.8228.9522449653.9518.6
269Maurice Morris2002--2011sea-detRB7653521694.0528.57637416004.2821.1
270Randall Cunningham1985--2001phi-min-dal-ravQB9848627015.5627.67333424757.4133.9
271Tony Galbreath1976--1987nor-min-nygRB7950421244.2126.99054420213.7222.5
272Matt Suhey1980--1989chiRB8460222573.7526.9592698453.1414.3
273Kordell Stewart1995--2005pit-chi-ravQB7641019924.8626.25420411645.7121.6
274Steve Young1985--1999tam-sfoQB12555032365.8825.96026815975.9626.6
275Steve McNair1995--2007oti-ravQB10047924885.1924.97224514575.9520.2
276Donovan McNabb1999--2011phi-was-minQB10645823915.2222.67422914886.520.1
277Kevin Faulk1999--2011nweRB12565327434.221.95429912894.3123.9
278Preston Pearson1968--1980clt-pit-dalRB11860723803.9220.25837713313.5322.9
279Keith Byars1986--1998phi-mia-nwe-nyjFB-TE11953718933.5315.97931811543.6314.6
280John Elway1983--1998denQB16359822793.81149226615535.8416.9
281Fran Tarkenton1961--1978min-nygQB13139017104.3813.111729219346.6216.5

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Checkdowns: Biggest failed comebacks

Brady joins Marino on the failed comebacks list

Brady joins Marino on the failed comebacks list.

[UPDATE: There was an error earlier in this post. I believe it is fixed now.]

On Sunday Night, the Patriots trailed 31-3 halfway through the third quarter. But that’s when Tom Brady got hot, and New England tied the game with 6:43 left in the 4th quarter. At that moment, many fans probably had visions of the Oilers-Bills playoff game, where Buffalo came back from a 32-point deficit to win.

And while there are a lot of famous comebacks, the failed comeback is much less memorable. But in fact, this was the 4th time a team trailed by 28 points in the game only to tie or take the lead in the 4th quarter… but ultimately lose.

The table below shows all games prior to 2012 where a team trailed by at least 21 points, was trailing entering the 4th quarter, came back to tie or take the lead in the 4th quarter, but then still lost. The table is listed from the perspective of the eventual winner and shows the final points for and points allowed in the game, along with the biggest lead and the largest fourth-quarter deficit the winning team faced despite the large early lead.

YearDateBoxscoreTmOppPFPABgLdDef
199409/25/1994BoxscoreMINMIA3835280
194409/24/1944BoxscoreGNBCHI4228280
200710/21/2007BoxscoreTENHOU383625-1
200412/12/2004BoxscoreSFOARI3128250
198012/07/1980BoxscoreCINBAL343325-2
198710/25/1987BoxscoreGNBDET343324-2
198101/02/1982BoxscoreSDGMIA413824-7
199609/22/1996BoxscoreNWEJAX2825220
201012/13/2010BoxscoreBALHOU3428210
200910/11/2009BoxscoreARIHOU2821210
200901/10/2010BoxscoreARIGNB5145210
200901/10/2010BoxscoreARIGNB5145210
200809/14/2008BoxscoreGNBDET482521-1
200612/17/2006BoxscoreCHITAM3431210
200410/10/2004BoxscoreMINHOU3428210
200311/30/2003BoxscoreNWEIND3834210
199912/12/1999BoxscoreKANMIN3128210
199812/06/1998BoxscoreSFOCAR3128210
199511/19/1995BoxscoreDENSDG3027210
199309/12/1993BoxscoreNORATL3431210
199301/03/1994BoxscorePHISFO3734210
199111/17/1991BoxscoreNYJNWE2821210
199010/07/1990BoxscoreCINRAM3431210
199010/07/1990BoxscoreCINRAM3431210
198909/10/1989BoxscoreNWENYJ272421-3
198611/20/1986BoxscoreRAISDG3731210
198301/08/1984BoxscoreWASSFO2421210
198011/23/1980BoxscoreNYJHOU3128210
198011/23/1980BoxscoreNYJHOU3128210
197909/09/1979BoxscoreWASDET2724210
197511/30/1975BoxscoreWASMIN313021-6
196011/06/1960BoxscoreBALGNB3824210
194910/23/1949BoxscoreNYGCHI3528210
194511/04/1945BoxscoreWASCRD2421210

Note that this excludes games this game between Green Bay and Pittsburgh from 1951, where the Packers held a 28-point lead and won, but actually trailed entering the 4th quarter.

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