Statgeekery — Page 15

The Greatest Wide Receivers Ever Version 2.0: Part I – Methodology

by Chase Stuart on February 18, 2013

in G.O.A.T., Receiving, Statgeekery

We know how this story will end.

Regular readers know that one of my projects this off-season is to come up with a better way to grade wide receivers. I first attempted to rank every wide receiver four years ago. That study, which I will reproduce this week, has some positives and negatives. My goal is to eventually come up with four or five different ranking systems, so consider the series this week to be the first of several ranking systems to come.

The first step in this system is to combine the three main stats — receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns — into one stat: Adjusted Catch Yards. We know that a passing touchdown is worth about 20 yards, so I’m crediting a receiver with 20 yards for every touchdown reception. Next, we need to decide on an appropriate bonus for each reception.

We want to give receivers credit for receptions because, all else being equal, a receiver with more receptions is providing more value because he’s likely generating more first downs. I looked at all receivers over a 12-year period who picked up at least 30 receiving first downs. I then used the number of receptions and receiving yards those players had as inputs, and performed a regression to estimate how many first downs should be expected. The best-fit formula was:
[continue reading…]

Tagged as: GOAT, Ranking Systems, WR Project, WR Ranking Systems

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Which team had a better passing offense in 2012: Houston or Detroit?

by Chase Stuart on February 6, 2013

in Receiving, Statgeekery

The off-season is here.

But Football Perspective isn’t going anywhere. I prefer off-season writing to in-season writing, as football theory and history is more compelling to me than figuring out whether to rank the Lions ahead of the Bills. At the old Pro-Football-Reference Blog, we did some of our best work in the off-season, and I hope for the same results here.

Evan Silva just published a great piece detailing what each team needs in the off-season, but you’re not going to find that type of article here in the off-season. I will have some draft articles, but I don’t intend on staying topical all that often. My first big off-season project is to come up with a wide receiver ranking system.

I won’t bore you with all the details yet, but I think grading wide receivers (or for that matter, receiving tight ends) is much, much more complicated than people realize. I hope you guys are excited to participate the discussion, as I am in the early stages of this project and will go where the research takes me. One possible result I envision: the ultimate wide receiver ranking system does not exist, but a series of four or five ranking systems might give us the complete picture of a wide receiver.

Let me start with a question: which team had a better passing offense last year, Houston or Detroit? For now, try to ignore what we saw out of Matt Schaub in the post-season and just focus on the regular season results.
[continue reading…]

Tagged as: Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson, WR Project

{ 34 comments }

John Harbaugh outcoaches Jim Harbaugh, wins Super Bowl

by Chase Stuart on February 5, 2013

in Coaches, Review, Statgeekery, Strategy

“He’s the best coach in football right now.”

That was what John Harbaugh said about his little brother after the game. It’s hard to argue: I’ve said a few times that I think Jim Harbaugh is the best coach in the league, too. (Although I gave my mythical COTY vote to Pete Carroll.)

It was a classy thing to say by the winning coach, especially on a day where he outcoached his little brother. Actually, the more accurate way of putting it would be to say that “John Harbaugh made fewer bad decisions than Jim Harbaugh.” Let’s go through the game in chronological order

The First Snap

I’ve watched enough Jets games to know that there’s a certain level of horribleness that comes with having a pre-snap penalty at the start of a quarter or half. Maybe you don’t want to blame Jim Harbaugh for the 49ers lining up in an illegal formation on the first snap of the game, but let’s just say this: that’s not how the New York media would react if Rex Ryan’s team did that. Jim Harbaugh would be the first to tell you that it was inexcusable to have such a penalty on the first snap of the game, and the team didn’t look any more prepared on snap two, when Colin Kaepernick and Frank Gore were on the wrong page of a fake-handoff that instead went to Lennay Kekua.

[continue reading…]

Tagged as: 2-point conversions, 4th down, Jim Harbaugh, John Harbaugh, Super Bowl

{ 23 comments }

Are the Super Bowl-Winning QBs Getting Worse?

by Neil Paine on February 4, 2013

in History, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery, Super Bowl

Now that we live in a world where Joe Flacco and Eli Manning have quarterbacked 3 of the last 6 Super Bowl-winning teams, you might be tempted to think that winning a Super Bowl as a QB doesn’t mean what it used to. After all, the playoffs are getting more random — as Aaron Schatz pointed out last night, four of the last six Super Bowl champs have finished the regular season with 10 or fewer wins. So it stands to reason that, as the championship teams themselves post less-remarkable seasons, so too would their quarterbacks not be the cream of the crop. And for all of his postseason brilliance, Flacco was just the league’s 17th-best quarterback during the regular season. Does his ascendancy, coming on the heels of Manning’s, signal a new trend?

To answer that question, I turned to a methodology I’ve used many times before. The basic premise is that, to put modern and historical quarterbacks on an even playing field (no pun intended), you must translate their stats into a common environment. To do this, you take the quarterback’s stats from a given season, pro-rate to 16 scheduled games, and multiply by the ratio of the league’s per-game average during the season in question to that of a common reference season. For instance, if I’m adjusting Terry Bradshaw’s 1977 passing yards to the 1991-2012 period, I would multiply his actual total of 2,523 by (16/14) to account for the shorter season that year, then multiply that by (225.1/162.2) to account for the change in the league’s passing environment, giving an adjusted total of 4,001 yards.

After doing that for every QB season since the merger, I then plugged the translated stats into a regression formula that predicts Football Outsiders’ Yards Above Replacement based on the QB’s box score stats (including the standard cmp/att/yds/td/int, plus sacks, fumbles, and rushing stats). This gives us Estimated Yards Above Replacement (eYAR) a measure of total value for each QB season, adjusted for schedule length and league passing conditions, which is perfect for historical analysis.

To get an idea of what we’re talking about, here are Flacco’s career translated stats and eYAR numbers:
[continue reading…]

{ 6 comments }

The Schottenheimer Index

by Chase Stuart on January 29, 2013

in Coaches, History, Statgeekery

Marty checking to make sure the pilot light is out.

Marty inquires as to whether Felix Wright's pilot light is out.

Last week, Neil brought us the latest iteration of the Manning Index, showing which quarterbacks have overachieved in the playoffs relative to expectation (based off of the Vegas line). I’m going to do the same today for coaches. A couple of introductory notes:

Neil described the exact methodology in his quarterbacks post, so I won’t waste time repeating it. However, I wanted to look at coaches over an even longer period, and 1950 sounded like a good cut-off. ^[1]Note that coaches, like Paul Brown, who coached before 1950 are included, but their pre-1950 stats are not. Since we don’t have point-spread data for games from 1950 to 1977 ^[2]One other piece of fine print: for the Super Bowls, I used the actual Vegas lines, since those are readily available., I simply used the projected point spread based on the differential between each team’s SRS ratings and by awarding the home team three points. So for pre-1977 games, coaches are credited with wins over expectation based on the SRS, and for post-1977, for wins over expectation based on the Vegas line. Here are the results.
[continue reading…]

References[+]

References
↑1	Note that coaches, like Paul Brown, who coached before 1950 are included, but their pre-1950 stats are not.
↑2	One other piece of fine print: for the Super Bowls, I used the actual Vegas lines, since those are readily available.

Tagged as: Bill Belichick, Bill Parcells, Joe Gibbs, John Harbaugh, Marty Schottenheimer, Paul Brown, Playoffs, Tom Coughlin

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Is good luck driving the low interception rates of Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick?

by Chase Stuart on January 28, 2013

in History, Passing, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery, Theory

Flaccoing?

In September, I started a post by asking you to make this assumption:

Assume that it is within a quarterback’s control as to whether or not he throws a completed pass on any given pass attempt. However, if he throws an incomplete pass, then he has no control over whether or not that pass is intercepted.

If that assumption is true, that would mean all incomplete pass attempts could be labeled as “passes in play” for the defense to intercept. Therefore, a quarterback’s average number of “Picks On Passes In Play” (or POPIP) — that is, the number of interceptions per incomplete pass he throws — is out of his control.

After doing the legwork to test that assumption, I reached two conclusions. One, interception rate is just really random, and predicting it is a fool’s errand. Two, using a normalized INT rate — essentially replacing a quarterback’s number of interceptions per incomplete pass with the league average number of interceptions per incomplete pass — was a slightly better predictor of future INT rate than actual INT rate. It’s not a slam dunk, but there is some merit to using POPIP, because completion percentage, on average, is a better predictor of future INT rate than current INT rate.

So, why am I bringing this up today, at the start of Super Bowl week? Take a look at where Sunday’s starting quarterbacks ranked this year in POPIP (playoff statistics included, minimum 250 pass attempts):
[continue reading…]

Tagged as: 49ers, Colin Kaepernick, Donovan McNabb, Joe Flacco, POPIP, Ravens

{ 14 comments }

The Manning Index (and The Brady Effect)

by Neil Paine on January 23, 2013

in Data Dump, History, Playoffs, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery

Those are some clutch shirts.

Eight years ago — almost to the day — our old PFR colleague Doug Drinen wrote a Sabernomics post about “The Manning Index”, a metric designed to roughly gauge the clutchness (or chokeitude) of a given quarterback by looking at how he did relative to expectations (he revived this concept in version two, six years ago). In a nutshell, Doug used the location of the game and the win differential of the two teams involved to establish an expected winning percentage for each quarterback in a given matchup. He then added those up across all of a quarterback’s playoff starts, and compared to the number of wins he actually had. Therefore, quarterbacks who frequently exceeded expectations in playoff games could be considered “clutch” while those who often fell short (like the Index’s namesake, Peyton Manning) might just be inveterate chokers.

Doug ran that study in the midst of the 2004-05 playoffs, so it shouldn’t be surprising that Tom Brady (who was at the time 8-0 as a playoff starter and would run it to 10-0 before ever suffering a loss) came out on top, winning 3.5 more games than you’d expect from the particulars of the games he started. Fast-forward eight years, though, and you get this list of quarterbacks who debuted after 1977:
[continue reading…]

Tagged as: Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Playoffs, Tom Brady

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Checkdowns: Pre-Conference Championship Sunday Weighted SRS Ratings

by Neil Paine on January 19, 2013

in Checkdowns, Power Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery

Presented without comment, the most current Simple Ratings, weighted for recency:

Rk	Team	pfr_id	Mean (SRS)	Std. Error	Upper	Lower
1	Seattle Seahawks	sea	13.57	3.22	19.92	7.23
2	New England Patriots	nwe	12.39	3.35	18.98	5.81
3	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	10.23	3.33	16.80	3.66
4	Denver Broncos	den	9.54	3.34	16.12	2.96
5	Green Bay Packers	gnb	7.08	3.28	13.54	0.62
6	Atlanta Falcons	atl	6.60	3.31	13.11	0.08
7	New York Giants	nyg	5.94	3.43	12.70	-0.82
8	Chicago Bears	chi	5.76	3.43	12.50	-0.99
9	Baltimore Ravens	rav	4.05	3.24	10.42	-2.33
10	Washington Redskins	was	3.52	3.33	10.08	-3.04
11	Minnesota Vikings	min	3.30	3.37	9.94	-3.34
12	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	2.83	3.31	9.36	-3.69
13	New Orleans Saints	nor	2.06	3.42	8.80	-4.68
14	Carolina Panthers	car	1.50	3.42	8.23	-5.23
15	Houston Texans	htx	1.48	3.24	7.85	-4.90
16	St Louis Rams	ram	0.75	3.43	7.50	-6.00
17	Dallas Cowboys	dal	-0.24	3.43	6.51	-6.99
18	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	-0.78	3.43	5.98	-7.53
19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	-1.05	3.41	5.67	-7.78
20	Miami Dolphins	mia	-2.84	3.44	3.93	-9.62
21	San Diego Chargers	sdg	-2.91	3.42	3.82	-9.64
22	Detroit Lions	det	-3.51	3.42	3.22	-10.24
23	Arizona Cardinals	crd	-4.47	3.44	2.30	-11.23
24	Indianapolis Colts	clt	-5.06	3.30	1.45	-11.56
25	Cleveland Browns	cle	-5.40	3.44	1.37	-12.17
26	Buffalo Bills	buf	-6.70	3.44	0.07	-13.46
27	New York Jets	nyj	-7.35	3.43	-0.60	-14.09
28	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	-9.88	3.43	-3.12	-16.65
29	Oakland Raiders	rai	-10.52	3.42	-3.78	-17.26
30	Tennessee Titans	oti	-10.60	3.45	-3.81	-17.38
31	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	-13.94	3.43	-7.19	-20.69
32	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	-14.40	3.43	-7.65	-21.16

“Upper” and “Lower” are the 95% confidence intervals around each estimate. Roughly speaking, this means we can be 95% confident that, say, the 49ers’ “true” SRS rating is between 3.66 and 16.80.

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Jamaal Charles’ 2012 was one of the most inconsistent seasons in RB history

by Chase Stuart on January 8, 2013

in Rushing, Statgeekery

The good Charles showed up against the Saints.

A couple of weeks ago, I heard my buddy and co-worker Sigmund Bloom say on the Footballguys Podcast that Jamaal Charles was having one of the craziest seasons ever. As Sigmund noted, Charles has been an incredibly frustrating fantasy player. This year, he had three games with 10 or fewer rushing yards… and he also became the first player in NFL history with two games with over 225 rushing yards in the same season.

Did you know that Kansas City finished 2012 fifth in carries? Under Todd Haley, Chiefs fans and fantasy football players were constantly frustrated by Thomas Jones, who Haley seemed to always find a way to give an extra ten carries to. This year, under Romeo Crennel, Peyton Hillis was the complementary back, but he was not nearly as predatory. Still, while Charles finally received the lion’s share of the carries, he was once again an inconsistent fantasy player.

Take a look at Charles’ weekly game logs:

G#	Date	Opp	Result	Att	Yds	YPC	TD
1	09/09/2012	ATL	L 24-40	16	87	5.44	0
2	09/16/2012	@BUF	L 17-35	6	3	0.5	0
3	09/23/2012	@NOR	W 27-24	33	233	7.06	1
4	09/30/2012	SDG	L 20-37	17	88	5.18	1
5	10/07/2012	BAL	L 6-9	30	140	4.67	0
6	10/14/2012	@TAM	L 10-38	12	40	3.33	0
7	10/28/2012	OAK	L 16-26	5	4	0.8	0
8	11/01/2012	@SDG	L 13-31	12	39	3.25	0
9	11/12/2012	@PIT	L 13-16	23	100	4.35	1
10	11/18/2012	CIN	L 6-28	17	87	5.12	0
11	11/25/2012	DEN	L 9-17	23	107	4.65	0
12	12/02/2012	CAR	W 27-21	27	127	4.7	0
13	12/09/2012	@CLE	L 7-30	18	165	9.17	1
14	12/16/2012	@OAK	L 0-15	9	10	1.11	0
15	12/23/2012	IND	L 13-20	22	226	10.27	1
16	12/30/2012	@DEN	W	14	53	3.79	0

That’s a pretty incredible distribution, but how crazy is it?

I looked at the standard deviation of every game by every player in a season with at least 1,000 rushing yards from 1960 to 2011. As it turns out, Charles has had one of the most inconsistent seasons ever. While he gained 1,509 rushing yards, he had a standard deviation of 71.4 yards. That may not mean anything to you in the abstract, but it would place him as the 4th most inconsistent back since 1960.
[continue reading…]

Tagged as: Chiefs, Jamaal Charles, standard deviation

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Data Dump: Schedule-Adjusted Pythagorean Ratings (1970-2012)

by Neil Paine on January 4, 2013

in Data Dump, History, SRS, Statgeekery

This is mostly a huge end-of-regular-season data dump, but I’ll explain a little before the table…

PFR’s Simple Rating System can be broken into offensive and defensive components, which represent the number of points per game the team scored/allowed per game compared to the league average, after adjusting for the strength of opposing offenses and defenses faced. If you want to derive an expected winning percentage from that, you have to “back out” to total points scored/allowed again. To do that, you just add OSRS (or subtract DSRS) to the league’s average PPG, then multiply by the number of games the team played. This will give you adjusted points scored/allowed totals for the season.

To get that into a winning percentage-like form, you then need to plug those totals into the Pythagorean Formula. It usually takes the form of

(Pts Scored ^ x) / (Pts Scored ^ x + Pts Allowed ^ x)

where x was determined to be around 2.4 for the NFL in the 1990s, when current Houston Rockets (yep, basketball) GM Daryl Morey researched it for STATS, Inc. Last year, Football Outsiders decided to employ a “floating” exponent that varies with the scoring environment in which a team played, recognizing that a single point is more important to winning in lower-scoring environments. To that end, they used what’s known as the “Pythagenport” method of determining the exponent, which is

1.5 * log10((PF + PA) / G)

I was poking around in the data the other day, though, and found that the so-called “Pythagenpat” variant actually correlates slightly better with teams’ actual won-lost records since the NFL-AFL merger. That formula suggests for each team an exponent of

((PF + PA) / G) ^ 0.2466

This gives you a 1.204 RMSE vs. wins since 1970, a very slight improvement over the 1.205 RMSE you get using FO’s formula.

At any rate, I applied the Pythagenpat exponent to each team’s schedule-adjusted points scored/allowed totals since 1970, and tweaked the pythagorean win/loss totals up/down at the league-season level to match actual league-wide win/loss totals. The result was a definitive set of pythagorean ratings for every team since the merger:

Year	Tm	pfr_id	Division	G	W	L	T	WPct	Pts	PtsO	OSRS	DSRS	adj_PF	adj_PA	adj_Pyth
2012	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	344	435	-0.9	-5.8	349.84	456.84	0.3331
2012	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	288	317	-5.5	2.9	276.24	317.64	0.4174
2012	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	557	331	12.2	0.5	559.44	356.04	0.7747
2012	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	281	375	-5.1	-0.9	282.64	378.44	0.3267
2012	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	398	344	1.9	1.0	394.64	348.04	0.5819
2012	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	391	320	1.2	0.9	383.44	349.64	0.5606
2012	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	302	368	-4.6	-0.7	290.64	375.24	0.3467
2012	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	336	314	-2.8	2.1	319.44	330.44	0.4806
2012	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	416	331	1.8	1.7	393.04	336.84	0.5993
2012	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	357	387	-1.9	-2.8	333.84	408.84	0.3740
2012	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	2	14	0	0.125	255	444	-8.1	-4.9	234.64	442.44	0.1700
2012	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	6	10	0	0.375	330	471	-2.6	-7.4	322.64	482.44	0.2595
2012	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	481	289	6.3	3.8	465.04	303.24	0.7539
2012	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	211	425	-10.3	-3.7	199.44	423.24	0.1368
2012	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	290	443	-4.6	-6.2	290.64	463.24	0.2322
2012	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	350	350	-2.0	-0.4	332.24	370.44	0.4329
2012	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	376	400	1.4	-1.2	386.64	383.24	0.5074
2012	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	429	344	4.0	2.2	428.24	328.84	0.6662
2012	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	280	444	-5.3	-3.6	279.44	421.64	0.2619
2012	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	436	388	4.6	-1.2	437.84	383.24	0.5887
2012	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	375	277	1.0	6.0	380.24	268.04	0.7066
2012	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	372	437	2.1	-4.4	397.84	434.44	0.4436
2012	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	433	336	4.9	2.4	442.64	325.64	0.6911
2012	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	379	348	1.6	1.8	389.84	335.24	0.5971
2012	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	13	3	0	0.813	419	299	2.0	4.5	396.24	292.04	0.6855
2012	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	357	363	-0.5	1.3	356.24	343.24	0.5252
2012	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	461	454	6.5	-5.1	468.24	445.64	0.5351
2012	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	389	394	1.3	-1.3	385.04	384.84	0.5020
2012	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	250	357	-4.8	1.6	287.44	338.44	0.4022
2012	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	11	4	1	0.719	397	273	3.5	6.7	420.24	256.84	0.7772
2012	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	412	245	4.5	7.7	436.24	240.84	0.8186
2012	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	7	8	1	0.469	299	348	-2.1	2.4	330.64	325.64	0.5112
2011	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	372	434	1.2	-4.5	374.03	426.93	0.4200
2011	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	329	313	-2.2	3.2	319.63	303.73	0.5374
2011	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	513	342	9.4	-0.1	505.23	356.53	0.7234
2011	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	377	363	1.2	-0.3	374.03	359.73	0.5310
2011	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	378	266	2.6	3.5	396.43	298.93	0.6776
2011	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	344	323	0.7	-0.2	366.03	358.13	0.5199
2011	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	218	307	-7.2	1.8	239.63	326.13	0.3284
2011	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	325	227	-0.8	6.0	342.03	258.93	0.6698
2011	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	381	278	1.4	3.2	377.23	303.73	0.6393
2011	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	2	14	0	0.125	243	430	-6.0	-5.3	258.83	439.73	0.2127
2011	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	243	329	-7.1	1.4	241.23	332.53	0.3212
2011	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	325	317	-2.2	1.2	319.63	335.73	0.4753
2011	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	309	390	-3.6	-1.7	297.23	382.13	0.3527
2011	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	212	338	-10.2	2.1	191.63	321.33	0.2347
2011	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	359	433	0.2	-5.1	358.03	436.53	0.3790
2011	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	406	377	2.7	-1.8	398.03	383.73	0.5298
2011	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	369	347	0.7	0.9	366.03	340.53	0.5518
2011	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	394	400	3.1	-1.5	404.43	378.93	0.5484
2011	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	396	328	3.1	1.7	404.43	327.73	0.6377
2011	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	288	367	-4.3	0.2	286.03	351.73	0.3804
2011	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	353	341	-1.5	3.1	330.83	305.33	0.5555
2011	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	474	387	6.9	-0.8	465.23	367.73	0.6569
2011	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	15	1	0	0.938	560	359	11.5	-0.1	538.83	356.53	0.7589
2011	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	3	13	0	0.188	340	449	-1.6	-4.1	329.23	420.53	0.3530
2011	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	402	350	1.8	1.7	383.63	327.73	0.6050
2011	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	6	10	0	0.375	406	429	2.6	-3.9	396.43	417.33	0.4722
2011	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	13	3	0	0.813	547	339	10.6	0.8	524.43	342.13	0.7642
2011	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	4	12	0	0.250	287	494	-4.0	-6.6	290.83	460.53	0.2397
2011	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	312	348	-1.7	-0.5	327.63	362.93	0.4416
2011	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	380	229	1.7	6.6	382.03	249.33	0.7479
2011	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	321	315	-0.5	1.3	346.83	334.13	0.5295
2011	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	193	407	-8.4	-2.1	220.43	388.53	0.2053
2010	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	283	425	-1.5	-3.1	328.74	402.04	0.3740
2010	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	273	333	-2.8	3.1	307.94	302.84	0.5106
2010	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	518	313	12.6	2.8	554.34	307.64	0.8287
2010	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	367	304	2.2	4.2	387.94	285.24	0.6846
2010	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	357	270	0.9	5.5	367.14	264.44	0.6929
2010	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	322	395	0.4	-1.9	359.14	382.84	0.4593
2010	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	271	332	-3.4	2.0	298.34	320.44	0.4565
2010	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	375	232	2.5	7.7	392.74	229.24	0.7908
2010	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	6	10	0	0.375	390	427	1.8	-3.7	381.54	411.64	0.4508
2010	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	435	388	3.7	-0.9	411.94	366.84	0.5753
2010	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	353	419	-1.2	-3.3	333.54	405.24	0.3777
2010	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	6	10	0	0.375	356	339	-0.9	1.9	338.34	322.04	0.5312
2010	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	344	471	-1.1	-7.8	335.14	477.24	0.2831
2010	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	366	326	-1.5	0.8	328.74	339.64	0.4799
2010	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	410	371	2.3	-2.2	389.54	387.64	0.5035
2010	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	441	322	3.2	1.6	403.94	326.84	0.6330
2010	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	394	436	2.5	-4.7	392.74	427.64	0.4444
2010	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	394	347	1.7	0.4	379.94	346.04	0.5599
2010	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	439	377	5.4	-1.2	439.14	371.64	0.6085
2010	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	302	377	-3.4	-0.5	298.34	360.44	0.3843
2010	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	334	286	-0.6	4.7	343.14	277.24	0.6288
2010	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	362	369	2.4	-0.5	391.14	360.44	0.5530
2010	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	388	240	3.1	7.9	402.34	226.04	0.8065
2010	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	281	348	-3.3	1.7	299.94	325.24	0.4505
2010	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	13	3	0	0.813	414	288	3.8	2.2	413.54	317.24	0.6641
2010	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	2	14	0	0.125	196	408	-9.1	-4.1	207.14	418.04	0.1505
2010	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	384	307	1.5	0.8	376.74	339.64	0.5661
2010	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	341	318	-1.0	0.4	336.74	346.04	0.4832
2010	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	289	434	-5.6	-7.1	263.14	466.04	0.1879
2010	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	305	346	-4.7	-1.1	277.54	370.04	0.3285
2010	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	310	407	-3.9	-5.5	290.34	440.44	0.2559
2010	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	289	328	-6.3	-0.4	251.94	358.84	0.2960
2009	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	258	326	-4.5	2.7	271.47	300.27	0.4395
2009	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	360	390	2.9	-1.2	389.87	362.67	0.5466
2009	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	427	285	6.7	4.5	450.67	271.47	0.7853
2009	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	348	236	1.1	7.5	361.07	223.47	0.7623
2009	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	391	261	2.6	4.9	385.07	265.07	0.7173
2009	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	305	291	-2.5	3.2	303.47	292.27	0.5230
2009	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	245	375	-6.0	-2.4	247.47	381.87	0.2549
2009	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	368	324	1.0	0.7	359.47	332.27	0.5497
2009	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	388	333	2.7	-0.7	386.67	354.67	0.5554
2009	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	14	2	0	0.875	416	307	4.4	1.5	413.87	319.47	0.6604
2009	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	290	380	-3.8	-2.6	282.67	385.07	0.3153
2009	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	354	402	0.9	-3.6	357.87	401.07	0.4268
2009	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	326	324	-1.0	1.3	327.47	322.67	0.5092
2009	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	294	424	-2.5	-5.9	303.47	437.87	0.2801
2009	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	197	379	-8.7	-1.6	204.27	369.07	0.1932
2009	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	454	320	6.4	0.2	445.87	340.27	0.6696
2009	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	361	250	0.4	6.7	349.87	236.27	0.7220
2009	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	402	427	4.6	-4.5	417.07	415.47	0.5026
2009	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	429	337	5.8	0.2	436.27	340.27	0.6564
2009	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	266	336	-5.5	1.0	255.47	327.47	0.3538
2009	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	7	9	0	0.438	327	375	-1.9	-2.0	313.07	375.47	0.3871
2009	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	2	14	0	0.125	262	494	-5.2	-9.2	260.27	490.67	0.1628
2009	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	461	297	6.3	1.1	444.27	325.87	0.6912
2009	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	470	312	6.6	0.6	449.07	333.87	0.6844
2009	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	363	325	2.7	2.3	386.67	306.67	0.6427
2009	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	315	308	-0.6	4.5	333.87	271.47	0.6241
2009	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	13	3	0	0.813	510	341	11.2	-0.5	522.67	351.47	0.7435
2009	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	3	13	0	0.188	244	400	-4.6	-1.1	269.87	361.07	0.3273
2009	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	375	325	0.1	-0.4	345.07	349.87	0.4913
2009	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	330	281	-2.9	3.0	297.07	295.47	0.5033
2009	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	280	390	-5.0	-4.4	263.47	413.87	0.2429
2009	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	1	15	0	0.063	175	436	-11.7	-5.8	156.27	436.27	0.0758
2008	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	336	342	-2.8	-0.6	307.67	362.07	0.3972
2008	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	345	317	-2.4	1.8	314.07	323.67	0.4794
2008	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	410	309	2.3	1.6	389.27	326.87	0.6078
2008	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	405	356	2.2	-1.9	387.67	382.87	0.5062
2008	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	385	244	4.2	5.6	419.67	262.87	0.7631
2008	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	4	11	1	0.281	204	364	-6.9	-0.1	242.07	354.07	0.2814
2008	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	232	350	-5.2	0.6	269.27	342.87	0.3539
2008	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	347	223	1.6	8.2	378.07	221.27	0.7854
2008	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	366	394	2.8	-3.2	397.27	403.67	0.4876
2008	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	377	298	2.6	3.9	394.07	290.07	0.6823
2008	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	302	367	-2.1	-0.4	318.87	358.87	0.4242
2008	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	13	3	0	0.813	375	234	1.5	7.5	376.47	232.47	0.7635
2008	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	370	448	0.7	-6.5	363.67	456.47	0.3524
2008	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	291	440	-3.9	-5.3	290.07	437.27	0.2569
2008	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	263	388	-6.5	-1.0	248.47	368.47	0.2730
2008	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	439	347	5.0	0.0	432.47	352.47	0.6285
2008	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	362	365	1.7	-1.2	379.67	371.67	0.5118
2008	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	427	294	5.5	2.8	440.47	307.67	0.7143
2008	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	9	6	1	0.594	416	289	4.7	3.2	427.67	301.27	0.7087
2008	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	265	296	-5.8	4.1	259.67	286.87	0.4389
2008	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	375	350	1.1	1.0	370.07	336.47	0.5583
2008	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	0	16	0	0.000	268	517	-4.0	-9.1	288.47	498.07	0.1916
2008	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	419	380	4.1	-1.2	418.07	371.67	0.5744
2008	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	379	333	1.1	2.9	370.07	306.07	0.6153
2008	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	391	325	1.3	2.5	373.27	312.47	0.6085
2008	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	414	329	2.8	2.9	397.27	306.07	0.6580
2008	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	463	393	6.8	-2.8	461.27	397.27	0.5965
2008	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	361	323	-0.6	2.9	342.87	306.07	0.5683
2008	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	427	426	4.1	-6.0	418.07	448.47	0.4512
2008	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	339	381	-2.9	-2.4	306.07	390.87	0.3478
2008	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	294	392	-4.9	-2.8	274.07	397.27	0.2804
2008	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	232	465	-8.1	-7.0	222.87	464.47	0.1332
2007	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	252	354	-5.6	1.5	257.55	322.95	0.3735
2007	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	1	15	0	0.063	267	437	-4.1	-4.2	281.55	414.15	0.2805
2007	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	16	0	0	1.000	589	274	15.9	4.2	601.55	279.75	0.8940
2007	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	268	355	-4.0	0.3	283.15	342.15	0.3926
2007	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	275	384	-5.0	-1.8	267.15	375.75	0.3072
2007	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	7	9	0	0.438	380	385	1.6	-4.0	372.75	410.95	0.4440
2007	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	402	382	2.2	-3.3	382.35	399.75	0.4783
2007	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	393	269	0.9	4.3	361.55	278.15	0.6646
2007	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	379	384	2.5	-2.5	387.15	386.95	0.5076
2007	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	13	3	0	0.813	450	262	6.6	5.4	452.75	260.55	0.8110
2007	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	411	304	4.8	2.0	423.95	314.95	0.6897
2007	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	301	297	-2.9	3.6	300.75	289.35	0.5308
2007	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	320	409	-0.2	-3.8	343.95	407.75	0.3991
2007	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	226	335	-7.4	1.9	228.75	316.55	0.3226
2007	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	283	398	-3.5	-2.5	291.15	386.95	0.3355
2007	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	412	284	4.3	4.5	415.95	274.95	0.7476
2007	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	455	325	7.8	1.7	471.95	319.75	0.7421
2007	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	373	351	2.8	0.4	391.95	340.55	0.5966
2007	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	336	300	0.1	5.1	348.75	265.35	0.6692
2007	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	334	310	0.2	4.3	350.35	278.15	0.6462
2007	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	7	9	0	0.438	334	348	-0.2	1.4	343.95	324.55	0.5437
2007	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	7	9	0	0.438	346	444	1.4	-5.0	369.55	426.95	0.4138
2007	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	13	3	0	0.813	435	291	5.7	3.3	438.35	294.15	0.7431
2007	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	365	311	1.4	2.4	369.55	308.55	0.6190
2007	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	4	12	0	0.250	259	414	-5.8	-4.8	254.35	423.75	0.2239
2007	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	267	347	-5.7	-0.1	255.95	348.55	0.3268
2007	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	379	388	1.9	-4.5	377.55	418.95	0.4396
2007	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	334	270	-2.3	3.6	310.35	289.35	0.5500
2007	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	404	399	1.9	-5.9	377.55	441.35	0.4057
2007	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	219	364	-9.9	-2.0	188.75	378.95	0.1643
2007	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	393	291	0.8	0.9	359.95	332.55	0.5573
2007	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	3	13	0	0.188	263	438	-6.5	-6.5	243.15	450.95	0.1803
2006	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	300	311	-0.2	2.4	327.33	292.08	0.5747
2006	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	260	283	-3.3	4.0	277.73	266.48	0.5296
2006	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	385	237	4.3	5.9	399.33	236.08	0.7913
2006	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	316	295	0.4	1.7	336.93	303.28	0.5699
2006	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	13	3	0	0.813	353	201	1.5	7.8	354.53	205.68	0.7922
2006	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	373	331	4.0	0.0	394.53	330.48	0.6165
2006	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	238	356	-4.5	-1.3	258.53	351.28	0.3253
2006	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	353	315	3.0	0.4	378.53	324.08	0.6024
2006	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	6	10	0	0.375	267	366	-3.2	-1.3	279.33	351.28	0.3669
2006	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	427	360	6.9	-1.1	440.93	348.08	0.6548
2006	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	371	274	2.6	4.9	372.13	252.08	0.7284
2006	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	324	400	1.0	-2.3	346.53	367.28	0.4680
2006	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	319	305	-0.8	2.1	317.73	296.88	0.5466
2006	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	331	315	0.4	0.6	336.93	320.88	0.5355
2006	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	168	332	-10.3	0.7	165.73	319.28	0.1843
2006	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	492	303	10.0	0.2	490.53	327.28	0.7491
2006	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	425	350	5.0	-1.3	410.53	351.28	0.6047
2006	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	355	362	1.2	-1.1	349.73	348.08	0.5080
2006	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	398	328	3.2	0.2	381.73	327.28	0.6017
2006	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	307	376	-2.1	-2.0	296.93	362.48	0.3828
2006	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	13	3	0	0.813	427	255	4.9	3.0	408.93	282.48	0.7233
2006	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	3	13	0	0.188	305	398	-1.8	-4.6	301.73	404.08	0.3273
2006	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	301	366	-2.3	-2.1	293.73	364.08	0.3739
2006	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	282	327	-3.7	-0.4	271.33	336.88	0.3754
2006	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	292	328	-2.8	-0.2	285.73	333.68	0.4106
2006	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	270	305	-4.2	1.5	263.33	306.48	0.4145
2006	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	413	322	4.9	-0.9	408.93	344.88	0.6134
2006	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	4	12	0	0.250	211	353	-7.2	-0.8	215.33	343.28	0.2510
2006	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	314	389	-2.6	-4.3	288.93	399.28	0.3112
2006	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	298	412	-3.5	-5.2	274.53	413.68	0.2668
2006	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	335	341	-1.6	-1.9	304.93	360.88	0.4009
2006	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	367	381	0.8	-4.7	343.33	405.68	0.3989
2005	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	271	367	-4.0	-1.8	265.68	358.63	0.3255
2005	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	318	317	-1.1	0.3	312.08	325.03	0.4774
2005	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	379	338	3.7	-0.5	388.88	337.83	0.5918
2005	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	240	355	-5.2	-1.2	246.48	349.03	0.3023
2005	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	265	299	-3.5	1.7	273.68	302.63	0.4420
2005	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	421	350	6.5	-2.7	433.68	373.03	0.6003
2005	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	232	301	-6.0	1.7	233.68	302.63	0.3536
2005	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	389	258	3.8	4.0	390.48	265.83	0.7259
2005	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	2	14	0	0.125	260	431	-4.4	-5.7	259.28	421.03	0.2301
2005	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	14	2	0	0.875	439	247	5.6	5.2	419.28	246.63	0.7935
2005	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	361	269	1.1	3.7	347.28	270.63	0.6514
2005	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	4	12	0	0.250	299	421	-2.0	-5.5	297.68	417.83	0.2988
2005	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	395	258	5.0	5.8	409.68	237.03	0.7987
2005	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	403	325	5.1	1.9	411.28	299.43	0.6944
2005	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	290	383	-1.2	-1.6	310.48	355.43	0.4186
2005	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	418	312	7.1	2.9	443.28	283.43	0.7614
2005	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	325	308	-0.1	3.2	328.08	278.63	0.6014
2005	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	422	314	5.8	1.7	422.48	302.63	0.7041
2005	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	310	388	-0.6	-1.7	320.08	357.03	0.4342
2005	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	359	293	2.6	3.4	371.28	275.43	0.6803
2005	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	11	5	0	0.688	260	202	-5.2	6.6	246.48	224.23	0.5568
2005	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	254	345	-4.3	-2.4	260.88	368.23	0.3015
2005	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	298	344	-1.5	-2.2	305.68	365.03	0.3929
2005	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	306	344	-1.4	-2.1	307.28	363.43	0.3987
2005	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	351	341	1.1	-2.3	347.28	366.63	0.4681
2005	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	391	259	3.0	2.1	377.68	296.23	0.6507
2005	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	3	13	0	0.188	235	398	-6.2	-4.9	230.48	408.23	0.1974
2005	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	300	274	-2.8	1.8	284.88	301.03	0.4691
2005	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	311	387	-2.0	-3.0	297.68	377.83	0.3569
2005	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	239	428	-5.6	-5.5	240.08	417.83	0.2027
2005	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	452	271	5.8	3.4	422.48	275.43	0.7501
2005	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	363	429	1.3	-6.4	350.48	432.23	0.3691
2004	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	395	284	4.6	3.5	417.40	287.80	0.7239
2004	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	275	354	-2.7	0.5	300.60	335.80	0.4354
2004	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	437	260	6.3	6.5	444.60	239.80	0.8298
2004	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	333	261	0.5	6.0	351.80	247.80	0.7056
2004	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	317	268	-0.6	6.8	334.20	235.00	0.7041
2004	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	374	372	4.3	-1.6	412.60	369.40	0.5753
2004	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	276	390	-1.5	-1.9	319.80	374.20	0.4054
2004	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	15	1	0	0.938	372	251	3.4	5.6	398.20	254.20	0.7576
2004	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	309	339	-2.4	1.8	305.40	315.00	0.4846
2004	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	522	351	11.7	-0.3	531.00	348.60	0.7595
2004	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	261	280	-5.7	6.4	252.60	241.40	0.5300
2004	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	344	439	0.3	-4.6	348.60	417.40	0.3888
2004	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	381	304	1.6	4.3	369.40	275.00	0.6794
2004	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	483	435	10.0	-4.7	503.80	419.00	0.6263
2004	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	320	442	-0.6	-3.7	334.20	403.00	0.3856
2004	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	446	313	6.1	3.0	441.40	295.80	0.7404
2004	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	293	405	-3.0	-4.8	295.80	420.60	0.2930
2004	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	303	347	-2.3	-1.6	307.00	369.40	0.3893
2004	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	386	260	2.0	3.5	375.80	287.80	0.6648
2004	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	240	265	-7.4	4.0	225.40	279.80	0.3797
2004	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	231	331	-8.5	0.3	207.80	339.00	0.2407
2004	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	296	350	-3.8	-1.4	283.00	366.20	0.3484
2004	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	424	380	4.3	-4.0	412.60	407.80	0.5114
2004	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	405	395	3.0	-4.7	391.80	419.00	0.4596
2004	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	340	337	-1.8	-0.4	315.00	350.20	0.4376
2004	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	355	339	-0.8	0.1	331.00	342.20	0.4827
2004	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	348	405	-1.2	-4.3	324.60	412.60	0.3541
2004	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	301	304	-4.0	1.3	279.80	323.00	0.4167
2004	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	284	322	-5.0	0.2	263.80	340.60	0.3521
2004	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	259	452	-5.1	-8.6	262.20	481.40	0.1765
2004	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	371	373	0.4	-3.3	350.20	396.60	0.4241
2004	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	319	392	-2.2	-3.8	308.60	404.60	0.3375
2003	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	243	279	-5.0	4.0	253.26	269.36	0.4670
2003	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	311	261	-0.7	4.1	322.06	267.76	0.6138
2003	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	348	238	2.1	4.9	366.86	254.96	0.7137
2003	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	283	299	-1.9	1.3	302.86	312.56	0.4840
2003	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	391	281	3.3	3.0	386.06	285.36	0.6846
2003	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	8	8	0	0.500	346	384	1.1	-3.5	350.86	389.36	0.4367
2003	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	254	322	-5.3	2.4	248.46	294.96	0.4024
2003	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	300	327	-2.5	1.4	293.26	310.96	0.4675
2003	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	255	380	-4.4	-1.5	262.86	357.36	0.3227
2003	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	447	336	8.2	-1.2	464.46	352.56	0.6775
2003	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	276	331	-3.3	0.9	280.46	318.96	0.4254
2003	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	435	324	7.0	-0.5	445.26	341.36	0.6703
2003	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	381	301	2.4	3.1	371.66	283.76	0.6658
2003	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	484	332	9.2	-0.9	480.46	347.76	0.7050
2003	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	270	379	-4.2	-1.3	266.06	354.16	0.3341
2003	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	313	441	-0.6	-6.2	323.66	432.56	0.3241
2003	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	289	260	-3.2	2.7	282.06	290.16	0.4863
2003	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	243	387	-4.8	-3.7	256.46	392.56	0.2605
2003	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	374	287	2.9	1.5	379.66	309.36	0.6300
2003	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	287	372	-1.9	-3.8	302.86	394.16	0.3422
2003	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	7	9	0	0.438	283	346	-4.2	0.7	266.06	322.16	0.3891
2003	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	5	11	0	0.313	270	379	-4.3	-1.6	264.46	358.96	0.3233
2003	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	10	6	0	0.625	442	307	6.2	1.9	432.46	302.96	0.7173
2003	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	416	353	4.0	-1.1	397.26	350.96	0.5826
2003	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	5	11	0	0.313	299	422	-2.0	-5.4	301.26	419.76	0.3031
2003	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	325	304	-1.5	0.6	309.26	323.76	0.4750
2003	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	8	8	0	0.500	340	326	0.1	-0.4	334.86	339.76	0.4942
2003	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	301	264	-2.9	4.5	286.86	261.36	0.5587
2003	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	225	452	-6.3	-6.2	232.46	432.56	0.1774
2003	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	384	337	3.0	0.1	381.26	331.76	0.5911
2003	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	404	327	3.6	0.5	390.86	325.36	0.6183
2003	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	447	328	6.0	-0.2	429.26	336.56	0.6562
2002	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	379	397	2.1	-2.3	380.43	383.58	0.4952
2002	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	378	301	1.7	4.4	374.03	276.38	0.6807
2002	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	381	346	2.1	1.9	380.43	316.38	0.6154
2002	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	359	336	0.9	2.3	361.23	309.98	0.5955
2002	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC North	16	7	9	0	0.438	316	354	-1.5	-0.6	322.83	356.38	0.4386
2002	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC North	16	2	14	0	0.125	279	456	-3.6	-6.9	289.23	457.18	0.2355
2002	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC North	16	9	7	0	0.563	344	320	-0.4	1.7	340.43	319.58	0.5400
2002	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC North	16	10	5	1	0.656	390	345	3.1	-0.4	396.43	353.18	0.5746
2002	Houston Texans	htx	AFC South	16	4	12	0	0.250	213	356	-8.4	-1.1	212.43	364.38	0.2137
2002	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC South	16	10	6	0	0.625	349	313	0.4	0.7	353.23	335.58	0.5329
2002	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC South	16	6	10	0	0.375	328	315	-1.3	1.1	326.03	329.18	0.4946
2002	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC South	16	11	5	0	0.688	367	324	1.6	0.1	372.43	345.18	0.5490
2002	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	392	344	3.0	1.9	394.83	316.38	0.6381
2002	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	467	399	8.4	-2.3	481.23	383.58	0.6478
2002	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	450	304	6.3	4.3	447.63	277.98	0.7727
2002	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	333	367	-1.0	0.2	330.83	343.58	0.4768
2002	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	217	329	-8.2	-0.3	215.63	351.58	0.2359
2002	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	320	279	-2.2	3.0	311.63	298.78	0.5264
2002	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	415	241	4.5	3.8	418.83	285.98	0.7258
2002	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	307	365	-2.2	-2.2	311.63	381.98	0.3745
2002	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC North	16	4	12	0	0.250	281	379	-4.4	-0.9	276.43	361.18	0.3405
2002	Detroit Lions	det	NFC North	16	3	13	0	0.188	306	451	-2.5	-6.7	306.83	453.98	0.2665
2002	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC North	16	12	4	0	0.750	398	328	2.4	1.2	385.23	327.58	0.6025
2002	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC North	16	6	10	0	0.375	390	442	3.1	-6.1	396.43	444.38	0.4253
2002	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC South	16	9	6	1	0.594	402	314	3.5	1.5	402.83	322.78	0.6388
2002	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC South	16	7	9	0	0.438	258	302	-6.0	2.8	250.83	301.98	0.3913
2002	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC South	16	9	7	0	0.563	432	388	5.8	-3.3	439.63	399.58	0.5636
2002	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC South	16	12	4	0	0.750	346	196	-1.0	9.8	330.83	189.98	0.7880
2002	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	262	417	-5.4	-4.5	260.43	418.78	0.2326
2002	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	367	351	0.7	-0.1	358.03	348.38	0.5180
2002	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	355	369	0.0	-1.2	346.83	365.98	0.4664
2002	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	316	369	-1.6	-1.8	321.23	375.58	0.4028
2001	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	303	265	-0.8	4.0	310.61	259.41	0.6059
2001	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	226	309	-4.5	1.0	251.41	307.41	0.3804
2001	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	285	319	-0.9	0.1	309.01	321.81	0.4738
2001	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	294	286	-1.1	2.0	305.81	291.41	0.5283
2001	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	13	3	0	0.813	352	212	1.5	5.8	347.41	230.61	0.7284
2001	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	336	388	2.4	-4.4	361.81	393.81	0.4443
2001	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	265	420	-3.9	-5.7	261.01	414.61	0.2367
2001	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	413	486	6.1	-9.8	421.01	480.21	0.4109
2001	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	344	290	-0.3	3.1	318.61	273.81	0.5902
2001	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	371	272	1.2	3.1	342.61	273.81	0.6334
2001	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	308	295	-2.0	2.8	291.41	278.61	0.5260
2001	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	340	339	0.5	-1.0	331.41	339.41	0.4839
2001	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	320	344	-0.2	-1.0	320.21	339.41	0.4625
2001	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	399	327	4.0	-0.4	387.41	329.81	0.6002
2001	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	332	321	0.3	-0.6	328.21	333.01	0.4898
2001	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	301	324	-1.4	-0.4	301.01	329.81	0.4426
2001	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	13	3	0	0.813	338	203	0.8	7.1	336.21	209.81	0.7540
2001	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	270	424	-2.0	-5.2	291.41	406.61	0.2993
2001	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	390	266	4.0	2.6	387.41	281.81	0.6887
2001	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	290	390	-0.8	-3.9	310.61	385.81	0.3648
2001	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	324	280	0.7	3.3	334.61	270.61	0.6260
2001	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	295	343	-1.5	-2.6	299.41	365.01	0.3772
2001	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	246	338	-4.5	-1.5	251.41	347.41	0.3110
2001	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	294	321	-1.8	0.0	294.61	323.41	0.4417
2001	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	343	208	0.9	6.8	337.81	214.61	0.7466
2001	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	256	303	-4.0	0.4	259.41	317.01	0.3799
2001	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	291	377	-2.7	-2.0	280.21	355.41	0.3557
2001	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	1	15	0	0.063	253	410	-4.6	-4.4	249.81	393.81	0.2427
2001	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	333	409	-0.1	-4.7	321.81	398.61	0.3654
2001	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	409	282	4.2	2.7	390.61	280.21	0.6962
2001	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	503	273	10.4	2.9	489.81	277.01	0.8134
2000	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	333	165	0.0	8.0	330.72	202.83	0.7587
2000	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	185	359	-8.1	-2.4	201.12	369.23	0.1847
2000	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	161	419	-9.1	-5.5	185.12	418.83	0.1165
2000	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	367	327	3.2	-2.1	381.92	364.43	0.5274
2000	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	321	255	0.6	3.3	340.32	278.03	0.6191
2000	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC Central	16	13	3	0	0.813	346	191	1.5	6.8	354.72	222.03	0.7537
2000	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	315	350	0.5	-0.5	338.72	338.83	0.4970
2000	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	429	326	7.1	0.8	444.32	318.03	0.7013
2000	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	323	226	0.0	7.1	330.72	217.23	0.7291
2000	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	276	338	-2.7	0.2	287.52	327.63	0.4176
2000	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	321	321	1.4	2.2	353.12	295.63	0.6061
2000	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	485	369	7.8	-2.7	455.52	374.03	0.6247
2000	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	355	354	0.1	0.6	332.32	321.23	0.5183
2000	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	479	299	8.0	1.8	458.72	302.03	0.7442
2000	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	1	15	0	0.063	269	440	-3.7	-4.4	271.52	401.23	0.2697
2000	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	320	405	-1.4	-2.3	308.32	367.63	0.3882
2000	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	216	355	-6.4	0.1	228.32	329.23	0.2907
2000	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	307	307	-0.1	1.5	329.12	306.83	0.5405
2000	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	353	323	1.8	0.7	359.52	319.63	0.5707
2000	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	397	371	4.3	-2.3	399.52	367.63	0.5510
2000	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	388	269	3.4	3.9	385.12	268.43	0.7083
2000	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	210	443	-7.2	-8.1	215.52	460.43	0.1261
2000	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	294	361	-1.5	-3.0	306.72	378.83	0.3669
2000	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	328	246	-1.3	3.8	309.92	270.03	0.5799
2000	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	351	245	1.0	2.1	346.72	297.23	0.5918
2000	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	281	269	-2.9	3.8	284.32	270.03	0.5280
2000	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	252	413	-5.7	-2.9	239.52	377.23	0.2436
2000	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	310	310	-3.6	2.5	273.12	290.83	0.4594
2000	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	354	305	-1.2	2.1	311.52	297.23	0.5259
2000	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	388	422	1.7	-5.5	357.92	418.83	0.3962
2000	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	540	471	12.6	-9.5	532.32	482.83	0.5646
1999	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	324	277	-1.6	2.5	307.43	293.08	0.5251
1999	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	283	460	-3.3	-8.2	280.23	464.28	0.2099
1999	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	217	437	-7.6	-6.5	211.43	437.08	0.1367
1999	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	14	2	0	0.875	396	217	1.3	5.1	353.83	251.48	0.6937
1999	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	317	320	-2.2	-0.2	297.83	336.28	0.4213
1999	Tennessee Titans	oti	AFC Central	16	13	3	0	0.813	392	324	2.0	-1.0	365.03	349.08	0.5244
1999	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	320	229	-0.2	7.4	329.83	214.68	0.7319
1999	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	423	333	6.6	-0.5	438.63	341.08	0.6543
1999	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	326	336	1.2	0.7	352.23	321.88	0.5524
1999	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	299	284	-1.0	3.2	317.03	281.88	0.5672
1999	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	308	309	0.2	2.9	336.23	286.68	0.5930
1999	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	314	318	1.0	2.4	349.03	294.68	0.5997
1999	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	390	322	5.5	1.3	421.03	312.28	0.6789
1999	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	390	329	5.7	1.0	424.23	317.08	0.6751
1999	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	269	316	-3.9	2.9	270.63	286.68	0.4614
1999	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	338	298	1.9	2.6	363.43	291.48	0.6303
1999	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	272	341	-3.0	1.0	285.03	317.08	0.4312
1999	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	322	323	0.1	1.8	334.63	304.28	0.5547
1999	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	357	341	2.5	-0.9	373.03	347.48	0.5412
1999	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	399	335	5.2	-0.8	416.23	345.88	0.6137
1999	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	270	235	-4.1	6.7	267.43	225.88	0.5930
1999	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	245	382	-5.5	-3.2	245.03	384.28	0.2433
1999	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	352	276	-0.3	3.4	328.23	278.68	0.5949
1999	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	299	358	-1.8	-1.2	304.23	352.28	0.4054
1999	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	272	357	-3.3	-0.9	280.23	347.48	0.3661
1999	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	443	377	6.8	-3.9	441.83	395.48	0.5689
1999	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	285	380	-4.0	-3.0	269.03	381.08	0.2916
1999	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	421	381	2.9	-4.0	379.43	397.08	0.4664
1999	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	3	13	0	0.188	260	434	-5.3	-6.9	248.23	443.48	0.1831
1999	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	295	453	-4.5	-6.8	261.03	441.88	0.2038
1999	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	526	242	8.7	3.2	472.23	281.88	0.7875
1998	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	269	335	-5.2	-0.2	257.35	343.59	0.3389
1998	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	268	452	-4.5	-6.5	268.55	444.39	0.2253
1998	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	392	338	3.1	-0.6	390.15	349.99	0.5780
1998	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	263	303	-5.1	1.3	258.95	319.59	0.3838
1998	Tennessee Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	330	320	-0.5	0.5	332.55	332.39	0.5088
1998	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	400	333	4.4	0.7	410.95	329.19	0.6475
1998	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	310	444	-0.1	-5.3	338.95	425.19	0.3656
1998	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	321	265	-0.7	6.5	329.35	236.39	0.6983
1998	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	337	329	1.1	2.8	358.15	295.59	0.6261
1998	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	416	266	5.4	5.8	426.95	247.59	0.8060
1998	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	501	309	9.5	-0.6	492.55	349.99	0.7211
1998	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	327	363	-0.7	-2.4	329.35	378.79	0.4204
1998	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	288	356	-4.1	-1.5	274.95	364.39	0.3405
1998	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	241	342	-7.7	-0.7	217.35	351.59	0.2472
1998	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	372	310	0.9	0.6	354.95	330.79	0.5529
1998	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	276	368	-3.4	-0.3	286.15	345.19	0.3945
1998	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	306	378	-1.9	-1.5	310.15	364.39	0.4085
1998	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	408	319	4.3	0.7	409.35	329.19	0.6451
1998	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	15	1	0	0.938	556	296	13.2	1.6	551.75	314.79	0.8264
1998	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	314	295	-2.3	3.5	303.75	284.39	0.5485
1998	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	325	378	-1.6	-5.8	314.95	433.19	0.3137
1998	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	381	275	0.9	2.6	354.95	298.79	0.6144
1998	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	287	309	-4.3	1.1	271.75	322.79	0.4051
1998	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	161	344	-12.3	-0.5	143.75	348.39	0.1215
1998	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	319	421	-1.5	-6.0	316.55	436.39	0.3122
1998	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	442	289	7.0	3.0	452.55	292.39	0.7637
1998	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	336	413	1.0	-2.4	356.55	378.79	0.4697
1998	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	305	359	-1.5	1.6	316.55	314.79	0.5120
1998	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	479	328	8.8	1.8	481.35	311.59	0.7660
1998	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	285	378	-2.3	0.0	303.75	340.39	0.4382
1997	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC Central	16	6	9	1	0.406	326	345	-0.4	-0.2	325.61	335.05	0.4824
1997	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	355	405	1.8	-4.0	360.81	395.85	0.4406
1997	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	394	318	4.4	1.0	402.41	315.85	0.6503
1997	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	372	307	2.7	2.6	375.21	290.25	0.6559
1997	Tennessee Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	333	310	-0.3	1.9	327.21	301.45	0.5508
1997	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	255	367	-4.0	-0.5	268.01	339.85	0.3587
1997	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	313	401	-0.6	-3.8	322.41	392.65	0.3771
1997	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	339	327	1.0	0.3	348.01	327.05	0.5393
1997	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	369	289	2.3	3.0	368.81	283.85	0.6581
1997	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	348	287	0.1	2.8	333.61	287.05	0.5919
1997	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	472	287	8.1	2.6	461.61	290.25	0.7686
1997	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	375	232	1.8	6.6	360.81	226.25	0.7570
1997	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	324	419	-0.1	-5.0	330.41	411.85	0.3621
1997	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	266	425	-4.1	-4.8	266.41	408.65	0.2545
1997	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	365	362	1.8	-1.7	360.81	359.05	0.5034
1997	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	263	421	-3.1	-5.3	282.41	416.65	0.2718
1997	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	379	306	3.0	0.9	380.01	317.45	0.6124
1997	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	13	3	0	0.813	422	282	5.3	2.4	416.81	293.45	0.7101
1997	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	354	359	1.7	-1.8	359.21	360.65	0.4978
1997	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	299	263	-2.4	5.1	293.61	250.25	0.5945
1997	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	283	379	-2.6	-3.8	290.41	392.65	0.3187
1997	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	304	314	-1.7	1.0	304.81	315.85	0.4784
1997	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	10	5	1	0.656	307	265	-1.8	3.3	303.21	279.05	0.5505
1997	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	6	9	1	0.406	317	372	-0.7	-2.3	320.81	368.65	0.4133
1997	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	8	7	1	0.531	327	289	-0.6	1.8	322.41	303.05	0.5385
1997	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	320	361	-1.2	-2.9	312.81	378.25	0.3824
1997	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	265	314	-4.4	0.8	261.61	319.05	0.3823
1997	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	237	327	-6.8	-0.6	223.21	341.45	0.2646
1997	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	375	265	2.4	2.7	370.41	288.65	0.6514
1997	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	299	359	-1.8	-2.2	303.21	367.05	0.3826
1996	Baltimore Ravens	rav	AFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	371	441	3.9	-6.8	389.18	435.63	0.4254
1996	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	372	369	2.5	-2.6	366.78	368.43	0.4964
1996	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	345	319	0.1	0.8	328.38	314.03	0.5271
1996	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	325	335	-1.6	0.1	301.18	325.23	0.4520
1996	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	344	257	0.0	5.1	326.78	245.23	0.6661
1996	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	319	266	-1.0	3.9	310.78	264.43	0.5958
1996	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	317	334	-1.8	0.2	297.98	323.63	0.4486
1996	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	339	325	0.6	-0.4	336.38	333.23	0.5052
1996	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	418	313	4.9	0.2	405.18	323.63	0.6395
1996	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	1	15	0	0.063	279	454	-2.5	-7.6	286.78	448.43	0.2400
1996	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	391	275	3.7	3.9	385.98	264.43	0.7190
1996	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	297	300	-0.7	2.5	315.58	286.83	0.5575
1996	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	340	293	0.3	2.1	331.58	293.23	0.5746
1996	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	310	376	0.4	-2.1	333.18	360.43	0.4497
1996	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	317	376	1.0	-2.6	342.78	368.43	0.4535
1996	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	283	305	-1.4	1.2	304.38	307.63	0.4928
1996	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	302	368	-0.4	-2.5	320.38	366.83	0.4146
1996	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	13	3	0	0.813	456	210	8.7	6.6	465.98	221.23	0.8673
1996	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	298	315	-0.9	0.7	312.38	315.63	0.4929
1996	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	221	293	-5.9	2.9	232.38	280.43	0.3906
1996	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	300	397	-1.7	-5.8	299.58	419.63	0.2964
1996	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	286	250	-2.9	5.3	280.38	242.03	0.5853
1996	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	242	297	-5.7	1.5	235.58	302.83	0.3542
1996	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	363	341	2.1	-1.6	360.38	352.43	0.5135
1996	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	364	312	2.3	-0.4	363.58	333.23	0.5544
1996	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	3	13	0	0.188	309	461	-0.2	-8.9	323.58	469.23	0.2736
1996	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	367	218	1.4	5.6	349.18	237.23	0.7183
1996	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	3	13	0	0.188	229	339	-7.1	-1.0	213.18	342.83	0.2417
1996	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	398	257	3.7	4.3	385.98	258.03	0.7307
1996	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	303	409	-1.7	-4.6	299.58	400.43	0.3231
1995	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	349	374	0.1	-1.9	345.35	374.04	0.4529
1995	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	289	356	-3.2	-0.6	292.55	353.24	0.3885
1995	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	348	324	-0.1	0.9	342.15	329.24	0.5279
1995	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	AFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	275	404	-4.4	-3.7	273.35	402.84	0.2774
1995	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	407	327	3.4	1.2	398.15	324.44	0.6318
1995	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	350	335	-0.5	-0.4	335.75	350.04	0.4774
1995	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	331	316	-1.7	0.4	316.55	337.24	0.4643
1995	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	398	332	3.1	-0.4	393.35	350.04	0.5783
1995	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	294	377	-2.8	-2.6	298.95	385.24	0.3489
1995	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	233	384	-7.9	-3.3	217.35	396.44	0.1896
1995	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	388	345	3.3	-0.2	396.55	346.84	0.5892
1995	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	358	241	0.8	6.9	356.55	233.24	0.7412
1995	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	348	332	1.1	1.0	361.35	327.64	0.5653
1995	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	321	323	-0.6	2.1	334.15	310.04	0.5502
1995	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	363	366	1.6	-2.2	369.35	378.84	0.4874
1995	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	392	360	3.1	-0.8	393.35	356.44	0.5670
1995	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	436	336	5.9	1.0	438.15	327.64	0.6839
1995	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	404	314	3.5	2.5	399.75	303.64	0.6717
1995	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	412	385	5.1	-1.4	425.35	366.04	0.6007
1995	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	238	335	-6.9	1.9	233.35	313.24	0.3348
1995	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	275	422	-3.5	-4.0	287.75	407.64	0.2963
1995	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	435	291	6.2	3.5	442.95	287.64	0.7554
1995	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	290	340	-2.6	1.1	302.15	326.04	0.4568
1995	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	318	338	-1.9	0.2	313.35	340.44	0.4522
1995	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	326	359	-0.8	-1.2	330.95	362.84	0.4457
1995	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	362	349	0.9	-0.9	358.15	358.04	0.5039
1995	Carolina Panthers	car	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	289	325	-4.1	0.3	278.15	338.84	0.3846
1995	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	319	348	-1.7	-0.4	316.55	350.04	0.4410
1995	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	457	258	6.5	5.3	447.75	258.84	0.8050
1995	St. Louis Rams	ram	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	309	418	-1.8	-4.6	314.95	417.24	0.3307
1994	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	276	406	-1.6	-5.4	298.56	410.45	0.3110
1994	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	340	204	1.2	6.1	343.36	226.45	0.7352
1994	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	226	352	-4.7	-2.6	248.96	365.65	0.2831
1994	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	316	234	-0.2	5.0	320.96	244.05	0.6625
1994	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	340	356	1.5	-1.8	348.16	352.85	0.4948
1994	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	307	320	-1.3	-0.2	303.36	327.25	0.4565
1994	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	389	327	4.5	-0.3	396.16	328.85	0.6203
1994	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	351	312	1.9	1.3	354.56	303.25	0.5997
1994	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	264	320	-3.7	1.5	264.96	300.05	0.4289
1994	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	347	396	1.3	-4.6	344.96	397.65	0.4127
1994	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	319	298	-1.3	2.1	303.36	290.45	0.5297
1994	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	303	327	-1.9	0.3	293.76	319.25	0.4523
1994	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	381	306	2.9	0.7	370.56	312.85	0.6085
1994	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	287	323	-2.8	-0.6	279.36	333.65	0.3959
1994	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	271	307	-3.2	1.3	272.96	303.25	0.4399
1994	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	357	342	2.8	-0.4	368.96	330.45	0.5728
1994	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	382	287	3.8	2.2	384.96	288.85	0.6764
1994	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	356	314	2.4	0.8	362.56	311.25	0.5980
1994	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	251	351	-5.4	-0.8	237.76	336.85	0.3043
1994	Arizona Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	235	267	-5.6	3.3	234.56	271.25	0.4189
1994	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	414	248	5.6	4.5	413.76	252.05	0.7793
1994	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	279	305	-2.7	1.0	280.96	308.05	0.4475
1994	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	308	308	-0.4	1.0	317.76	308.05	0.5224
1994	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	320	412	0.3	-6.4	328.96	426.45	0.3414
1994	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	317	385	-1.2	-3.1	304.96	373.65	0.3780
1994	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	286	365	-3.2	-2.1	272.96	357.65	0.3421
1994	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	348	407	1.0	-4.6	340.16	397.65	0.4042
1994	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	505	296	9.9	1.7	482.56	296.85	0.7834
1993	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	187	319	-7.4	-1.0	180.78	315.18	0.2164
1993	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	304	307	-0.6	-0.6	289.58	308.78	0.4625
1993	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	368	238	4.1	3.1	364.78	249.58	0.7193
1993	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	308	281	0.1	1.5	300.78	275.18	0.5552
1993	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	329	242	1.8	3.0	327.98	251.18	0.6578
1993	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	189	378	-6.2	-5.1	199.98	380.78	0.1750
1993	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	349	351	3.9	-4.3	361.58	367.98	0.4903
1993	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	238	286	-4.0	0.3	235.18	294.38	0.3716
1993	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	270	247	-2.1	2.9	265.58	252.78	0.5307
1993	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	373	284	4.6	0.4	372.78	292.78	0.6485
1993	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	328	291	1.9	1.0	329.58	283.18	0.5937
1993	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	306	326	1.1	-1.7	316.78	326.38	0.4830
1993	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	322	290	1.1	1.1	316.78	281.58	0.5730
1993	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	280	314	-0.8	-0.5	286.38	307.18	0.4589
1993	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	234	230	-4.6	4.3	225.58	230.38	0.4896
1993	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	298	292	-0.3	0.0	294.38	299.18	0.4917
1993	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	340	282	2.7	0.5	342.38	291.18	0.6006
1993	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	277	290	-1.3	1.2	278.38	279.98	0.4981
1993	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	237	376	-3.3	-4.3	246.38	367.98	0.2732
1993	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	376	229	4.9	4.7	377.58	223.98	0.7835
1993	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	288	205	-0.8	5.4	286.38	212.78	0.6684
1993	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	293	315	0.7	-0.3	310.38	303.98	0.5144
1993	Phoenix Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	326	269	1.9	2.1	329.58	265.58	0.6303
1993	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	230	345	-3.8	-2.7	238.38	342.38	0.2952
1993	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	316	385	0.8	-5.2	311.98	382.38	0.3755
1993	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	221	367	-5.0	-3.4	219.18	353.58	0.2411
1993	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	317	343	0.7	-2.1	310.38	332.78	0.4584
1993	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	473	295	9.9	-0.3	457.58	303.98	0.7443
1992	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	274	364	-0.9	-5.7	285.28	390.94	0.3152
1992	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	272	275	-2.0	1.0	267.68	283.74	0.4689
1992	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	352	258	3.0	2.6	347.68	258.14	0.6784
1992	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	299	225	-0.4	4.0	293.28	235.74	0.6303
1992	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	381	283	4.7	-0.4	374.88	306.14	0.6287
1992	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	216	302	-6.0	-1.0	203.68	315.74	0.2660
1992	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	340	281	2.1	-0.6	333.28	309.34	0.5499
1992	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	2	14	0	0.125	205	363	-6.5	-4.5	195.68	371.74	0.1792
1992	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	220	315	-6.0	-0.9	203.68	314.14	0.2685
1992	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	262	329	-1.4	-1.9	277.28	330.14	0.3984
1992	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	348	282	3.7	-0.2	358.88	302.94	0.6082
1992	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	249	281	-3.2	1.5	248.48	275.74	0.4425
1992	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	335	241	1.8	1.3	328.48	278.94	0.6026
1992	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	140	312	-9.8	-0.2	142.88	302.94	0.1572
1992	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	295	361	-0.2	-3.3	296.48	352.54	0.3975
1992	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	273	332	-0.7	-1.1	288.48	317.34	0.4456
1992	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	276	296	-2.6	1.0	258.08	283.74	0.4475
1992	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	374	249	4.4	3.3	370.08	246.94	0.7339
1992	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	267	365	-2.0	-3.9	267.68	362.14	0.3251
1992	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	409	243	6.4	3.5	402.08	243.74	0.7803
1992	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	306	367	1.6	-3.4	325.28	354.14	0.4504
1992	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	354	245	4.8	4.1	376.48	234.14	0.7661
1992	Phoenix Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	243	332	-2.9	-0.1	253.28	301.34	0.4011
1992	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	300	255	0.7	3.8	310.88	238.94	0.6561
1992	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	327	414	2.3	-6.4	336.48	402.14	0.3910
1992	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	313	383	1.1	-4.0	317.28	363.74	0.4184
1992	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	330	202	0.7	7.1	310.88	186.14	0.7717
1992	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	431	236	7.3	4.5	416.48	227.74	0.8215
1991	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	263	435	-1.8	-6.9	275.04	414.19	0.2645
1991	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	293	298	-0.7	0.4	292.64	297.39	0.4927
1991	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	386	251	4.9	3.4	382.24	249.39	0.7446
1991	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	292	344	-0.8	-2.2	291.04	338.99	0.4092
1991	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	458	318	7.6	-4.1	425.44	369.39	0.5939
1991	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	1	15	0	0.063	143	381	-11.5	-5.7	119.84	394.99	0.0594
1991	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	343	349	0.7	-4.8	315.04	380.59	0.3849
1991	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	211	305	-7.9	-0.8	177.44	316.59	0.2085
1991	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	314	293	-1.2	-1.2	284.64	322.99	0.4256
1991	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	304	235	0.3	3.1	308.64	254.19	0.6171
1991	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	322	252	1.8	4.5	332.64	231.79	0.7071
1991	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	298	297	0.3	1.1	308.64	286.19	0.5484
1991	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	274	342	-0.6	-1.7	294.24	330.99	0.4303
1991	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	276	261	-1.5	2.7	279.84	260.59	0.5448
1991	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	299	269	-1.2	2.0	284.64	271.79	0.5301
1991	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	339	295	0.9	0.0	318.24	303.79	0.5311
1991	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	273	313	-3.3	-1.4	251.04	326.19	0.3491
1991	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	301	306	-0.2	-1.8	300.64	332.59	0.4402
1991	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	199	365	-7.0	-4.2	191.84	370.99	0.1723
1991	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	342	310	3.7	0.8	363.04	290.99	0.6371
1991	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	281	297	-0.6	1.5	294.24	279.79	0.5329
1991	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	285	244	-0.3	5.0	299.04	223.79	0.6673
1991	Phoenix Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	196	344	-4.9	-0.5	225.44	311.79	0.3187
1991	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	485	224	11.7	4.9	491.04	225.39	0.8820
1991	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	361	338	4.7	-1.3	379.04	324.59	0.5998
1991	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	3	13	0	0.188	234	390	-2.6	-3.4	262.24	358.19	0.3193
1991	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	341	211	2.8	6.3	348.64	202.99	0.7874
1991	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	393	239	6.6	4.3	409.44	234.99	0.8016
1990	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	360	352	1.9	-3.0	352.42	369.91	0.4632
1990	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	228	462	-5.2	-7.8	238.82	446.71	0.1647
1990	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	405	307	4.9	0.3	400.42	317.11	0.6389
1990	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	292	240	-3.4	5.0	267.62	241.91	0.5532
1990	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	428	263	5.7	2.9	413.22	275.51	0.7301
1990	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	281	353	-2.7	-1.2	278.82	341.11	0.3725
1990	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	336	242	0.5	4.2	330.02	254.71	0.6465
1990	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	1	15	0	0.063	181	446	-7.5	-7.1	202.02	435.51	0.1236
1990	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	295	345	-2.0	-2.6	290.02	363.51	0.3569
1990	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	331	374	2.1	-2.9	355.62	368.31	0.4718
1990	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	369	257	2.7	4.1	365.22	256.31	0.6996
1990	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	337	268	2.2	4.4	357.22	251.51	0.6970
1990	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	315	281	-0.1	2.5	320.42	281.91	0.5719
1990	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	306	286	-0.5	3.3	314.02	269.11	0.5867
1990	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	348	280	0.1	3.3	323.62	269.11	0.6047
1990	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	373	413	4.2	-5.9	389.22	416.31	0.4501
1990	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	271	347	-3.7	-0.4	262.82	328.31	0.3619
1990	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	351	326	2.6	-0.2	363.62	325.11	0.5645
1990	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	264	367	-4.0	-3.2	258.02	373.11	0.2806
1990	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	244	308	-4.8	1.1	245.22	304.31	0.3679
1990	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	13	3	0	0.813	335	211	0.0	7.6	322.02	200.31	0.7484
1990	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	396	299	4.5	1.1	394.02	304.31	0.6524
1990	Phoenix Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	268	396	-1.9	-4.8	291.62	398.71	0.3060
1990	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	381	301	4.6	0.8	395.62	309.11	0.6461
1990	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	348	365	0.9	-3.1	336.42	371.51	0.4314
1990	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	345	412	2.3	-6.5	358.82	425.91	0.3841
1990	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	274	275	-4.7	3.4	246.82	267.51	0.4470
1990	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	353	239	1.2	4.6	341.22	248.31	0.6785
1989	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	404	285	4.6	2.4	403.26	291.43	0.6940
1989	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	9	6	1	0.594	334	254	-0.2	4.6	326.46	256.23	0.6420
1989	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	365	412	2.8	-5.3	374.46	414.63	0.4329
1989	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	265	326	-4.3	0.6	260.86	320.23	0.3773
1989	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	409	317	3.8	0.5	390.46	321.83	0.6199
1989	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	298	301	-2.7	2.2	286.46	294.63	0.4821
1989	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	331	379	-0.6	-4.2	320.06	397.03	0.3649
1989	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	297	391	-3.0	-4.0	281.66	393.83	0.2999
1989	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	253	411	-4.9	-5.2	251.26	413.03	0.2226
1989	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	362	226	3.7	5.7	388.86	238.63	0.7688
1989	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	8	7	1	0.531	318	286	-0.1	2.1	328.06	296.23	0.5618
1989	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	315	297	0.0	1.9	329.66	299.43	0.5583
1989	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	266	290	-2.9	2.1	283.26	296.23	0.4720
1989	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	241	327	-3.6	0.8	272.06	317.03	0.4071
1989	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	358	377	1.8	-1.8	358.46	358.63	0.4988
1989	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	312	364	-1.7	-1.8	302.46	358.63	0.3941
1989	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	362	356	1.0	-2.0	345.66	361.83	0.4701
1989	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	351	275	0.2	4.1	332.86	264.23	0.6364
1989	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	320	419	-0.4	-4.7	323.26	405.03	0.3585
1989	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	1	15	0	0.063	204	393	-7.6	-2.8	208.06	374.63	0.1927
1989	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	348	252	1.9	4.6	360.06	256.23	0.6970
1989	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	342	274	1.9	3.2	360.06	278.63	0.6531
1989	Phoenix Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	258	377	-4.0	-3.1	265.66	379.43	0.2909
1989	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	386	308	3.8	0.2	390.46	326.63	0.6112
1989	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	3	13	0	0.188	279	437	-3.2	-5.9	278.46	424.23	0.2545
1989	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	426	344	5.7	-1.1	420.86	347.43	0.6211
1989	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	386	301	2.3	2.2	366.46	294.63	0.6324
1989	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	14	2	0	0.875	442	253	5.8	4.9	422.46	251.43	0.7858
1988	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	448	329	7.1	-1.0	437.65	339.99	0.6622
1988	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	304	288	-3.5	4.0	268.05	259.99	0.5215
1988	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	424	365	5.3	-2.3	408.85	360.79	0.5840
1988	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	336	421	0.1	-5.5	325.65	411.99	0.3567
1988	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	329	237	0.0	6.4	324.05	221.59	0.7159
1988	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	354	315	2.9	0.3	370.45	319.19	0.5965
1988	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	319	380	1.0	-3.9	340.05	386.39	0.4223
1988	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	250	284	-4.5	4.4	252.05	253.59	0.4999
1988	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	7	1	0.531	372	354	3.7	-2.4	383.25	362.39	0.5395
1988	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	327	352	0.1	-3.4	325.65	378.39	0.4092
1988	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	4	11	1	0.281	254	320	-6.0	0.3	228.05	319.19	0.3128
1988	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	325	369	-0.3	-3.3	319.25	376.79	0.3999
1988	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	231	332	-7.1	-0.2	210.45	327.19	0.2627
1988	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	339	329	1.2	-2.0	343.25	355.99	0.4803
1988	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	312	215	0.0	6.6	324.05	218.39	0.7227
1988	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	220	313	-5.0	1.0	244.05	307.99	0.3677
1988	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	240	315	-3.9	0.6	261.65	314.39	0.3942
1988	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	406	233	6.5	4.3	428.05	255.19	0.7902
1988	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	261	350	-1.9	-2.2	293.65	359.19	0.3803
1988	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	265	381	-3.8	-2.3	263.25	360.79	0.3182
1988	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	359	304	1.5	0.7	348.05	312.79	0.5699
1988	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	379	319	2.3	1.1	360.85	306.39	0.6046
1988	Phoenix Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	344	398	0.5	-3.7	332.05	383.19	0.4131
1988	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	345	387	1.2	-3.4	343.25	378.39	0.4414
1988	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	244	315	-5.0	0.5	244.05	315.99	0.3531
1988	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	407	293	5.6	0.9	413.65	309.59	0.6808
1988	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	312	283	-1.0	2.6	308.05	282.39	0.5562
1988	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	369	294	3.1	1.7	373.65	296.79	0.6442
1987	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	15	4	11	0	0.267	285	370	-1.8	-1.9	296.96	352.52	0.3952
1987	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	15	10	5	0	0.667	390	239	5.4	5.6	404.96	240.02	0.7916
1987	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	15	9	6	0	0.600	345	349	3.3	-1.1	373.46	340.52	0.5616
1987	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	15	8	7	0	0.533	285	299	-2.1	3.0	292.46	279.02	0.5309
1987	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	15	7	8	0	0.467	270	305	-2.7	2.3	283.46	289.52	0.4891
1987	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	15	9	6	0	0.600	300	238	-1.3	5.4	304.46	243.02	0.6356
1987	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	15	8	7	0	0.533	362	335	3.2	-1.1	371.96	340.52	0.5590
1987	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	15	8	7	0	0.533	320	293	0.4	2.5	329.96	286.52	0.5894
1987	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	15	6	9	0	0.400	334	360	1.2	-2.8	341.96	366.02	0.4582
1987	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	15	10	4	1	0.700	379	288	3.1	0.8	370.46	312.02	0.6103
1987	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	15	4	11	0	0.267	273	388	-3.2	-4.7	275.96	394.52	0.2886
1987	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	15	5	10	0	0.333	301	289	-1.8	1.6	296.96	300.02	0.4957
1987	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	15	8	7	0	0.533	253	317	-4.2	0.6	260.96	315.02	0.3884
1987	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	15	9	6	0	0.600	371	314	2.3	-0.5	358.46	331.52	0.5521
1987	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	15	11	4	0	0.733	356	282	1.4	2.2	344.96	291.02	0.6076
1987	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	15	4	11	0	0.267	269	384	-4.5	-5.3	256.46	403.52	0.2421
1987	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	15	5	9	1	0.367	255	300	-5.4	1.8	242.96	297.02	0.3829
1987	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	15	8	7	0	0.533	336	335	-0.2	-2.6	320.96	363.02	0.4238
1987	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	15	4	11	0	0.267	286	360	-3.0	-2.6	278.96	363.02	0.3417
1987	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	15	7	8	0	0.467	340	348	-0.2	-1.7	320.96	349.52	0.4479
1987	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	15	6	9	0	0.400	280	312	-2.9	2.1	280.46	292.52	0.4763
1987	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	15	7	8	0	0.467	337	380	1.2	-3.4	341.96	375.02	0.4425
1987	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	15	7	8	0	0.467	362	368	2.3	-3.0	358.46	369.02	0.4832
1987	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	15	11	4	0	0.733	379	285	1.9	2.0	352.46	294.02	0.6147
1987	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	15	3	12	0	0.200	205	436	-7.9	-5.9	205.46	412.52	0.1509
1987	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	15	6	9	0	0.400	317	361	-0.5	-1.1	316.46	340.52	0.4557
1987	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	15	12	3	0	0.800	422	283	6.9	3.4	427.46	273.02	0.7628
1987	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	15	13	2	0	0.867	459	253	9.1	4.5	460.46	256.52	0.8223
1986	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	409	394	5.7	-4.2	419.46	395.46	0.5357
1986	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	391	310	2.9	0.7	374.66	317.06	0.6011
1986	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	274	329	-4.4	0.4	257.86	321.86	0.3658
1986	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	307	336	-1.3	0.3	307.46	323.46	0.4657
1986	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	287	348	-5.0	-0.8	248.26	341.06	0.3129
1986	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	3	13	0	0.188	229	400	-6.6	-3.8	222.66	389.06	0.1995
1986	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	430	405	6.2	-5.7	427.46	419.46	0.5096
1986	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	412	307	4.4	1.3	398.66	307.46	0.6565
1986	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	364	386	2.0	-3.3	360.26	381.06	0.4609
1986	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	378	327	3.4	1.8	382.66	299.46	0.6469
1986	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	358	326	1.2	-0.1	347.46	329.86	0.5297
1986	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	323	346	0.0	0.2	328.26	325.06	0.5031
1986	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	335	396	1.2	-3.1	347.46	377.86	0.4435
1986	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	366	293	2.4	4.0	366.66	264.26	0.6892
1986	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	14	2	0	0.875	352	187	-0.1	7.7	326.66	205.06	0.7481
1986	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	277	326	-3.8	-0.5	267.46	336.26	0.3605
1986	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	254	418	-4.0	-5.6	264.26	417.86	0.2364
1986	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	398	273	4.0	2.5	392.26	288.26	0.6820
1986	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	239	473	-4.6	-10.8	254.66	501.06	0.1449
1986	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	346	337	3.0	-0.9	376.26	342.66	0.5565
1986	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	371	236	3.2	5.8	379.46	235.46	0.7608
1986	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	5	10	1	0.344	256	312	-2.9	1.4	281.86	305.86	0.4475
1986	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	4	11	1	0.281	218	351	-6.5	-1.6	224.26	353.86	0.2459
1986	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	368	296	3.5	2.1	384.26	294.66	0.6583
1986	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	7	8	1	0.469	280	280	-2.8	2.3	283.46	291.46	0.4802
1986	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	309	267	-1.1	2.9	310.66	281.86	0.5560
1986	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	288	287	-2.5	2.5	288.26	288.26	0.4970
1986	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	5	1	0.656	374	247	2.6	4.4	369.86	257.86	0.7062
1985	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	441	437	6.2	-6.9	443.61	454.92	0.4848
1985	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	287	294	-4.7	3.4	269.21	290.12	0.4570
1985	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	284	412	-4.9	-4.0	266.01	408.52	0.2554
1985	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	379	355	0.6	-1.1	354.01	362.12	0.4873
1985	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	2	14	0	0.125	200	381	-9.5	-0.2	192.41	347.72	0.1981
1985	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	320	386	-0.3	-2.4	339.61	382.92	0.4256
1985	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	428	320	6.1	0.9	442.01	330.12	0.6829
1985	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	362	290	2.0	3.8	376.41	283.72	0.6716
1985	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	393	264	3.8	5.2	405.21	261.32	0.7521
1985	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	380	329	1.8	1.9	373.21	314.12	0.6090
1985	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	317	360	-2.0	0.4	312.41	338.12	0.4526
1985	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	354	308	0.7	3.7	355.61	285.32	0.6352
1985	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	467	435	8.3	-7.2	477.21	459.72	0.5272
1985	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	349	303	0.3	4.1	349.21	278.92	0.6372
1985	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	15	1	0	0.938	456	198	6.5	9.4	448.41	194.12	0.8908
1985	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	307	366	-1.6	0.0	318.81	344.52	0.4534
1985	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	337	355	0.1	0.1	346.01	342.92	0.5074
1985	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	346	359	0.1	-1.3	346.01	365.32	0.4672
1985	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	294	448	-1.9	-5.5	314.01	432.52	0.3063
1985	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	357	333	0.6	-0.3	354.01	349.32	0.5103
1985	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	399	283	2.1	1.8	378.01	315.72	0.6139
1985	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	286	310	-4.8	1.3	267.61	323.72	0.3879
1985	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	278	414	-4.5	-5.6	272.41	434.12	0.2358
1985	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	297	312	-3.4	1.5	290.01	320.52	0.4407
1985	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	282	452	-2.1	-6.8	310.81	453.32	0.2748
1985	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	340	277	-1.0	3.6	328.41	286.92	0.5841
1985	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	5	11	0	0.313	294	401	-3.0	-3.9	296.41	406.92	0.3106
1985	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	411	263	4.6	4.2	418.01	277.32	0.7406
1984	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	339	339	-0.1	-1.0	337.70	355.36	0.4676
1984	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	250	297	-6.1	2.3	241.70	302.56	0.3689
1984	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	240	437	-5.9	-6.0	244.90	435.36	0.1897
1984	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	387	310	2.4	0.9	377.70	324.96	0.5942
1984	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	2	14	0	0.125	250	454	-5.3	-6.7	254.50	446.56	0.1932
1984	Indianapolis Colts	clt	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	239	414	-7.4	-3.7	220.90	398.56	0.1892
1984	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	513	298	9.1	1.5	484.90	315.36	0.7554
1984	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	362	352	1.0	-1.1	355.30	356.96	0.4968
1984	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	332	364	-1.8	-2.7	310.50	382.56	0.3706
1984	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	353	241	1.0	6.7	355.30	232.16	0.7376
1984	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	314	324	-0.8	1.6	326.50	313.76	0.5245
1984	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	368	278	2.1	4.8	372.90	262.56	0.7045
1984	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	394	413	4.8	-4.0	416.10	403.36	0.5203
1984	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	418	282	5.4	3.5	425.70	283.36	0.7380
1984	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	325	248	-1.7	6.4	312.10	236.96	0.6587
1984	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	4	11	1	0.281	283	408	-2.9	-3.4	292.90	393.76	0.3211
1984	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	390	309	2.9	2.1	385.70	305.76	0.6427
1984	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	3	13	0	0.188	276	484	-2.7	-8.2	296.10	470.56	0.2308
1984	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	335	380	-0.2	-3.4	336.10	393.76	0.3996
1984	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	308	308	-1.4	2.4	316.90	300.96	0.5315
1984	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	299	301	-2.2	3.1	304.10	289.76	0.5292
1984	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	6	9	1	0.406	278	320	-4.3	1.9	270.50	308.96	0.4199
1984	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	423	345	6.2	-0.9	438.50	353.76	0.6367
1984	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	426	310	5.0	1.3	419.30	318.56	0.6695
1984	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	281	382	-3.7	-2.9	280.10	385.76	0.3092
1984	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	346	316	1.0	1.3	355.30	318.56	0.5680
1984	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	298	361	-1.7	-1.2	312.10	358.56	0.4135
1984	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	15	1	0	0.938	475	227	7.4	5.4	457.70	252.96	0.8190
1983	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	346	302	-1.2	1.7	330.11	322.11	0.5211
1983	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	356	342	-0.9	-1.3	334.91	370.11	0.4426
1983	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	288	460	-3.7	-7.9	290.11	475.71	0.2227
1983	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	355	303	-1.2	1.1	330.11	331.71	0.5028
1983	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	264	354	-4.1	-2.7	283.71	392.51	0.3122
1983	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	283	351	-3.4	-0.4	294.91	355.71	0.3911
1983	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	389	250	2.6	5.2	390.91	266.11	0.7292
1983	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	274	289	-4.7	3.7	274.11	290.11	0.4717
1983	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	313	331	-1.9	0.7	318.91	338.11	0.4694
1983	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	302	327	-4.1	1.3	283.71	328.51	0.4167
1983	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	386	367	1.7	0.3	376.51	344.51	0.5624
1983	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	442	338	5.1	1.7	430.91	322.11	0.6855
1983	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	358	462	1.1	-5.7	366.91	440.51	0.3879
1983	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	403	397	3.4	-2.0	403.71	381.31	0.5430
1983	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	311	301	-2.5	1.5	309.31	325.31	0.4746
1983	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	347	286	-1.2	3.3	330.11	296.51	0.5717
1983	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	429	439	5.2	-7.1	432.51	462.91	0.4601
1983	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	316	348	-2.9	-0.1	302.91	350.91	0.4150
1983	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	241	380	-7.5	-1.6	229.31	374.91	0.2366
1983	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	479	360	8.6	-0.1	486.91	350.91	0.7104
1983	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	3	12	1	0.219	267	347	-5.5	3.4	261.31	294.91	0.4338
1983	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	233	322	-6.7	3.6	242.11	291.71	0.3969
1983	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	8	7	1	0.531	374	428	2.5	-3.6	389.31	406.91	0.4769
1983	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	14	2	0	0.875	541	332	11.7	2.2	536.51	314.11	0.8121
1983	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	370	389	2.9	-2.1	395.71	382.91	0.5272
1983	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	361	344	2.0	0.9	381.31	334.91	0.5879
1983	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	319	337	-1.1	1.1	331.71	331.71	0.5058
1983	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	432	293	5.7	3.0	440.51	301.31	0.7326
1982	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	9	7	2	0	0.778	232	177	3.6	0.3	213.86	178.76	0.6166
1982	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	9	4	5	0	0.444	140	182	-4.9	1.6	137.36	167.06	0.3903
1982	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	9	1	8	0	0.111	136	245	-4.0	-7.2	145.46	246.26	0.2132
1982	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	9	6	3	0	0.667	204	146	3.5	1.9	212.96	164.36	0.6620
1982	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	9	0	8	1	0.056	113	236	-6.0	-2.6	127.46	204.86	0.2443
1982	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	9	4	5	0	0.444	150	154	-1.9	3.4	164.36	150.86	0.5561
1982	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	9	7	2	0	0.778	198	131	2.7	5.8	205.76	129.26	0.7614
1982	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	9	5	4	0	0.556	143	157	-3.5	1.4	149.96	168.86	0.4338
1982	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	9	6	3	0	0.667	245	166	8.9	1.8	261.56	165.26	0.7714
1982	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	9	2	7	0	0.222	148	226	-6.1	-3.8	126.56	215.66	0.2178
1982	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	9	3	6	0	0.333	176	184	-1.8	1.7	165.26	166.16	0.5015
1982	Los Angeles Raiders	rai	AFC West	9	8	1	0	0.889	260	200	6.1	-0.8	236.36	188.66	0.6466
1982	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	9	6	3	0	0.667	288	221	10.7	-5.2	277.76	228.26	0.6343
1982	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	9	4	5	0	0.444	127	147	-7.5	2.0	113.96	163.46	0.3063
1982	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	9	3	6	0	0.333	141	174	-4.1	-1.2	144.56	192.26	0.3374
1982	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	9	4	5	0	0.444	181	176	-0.4	1.6	177.86	167.06	0.5432
1982	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	9	5	3	1	0.611	226	169	4.7	1.6	223.76	167.06	0.6819
1982	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	9	5	4	0	0.556	187	198	2.1	-1.0	200.36	190.46	0.5369
1982	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	9	5	4	0	0.556	158	178	-0.5	1.2	176.96	170.66	0.5271
1982	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	9	6	3	0	0.667	226	145	5.1	2.9	227.36	155.36	0.7279
1982	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	9	4	5	0	0.444	164	160	-2.1	2.8	162.56	156.26	0.5286
1982	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	9	3	6	0	0.333	191	195	2.6	-2.1	204.86	200.36	0.5190
1982	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	9	5	4	0	0.556	135	170	-4.1	1.4	144.56	168.86	0.4127
1982	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	9	8	1	0	0.889	190	128	2.2	5.1	201.26	135.56	0.7290
1982	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	9	5	4	0	0.556	183	199	-0.6	-3.4	176.06	212.06	0.3893
1982	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	9	2	7	0	0.222	200	250	0.8	-8.0	188.66	253.46	0.3210
1982	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	9	4	5	0	0.444	129	160	-5.8	1.8	129.26	165.26	0.3636
1982	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	9	3	6	0	0.333	209	206	0.2	-2.9	183.26	207.56	0.4266
1981	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	421	304	4.5	1.0	402.73	314.79	0.6482
1981	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	276	375	-4.1	-2.4	265.13	369.19	0.3016
1981	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	281	355	-3.1	-1.6	281.13	356.39	0.3529
1981	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	356	297	1.2	1.5	349.93	306.79	0.5774
1981	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	16	2	14	0	0.125	259	533	-3.8	-12.0	269.93	522.79	0.1464
1981	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	311	276	-2.5	3.9	290.73	268.39	0.5438
1981	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	11	4	1	0.719	345	275	0.1	2.8	332.33	285.99	0.5873
1981	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	2	14	0	0.125	322	370	-0.6	-3.1	321.13	380.39	0.3900
1981	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	10	5	1	0.656	355	287	0.2	1.7	333.93	303.59	0.5547
1981	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	321	289	-1.6	2.9	305.13	284.39	0.5386
1981	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	343	290	0.4	2.8	337.13	285.99	0.5960
1981	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	273	343	-3.6	0.0	273.13	330.79	0.3808
1981	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	478	390	9.2	-4.7	477.93	405.99	0.6039
1981	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	322	388	-0.1	-3.2	329.13	381.99	0.4021
1981	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	253	324	-4.4	1.5	260.33	306.79	0.3982
1981	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	397	322	4.8	0.5	407.53	322.79	0.6411
1981	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	324	361	0.7	-2.3	341.93	367.59	0.4500
1981	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	325	369	0.0	-2.1	330.73	364.39	0.4348
1981	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	315	268	-1.4	4.4	308.33	260.39	0.5964
1981	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	367	277	2.9	3.2	377.13	279.59	0.6746
1981	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	295	257	-2.2	5.5	295.53	242.79	0.6108
1981	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	368	221	2.0	6.7	362.73	223.59	0.7601
1981	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	315	408	0.1	-4.8	332.33	407.59	0.3675
1981	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	347	349	2.2	-1.2	365.93	349.99	0.5243
1981	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	426	355	6.5	-2.6	434.73	372.39	0.5963
1981	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	303	351	-1.4	-1.0	308.33	346.79	0.4230
1981	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	207	378	-7.2	-2.3	215.53	367.59	0.2108
1981	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	13	3	0	0.813	357	250	1.3	4.9	351.53	252.39	0.6883
1980	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	6	10	0	0.375	244	312	-4.5	0.8	255.61	314.81	0.3766
1980	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	357	310	1.7	0.1	354.81	326.01	0.5529
1980	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	295	251	-2.7	4.4	284.41	257.21	0.5593
1980	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	352	313	2.4	-0.1	366.01	329.21	0.5665
1980	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	355	387	2.8	-4.3	372.41	396.41	0.4593
1980	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	320	260	-1.6	5.5	302.01	239.61	0.6342
1980	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	266	305	-4.6	3.1	254.01	278.01	0.4464
1980	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	441	325	6.8	-0.3	436.41	332.41	0.6695
1980	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	302	395	-1.5	-3.6	303.61	385.21	0.3536
1980	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	310	323	-1.1	1.6	310.01	302.01	0.5158
1980	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	319	336	-0.8	0.3	314.81	322.81	0.4842
1980	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	364	306	2.9	1.3	374.01	306.81	0.6221
1980	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	418	327	6.5	-0.4	431.61	334.01	0.6602
1980	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	291	408	-1.6	-3.7	302.01	386.81	0.3482
1980	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	304	264	-1.2	2.6	308.41	286.01	0.5456
1980	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	334	272	-0.8	2.5	314.81	287.61	0.5548
1980	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	5	10	1	0.344	231	371	-5.8	-3.2	234.81	378.81	0.2356
1980	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	317	308	0.0	-0.3	327.61	332.41	0.4906
1980	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	5	10	1	0.344	271	341	-3.5	-1.6	271.61	353.21	0.3431
1980	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	454	311	7.8	0.1	452.41	326.01	0.7011
1980	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	4	12	0	0.250	249	425	-4.3	-5.5	258.81	415.61	0.2327
1980	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	384	222	2.9	6.8	374.01	218.81	0.7866
1980	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	299	350	-1.7	-0.7	300.41	338.81	0.4256
1980	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	261	293	-4.4	3.3	257.21	274.81	0.4606
1980	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	405	272	4.5	3.4	399.61	273.21	0.7221
1980	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	11	5	0	0.688	424	289	4.4	2.1	398.01	294.01	0.6826
1980	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	1	15	0	0.063	291	487	-1.1	-9.4	310.01	478.01	0.2435
1980	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	320	415	-1.2	-5.1	308.41	409.21	0.3266
1979	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	337	421	3.1	-4.4	370.75	391.32	0.4667
1979	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	9	7	0	0.563	359	352	2.9	0.1	367.55	319.32	0.5896
1979	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	11	5	0	0.688	362	331	2.9	1.4	367.55	298.52	0.6292
1979	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	12	4	0	0.750	416	262	6.8	5.1	429.95	239.32	0.8149
1979	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	271	351	-2.0	-1.5	289.15	344.92	0.3941
1979	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	7	9	0	0.438	268	279	-3.3	3.1	268.35	271.32	0.4951
1979	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	341	257	0.3	4.0	325.95	256.92	0.6422
1979	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	411	326	6.1	-1.1	418.75	338.52	0.6359
1979	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	337	383	1.1	-4.0	338.75	384.92	0.4206
1979	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	289	262	-1.6	5.7	295.55	229.72	0.6464
1979	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	238	262	-4.0	5.4	257.15	234.52	0.5550
1979	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	365	337	3.8	0.0	381.95	320.92	0.6105
1979	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	411	246	6.0	5.7	417.15	229.72	0.8170
1979	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	378	372	4.9	-2.3	399.55	357.72	0.5727
1979	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	306	249	-2.2	2.1	285.95	287.32	0.4988
1979	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	2	14	0	0.125	219	365	-6.6	-4.4	215.55	391.32	0.1899
1979	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	246	316	-5.3	-1.5	236.35	344.92	0.2873
1979	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	259	337	-4.5	-3.1	249.15	370.52	0.2750
1979	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	273	237	-4.6	1.8	247.55	292.12	0.4044
1979	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	371	313	3.0	0.3	369.15	316.12	0.5983
1979	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	237	323	-5.4	-0.8	234.75	333.72	0.3014
1979	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	339	282	0.3	2.4	325.95	282.52	0.5884
1979	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	307	358	-0.7	-2.0	309.95	352.92	0.4211
1979	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	10	6	0	0.625	348	295	0.9	1.5	335.55	296.92	0.5768
1979	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	6	10	0	0.375	300	388	-1.9	-4.7	290.75	396.12	0.3157
1979	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	323	309	-1.2	0.6	301.95	311.32	0.4829
1979	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	8	8	0	0.500	370	360	2.3	-3.5	357.95	376.92	0.4685
1979	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	308	416	-1.3	-6.1	300.35	418.52	0.3015
1978	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	16	4	12	0	0.250	252	284	-2.7	1.3	250.06	272.52	0.4499
1978	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	16	8	8	0	0.500	334	356	2.5	-4.5	333.26	365.32	0.4425
1978	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	16	10	6	0	0.625	283	298	-0.6	0.2	283.66	290.12	0.4869
1978	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	16	14	2	0	0.875	356	195	2.6	5.6	334.86	203.72	0.7660
1978	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	239	421	-2.8	-6.0	248.46	389.32	0.2476
1978	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	16	5	11	0	0.313	302	354	-0.1	-3.2	291.66	344.52	0.3987
1978	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	372	254	4.2	3.3	360.46	240.52	0.7295
1978	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	16	11	5	0	0.688	358	286	3.6	1.4	350.86	270.92	0.6547
1978	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	359	364	4.4	-3.3	363.66	346.12	0.5320
1978	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	16	10	6	0	0.625	282	198	-1.9	6.9	262.86	182.92	0.6955
1978	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	16	4	12	0	0.250	243	327	-3.0	-1.4	245.26	315.72	0.3533
1978	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	311	283	1.6	1.1	318.86	275.72	0.5882
1978	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	355	309	4.6	-0.9	366.86	307.72	0.6093
1978	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	345	358	3.4	-3.7	347.66	352.52	0.4917
1978	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	253	274	-2.7	0.3	250.06	288.52	0.4162
1978	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	16	7	9	0	0.438	290	300	-0.1	-1.7	291.66	320.52	0.4429
1978	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	16	8	7	1	0.531	249	269	-2.2	1.6	258.06	267.72	0.4788
1978	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	16	8	7	1	0.531	294	306	1.0	-1.1	309.26	310.92	0.4972
1978	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	16	5	11	0	0.313	241	259	-4.1	0.8	227.66	280.52	0.3805
1978	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	16	12	4	0	0.750	384	208	5.8	5.2	386.06	210.12	0.8158
1978	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	264	298	-1.1	-1.3	275.66	314.12	0.4217
1978	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	16	9	7	0	0.563	270	250	-1.1	3.4	275.66	238.92	0.5839
1978	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	16	6	10	0	0.375	248	296	-2.6	0.0	251.66	293.32	0.4101
1978	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	16	8	8	0	0.500	273	283	-1.1	0.7	275.66	282.12	0.4866
1978	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	16	9	7	0	0.563	240	290	-3.7	-0.9	234.06	307.72	0.3430
1978	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	16	12	4	0	0.750	316	245	1.3	1.9	314.06	262.92	0.6065
1978	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	16	7	9	0	0.438	281	298	-0.5	-1.2	285.26	312.52	0.4450
1978	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	16	2	14	0	0.125	219	350	-4.6	-4.5	219.66	365.32	0.2257
1977	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	8	6	0	0.571	238	235	0.6	1.6	248.86	218.06	0.5811
1977	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	269	267	2.4	0.1	274.06	239.06	0.5856
1977	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	8	6	0	0.571	299	230	4.4	2.3	302.06	208.26	0.7148
1977	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	9	5	0	0.643	283	243	3.9	2.3	295.06	208.26	0.7023
1977	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	295	221	3.6	1.5	290.86	219.46	0.6679
1977	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	160	313	-4.3	-3.7	180.26	292.26	0.2437
1977	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	313	197	4.4	3.5	302.06	191.46	0.7531
1977	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	9	5	0	0.643	278	217	2.5	1.5	275.46	219.46	0.6369
1977	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	191	300	-3.8	-2.0	187.26	268.46	0.3027
1977	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	12	2	0	0.857	274	148	1.9	9.4	267.06	108.86	0.8862
1977	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	2	12	0	0.143	225	349	0.9	-5.8	253.06	321.66	0.3578
1977	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	11	3	0	0.786	351	230	8.8	1.6	363.66	218.06	0.7861
1977	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	7	7	0	0.500	222	205	-1.4	5.2	220.86	167.66	0.6548
1977	Seattle Seahawks	sea	AFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	282	373	4.2	-8.6	299.26	360.86	0.3846
1977	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	9	5	0	0.643	255	253	0.0	-3.6	240.46	290.86	0.3888
1977	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	183	252	-4.4	-3.0	178.86	282.46	0.2565
1977	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	4	10	0	0.286	134	219	-9.1	0.4	113.06	234.86	0.1693
1977	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	9	5	0	0.643	231	227	-1.0	-0.6	226.46	248.86	0.4473
1977	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	NFC Central	14	2	12	0	0.143	103	223	-11.1	0.3	85.06	236.26	0.1020
1977	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	12	2	0	0.857	345	212	7.6	0.2	346.86	237.66	0.7242
1977	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	5	9	0	0.357	181	265	-4.0	-2.2	184.46	271.26	0.2903
1977	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	5	9	0	0.357	220	207	-2.5	1.9	205.46	213.86	0.4802
1977	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	7	7	0	0.500	272	287	2.6	-4.0	276.86	296.46	0.4607
1977	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	9	5	0	0.643	196	189	-3.1	2.6	197.06	204.06	0.4834
1977	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	7	7	0	0.500	179	129	-6.1	6.6	155.06	148.06	0.5279
1977	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	10	4	0	0.714	302	146	3.8	4.6	293.66	176.06	0.7748
1977	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	3	11	0	0.214	232	336	0.3	-9.4	244.66	372.06	0.2595
1977	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	220	260	-1.1	-2.7	225.06	278.26	0.3778
1976	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	335	210	5.0	5.1	338.14	196.69	0.7840
1976	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	9	5	0	0.643	267	287	0.7	-2.4	277.94	301.69	0.4419
1976	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	5	9	0	0.357	222	273	-2.7	1.0	230.34	254.09	0.4346
1976	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	342	138	5.7	9.6	347.94	133.69	0.9010
1976	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	417	246	9.3	0.4	398.34	262.49	0.7394
1976	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	2	12	0	0.143	245	363	-2.5	-6.7	233.14	361.89	0.2413
1976	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	6	8	0	0.429	263	264	-1.8	1.7	242.94	244.29	0.4898
1976	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	376	236	6.5	2.2	359.14	237.29	0.7330
1976	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	169	383	-7.1	-6.8	168.74	363.29	0.1254
1976	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	9	5	0	0.643	315	206	2.5	4.4	303.14	206.49	0.7105
1976	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	290	376	2.2	-6.9	298.94	364.69	0.3672
1976	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	13	1	0	0.929	350	237	6.3	2.2	356.34	237.29	0.7289
1976	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	6	8	0	0.429	248	285	-1.7	0.5	244.34	261.09	0.4531
1976	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	AFC West	14	0	14	0	0.000	125	412	-10.8	-8.8	116.94	391.29	0.0439
1976	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	253	216	0.3	4.2	272.34	209.29	0.6456
1976	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	262	220	-0.6	3.4	259.74	220.49	0.5898
1976	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	5	9	0	0.357	218	299	-2.5	-2.0	233.14	296.09	0.3508
1976	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	11	2	1	0.821	305	176	3.7	5.7	319.94	188.29	0.7765
1976	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	296	194	0.5	4.0	275.14	212.09	0.6444
1976	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	170	250	-5.5	2.1	191.14	238.69	0.3667
1976	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	4	10	0	0.286	165	286	-7.3	-1.4	165.94	287.69	0.2077
1976	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	309	267	3.5	-1.0	317.14	282.09	0.5665
1976	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	291	217	1.2	1.8	284.94	242.89	0.5896
1976	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	4	10	0	0.286	172	312	-6.7	-3.5	174.34	317.09	0.1849
1976	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	10	3	1	0.750	351	190	5.9	4.5	350.74	205.09	0.7840
1976	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	4	10	0	0.286	253	346	-0.6	-5.5	259.74	345.09	0.3207
1976	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	8	6	0	0.571	270	190	-1.3	5.0	249.94	198.09	0.6264
1976	Seattle Seahawks	sea	NFC West	14	2	12	0	0.143	229	429	-2.2	-12.9	237.34	448.69	0.1525
1975	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	11	3	0	0.786	340	246	4.0	2.9	344.27	247.56	0.6979
1975	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	3	11	0	0.214	218	372	-2.6	-4.2	251.87	346.96	0.3097
1975	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	293	226	1.2	5.2	305.07	215.36	0.7019
1975	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	12	2	0	0.857	373	162	5.4	8.8	363.87	164.96	0.8755
1975	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	395	269	6.3	2.2	376.47	257.36	0.7274
1975	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	8	6	0	0.571	420	355	10.4	-3.4	433.87	335.76	0.6671
1975	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	357	222	3.3	6.0	334.47	204.16	0.7725
1975	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	258	358	-2.3	-2.0	256.07	316.16	0.3729
1975	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	258	433	-1.2	-7.1	271.47	387.56	0.2864
1975	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	6	8	0	0.429	254	307	-2.7	-0.7	250.47	297.96	0.3959
1975	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	282	341	-0.6	-3.7	279.87	339.96	0.3801
1975	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	11	3	0	0.786	375	255	5.5	1.3	365.27	269.96	0.6860
1975	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	2	12	0	0.143	189	345	-6.0	-3.4	204.27	335.76	0.2289
1975	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	4	10	0	0.286	191	379	-4.9	-6.6	219.67	380.56	0.2012
1975	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	245	262	-3.2	1.3	243.47	269.96	0.4391
1975	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	4	10	0	0.286	226	285	-3.3	-0.9	242.07	300.76	0.3708
1975	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	12	2	0	0.857	377	180	3.5	5.4	337.27	212.56	0.7594
1975	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	350	268	4.0	0.1	344.27	286.76	0.6163
1975	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	5	9	0	0.357	216	306	-6.2	-0.6	201.47	296.56	0.2839
1975	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	4	10	0	0.286	225	302	-4.0	-0.6	232.27	296.56	0.3562
1975	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	356	276	3.4	0.1	335.87	286.76	0.6009
1975	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	8	6	0	0.571	325	276	2.6	0.2	324.67	285.36	0.5826
1975	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	4	10	0	0.286	240	289	-2.7	-0.8	250.47	299.36	0.3930
1975	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	12	2	0	0.857	312	135	0.5	8.7	295.27	166.36	0.7970
1975	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	2	12	0	0.143	165	360	-8.2	-5.9	173.47	370.76	0.1347
1975	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	255	286	-2.2	-2.5	257.47	323.16	0.3629
1974	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	283	259	1.9	0.2	281.14	251.74	0.5704
1974	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	4	10	0	0.286	251	344	0.5	-4.7	261.54	320.34	0.3787
1974	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	236	282	-1.3	-0.6	236.34	262.94	0.4391
1974	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	10	3	1	0.750	305	189	2.3	4.5	286.74	191.54	0.7270
1974	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	2	12	0	0.143	190	329	-4.6	-4.1	190.14	311.94	0.2352
1974	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	9	5	0	0.643	264	244	-0.3	1.4	250.34	234.94	0.5411
1974	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	327	216	3.9	2.3	309.14	222.34	0.6948
1974	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	7	7	0	0.500	348	289	6.6	-1.8	346.94	279.74	0.6372
1974	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	7	7	0	0.500	279	300	1.1	-3.7	269.94	306.34	0.4247
1974	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	7	6	1	0.536	302	294	3.4	-2.8	302.14	293.74	0.5209
1974	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	233	293	-1.3	-1.1	236.34	269.94	0.4233
1974	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	12	2	0	0.857	355	228	6.4	2.7	344.14	216.74	0.7624
1974	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	212	285	-3.5	-1.3	205.54	272.74	0.3403
1974	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	4	10	0	0.286	152	279	-7.4	-2.9	150.94	295.14	0.1747
1974	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	256	270	0.5	-2.1	261.54	283.94	0.4526
1974	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	210	206	-3.2	2.0	209.74	226.54	0.4582
1974	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	310	195	3.6	2.5	304.94	219.54	0.6937
1974	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	8	6	0	0.571	297	235	4.0	1.9	310.54	227.94	0.6846
1974	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	2	12	0	0.143	195	299	-3.5	-2.1	205.54	283.94	0.3182
1974	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	7	7	0	0.500	242	217	0.0	3.0	254.54	212.54	0.6085
1974	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	285	218	2.8	3.0	293.74	212.54	0.6896
1974	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	320	196	5.7	4.5	334.34	191.54	0.7992
1974	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	3	11	0	0.214	111	271	-9.7	-2.6	118.74	290.94	0.1161
1974	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	10	4	0	0.714	263	181	-0.1	4.0	253.14	198.54	0.6424
1974	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	166	263	-5.7	-1.7	174.74	278.34	0.2533
1974	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	6	8	0	0.429	226	236	-2.1	-0.5	225.14	261.54	0.4142
1973	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	286	231	0.1	2.9	273.69	231.75	0.5939
1973	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	7	5	2	0.571	234	255	-2.7	1.3	234.49	254.15	0.4463
1973	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	1	13	0	0.071	199	447	-4.4	-12.4	210.69	445.95	0.1205
1973	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	347	210	4.2	3.5	331.09	223.35	0.7207
1973	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	4	10	0	0.286	226	341	-2.4	-5.9	238.69	354.95	0.2635
1973	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	9	5	0	0.643	259	230	-1.7	2.2	248.49	241.55	0.5115
1973	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	12	2	0	0.857	343	150	5.1	8.3	343.69	156.15	0.8650
1973	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	5	9	0	0.357	258	300	-2.5	-3.4	237.29	319.95	0.3172
1973	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	4	10	0	0.286	240	306	-1.5	-1.3	251.29	290.55	0.4061
1973	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	7	5	2	0.571	354	296	5.4	-2.5	347.89	307.35	0.5738
1973	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	7	5	2	0.571	231	192	-4.2	5.1	213.49	200.95	0.5293
1973	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	9	4	1	0.679	292	175	0.0	6.6	272.29	179.95	0.7208
1973	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	2	11	1	0.179	188	386	-3.7	-8.4	220.49	389.95	0.1851
1973	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	3	11	0	0.214	195	334	-4.4	-4.4	210.69	333.95	0.2376
1973	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	6	7	1	0.464	271	247	0.8	1.2	283.49	255.55	0.5580
1973	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	5	7	2	0.429	202	259	-5.0	0.2	202.29	269.55	0.3300
1973	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	12	2	0	0.857	296	168	1.7	6.9	296.09	175.75	0.7704
1973	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	382	203	6.8	6.0	367.49	188.35	0.8343
1973	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	2	11	1	0.179	226	362	-2.8	-4.7	233.09	338.15	0.2777
1973	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	5	8	1	0.393	310	393	3.5	-7.7	321.29	380.15	0.3859
1973	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	4	9	1	0.321	286	365	1.8	-5.1	297.49	343.75	0.4028
1973	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	325	198	1.2	6.1	289.09	186.95	0.7334
1973	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	9	5	0	0.643	318	224	2.3	3.6	304.49	221.95	0.6787
1973	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	12	2	0	0.857	388	178	8.1	5.2	385.69	199.55	0.8340
1973	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	163	312	-7.0	-1.7	174.29	296.15	0.2153
1973	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	262	319	1.4	-1.6	291.89	294.75	0.4884
1972	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	8	6	0	0.571	299	229	1.2	3.0	300.34	241.59	0.6239
1972	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	268	249	-1.6	1.9	261.14	256.99	0.5028
1972	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	1	13	0	0.071	164	380	-7.1	-5.9	184.14	366.19	0.1475
1972	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	11	3	0	0.786	343	175	3.4	6.6	331.14	191.19	0.7856
1972	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	5	9	0	0.357	235	252	-5.1	2.8	212.14	244.39	0.4102
1972	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	4	9	1	0.321	257	377	-1.6	-5.6	261.14	361.99	0.2961
1972	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	14	0	0	1.000	385	171	4.5	6.5	346.54	192.59	0.8023
1972	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	3	11	0	0.214	192	446	-6.3	-11.1	195.34	438.99	0.1047
1972	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	7	7	0	0.500	367	324	4.7	-4.2	349.34	342.39	0.5061
1972	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	5	9	0	0.357	325	350	2.9	-4.7	324.14	349.39	0.4444
1972	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	8	6	0	0.571	287	254	0.4	2.2	289.14	252.79	0.5750
1972	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	10	3	1	0.750	365	248	5.0	3.0	353.54	241.59	0.7161
1972	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	4	9	1	0.321	264	344	-0.2	-2.6	280.74	319.99	0.4111
1972	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	4	9	1	0.321	225	275	-2.8	1.5	244.34	262.59	0.4495
1972	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	8	5	1	0.607	339	290	4.4	0.0	345.14	283.59	0.6159
1972	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	304	226	2.3	4.7	315.74	217.79	0.7063
1972	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	301	252	2.6	3.4	319.94	235.99	0.6731
1972	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	319	240	3.4	2.7	331.14	245.79	0.6712
1972	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	8	6	0	0.571	331	247	3.5	2.4	332.54	249.99	0.6646
1972	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	2	11	1	0.179	145	352	-9.2	-5.3	154.74	357.79	0.1084
1972	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	4	9	1	0.321	193	303	-4.5	-1.2	220.54	300.39	0.3130
1972	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	336	218	2.7	3.7	321.34	231.79	0.6849
1972	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	7	7	0	0.500	269	274	-2.3	0.4	251.34	277.99	0.4316
1972	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	6	7	1	0.464	291	286	0.1	-0.6	284.94	291.99	0.4777
1972	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	2	11	1	0.179	215	361	-5.3	-5.0	209.34	353.59	0.2066
1972	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	8	5	1	0.607	353	249	4.9	1.5	352.14	262.59	0.6712
1971	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	4	10	0	0.286	284	265	-0.4	-0.1	265.37	272.64	0.4793
1971	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	9	5	0	0.643	285	273	1.1	-0.8	286.37	282.44	0.5046
1971	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	4	9	1	0.321	251	330	-3.0	-3.8	228.97	324.44	0.2927
1971	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	246	292	-1.8	-1.8	245.77	296.44	0.3825
1971	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	313	140	2.0	8.5	298.97	152.24	0.8264
1971	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	1	13	0	0.071	184	394	-4.5	-8.9	207.97	395.84	0.1600
1971	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	10	3	1	0.750	315	174	2.4	5.3	304.57	197.04	0.7372
1971	New England Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	6	8	0	0.429	238	325	-2.1	-3.0	241.57	313.24	0.3404
1971	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	6	8	0	0.429	212	299	-3.7	-1.6	219.17	293.64	0.3254
1971	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	4	9	1	0.321	203	275	-5.5	1.0	193.97	257.24	0.3356
1971	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	10	3	1	0.750	302	208	0.6	4.5	279.37	208.24	0.6653
1971	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	8	4	2	0.643	344	278	4.8	-1.1	338.17	286.64	0.5999
1971	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	6	8	0	0.429	311	341	2.6	-6.6	307.37	363.64	0.3885
1971	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	185	276	-4.4	1.1	209.37	255.84	0.3793
1971	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	7	6	1	0.536	341	286	6.5	-2.4	361.97	304.84	0.6055
1971	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	4	8	2	0.357	274	298	1.4	-2.3	290.57	303.44	0.4687
1971	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	11	3	0	0.786	245	139	-3.4	9.9	223.37	132.64	0.7568
1971	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	11	3	0	0.786	406	222	8.3	1.6	387.17	248.84	0.7523
1971	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	4	10	0	0.286	228	362	-1.7	-6.3	247.17	359.44	0.2751
1971	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	6	7	1	0.464	221	302	-2.7	-1.6	233.17	293.64	0.3586
1971	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	4	9	1	0.321	231	279	-4.0	-0.2	214.97	274.04	0.3542
1971	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	9	4	1	0.679	276	190	-0.6	5.8	262.57	190.04	0.6777
1971	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	7	6	1	0.536	274	277	0.3	1.0	275.17	257.24	0.5372
1971	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	8	5	1	0.607	313	260	4.2	2.4	329.77	237.64	0.6894
1971	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	4	8	2	0.357	266	347	1.4	-4.1	290.57	328.64	0.4182
1971	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	9	5	0	0.643	300	216	2.4	3.8	304.57	218.04	0.6893
1970	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	AFC Central	14	8	6	0	0.571	312	255	1.2	-0.6	286.47	278.12	0.5201
1970	Cleveland Browns	cle	AFC Central	14	7	7	0	0.500	286	265	0.5	0.1	276.67	268.32	0.5206
1970	Houston Oilers	oti	AFC Central	14	3	10	1	0.250	217	352	-3.5	-5.8	220.67	350.92	0.2408
1970	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	AFC Central	14	5	9	0	0.357	210	272	-5.9	-1.5	187.07	290.72	0.2604
1970	Baltimore Colts	clt	AFC East	14	11	2	1	0.821	321	234	0.9	-0.5	282.27	276.72	0.5140
1970	Boston Patriots	nwe	AFC East	14	2	12	0	0.143	149	361	-9.1	-6.8	142.27	364.92	0.0943
1970	Buffalo Bills	buf	AFC East	14	3	10	1	0.250	204	337	-5.8	-6.5	188.47	360.72	0.1691
1970	Miami Dolphins	mia	AFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	297	228	-1.3	0.0	251.47	269.72	0.4591
1970	New York Jets	nyj	AFC East	14	4	10	0	0.286	255	286	-2.2	-2.7	238.87	307.52	0.3507
1970	Denver Broncos	den	AFC West	14	5	8	1	0.393	253	264	-2.5	-0.1	234.67	271.12	0.4152
1970	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	AFC West	14	7	5	2	0.571	272	244	-0.1	1.6	268.27	247.32	0.5510
1970	Oakland Raiders	rai	AFC West	14	8	4	2	0.643	300	293	2.3	-1.3	301.87	287.92	0.5314
1970	San Diego Chargers	sdg	AFC West	14	5	6	3	0.464	282	278	0.5	-1.2	276.67	286.52	0.4800
1970	Chicago Bears	chi	NFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	256	261	0.4	1.8	275.27	244.52	0.5734
1970	Detroit Lions	det	NFC Central	14	10	4	0	0.714	347	202	7.4	6.6	373.27	177.32	0.8647
1970	Green Bay Packers	gnb	NFC Central	14	6	8	0	0.429	196	293	-2.4	0.6	236.07	261.32	0.4407
1970	Minnesota Vikings	min	NFC Central	14	12	2	0	0.857	335	143	5.9	9.2	352.27	140.92	0.9024
1970	Dallas Cowboys	dal	NFC East	14	10	4	0	0.714	299	221	2.5	4.5	304.67	206.72	0.7212
1970	New York Giants	nyg	NFC East	14	9	5	0	0.643	301	270	1.9	0.1	296.27	268.32	0.5630
1970	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	NFC East	14	3	10	1	0.250	241	332	-0.9	-3.6	257.07	320.12	0.3678
1970	St. Louis Cardinals	crd	NFC East	14	8	5	1	0.607	325	228	3.8	3.6	322.87	219.32	0.7234
1970	Washington Redskins	was	NFC East	14	6	8	0	0.429	297	314	3.6	-0.6	320.07	278.12	0.5894
1970	Atlanta Falcons	atl	NFC West	14	4	8	2	0.357	206	261	-3.5	1.2	220.67	252.92	0.4211
1970	Los Angeles Rams	ram	NFC West	14	9	4	1	0.679	325	202	4.4	5.3	331.27	195.52	0.7858
1970	New Orleans Saints	nor	NFC West	14	2	11	1	0.179	172	347	-4.6	-3.3	205.27	315.92	0.2606
1970	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	NFC West	14	10	3	1	0.750	352	267	6.4	0.1	359.27	268.32	0.6799

Now, as an aside, I wouldn’t go plugging those directly into the log5 formula to predict this weekend’s games just yet. You first need to regress to the mean to account for the uncertainty we see in any observed result. To do that, just add about 17.65 games of .500 performance to each team’s pythagorean Wpct, and you’ll get a “true talent” number that should yield more accurate probabilities regarding future outcomes.

{ 6 comments }

Checkdowns: Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt “FIP” for Quarterbacks

by Neil Paine on December 22, 2012

in Checkdowns, Passing, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery, Totally Useless

I’ve been on a major QB kick lately, and there’s no reason to stop now. Today, I want to look at a method that might tease out a quarterback’s “true talent” better than if we simply use his raw stats from the season.

Three years ago, our colleague Jason Lisk had a post on the old PFR Blog about which rate stats stay consistent when a QB changes teams. Basically, he grabbed QBs who were still in their primes and changed teams, looking at how their key rate stats correlated from one year to the next. Here’s what Jason found:

[…]I looked at the correlation coefficient for our group of 48 passers, for the year N advanced passing score compared to the year N+1 advanced passing score in each category. This should tell us whether the passers who were good in a performance area (or bad) tended to be the ones who remained good in that performance area the following season, even with the uncertainty of team changes (some positive, some negative for the quarterback).
Sack Percentage:  0.31
Completion Percentage: 0.25
Yards Per Attempt:  0.20
Touchdown Percentage: 0.12
Interception Percentage: 0.10

What do those correlations mean, exactly? Well, take sack percentage as an example. In general, a correlation of 0.31 means you can expect 31% of a QB’s difference from the mean to be repeated next year when he changes teams. In other words, you have to regress the QB’s sack rate 69% towards the mean to get the true rate that “belongs” to him. If the average sack rate is 6.1%, and a QB has a rate of 4.0% (like, say, Drew Brees this year), his “true” sack rate is probably something like 5.4% — 31% of the distance between .061 and .040.

The same concept applies to the other stats listed above. Tony Romo’s observed 66.7% completion percentage is really more like 62.5% after regressing to the mean, and so forth. Do that for every QB who had a reasonable number of attempts this year, and you get these rate stats:

Player	Tm	G	GS	Att	A-Sk%	A-Cmp%	A-YPA	A-TD%	A-INT%	R-Sk%	R-Cmp%	R-YPA	R-TD%	R-INT%
Matthew Stafford	DET	14	14	629	4.3	59.5	6.8	2.7	2.4	5.5	60.7	7.0	4.0	2.6
Drew Brees	NOR	14	14	574	4.0	62.0	7.6	6.3	3.1	5.4	61.4	7.2	4.5	2.7
Tony Romo	DAL	14	14	568	5.3	66.7	7.5	3.9	2.8	5.9	62.5	7.2	4.2	2.7
Andrew Luck	IND	14	13	564	6.2	54.6	7.1	3.5	3.2	6.1	59.5	7.1	4.1	2.7
Carson Palmer	OAK	14	14	562	4.4	60.9	7.1	3.9	2.5	5.6	61.1	7.1	4.2	2.6
Tom Brady	NWE	14	14	560	3.9	63.4	7.6	5.4	1.1	5.4	61.7	7.2	4.4	2.5
Matt Ryan	ATL	14	14	539	4.4	68.5	7.8	5.0	2.6	5.6	63.0	7.2	4.3	2.7
Peyton Manning	DEN	14	14	511	3.9	67.9	7.9	6.1	2.0	5.4	62.8	7.2	4.4	2.6
Brandon Weeden	CLE	14	14	498	5.0	57.2	6.6	2.8	3.4	5.7	60.2	7.0	4.0	2.7
Philip Rivers	SDG	14	14	488	8.1	64.3	6.7	4.5	3.1	6.7	62.0	7.0	4.2	2.7
Joe Flacco	BAL	14	14	487	6.5	59.1	7.1	4.1	2.1	6.2	60.7	7.1	4.2	2.6
Eli Manning	NYG	14	14	487	3.0	60.4	7.4	4.1	3.1	5.1	61.0	7.1	4.2	2.7
Sam Bradford	STL	14	14	482	6.8	60.2	6.8	3.7	2.3	6.3	60.9	7.0	4.2	2.6
Matt Schaub	HOU	14	13	476	4.0	64.7	7.5	4.6	2.1	5.5	62.0	7.2	4.3	2.6
Aaron Rodgers	GNB	14	14	474	8.7	66.7	7.6	6.8	1.7	6.9	62.5	7.2	4.5	2.6
Andy Dalton	CIN	14	14	472	7.5	62.5	7.0	5.5	3.0	6.5	61.5	7.1	4.4	2.7
Josh Freeman	TAM	14	14	469	4.3	54.8	7.4	5.3	2.6	5.5	59.6	7.1	4.3	2.7
Ryan Fitzpatrick	BUF	14	13	444	5.9	61.7	6.6	5.0	3.4	6.0	61.3	7.0	4.3	2.7
Christian Ponder	MIN	14	14	425	6.6	63.1	5.9	3.3	2.8	6.2	61.6	6.9	4.1	2.7
Ryan Tannehill	MIA	14	14	424	5.8	58.7	6.9	2.4	2.8	6.0	60.5	7.0	4.0	2.7
Cam Newton	CAR	14	14	423	7.2	58.2	8.2	4.3	2.4	6.4	60.4	7.3	4.2	2.6
Mark Sanchez	NYJ	14	14	418	7.3	54.8	6.4	3.1	4.1	6.5	59.6	6.9	4.1	2.8
Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	11	11	398	5.7	64.1	7.3	5.5	1.5	6.0	61.9	7.1	4.4	2.6
Jay Cutler	CHI	13	13	377	8.5	59.7	7.0	4.5	3.7	6.8	60.8	7.1	4.2	2.8
Russell Wilson	SEA	14	14	353	6.9	62.9	7.6	5.9	2.5	6.3	61.6	7.2	4.4	2.7
Robert Griffin III	WAS	13	13	351	7.4	66.4	8.3	5.1	1.1	6.5	62.5	7.3	4.3	2.5
Michael Vick	PHI	9	9	316	7.9	58.5	6.9	3.5	2.8	6.6	60.5	7.0	4.1	2.7
Blaine Gabbert	JAX	10	10	278	7.3	58.3	6.0	3.2	2.2	6.5	60.4	6.9	4.1	2.6
Matt Cassel	KAN	9	8	277	6.4	58.1	6.5	2.2	4.3	6.2	60.4	7.0	4.0	2.8
Jake Locker	TEN	9	9	269	5.6	57.6	7.0	3.3	3.3	5.9	60.3	7.1	4.1	2.7
Matt Hasselbeck	TEN	8	5	221	6.0	62.4	6.2	3.2	2.3	6.1	61.5	6.9	4.1	2.6
Nick Foles	PHI	6	5	217	6.5	59.4	6.2	2.3	1.8	6.2	60.7	6.9	4.0	2.6
Alex Smith	SFO	9	9	217	10.0	70.0	8.0	6.0	2.3	7.3	63.4	7.3	4.4	2.6
Chad Henne	JAX	8	4	216	8.5	51.9	6.7	3.7	2.3	6.8	58.8	7.0	4.2	2.6
John Skelton	ARI	7	6	201	6.9	54.2	5.6	1.0	4.5	6.4	59.4	6.8	3.8	2.8
Kevin Kolb	ARI	6	5	183	12.9	59.6	6.4	4.4	1.6	8.2	60.8	6.9	4.2	2.6
Brady Quinn	KAN	8	6	159	9.1	59.7	5.8	1.3	3.8	7.0	60.8	6.8	3.9	2.8
Colin Kaepernick	SFO	11	5	154	8.3	65.6	8.4	4.5	1.3	6.8	62.3	7.3	4.3	2.5
Ryan Lindley	ARI	6	3	141	6.6	51.1	4.3	0.0	4.3	6.3	58.6	6.5	3.7	2.8

(“A-” before a stat means the actual observed rate; “R-” means the regressed rate.)

Now we just need to reconstruct the player’s raw passing line as though he posted those rate stats instead of his actual rates. Cmp%, YPA, TD%, and INT% are easy (just multiply by attempts), and Sack% can be derived via simple algebra:

Sacks_new = (-reg_sk% * Attempts) / (reg_sk% – 1)

(Sack yards can be assumed by multiplying raw sack yards per sack by the new sack total.)

Finally, we plug the new totals into the Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt formula, and we have a QB stat that is sort of like baseball’s Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), which also seeks to reduce the noise and teammate interactions in a pitcher’s ERA by reducing his performance to only those elements he has control over — strikeouts, walks, and home runs.

Here are the 2012 leaders in QB-FIP (along with their regressed totals):

Rk	Player	Age	Tm	G	GS	Cmp	Att	Yds	TD	Int	Sk	SkYds	QB-FIP
1	Peyton Manning	36	DEN	14	14	321	511	3697	23	13	29	191	6.22
2	Tom Brady	35	NWE	14	14	346	560	4027	24	14	32	214	6.20
3	Robert Griffin III	22	WAS	13	13	219	351	2568	15	9	24	166	6.15
4	Colin Kaepernick	25	SFO	11	5	96	154	1130	7	4	11	76	6.11
5	Ben Roethlisberger	30	PIT	11	11	246	398	2836	17	10	25	141	6.11
6	Matt Ryan	27	ATL	14	14	339	539	3893	23	14	32	225	6.11
7	Eli Manning	31	NYG	14	14	297	487	3476	20	13	26	165	6.09
8	Drew Brees	33	NOR	14	14	352	574	4118	26	16	33	237	6.08
9	Josh Freeman	24	TAM	14	14	279	469	3350	20	12	27	181	6.08
10	Aaron Rodgers	29	GNB	14	14	296	474	3402	21	12	35	197	6.06
11	Cam Newton	23	CAR	14	14	256	423	3086	18	11	29	203	6.05
12	Russell Wilson	24	SEA	14	14	217	353	2539	16	9	24	148	6.05
13	Alex Smith	28	SFO	9	9	138	217	1575	10	6	17	97	6.04
14	Matt Schaub	31	HOU	14	13	295	476	3407	20	12	27	228	6.01
15	Tony Romo	32	DAL	14	14	355	568	4071	24	15	35	255	5.97
16	Andy Dalton	25	CIN	14	14	290	472	3336	21	13	33	176	5.94
17	Joe Flacco	27	BAL	14	14	295	487	3453	20	13	32	209	5.93
18	Carson Palmer	33	OAK	14	14	343	562	3980	23	15	33	254	5.92
19	Ryan Fitzpatrick	30	BUF	14	13	272	444	3101	19	12	29	151	5.89
20	Andrew Luck	23	IND	14	13	336	564	3990	23	15	37	230	5.89
21	Matthew Stafford	24	DET	14	14	382	629	4413	25	17	37	256	5.88
22	Jake Locker	24	TEN	9	9	162	269	1900	11	7	17	108	5.88
23	Michael Vick	32	PHI	9	9	191	316	2223	13	8	22	124	5.84
24	Sam Bradford	25	STL	14	14	294	482	3380	20	13	32	216	5.82
25	Brandon Weeden	29	CLE	14	14	300	498	3477	20	14	30	198	5.80
26	Ryan Tannehill	24	MIA	14	14	257	424	2987	17	11	27	205	5.78
27	Chad Henne	27	JAX	8	4	127	216	1511	9	6	16	94	5.78
28	Philip Rivers	31	SDG	14	14	302	488	3422	21	13	35	221	5.77
29	Matt Cassel	30	KAN	9	8	167	277	1928	11	8	18	97	5.75
30	Jay Cutler	29	CHI	13	13	229	377	2661	16	10	28	187	5.74
31	Christian Ponder	24	MIN	14	14	262	425	2912	17	11	28	164	5.70
32	Nick Foles	23	PHI	6	5	132	217	1500	9	6	14	102	5.70
33	Matt Hasselbeck	37	TEN	8	5	136	221	1525	9	6	14	105	5.70
34	Mark Sanchez	26	NYJ	14	14	249	418	2903	17	12	29	178	5.68
35	Blaine Gabbert	23	JAX	10	10	168	278	1907	11	7	19	138	5.61
36	Kevin Kolb	28	ARI	6	5	111	183	1270	8	5	16	96	5.61
37	Brady Quinn	28	KAN	8	6	97	159	1086	6	4	12	70	5.50
38	John Skelton	24	ARI	7	6	119	201	1365	8	6	14	89	5.46
39	Ryan Lindley	23	ARI	6	3	83	141	921	5	4	9	72	5.15
	Lg Average												5.92

{ 3 comments }

Checkdowns: Quarterback Yards Above Bench (QBYAB)

by Neil Paine on December 21, 2012

in Checkdowns, Passing, Quarterbacks, Statgeekery, Totally Useless

These guys are pretty good.

After posting about SRS-style quarterback ratings on Monday, I was thinking about other things we can do with game-by-game data like that. In his QBGOAT series, Chase likes to compare QBs to the league average, which makes a lot of sense for all-time ratings — you want to reward guys who are at least above-average in a ranking like that. However, if we want seasonal value, perhaps average is too high a baseline.

Over at Football Outsiders, Aaron Schatz has always compared to “replacement level”, borrowing a concept from baseball. I like that approach, but replacement level can be hard to empirically determine. So for the purposes of this post, I wanted to come up with a quick-and-dirty baseline to which we can compare QBs.

To that end, I looked at all players who were not their team’s primary passer in each game since 2010. Weighted by recency and the number of dropbacks by each passer, they performed at roughly a 4.4 Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt level. This is not necessarily the replacement level, but it does seem to be the “bench level” — i.e., the ANYPA you could expect from a backup-caliber QB across the league.

Using 4.4 ANYPA as the baseline, we get the following values for 2012:

Quarterback	QBYAB
Tom Brady	1888.1
Peyton Manning	1708.2
Matt Ryan	1453.4
Drew Brees	1441.8
Aaron Rodgers	1337.4
Robert Griffin III	1226.6
Matt Schaub	1205.1
Josh Freeman	1140.1
Cam Newton	1128.2
Tony Romo	1120.2
Ben Roethlisberger	1082.8
Carson Palmer	1011.9
Eli Manning	1002.9
Joe Flacco	914.8
Russell Wilson	890.5
Matthew Stafford	834.1
Andy Dalton	756.9
Andrew Luck	691.6
Sam Bradford	616.3
Alex Smith	558.5
Colin Kaepernick	506.5
Ryan Fitzpatrick	481.1
Philip Rivers	447.7
Ryan Tannehill	409.6
Brandon Weeden	320.4
Michael Vick	317.5
Jake Locker	316.9
Jay Cutler	293.8
Chad Henne	217.4
Kirk Cousins	156.8
Nick Foles	152.5
Shaun Hill	151.9
Matt Hasselbeck	134.0
Kevin Kolb	121.4
Blaine Gabbert	92.2
Christian Ponder	91.0
Mohamed Sanu	87.7
Kyle Orton	62.8
Matt Moore	52.5
Derek Anderson	30.1
Matt Flynn	23.7
Dan Orlovsky	17.6
Greg McElroy	11.4
Tyrod Taylor	9.2
Rusty Smith	9.1
Chase Daniel	5.6
Tyler Thigpen	2.7
Graham Harrell	-1.6
Terrelle Pryor	-4.4
Matt Leinart	-5.1
David Carr	-5.9
Tim Tebow	-6.3
Mark Sanchez	-13.3
Charlie Batch	-17.8
Kellen Clemens	-22.4
Ryan Mallett	-45.9
Byron Leftwich	-46.6
Matt Cassel	-47.7
Brad Smith	-50.0
T.J. Yates	-55.1
Jason Campbell	-88.4
Brady Quinn	-146.4
John Skelton	-309.2
Ryan Lindley	-382.0

If we weigh each game by how recent the results took place, we get this list:

Quarterback	Wgtd QBYAB
Tom Brady	1527.6
Drew Brees	1205.4
Peyton Manning	1202.0
Matt Ryan	1129.8
Aaron Rodgers	1109.4
Tony Romo	961.1
Cam Newton	936.6
Matt Schaub	900.3
Robert Griffin III	869.5
Eli Manning	795.5
Ben Roethlisberger	793.9
Josh Freeman	790.3
Carson Palmer	760.4
Russell Wilson	722.9
Matthew Stafford	687.5
Joe Flacco	666.3
Andy Dalton	520.4
Andrew Luck	479.9
Sam Bradford	459.9
Colin Kaepernick	443.0
Alex Smith	399.3
Philip Rivers	384.9
Ryan Fitzpatrick	324.0
Ryan Tannehill	313.1
Brandon Weeden	266.5
Michael Vick	249.9
Jay Cutler	236.8
Jake Locker	192.4
Chad Henne	178.7
Kirk Cousins	158.7
Nick Foles	150.5
Matt Hasselbeck	133.1
Shaun Hill	84.4
Kevin Kolb	70.6
Matt Moore	64.8
Kyle Orton	59.8
Mohamed Sanu	47.4
Matt Flynn	47.4
Blaine Gabbert	39.9
Dan Orlovsky	26.3
Tim Tebow	16.3
Derek Anderson	16.3
Greg McElroy	10.3
Chase Daniel	5.1
Rusty Smith	4.8
Tyrod Taylor	4.0
Tyler Thigpen	-0.8
Graham Harrell	-1.4
Matt Leinart	-2.8
David Carr	-3.3
Terrelle Pryor	-4.4
Charlie Batch	-7.6
Kellen Clemens	-14.0
Matt Cassel	-24.2
T.J. Yates	-29.7
Brad Smith	-33.2
Byron Leftwich	-38.3
Christian Ponder	-39.4
Ryan Mallett	-44.6
Jason Campbell	-51.1
Mark Sanchez	-91.0
Brady Quinn	-113.4
John Skelton	-263.6
Ryan Lindley	-340.5

This kind of thing isn’t exactly the most advanced stat in the world, but it’s pretty good if you want to sort QBs into general groups based on how good they are (the assumption being that a player who never plays is implicitly a bench-level player by definition).

Tagged as: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady

{ 2 comments }

Checkdowns: SRS-Style Quarterback Ratings

by Neil Paine on December 17, 2012

in Checkdowns, Quarterbacks, SRS, Statgeekery

Here’s a quick set of quarterback ratings I was messing around with, based on Doug’s Simple Rating System. The basic setup: I took every passer-game (Att > 0) since the 2010 season, weighting for recency according to Wayne Winston’s method. I ran the data through the SRS to adjust for the quality of opponent pass defenses, creating a predicted Net YPA rate for each passer in each game via the following formula:

Predicted NYPA = League Constant + Home-Field Advantage + Passer Rating – Opponent Pass D Rating

The league constant in this case was a Net YPA of 6.24; the homefield component (which was positive while at home, negative on the road, and 0 in Super Bowls) was 0.05. Minimize the sum of squared errors between predicted and actual NYPA for each passer-game (weighted by recency and how many dropbacks the passer had in the game), and you’ve got a set of opponent-adjusted, recency-weighted QB ratings.

Throwing out the Brett Favres and Curtis Painters of the world who haven’t been active this year, here are the full ratings:

Player	Wgtd Drpbks	NYPA Rating
Mohamed Sanu	0.6	60.94
Brian Hoyer	0.2	9.80
Shaun Hill	8.8	5.13
Derek Anderson	2.9	3.96
Kirk Cousins	47.2	2.37
Chase Daniel	1.2	2.02
Matt Flynn	13.2	1.74
Tom Brady	467.0	1.23
Kyle Orton	20.7	1.16
Russell Wilson	266.0	0.95
Robert Griffin III	257.7	0.92
Peyton Manning	382.9	0.78
Drew Brees	472.3	0.75
Matt Ryan	440.8	0.73
Colin Kaepernick	147.4	0.72
Eli Manning	399.1	0.64
Cam Newton	359.5	0.64
Tony Romo	468.3	0.54
Aaron Rodgers	394.9	0.50
Kellen Clemens	9.7	0.45
Matt Schaub	376.3	0.39
Alex Smith	176.1	0.39
Charlie Batch	66.1	0.37
Josh Freeman	395.0	0.28
Ben Roethlisberger	324.6	0.23
Carson Palmer	445.6	0.15
Matthew Stafford	521.2	0.10
Joe Flacco	410.4	0.00
Rusty Smith	3.3	-0.03
Tyrod Taylor	2.5	-0.10
Andrew Luck	433.0	-0.11
Jake Locker	192.4	-0.11
Sam Bradford	399.1	-0.15
Josh McCown	4.7	-0.17
Matt Moore	36.9	-0.18
Tarvaris Jackson	26.4	-0.20
Ryan Tannehill	320.8	-0.20
Rex Grossman	27.3	-0.21
Jordan Palmer	0.0	-0.27
Michael Vick	231.4	-0.30
Brandon Weeden	367.1	-0.40
Andy Dalton	395.9	-0.40
Dennis Dixon	0.1	-0.41
Ryan Fitzpatrick	374.6	-0.43
Jay Cutler	307.5	-0.43
Philip Rivers	419.2	-0.49
Drew Stanton	0.5	-0.56
Matt Hasselbeck	181.8	-0.58
Chad Henne	212.4	-0.59
Matt Cassel	196.9	-0.62
Mark Sanchez	318.0	-0.69
Dan Orlovsky	21.3	-0.76
Joe Webb	5.3	-0.77
Tyler Thigpen	6.2	-0.88
Colt McCoy	24.7	-0.90
Tim Tebow	28.3	-0.96
John Skelton	172.9	-1.04
Bruce Gradkowski	1.4	-1.09
Nick Foles	205.3	-1.16
Blaine Gabbert	213.0	-1.23
Christian Ponder	334.1	-1.23
T.J. Yates	22.1	-1.24
Kevin Kolb	132.1	-1.38
Jason Campbell	55.1	-1.46
Brady Quinn	147.2	-1.49
Charlie Whitehurst	3.3	-1.91
Byron Leftwich	45.4	-2.13
Trent Edwards	0.4	-2.13
Luke McCown	2.5	-2.14
Jimmy Clausen	1.3	-2.17
Ryan Mallett	3.1	-2.26
Caleb Hanie	7.9	-2.30
Ryan Lindley	133.6	-2.37
Greg McElroy	7.0	-2.51
Graham Harrell	2.0	-2.79
David Carr	1.2	-4.09
Matt Leinart	1.6	-4.71
Brad Smith	0.7	-6.04
Terrelle Pryor	1.0	-7.09

[continue reading…]

{ 1 comment }

Game Scripts, Part III – 2012 results

by Chase Stuart on December 5, 2012

in Statgeekery

Last week, I introduced the concept of Game Scripts in Part I and Part II of this series. The short explanation is that a team’s Game Script score is simply the average score during each second of every game. Today, we’re going to look at some data from the 2012 season, although I have not yet included the data from this past weekend (week 13).

Let’s start with a look at the game scripts for each team this season.

Team	G	Script
Patriots	11	8.3
Texans	11	4.8
49ers	11	4.8
Bengals	11	3.9
Bears	11	3.8
Falcons	11	3.6
Chargers	11	3.3
Giants	11	2.8
Buccaneers	11	2.5
Ravens	11	2.3
Redskins	11	2.1
Packers	11	2.1
Seahawks	11	1.7
Steelers	11	1.4
Vikings	11	0.8
Broncos	11	0.5
Saints	11	0.2
Dolphins	11	-0.1
Colts	11	-1
Panthers	11	-1.6
Bills	11	-1.9
Cardinals	11	-2
Rams	11	-2
Browns	11	-2.1
Lions	11	-2.2
Cowboys	11	-3.4
Titans	11	-4
Jets	11	-4
Jaguars	11	-4
Eagles	11	-5.1
Raiders	11	-7.4
Chiefs	11	-7.6

There aren’t too many surprises on there. The Patriots are 8-3 (in this data set) with a record-setting offense; they have had a number of blowout victories and their three losses came by a combined four points. The Texans and 49ers also have impressive Game Script scores, and many would consider those three the three best teams in the league. Cincinnati might be a little surprising up at the top, but the Bengals were 10th in points differential through eleven games and third in points differential in the first half. Remember, the Game Script score is designed to be descriptive, not predictive; it’s not saying that Cincinnati is the 4th best team, it’s simply revealing the fact that the Bengals have, on average, led by 3.9 points in each second of every game they’ve played this year. That’s mostly because Cincinnati has been a great first half team.
[continue reading…]

Tagged as: Falcons, Game Scripts, Patriots

{ 7 comments }

Checkdowns: Weighted NFL SRS Ratings (through Monday 11/05/12)

by Neil Paine on November 6, 2012

in Checkdowns, Power Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery, Vegas

Here’s my weekly set of power ratings, according to a weighted version of the Simple Rating System:

Rk	Team	W	L	Talent	PWAG	Off	Def	SRS	wpa_loc	wpa_veg	wpa_1st	wpa_2nd	wpa_3rd	wpa_4ot
1	Chicago Bears	7	1	0.658	67.7%	6.0	-6.0	12.0	0.000	0.922	0.802	-0.349	0.458	1.167
2	San Francisco 49ers	6	2	0.605	62.3%	0.3	-11.5	11.7	0.000	1.235	0.088	0.189	0.576	-0.087
3	New England Patriots	5	3	0.553	66.7%	9.6	-1.0	10.7	-0.067	1.408	0.712	0.304	0.368	-1.724
4	Houston Texans	7	1	0.658	64.1%	4.1	-5.6	9.7	0.135	1.648	0.074	0.780	0.254	0.110
5	Denver Broncos	5	3	0.553	50.1%	6.0	-3.3	9.3	0.000	0.213	-0.398	-0.604	0.208	1.581
6	New York Giants	6	3	0.575	60.4%	7.8	-0.6	8.4	0.067	0.528	0.252	0.450	-0.207	0.410
7	Green Bay Packers	6	3	0.575	66.0%	6.6	-0.6	7.2	0.067	1.431	0.756	0.011	-0.463	-0.302
8	Atlanta Falcons	8	0	0.711	75.4%	3.8	-3.2	7.1	0.000	0.688	0.735	0.484	0.418	1.675
9	Seattle Seahawks	5	4	0.525	50.1%	-1.2	-6.1	4.9	-0.067	-0.292	0.770	-0.424	0.151	0.362
10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	4	0.500	48.4%	4.3	0.6	3.7	0.000	-0.554	0.831	-0.220	1.095	-1.153
11	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	3	0.553	63.6%	-1.8	-4.0	2.2	-0.135	0.625	0.248	0.246	0.007	0.010
12	Dallas Cowboys	3	5	0.447	42.7%	-1.5	-3.6	2.1	-0.135	0.160	-0.322	-0.575	0.531	-0.658
13	Carolina Panthers	2	6	0.395	31.6%	-2.6	-3.8	1.2	0.000	-0.439	-0.766	0.803	0.153	-1.751
14	Miami Dolphins	4	4	0.500	46.8%	-2.4	-3.4	1.0	-0.135	-0.371	0.158	1.201	0.945	-1.799
15	Detroit Lions	4	4	0.500	49.6%	2.8	2.0	0.8	-0.135	0.335	-0.426	-0.728	-0.481	1.435
16	Baltimore Ravens	6	2	0.605	68.0%	1.4	1.5	-0.1	0.000	0.678	-0.117	0.429	-0.037	1.047
17	New Orleans Saints	3	5	0.447	53.8%	4.4	5.3	-0.9	0.000	0.425	-0.152	-0.350	-0.078	-0.846
18	Minnesota Vikings	5	4	0.525	44.9%	-0.1	0.9	-1.1	0.067	0.238	0.301	-0.344	-0.283	0.520
19	Washington Redskins	3	6	0.425	37.7%	1.8	3.0	-1.2	-0.067	-0.410	-0.221	0.328	1.173	-2.303
20	New York Jets	3	5	0.447	48.7%	0.1	1.8	-1.7	0.135	-0.642	-0.396	-0.278	-0.515	0.695
21	San Diego Chargers	4	4	0.500	51.2%	-3.3	-1.4	-1.9	0.000	0.538	0.639	0.274	0.319	-1.771
22	Arizona Cardinals	4	5	0.475	44.0%	-5.7	-3.2	-2.5	0.067	-0.935	-0.356	-0.125	-0.356	1.205
23	St Louis Rams	3	5	0.447	38.0%	-4.2	-1.4	-2.8	0.067	-1.223	-0.124	0.027	-0.295	0.548
24	Cincinnati Bengals	3	5	0.447	41.3%	1.2	6.3	-5.1	0.000	-0.044	0.659	0.152	-1.164	-0.604
25	Philadelphia Eagles	3	5	0.447	47.5%	-6.1	-0.6	-5.5	0.000	0.452	-1.300	-0.586	0.675	-0.241
26	Indianapolis Colts	5	3	0.553	51.3%	-4.1	1.7	-5.8	0.135	-0.812	0.623	-0.797	0.339	1.512
27	Cleveland Browns	2	7	0.375	31.5%	-6.8	0.4	-7.2	0.067	-1.406	-0.514	-0.701	0.163	-0.109
28	Oakland Raiders	3	5	0.447	45.1%	-0.3	7.3	-7.5	0.000	-0.298	-0.194	0.182	-1.958	1.268
29	Buffalo Bills	3	5	0.447	38.4%	-0.2	8.6	-8.8	-0.135	-0.475	0.191	0.115	0.035	-0.731
30	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	7	0.342	32.8%	-9.1	2.6	-11.7	0.000	-1.202	-0.242	-0.449	-0.187	-0.921
31	Tennessee Titans	3	6	0.425	41.6%	-2.0	10.2	-12.1	0.067	-1.401	-0.979	0.688	-0.705	0.830
32	Kansas City Chiefs	1	7	0.342	36.9%	-8.8	6.3	-15.0	0.000	-1.021	-1.332	-0.132	-1.140	0.626

KEY:
Talent – Regressed WPct talent for 2012; Talent = (W + 5.5) / (G + 11)
PWAG – Probability of Winning Any Game
Off – Offensive SRS (positive = better)
Def – Defensive SRS (negative = better)
SRS – Simple Rating System (Off + Def)
wpa_loc – Win Probability Added from location of games
wpa_veg – Win Probability Added from Vegas lines
wpa_1st – Win Probability Added in 1st quarter
wpa_2nd – Win Probability Added in 2nd quarter
wpa_3rd – Win Probability Added in 3rd quarter
wpa_4ot – Win Probability Added in 4th qtr/overtime

{ 4 comments }

Checkdowns: In which week is Atlanta most likely to suffer its first loss?

by Chase Stuart on November 4, 2012

in Checkdowns, SRS, Statgeekery

In this post by Neil, he provided a formula to predict each team’s likelihood of winning a game based on the Vegas point spread. With the help of the SRS, we can come up with a projected point spread for each game, and therefore figure out which team is most likely to give the Falcons their first loss.

The table below shows the SRS rating for Atlanta and each of their remaining opponents, along with the projected point spread in the game (based on the difference between the two SRS scores and home field) and the concomitant projected win probability. Note that in the Dallas game, the projected line is Atlanta -8.6, which would yield a 73.2% win probability; since the actual line is Atlanta -4, for the purposes of that game, I will be using the real line and not the projected one.

Wk	Opp	ATL SRS	OPP SRS	Proj Line	Win Prob
9	Dallas Cowboys	7.5	1.9	-4	61.3%
10	@New Orleans Saints	7.5	-3.3	-7.8	71.3%
11	Arizona Cardinals	7.5	-0.6	-11.1	78.8%
12	@Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.5	3.1	-1.4	54%
13	New Orleans Saints	7.5	-3.3	-13.8	84%
14	@Carolina Panthers	7.5	-1	-5.5	65.4%
15	New York Giants	7.5	10	-0.5	51.4%
16	@Detroit Lions	7.5	-0.5	-5	64.1%
17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.5	3.1	-7.4	70.3%

As you can see, the Falcons are projected to be a favorite in every remaining game, with the Giants game looming as the most difficult challenge. The probability of Atlanta winning each of their remaining 9 games is only 2.4%.

But figuring out which team is most likely to be the first to defeat the Falcons is a trickier question. The Cowboys are the obvious pick, in part because they’re up first and in part because they’re one of the most challenging remaining opponents for the Falcons. What are the odds that the Giants become the first team to knock off the Falcons, like they did to the Patriots in ’07 and the Broncos in ’98? For that to happen, the Giants would need to beat Atlanta (51.4%) plus the Falcons would need to beat Dallas, Arizona, Tampa Bay, Carolina, and New Orleans twice before their game with New York. The probability of Atlanta winning all of those games is just 10.2%, so there is only a 1-in-20 chance that New York performs its giant-killer act again.

To calculate the odds of the opponent in each week being “the team” to knock off the Falcons, we simply have to perform the same math. Therefore, the table below shows the likelihood of Atlanta first losing (in each week) to each team:

Wk	Opponent	Prob
9	Dallas Cowboys	38.7%
10	New Orleans Saints	17.6%
12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	15.9%
11	Arizona Cardinals	9.3%
14	Carolina Panthers	5.4%
15	New York Giants	5%
13	New Orleans Saints	3%
16-0	Undefeated	2.4%
16	Detroit Lions	1.9%
17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1%

Even though they’re not favored to win the game, since we can’t pick “the field”, the Cowboys are the team most likely to ruin the Falcons’ perfect season. As of today, New Orleans is next with a 20.6% chance thanks to two bites at the apple; meanwhile, the Falcons are more likely to go undefeated than they are to go 14-0 only to have the Lions ruin perfection.

Tagged as: Falcons, Win Probability

{ 2 comments }

Checkdowns: How Much Does Last Year’s Record Matter When Predicting This Year’s Games?

by Neil Paine on November 1, 2012

in Checkdowns, Power Rankings, Statgeekery

In Tuesday’s post, I outlined a method of regressing a team’s record to the mean to estimate its “true winning percentage talent” (the trick is to add eleven games of .500 ball to their record, at any point in the season). In the comments, FP reader Dave wondered if we could incorporate last year’s true WPct talent into our talent assessment for this season, so I thought I’d run a quick regression to look at that.

My dataset was simply every game from 2003-2012 (including Monday night’s game). For each game, I recorded:

Whether the game was a win, loss, or tie for the team in question. Wins got you a “1”, ties a “0.5”, losses a “0”.
The team’s WPct talent estimate going into the game. So in the first game of the season, that’s (0+5.5)/(0+11)=0.500 for everybody; meanwhile, for an 11-4 team going into the final game of the season, it’s (11+5.5)/(15+11)=0.635.
The team’s WPct talent estimate from the previous season.

I then set up a logistic regression to predict whether the game was a win or a loss based on the two WPct talent variables, this year and last year:

Deviance Residuals: 
    Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max  
-1.7686  -1.1489   0.1616   1.1429   1.7072  

Coefficients:
              Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
(Intercept)    -2.6936     0.1982 -13.589  < 2e-16 ***
currenttalent   4.0297     0.3509  11.485  < 2e-16 ***
prevtalent      1.3571     0.2666   5.091 3.57e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 

(Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)

    Null deviance: 6712.4  on 4843  degrees of freedom
Residual deviance: 6508.0  on 4841  degrees of freedom
AIC: 6516.1

Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 4

That means to predict your likelihood of winning any given game, you plug your WPct talent numbers from this season and last season into this formula:

WPct ~ 1 / (1 + EXP(2.693606 - 4.029688*(Current_Talent) - 1.357123*(Prev_Talent)))

It's important to note the size of the coefficients here -- the current WPct talent coefficient is three times as big as that of last season's WPct talent, so it has much more bearing on the prediction.

At any rate, here are the probabilities of winning any given game that this formula implies for this year's teams:

Year	Team	Games	Wins	Current_Talent	Prev_Talent	p(W_any_gm)
2012	atl	7	7	0.694	0.574	70.8%
2012	sfo	8	6	0.605	0.685	66.3%
2012	htx	7	6	0.639	0.574	65.9%
2012	gnb	8	5	0.553	0.759	63.7%
2012	chi	7	6	0.639	0.500	63.6%
2012	rav	7	5	0.583	0.648	63.1%
2012	nyg	8	6	0.605	0.537	61.6%
2012	nwe	8	5	0.553	0.685	61.4%
2012	pit	7	4	0.528	0.648	57.8%
2012	den	7	4	0.528	0.500	52.8%
2012	mia	7	4	0.528	0.426	50.3%
2012	crd	8	4	0.500	0.500	50.0%
2012	det	7	3	0.472	0.574	49.7%
2012	min	8	5	0.553	0.315	49.0%
2012	sea	8	4	0.500	0.463	48.7%
2012	cin	7	3	0.472	0.537	48.5%
2012	nor	7	2	0.417	0.685	47.9%
2012	dal	7	3	0.472	0.500	47.2%
2012	phi	7	3	0.472	0.500	47.2%
2012	rai	7	3	0.472	0.500	47.2%
2012	sdg	7	3	0.472	0.500	47.2%
2012	oti	8	3	0.447	0.537	46.0%
2012	clt	7	4	0.528	0.278	45.3%
2012	nyj	8	3	0.447	0.500	44.7%
2012	buf	7	3	0.472	0.426	44.7%
2012	tam	7	3	0.472	0.352	42.2%
2012	was	8	3	0.447	0.389	41.0%
2012	ram	8	3	0.447	0.278	37.4%
2012	kan	7	1	0.361	0.463	35.2%
2012	cle	8	2	0.395	0.352	34.9%
2012	car	7	1	0.361	0.426	34.1%
2012	jax	7	1	0.361	0.389	32.9%

{ 11 comments }

Estimating NFL Win Probabilities for Matchups Between Teams of Various Records

by Neil Paine on October 30, 2012

in Statgeekery, Theory

(I originally posted this at the S-R Blog, but I thought it would be very appropriate here as well.)

WARNING: Math post.

PFR user Brad emailed over the weekend with an interesting question:

“Wondering if you’ve ever tracked or how it would be possible to find records vs. records statistics….for instance a 3-4 team vs. a 5-2 team…which record wins how often? but for every record matchup in every week.”

That’s a cool concept, and one that I could answer historically with a query when I get the time. But in the meantime, here’s what I believe is a valid way to estimate that probability…

Add eleven games of .500 ball to the team’s current record (at any point in the season). So if a team is 3-4, their “true” wpct talent is (3 + 5.5) / (7 + 11) = .472. If their opponent is 5-2, it would be (5 + 5.5) / (7 + 11) = .583.
Use the following equation to estimate the probability of Team A beating Team B at a neutral site:

p(Team A Win) = Team A true_win% *(1 – Team B true_win%)/(Team A true_win% * (1 – Team B true_win%) + (1 – Team A true_win%) * Team B true_win%)
You can even factor in home-field advantage like so:

p (Team A Win) = [(Team A true_win%) * (1 – Team B true_win%) * HFA]/[(Team A true_win%) * (1 – Team B true_win%) * HFA +(1 – Team A true_win%) * (Team B true_win%) * (1 – HFA)]

In the NFL, home teams win roughly 57% of the time, so HFA = 0.57.

This means in Brad’s hypothetical matchup of a 5-2 team vs. a 3-4 team, we would expect the 5-2 team to win .583 *(1 – .472)/(.583 * (1 – .472) + (1 – .583) * .472) = 61% of the time at a neutral site.

Really Technical Stuff:

Now, you may be wondering where I came up with the “add 11 games of .500 ball” part. That comes from this Tangotiger post about true talent levels for sports leagues.

Since the NFL expanded to 32 teams in 2002, the yearly standard deviation of team winning percentage is, on average, 0.195. This means var(observed) = 0.195^2 = 0.038. The random standard deviation of NFL records in a 16-game season would be sqrt(0.5*0.5/16) = 0.125, meaning var(random) = 0.125^2 = 0.016.

var(true) = var(observed) – var(random), so in this case var(true) = 0.038 – 0.016 = 0.022. The square root of 0.022 is 0.15, so 0.15 is stdev(true), the standard deviation of true winning percentage talent in the current NFL.

Armed with that number, we can calculate the number of games a season would need to contain in order for var(true) to equal var(random) using:

0.25/stdev(true)^2

In the NFL, that number is 11 (more accurately, it’s 11.1583, but it’s easier to just use 11). So when you want to regress an NFL team’s W-L record to the mean, at any point during the season, take eleven games of .500 ball (5.5-5.5), and add them to the actual record. This will give you the best estimate of the team’s “true” winning percentage talent going forward.

That’s why you use the “true” wpct number to plug into Bill James’ log5 formula (see step 2 above), instead of the teams’ actual winning percentages. Even a 16-0 team doesn’t have a 100% probability of winning going forward — instead, their expected true wpct talent is something like (16 + 5.5) / (16 + 11) = .796.

(For more info, see this post, and for a proof of this method, read what Phil Birnbaum wrote in 2011.)

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