Checkdowns: Pre-Conference Championship Sunday Weighted SRS Ratings

by Neil Paine on January 19, 2013

in Checkdowns, Power Rankings, SRS, Statgeekery

Presented without comment, the most current Simple Ratings, weighted for recency:

Rk	Team	pfr_id	Mean (SRS)	Std. Error	Upper	Lower
1	Seattle Seahawks	sea	13.57	3.22	19.92	7.23
2	New England Patriots	nwe	12.39	3.35	18.98	5.81
3	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	10.23	3.33	16.80	3.66
4	Denver Broncos	den	9.54	3.34	16.12	2.96
5	Green Bay Packers	gnb	7.08	3.28	13.54	0.62
6	Atlanta Falcons	atl	6.60	3.31	13.11	0.08
7	New York Giants	nyg	5.94	3.43	12.70	-0.82
8	Chicago Bears	chi	5.76	3.43	12.50	-0.99
9	Baltimore Ravens	rav	4.05	3.24	10.42	-2.33
10	Washington Redskins	was	3.52	3.33	10.08	-3.04
11	Minnesota Vikings	min	3.30	3.37	9.94	-3.34
12	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	2.83	3.31	9.36	-3.69
13	New Orleans Saints	nor	2.06	3.42	8.80	-4.68
14	Carolina Panthers	car	1.50	3.42	8.23	-5.23
15	Houston Texans	htx	1.48	3.24	7.85	-4.90
16	St Louis Rams	ram	0.75	3.43	7.50	-6.00
17	Dallas Cowboys	dal	-0.24	3.43	6.51	-6.99
18	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	-0.78	3.43	5.98	-7.53
19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	-1.05	3.41	5.67	-7.78
20	Miami Dolphins	mia	-2.84	3.44	3.93	-9.62
21	San Diego Chargers	sdg	-2.91	3.42	3.82	-9.64
22	Detroit Lions	det	-3.51	3.42	3.22	-10.24
23	Arizona Cardinals	crd	-4.47	3.44	2.30	-11.23
24	Indianapolis Colts	clt	-5.06	3.30	1.45	-11.56
25	Cleveland Browns	cle	-5.40	3.44	1.37	-12.17
26	Buffalo Bills	buf	-6.70	3.44	0.07	-13.46
27	New York Jets	nyj	-7.35	3.43	-0.60	-14.09
28	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	-9.88	3.43	-3.12	-16.65
29	Oakland Raiders	rai	-10.52	3.42	-3.78	-17.26
30	Tennessee Titans	oti	-10.60	3.45	-3.81	-17.38
31	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	-13.94	3.43	-7.19	-20.69
32	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	-14.40	3.43	-7.65	-21.16

“Upper” and “Lower” are the 95% confidence intervals around each estimate. Roughly speaking, this means we can be 95% confident that, say, the 49ers’ “true” SRS rating is between 3.66 and 16.80.

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