Checkdowns: Weighted NFL SRS Ratings (through Thursday 10/19/12)

by Neil Paine on October 19, 2012

in Checkdowns, Power Rankings, SRS, Vegas

Here are the current SRS Ratings, using the recency-weighted system I described on Monday:

Search:

Rank	Team	pfr_id	OFFSRS	OFFSOS	DEFSRS	DEFSOS	SRS	SOS
1	Chicago Bears	chi	7.5	0.2	7.6	-1.9	15.1	-1.8
2	New York Giants	nyg	9.9	3.1	2.8	-1.7	12.7	1.4
3	San Francisco 49ers	sfo	-0.1	0.1	10.9	2.0	10.8	2.1
4	New England Patriots	nwe	8.9	0.2	-0.3	-0.6	8.6	-0.4
5	Green Bay Packers	gnb	5.3	2.0	2.0	1.6	7.3	3.7
6	Seattle Seahawks	sea	-2.6	3.9	9.1	1.1	6.4	5.0
7	Houston Texans	htx	4.4	-1.3	1.5	-1.5	5.9	-2.8
8	Denver Broncos	den	4.5	-1.0	1.0	1.0	5.5	0.0
9	Atlanta Falcons	atl	1.8	-3.3	3.5	-0.7	5.2	-4.0
10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	tam	-0.6	-1.8	4.4	1.6	3.8	-0.2
11	St Louis Rams	ram	-2.8	2.2	6.6	1.5	3.8	3.7
12	Dallas Cowboys	dal	1.4	5.1	2.0	3.0	3.5	8.1
13	Baltimore Ravens	rav	1.4	-1.5	2.0	-0.9	3.4	-2.5
14	Arizona Cardinals	crd	-3.7	1.7	5.5	-0.8	1.8	0.8
15	Washington Redskins	was	7.4	1.0	-5.8	-0.2	1.6	0.8
16	Minnesota Vikings	min	-2.3	-3.7	2.9	-0.5	0.7	-4.2
17	Miami Dolphins	mia	-2.7	0.4	2.3	-1.5	-0.4	-1.1
18	Detroit Lions	det	5.3	2.9	-7.5	-3.5	-2.2	-0.6
19	Carolina Panthers	car	-2.3	2.7	-0.1	2.1	-2.3	4.8
20	New York Jets	nyj	-2.1	-0.5	-0.7	-0.2	-2.8	-0.8
21	Philadelphia Eagles	phi	-6.5	-0.7	3.7	1.6	-2.8	1.0
22	San Diego Chargers	sdg	-2.4	-4.0	-1.6	-1.1	-4.0	-5.1
23	Cincinnati Bengals	cin	0.2	-1.9	-4.9	-1.6	-4.7	-3.5
24	Pittsburgh Steelers	pit	-2.1	-2.4	-2.7	-3.1	-4.8	-5.5
25	New Orleans Saints	nor	2.6	-2.3	-7.6	0.0	-5.0	-2.3
26	Cleveland Browns	cle	-2.1	-1.8	-3.1	1.3	-5.2	-0.5
27	Buffalo Bills	buf	1.0	1.3	-9.4	-1.0	-8.4	0.4
28	Indianapolis Colts	clt	-2.0	1.5	-6.7	-0.5	-8.6	1.0
29	Oakland Raiders	rai	-4.6	0.6	-6.2	0.0	-10.9	0.6
30	Kansas City Chiefs	kan	-7.4	-1.2	-6.6	0.6	-14.0	-0.7
31	Jacksonville Jaguars	jax	-10.6	0.1	-3.4	1.7	-14.0	1.8
32	Tennessee Titans	oti	-5.1	-1.2	-8.9	1.7	-14.0	0.5

Also, just for fun, here’s how SRS sees this weekend’s games going (with the Vegas lines and over/unders for comparison’s sake):

Search:

game_id	year_id	game_date	home_team	srs	away_team	srs	vegas_line	vegas_o/u	srs_line	srs_o/u
201210220chi	2012	10/22/2012	chi	15.1	det	-2.2	-5.0	47.5	-19.6	58.9
201210210nyg	2012	10/21/2012	nyg	12.7	was	1.6	-6.5	50.0	-13.5	66.5
201210210buf	2012	10/21/2012	buf	-8.4	oti	-14.0	-3.0	46.5	-7.9	60.3
201210210tam	2012	10/21/2012	tam	3.8	nor	-5.0	3.0	49.5	-11.1	51.4
201210210min	2012	10/21/2012	min	0.7	crd	1.8	-6.0	40.5	-1.2	31.8
201210210clt	2012	10/21/2012	clt	-8.7	cle	-5.2	-3.0	45.0	1.2	51.9
201210210cin	2012	10/21/2012	cin	-4.7	pit	-4.8	2.5	46.0	-2.4	52.0
201210210nwe	2012	10/21/2012	nwe	8.6	nyj	-2.8	-10.5	47.5	-13.8	54.0
201210210ram	2012	10/21/2012	ram	3.8	gnb	7.3	5.5	44.5	1.2	40.1
201210210rai	2012	10/21/2012	rai	-10.9	jax	-14.0	-4.0	43.0	-5.5	40.7
201210210car	2012	10/21/2012	car	-2.4	dal	3.5	2.0	45.5	3.5	43.5
201210210htx	2012	10/21/2012	htx	5.9	rav	3.4	-6.0	48.0	-4.8	48.5

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