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Through 14 games this season, Alabama outscored its opponents by 31.5 points per game. Last night, in the most shocking national championship game I can remember, Clemson dominated Alabama in historic fashion. The Tigers beat Alabama 44-16, a 28-point margin of victory against a Nick Saban Alabama team that in 12 seasons had never lost a game by more than 14 points.

No team in NFL history has outscored opponents by 20 points per game and then lost a playoff game by 20+ points. The closest comparisons:

  • The 1967 Raiders outscored opponents by 16.8 points per game. Oakland defeated Houston 40-7, to up its average points differential per game to 17.9 through 15 games. Then, in the Super Bowl against the Packers, Oakland lost by 19 points, 33-14.
  • The 1969 Vikings outscored opponents by 17.6 points per game.  After a couple of close playoff wins, Minnesota lost Super Bowl IV by 16 points, 23-7.

In more recent times: the 2012 Patriots outscored opponents by 14.1 points and lost in the playoffs by 15 points, the 2013 Broncos outscored opponents by 12.9 points and lost by 35 points, and the 2011 Packers outscored opponents by 12.6 points and lost by 17 points.

My first reaction was to think of the 1983 Redskins: that year, Washington outscored opponents by 13.1 points and lost by 29 points.

What I wanted to do was plot team points differential in the regular season against each team’s worst playoff loss.  I plotted regular season points differential on the X-Axis and worst playoff margin on the Y-Axis; then I realized we just want to focus on the bottom right quadrant of that graph (positive regular season points differential, negative playoff margin).  So here is that bottom right quadrant of the graph:

Some notable games on that outer hull: the Redskins losing 73-0 to Chicago in 1940 after outscoring opponents by 9.4 points per game, the 1954 Lions (12.3 points differential per game, lost by 46), the 1968 Chiefs (14.4, -35), the 1964 Colts (14.5, -27) and the 1942 Bears (26.5, -8).

Below is the full dataset for every team to make the playoffs from 1933 to 2017.

TeamYearPD/GWorst PG
CHI194226.5-8
CHI194122.619
CLE194620.45
NWE200719.7-3
HOU196119.47
PHI194919.214
GNB196219.19
BAL196818.4-9
PHI194818.37
STL199917.85
MIN196917.6-16
DAL196817.5-11
OAK196716.8-19
WAS199116.313
MIN199816.3-3
CHI198516.121
CLE194716.111
SFO194915.8-14
OAK196815.7-4
SFO198415.511
CLE195315.5-1
CHI193415.4-17
GNB199615.414
MIA197215.34
PIT197515.14
RAM197315-11
CLE195114.9-7
BAL195814.86
DAL196614.7-7
CHI194314.620
PIT197614.6-17
CLE195414.546
BAL196414.5-27
RAM196714.4-21
STL200114.4-3
KAN196814.4-35
CLE194814.242
NWE201214.1-15
CRD194814.1-7
MIN197514.1-3
CLE19491410
CLE195013.82
MIA197313.817
SFO198713.7-12
MIN197013.7-3
MIA198413.4-22
DAL197113.18
NYG194413.1-7
RAM195013.1-2
SFO199413.110
WAS198313.1-29
KAN1969137
NOR201113-4
DEN201312.9-35
NWE201012.8-7
DAL197312.8-17
DET195212.710
RAM197512.6-30
SDG196112.6-7
GNB201112.6-17
GNB194112.5-19
SFO199512.4-10
BAL197112.4-21
DET195412.3-46
GNB196612.37
KAN196612.3-25
BAL197612.2-26
SFO199212.2-10
GNB19611237
DEN19981213
CAR201512-14
NYG196312-4
PIT197212-4
IND200512-3
DEN201212-3
NWE201611.96
SFO198911.827
SDG200611.8-3
IND200711.8-4
SEA201311.66
DEN199711.63
RAM197611.5-11
WAS194211.48
SEA200511.3-11
BUF196411.313
NYG194111.3-28
OAK200011.3-13
CHI196311.24
JAX199911.2-19
DTX196211.13
RAM197711.1-7
SFO199311.1-17
NWE200411.13
ARI201511-34
DAL197811-4
CLE195510.924
RAM195110.97
PHI200210.9-17
GNB193610.815
MIN198810.8-25
RAM194510.81
CHI200610.8-12
IND200410.7-17
NWE201110.7-4
NYG196110.6-37
NOR200910.63
BAL200010.513
NYG193810.56
SEA201210.4-2
DAL196910.4-24
DAL199210.410
DAL199410.4-10
DET197010.4-5
CHI198610.3-14
SDG197910.3-3
BUF199010.3-1
SDG196310.341
BAL195910.315
GNB200910.3-6
GNB196010.3-4
NYG193310.2-2
PHI201710.15
PHI198010.1-17
NWE201710.1-8
RAM194910.1-14
MIA197110.1-21
CLE198710.1-5
PIT197810.14
NWE197610-3
NYJ19689.94
NYY19479.9-11
MIN20099.9-3
NYG19509.8-5
PIT19739.8-19
CHI19569.8-40
GNB19449.77
NWE20149.74
TEN20009.7-14
OAK19699.6-10
PIT19799.612
RAM19529.6-10
ATL19989.6-15
GNB19389.5-6
DAL19779.517
NYG19599.5-15
BAL20069.5-9
KAN20039.5-7
SFO20119.4-3
SFO19989.4-2
TAM20029.417
NYJ19989.4-13
NWE20159.4-2
WAS19409.4-73
CAR19969.3-17
LAR20179.3-13
JAX20179.3-4
NOR19879.3-34
GNB20109.35
SFO19859.3-14
NWE20069.3-4
MIN19769.2-18
WAS19439.2-20
DAL19939.210
PHI19819.2-6
CHI19379.2-7
MIN19739.1-17
OAK20029.1-27
SEA20159.1-7
OAK19749.1-11
WAS19739.1-7
DAL1995910
BAL19759-18
DEN19779-17
DAL19829-14
GNB20079-3
DAL19808.9-13
PIT20108.9-6
KAN19978.9-4
NWE20098.9-19
WAS19748.9-9
SFO19968.8-21
BAL20088.8-9
TEN20088.8-3
WAS19458.8-1
GNB19678.84
NYJ19828.8-14
BUF19918.8-13
GNB19978.8-7
PIT20018.8-7
SEA20148.8-4
CIN20158.8-2
CHI19468.710
CLE19648.727
MIA19838.7-7
SFO19838.7-3
CLE19688.6-34
OAK19778.6-3
GNB20148.6-6
OAK19758.6-6
DEN20058.6-17
DEN19898.5-45
SEA19848.5-21
CLE19948.5-20
NYG19868.417
RAM19808.4-21
CHI20018.4-14
PHI20018.4-5
GNB20038.4-3
HOU19918.4-2
WAS19728.4-7
SFO20138.4-6
ATL20168.4-6
SDG20098.4-3
OAK19738.4-17
OAK19728.4-6
HOU19628.4-3
NYG20088.3-12
ATL19808.3-3
SDG20048.3-3
PIT19748.310
CAR20058.3-20
MIN19748.2-10
NYG19628.2-9
PIT20058.23
MIN20178.1-31
BAL20098.1-17
HOU19938.1-8
NOR19918.1-7
DAL20078.1-4
CLE19578.1-45
CLE19528.1-10
OAK19768.13
SDG19658.1-23
NYJ19858.1-12
NOR19928-16
DEN20148-11
SDG20078-9
SFO19867.9-46
SFO20017.9-10
PHI20087.9-7
MIA19747.9-2
ATL20107.9-27
PHI20047.9-3
CHI19407.873
MIN19927.8-17
CIN20137.8-17
CAR20137.8-13
KAN20137.8-1
PIT20087.84
NYG19907.81
GNB20017.8-28
SFO20127.8-3
PIT20077.8-2
NOR20177.6-5
MIN19717.6-8
PIT20047.6-14
NYG19397.5-27
ATL20127.5-4
BAL19657.5-3
SDG19827.4-21
MIA19827.4-10
TAM20007.4-18
DAL19837.4-7
STL20037.4-6
CIN19887.4-4
SFO19727.4-2
MIA19787.4-8
KAN20157.4-7
BUF19667.4-24
CIN19817.3-5
KAN19957.3-3
DAL19767.3-2
GNB19397.327
NYG19857.3-21
DEN20007.3-18
WAS19847.3-4
DEN19967.3-3
DAL20147.2-5
DAL20167.2-3
RAM19887.1-11
SFO19907.1-2
CLE19587.1-10
NYG19357-19
NYJ20097-13
DEN19847-7
BAL20117-3
KAN19907-1
DAL20096.9-31
IND20036.9-10
TEN20036.9-3
WAS19826.910
NWE20036.93
SFO19976.9-13
NOR20136.9-8
BAL20036.9-3
WAS19376.87
PHI19926.8-24
IND20096.8-14
NYG20056.8-23
MIA19856.8-17
NYG19466.7-10
HOU19606.78
KAN19716.7-3
CIN19756.7-3
SFO19816.71
JAX20076.7-11
BAL20146.7-4
DET19356.719
RAI19826.7-3
DAL19986.6-13
PHI20006.6-10
NWE20136.6-10
GNB19656.63
NWE19966.6-14
NWE19866.6-5
RAI19836.516
PIT20156.5-7
PIT19826.4-3
HOU20116.4-7
IND20006.4-6
SEA20076.4-22
GNB19826.3-11
WAS19876.34
CRD19476.37
PHI19606.34
DET19956.3-21
BUF19656.223
BAL19706.23
NWE20016.23
WAS19716.1-4
BUF19926.1-35
HOU19906.1-27
PIT20116.1-6
PIT20176.1-3
CIN19826.1-27
SFO19706.1-7
DEN19876.1-32
MIA20006.1-27
CHI19886.1-25
PHI19906.1-14
GNB20126.1-14
SFO19716-11
CHI19506-10
NYJ19696-7
NYG19896-6
GNB19945.9-26
SDG19925.9-31
MIA19905.9-10
HOU19925.9-3
RAM19745.9-4
DAL19755.9-4
JAX20055.8-25
PHI20095.8-20
BUF19885.8-11
SDG20085.8-11
BUF19895.8-4
STL19755.7-12
NOR20065.7-25
SDG19805.7-7
BUF19995.7-6
DAL19725.6-23
GNB19955.6-11
RAI19845.6-6
IND19995.6-3
DAL19815.6-1
NYG19565.640
GNB19725.6-13
NYY19465.6-5
DAL19705.6-3
IND20145.6-38
DEN19935.6-18
GNB19985.6-3
DET19535.51
SDG19815.5-20
ATL20025.5-14
PHI19475.5-7
RAM19695.5-3
PIT19965.4-25
BUF19935.4-17
DET20115.4-17
PHI20035.4-11
BAL20105.4-7
CAR20085.3-20
HOU20125.3-13
WAS19765.3-15
BAL19775.3-6
DAL19675.3-4
DEN19785.3-23
MIA19795.3-20
NYG19585.3-6
NYG19935.2-41
RAM19895.1-27
NYG20005.1-27
PIT19945.1-4
CLE19865.1-3
BOS19635-41
DEN20035-31
WAS19905-18
CLE19895-16
PIT19955-10
NWE19975-1
IND20084.9-6
CHI19874.9-4
MIA19704.9-7
KAN20164.9-2
DEN20044.8-25
CHI19844.8-23
PIT19844.8-17
SEA20034.8-6
NOR20104.8-5
STL19744.8-16
MIN19894.8-28
JAX19974.8-25
DAL19994.8-17
KAN20174.8-1
SFO19884.74
SDG19944.7-23
DAL20064.7-1
PIT19924.6-21
DET19974.6-10
NWE19854.5-36
PIT20164.5-19
NWE19784.5-17
WAS19864.5-17
OAK20014.5-3
NYJ20044.5-3
RAM19784.4-28
CIN20054.4-14
CIN20124.4-6
KAN19914.4-23
GNB20024.4-20
MIA19814.4-3
PHI20064.4-3
RAI19904.3-48
DEN19914.3-3
STL20004.3-3
CHI19904.3-28
PHI19894.3-14
PIT20144.3-13
TEN19994.3-7
NYJ19814.3-4
HOU19674.2-33
IND20064.24
BUF19984.2-7
IND19874.1-17
KAN19924.1-17
MIA19954.1-15
WAS20054.1-10
ATL20084.1-6
WAS19994.1-1
CIN19704.1-17
PIT19974.1-3
MIN19994-12
TAM20074-10
RAM19853.9-24
NYJ20103.9-5
MIN20153.9-1
CIN19733.9-18
CHI19333.92
SEA20163.9-16
PHI20103.9-5
MIA19943.9-1
DET19833.8-1
SEA19873.8-3
PHI19883.8-8
BUF19803.8-6
PHI20133.8-2
DEN20153.72
MIA19923.7-19
HOU19883.7-7
CLE19693.6-20
OAK19803.62
GNB19933.6-10
CHI20053.6-8
DAL19793.6-2
CHI19793.6-10
PHI19793.6-7
MIA19983.5-35
IND20133.4-21
BAL20123.43
MIA20013.4-17
JAX19983.4-10
BUF19963.3-3
PIT19833.3-28
ATL20113.3-22
BOS19363.3-15
DEN19863.2-19
ARI20093.1-31
NYG19343.117
NOR20003.1-18
WAS20123-10
CHI20103-7
SDG20133-7
TAM19812.9-38
CLE19802.9-2
IND20102.9-1
SDG19642.9-13
MIN20082.9-12
RAI19852.9-7
PIT19772.9-13
MIN19682.9-10
WAS19922.8-7
GNB20152.8-6
PIT20022.8-3
DET19912.8-31
GNB20162.8-23
TAM20012.8-22
HOU19802.8-20
GNB20042.8-14
CLE19652.7-11
NYG19432.7-28
TEN20022.7-17
CLE19672.6-38
LAC19602.6-8
MIN19942.6-17
RAM19862.6-12
NYG19972.6-1
NWE20052.6-14
NYG20022.6-1
KAN20102.5-23
SEA19992.5-3
NWE19942.4-7
DET20142.4-4
RAM19552.4-24
BAL20012.4-17
NYG19812.4-14
ATL20172.4-5
KAN19932.3-17
IND20022.3-41
TAM19972.3-14
TAM19792.3-9
DAL19962.3-9
CAR20172.3-5
BUF19812.2-7
TAM19992.2-5
DAL19912-32
KAN19862-20
HOU19791.9-14
MIN20121.9-14
OAK20161.9-13
CHI19911.9-4
RAM19841.9-3
DAL20031.8-19
MIA20081.8-18
DEN19791.7-6
PIT19931.7-3
DET19571.74
MIN20001.6-41
HOU20151.6-30
NYG20161.6-25
TAM20051.6-7
WAS20071.5-21
DAL19851.5-20
CLE20021.5-3
NYJ20021.4-20
ATL19911.4-17
BUF19741.4-18
NYG20071.43
PHI19961.4-14
CLE19721.4-6
NYJ20061.3-21
CIN20111.3-21
CIN20141.3-16
KAN19941.3-10
NYJ19911.3-7
CAR20031.3-3
PHI19781.3-1
RAM19831.1-44
SFO20021-25
KAN20061-15
CLE19881-1
BUF19950.9-19
DET19940.9-4
IND19950.9-4
BUF19630.9-18
RAM19790.9-12
CIN20090.9-10
CLE19710.9-17
ATL19950.8-17
NYJ20010.8-14
MIA19970.8-14
ARI20140.7-11
MIN20040.6-13
SEA19880.6-8
WAS20150.6-17
MIN19800.6-15
DET19820.6-24
NWE19980.5-15
OAK19700.5-10
CIN19900.5-10
BCL19480.4-11
SEA19830.4-16
DET19930.4-4
MIN19770.3-17
TEN20070.3-11
ATL20040.2-17
BUF19480.1-42
CHI19770.1-30
MIN19870.1-7
RAI19910.1-4
ARI20080.1-4
DET1999-0.1-14
NOR1990-0.1-10
HOU1969-0.1-49
SDG1995-0.1-15
NYG1984-0.1-11
SEA2004-0.1-7
HOU1987-0.3-24
MIN1997-0.3-16
SFO1957-0.3-4
NYG2011-0.43
SEA2006-0.4-3
CLE1985-0.4-3
NYG2006-0.4-3
MIA1999-0.6-55
JAX1996-0.6-14
GNB2013-0.7-3
MIN1978-0.8-24
DET2016-0.8-20
MIN1993-0.8-7
NYY1949-0.8-10
HOU1978-0.9-29
IND1996-1.1-28
MIN1996-1.1-25
MIA2016-1.1-18
MIN1982-1.2-14
PHI1995-1.3-19
RAI1993-1.3-6
TEN2017-1.4-21
NYJ1986-1.4-3
NWE1982-1.6-15
DEN1983-1.6-24
PIT1947-1.6-21
BUF1949-1.7-10
ATL1982-1.8-6
IND2012-1.9-15
CAR2014-2.2-14
TAM1982-2.2-13
CHI1994-2.3-29
HOU1989-2.9-3
HOU2016-3.1-18
ATL1978-3.1-7
ARI1998-3.3-20
BUF2017-3.6-7
PIT1989-3.8-1
STL1982-3.9-25
STL2004-4.6-30
CLE1982-4.7-17
DEN2011-5.1-35
SEA2010-6.1-11

What’s the closest game you can think of that reminds you of Alabama/Clemson?

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