Final 2015 College Football SRS Ratings/Bowl Preview

by Chase Stuart on December 13, 2015

in College, SRS

With the college football regular season now officially over, let’s look at the final SRS ratings from 2015:

Search:

Rk	Team	Conf	Div	Conf Rk	G	MOV	SOS	SRS	REC
1	Oklahoma	B12	B12	1	12	20.3	42	62.3	11-1
2	Alabama	SEC	SEC-West	1	13	17.8	42.9	60.7	12-1
3	Ohio State	B10	B10-East	1	12	18.8	39.1	57.9	11-1
4	Clemson	ACC	ACC-Atl	1	13	15.9	41.7	57.6	13-0
5	Notre Dame	Ind	Ind	1	12	11.8	43.2	55	10-2
6	Florida St	ACC	ACC-Atl	2	12	14.8	40	54.8	10-2
7	Stanford	P12	P12-North	1	13	12.9	41.7	54.7	11-2
8	North Carolina	ACC	ACC-Coas	3	13	15.7	38.4	54.1	11-2
9	Baylor	B12	B12	2	12	16.3	37.8	54.1	9-3
10	TCU	B12	B12	3	12	13.7	39.4	53	10-2
11	Michigan St	B10	B10-East	2	13	10.9	42.1	53	12-1
12	Mississippi	SEC	SEC-West	2	12	12.8	40	52.8	9-3
13	Michigan	B10	B10-East	3	12	11.9	40.3	52.2	9-3
14	Tennessee	SEC	SEC-East	3	12	10.7	40.5	51.2	8-4
15	Iowa	B10	B10-West	4	13	12.2	38.8	51.1	12-1
16	Southern Cal	P12	P12-South	2	13	6.8	43.7	50.5	8-5
17	Oklahoma St	B12	B12	4	12	10.4	39.7	50.1	10-2
18	LSU	SEC	SEC-West	4	11	6.3	43.5	49.8	8-3
19	West Virginia	B12	B12	5	12	7.6	41.5	49.1	7-5
20	Arkansas	SEC	SEC-West	5	12	6.2	42.8	49	7-5
21	Mississippi St	SEC	SEC-West	6	12	9	39.9	48.8	8-4
22	Bowling Green	MAC	MAC-East	1	13	14.1	34.7	48.8	10-3
23	Navy	Amer	Amer-West	1	12	13.5	35.1	48.6	10-2
24	Houston	Amer	Amer-West	2	13	17.1	31.4	48.4	12-1
25	Wisconsin	B10	B10-West	5	12	11.6	36.6	48.2	9-3
26	Washington	P12	P12-North	3	12	8.2	39.8	48	6-6
27	Utah	P12	P12-South	4	12	7.7	40.3	48	9-3
28	Memphis	Amer	Amer-West	3	12	12.7	35.1	47.8	9-3
29	Florida	SEC	SEC-East	7	13	7.1	40.6	47.6	10-3
30	Oregon	P12	P12-North	5	12	6.7	40.6	47.3	9-3
31	UCLA	P12	P12-South	6	12	6.5	40.4	46.9	8-4
32	Toledo	MAC	MAC-West	2	11	13.1	33.7	46.8	9-2
33	Pittsburgh	ACC	ACC-Coas	4	12	4.3	42.5	46.7	8-4
34	California	P12	P12-North	7	12	5.1	41.5	46.6	7-5
35	Texas A&M	SEC	SEC-West	8	12	5.6	40.4	46	8-4
36	North Carolina St	ACC	ACC-Atl	5	12	8.2	37.5	45.7	7-5
37	Western Kentucky	CUSA	CUSA-East	1	13	16.3	29	45.3	11-2
38	Louisville	ACC	ACC-Atl	6	12	4	41.2	45.1	7-5
39	Georgia	SEC	SEC-East	9	12	8	37	45	9-3
40	Northwestern	B10	B10-West	6	12	4.7	40.3	44.9	10-2
41	Temple	Amer	Amer-East	4	13	11	33.9	44.9	10-3
42	Texas Tech	B12	B12	6	12	2.6	41.8	44.4	7-5
43	Virginia Tech	ACC	ACC-Coas	7	12	3.8	40.5	44.3	6-6
44	South Florida	Amer	Amer-East	5	12	10.3	34.1	44.3	8-4
45	Brigham Young	Ind	Ind	2	12	10.1	34	44.1	9-3
46	Nebraska	B10	B10-West	7	12	3.5	40	43.5	5-7
47	Penn State	B10	B10-East	8	12	2	40.7	42.8	7-5
48	Georgia Tech	ACC	ACC-Coas	8	12	-0.1	42.8	42.8	3-9
49	Miami FL	ACC	ACC-Coas	9	12	1.2	41.3	42.5	8-4
50	Auburn	SEC	SEC-West	10	12	-0.8	42.7	42	6-6
51	Washington St	P12	P12-North	8	12	3.6	38.3	41.9	8-4
52	Arizona St	P12	P12-South	9	12	0.8	40.9	41.7	6-6
53	Boise St	MWC	MWC-Mntn	1	12	12.6	28.8	41.4	8-4
54	Kansas St	B12	B12	7	12	0.5	40.7	41.2	6-6
55	Duke	ACC	ACC-Coas	10	12	4.4	36.5	40.9	7-5
56	Texas	B12	B12	8	12	-4.1	44.5	40.4	5-7
57	Western Michigan	MAC	MAC-West	3	12	5.1	35.2	40.3	7-5
58	San Diego St	MWC	MWC-West	2	13	12.3	27.3	39.7	10-3
59	Appalachian St	Sun	Sun	1	12	15.2	24.3	39.5	10-2
60	Georgia Southern	Sun	Sun	2	12	10.4	29	39.4	8-4
61	Northern Illinois	MAC	MAC-West	4	13	6.9	32.3	39.2	8-5
62	Indiana	B10	B10-East	9	12	-1.3	40.3	39	6-6
63	Illinois	B10	B10-West	10	12	-2	41	39	5-7
64	Iowa St	B12	B12	9	12	-7.1	45.7	38.6	3-9
65	Arizona	P12	P12-South	10	12	0.5	37.9	38.3	6-6
66	Cincinnati	Amer	Amer-East	6	12	4.8	33.4	38.2	7-5
67	Virginia	ACC	ACC-Coas	11	12	-5.8	43.6	37.8	4-8
68	Central Michigan	MAC	MAC-West	5	12	4.7	33.1	37.7	7-5
69	Air Force	MWC	MWC-Mntn	3	13	8.5	29.1	37.7	8-5
70	Southern Miss	CUSA	CUSA-West	2	13	13.2	24.2	37.4	9-4
71	Minnesota	B10	B10-West	11	12	-4.5	41.8	37.3	5-7
72	Boston College	ACC	ACC-Atl	12	12	-1.4	38.2	36.9	3-9
73	East Carolina	Amer	Amer-East	7	12	0.4	36.4	36.8	5-7
74	Marshall	CUSA	CUSA-East	3	12	12.5	23.9	36.5	9-3
75	Missouri	SEC	SEC-East	11	12	-3.2	39.4	36.2	5-7
76	Arkansas St	Sun	Sun	3	12	10.4	25.7	36.1	9-3
77	Syracuse	ACC	ACC-Atl	13	12	-5.5	41.4	35.9	4-8
78	Utah St	MWC	MWC-Mntn	4	12	2.1	33.7	35.8	6-6
79	Maryland	B10	B10-East	12	12	-9.8	45.5	35.8	3-9
80	South Carolina	SEC	SEC-East	12	12	-5.8	41.4	35.7	3-9
81	Louisiana Tech	CUSA	CUSA-West	4	12	8.6	26.8	35.4	8-4
82	Wake Forest	ACC	ACC-Atl	14	12	-7.3	41.7	34.3	3-9
83	Connecticut	Amer	Amer-East	8	12	-1.4	35.2	33.8	6-6
84	Vanderbilt	SEC	SEC-East	13	12	-5.5	39.2	33.7	4-8
85	Middle Tennessee St	CUSA	CUSA-East	5	12	6	27.6	33.7	7-5
86	Ohio U.	MAC	MAC-East	6	12	3.6	29.2	32.8	8-4
87	Kentucky	SEC	SEC-East	14	12	-4.1	36.5	32.3	5-7
88	Colorado	P12	P12-South	11	13	-4.2	35.7	31.5	4-9
89	Akron	MAC	MAC-East	7	12	2.8	28.4	31.3	7-5
90	Tulsa	Amer	Amer-West	9	12	-2.5	33.7	31.3	6-6
91	Purdue	B10	B10-West	13	12	-11.1	42.3	31.2	2-10
92	Rutgers	B10	B10-East	14	12	-7.7	38.3	30.6	4-8
93	Troy	Sun	Sun	4	12	-0.8	30.6	29.8	4-8
94	San José St	MWC	MWC-West	5	12	-0.5	29.9	29.4	5-7
95	Buffalo	MAC	MAC-East	8	12	-0.8	29.3	28.5	5-7
96	Colorado St	MWC	MWC-Mntn	6	12	2.1	26.2	28.2	7-5
97	Georgia St	Sun	Sun	5	12	-0.2	26.6	26.4	6-6
98	Oregon St	P12	P12-North	12	12	-15.6	41.9	26.3	2-10
99	New Mexico	MWC	MWC-Mntn	7	12	0.6	25.1	25.7	7-5
100	Nevada	MWC	MWC-West	8	12	-1.6	27.2	25.6	6-6
101	UNLV	MWC	MWC-West	9	12	-5.8	29.7	23.8	3-9
102	SMU	Amer	Amer-West	10	12	-15.7	39.3	23.6	2-10
103	Massachusetts	MAC	MAC-East	9	12	-8.8	32.2	23.4	3-9
104	Florida Int'l	CUSA	CUSA-East	6	12	-1.9	25.2	23.4	5-7
105	Army	Ind	Ind	3	12	-6.5	29.8	23.3	2-10
106	Ball St	MAC	MAC-West	10	12	-11.5	34.2	22.6	3-9
107	Florida Atlantic	CUSA	CUSA-East	7	12	-6.5	29.1	22.6	3-9
108	South Alabama	Sun	Sun	6	12	-9.6	30.4	20.8	5-7
109	Tulane	Amer	Amer-West	11	12	-14	34.4	20.4	3-9
110	Louisiana-Lafayette	Sun	Sun	7	12	-5.3	25.6	20.3	4-8
111	Kansas	B12	B12	10	12	-25.3	45.4	20.1	0-12
112	Kent St	MAC	MAC-East	11	12	-10.9	30.9	20	3-9
113	Rice	CUSA	CUSA-West	8	12	-6.4	25.9	19.5	5-7
114	Idaho	Sun	Sun	8	12	-10.6	29.9	19.4	4-8
115	Miami OH	MAC	MAC-East	12	12	-11.8	31	19.1	3-9
116	Texas-San Antonio	CUSA	CUSA-West	9	12	-9.6	28.1	18.5	3-9
117	Fresno St	MWC	MWC-West	10	12	-13.6	32	18.4	3-9
118	Texas St-San Marcos	Sun	Sun	9	12	-11.1	28.7	17.6	3-9
119	Wyoming	MWC	MWC-Mntn	11	12	-14	31.3	17.3	2-10
120	Hawai`i	MWC	MWC-West	12	13	-15.2	31	15.8	3-10
121	New Mexico St	Sun	Sun	10	12	-13.1	28.8	15.7	3-9
122	Louisiana-Monroe	Sun	Sun	11	13	-13.2	28.6	15.4	2-11
123	Old Dominion	CUSA	CUSA-East	10	12	-10.6	26	15.4	5-7
124	Eastern Michigan	MAC	MAC-West	13	12	-15.6	30.5	14.9	1-11
125	UTEP	CUSA	CUSA-West	11	12	-10	24.8	14.8	5-7
126	Central Florida	Amer	Amer-East	12	12	-20.6	35.4	14.8	0-12
127	North Texas	CUSA	CUSA-West	12	12	-21.5	33.1	11.6	1-11
128	UNC-Charlotte	CUSA	CUSA-East	13	12	-15.3	26.7	11.3	2-10

With 40 Bowl games this year, it’s easy to get confused and overwhelmed. So let’s put together a simple bowl preview, giving you all the SRS-related information you need to be ready for Bowl season. The table is sorted in chronological order for your viewing pleasure, but the rank next to each game represents the the average SRS rating of the two teams in each game. Here’s how to read the line for the Heart of Dallas Bowl game, the first matchup of Bowl season. The game is on Saturday, December 19th, at 2PM, between Washington and Southern Miss. Washington is the favorite, with an SRS of 48.0, while Southern Miss has an SRS of 37.4. That’s a difference of 10.6 points, which is a decent proxy for a pre-game point spread. The average SRS rating of the two teams is 42.7, the 25th-highest rating of the season, and the game takes place at the Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas.

Search:

Rk	Date	Time	Day	Favorite	Underdog	Fav SRS	Und SRS	Diff	Avg SRS	Location
35	12-19-2015	9:00 PM	Sat	Arkansas St	Louisiana Tech	36.1	35.4	0.7	35.8	Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans; Louisiana
38	12-19-2015	2:00 PM	Sat	Arizona	New Mexico	38.3	25.7	12.6	32.0	University Stadium - Albuquerque; New Mexico
34	12-19-2015	5:30 PM	Sat	Appalachian St	Ohio U.	39.5	32.8	6.7	36.1	Cramton Bowl - Montgomery; Alabama
39	12-19-2015	7:00 PM	Sat	San José St	Georgia St	29.4	26.4	3.0	27.9	Orlando Citrus Bowl - Orlando; Florida
15	12-19-2015	3:30 PM	Sat	Utah	Brigham Young	48.0	44.1	3.9	46.1	Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas; Nevada
22	12-21-2015	2:30 PM	Mon	Western Kentucky	South Florida	45.3	44.3	1.0	44.8	Marlins Park - Miami; Florida
16	12-22-2015	7:00 PM	Tue	Toledo	Temple	46.8	44.9	1.9	45.9	FAU Football Stadium - Boca Raton; Florida
37	12-22-2015	3:30 PM	Tue	Utah St	Akron	35.8	31.3	4.6	33.5	Albertsons Stadium - Boise; Idaho
23	12-23-2015	8:00 PM	Wed	Bowling Green	Georgia Southern	48.8	39.4	9.3	44.1	Ladd-Peebles Stadium - Mobile; Alabama
28	12-23-2015	4:30 PM	Wed	Boise St	Northern Illinois	41.4	39.2	2.2	40.3	Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego; California
30	12-24-2015	8:00 PM	Thu	San Diego St	Cincinnati	39.7	38.2	1.5	38.9	Aloha Stadium - Honolulu; Hawaii
33	12-24-2015	12:00 PM	Thu	Western Michigan	Middle Tennessee St	40.3	33.7	6.6	37.0	Thomas A. Robinson Stadium - Nassau;
29	12-26-2015	3:30 PM	Sat	Duke	Indiana	40.9	39.0	1.9	40.0	Yankee Stadium - Bronx; New York
36	12-26-2015	11:00 AM	Sat	Marshall	Connecticut	36.5	33.8	2.6	35.1	Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg; Florida
19	12-26-2015	9:15 PM	Sat	UCLA	Nebraska	46.9	43.5	3.4	45.2	Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara; California
31	12-26-2015	5:45 PM	Sat	Virginia Tech	Tulsa	44.3	31.3	13.1	37.8	Independence Stadium - Shreveport; Louisiana
25	12-26-2015	2:20 PM	Sat	Washington	Southern Miss	48.0	37.4	10.6	42.7	Cotton Bowl Stadium - Dallas; Texas
26	12-26-2015	2:00 PM	Sat	Miami FL	Washington St	42.5	41.9	0.6	42.2	Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso; Texas
32	12-28-2015	5:00 PM	Mon	Central Michigan	Minnesota	37.7	37.3	0.4	37.5	Ford Field - Detroit; Michigan
12	12-28-2015	2:30 PM	Mon	Navy	Pittsburgh	48.6	46.7	1.9	47.7	Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis; Maryland
27	12-29-2015	2:00 PM	Tue	California	Air Force	46.6	37.7	8.9	42.1	Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth; Texas
40	12-29-2015	7:30 PM	Tue	Colorado St	Nevada	28.2	25.6	2.6	26.9	Arizona Stadium - Tucson; Arizona
4	12-29-2015	5:30 PM	Tue	North Carolina	Baylor	54.1	54.1	0.0	54.1	Orlando Citrus Bowl - Orlando; Florida
14	12-29-2015	9:00 PM	Tue	LSU	Texas Tech	49.8	44.4	5.4	47.1	NRG Stadium - Houston; Texas
21	12-30-2015	12:00 PM	Wed	Memphis	Auburn	47.8	42.0	5.8	44.9	Legion Field - Birmingham; Alabama
13	12-30-2015	3:30 PM	Wed	Mississippi St	North Carolina St	48.8	45.7	3.1	47.2	Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte; North Carolina
17	12-30-2015	7:00 PM	Wed	Texas A&M	Louisville	46.0	45.1	0.9	45.6	Nissan Stadium - Nashville; Tennessee
10	12-30-2015	10:30 PM	Wed	Southern Cal	Wisconsin	50.5	48.2	2.3	49.3	Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego; California
6	12-31-2015	12:00 PM	Thu	Florida St	Houston	54.8	48.4	6.4	51.6	Georgia Dome - Atlanta; Georgia
2	12-31-2015	8:00 PM	Thu	Alabama	Michigan St	60.7	53.0	7.7	56.8	AT&T Stadium - Arlington; Texas
1	12-31-2015	4:00 PM	Thu	Oklahoma	Clemson	62.3	57.6	4.8	60.0	Sun Life Stadium - Miami Gardens; Florida
9	01-01-2016	1:00 PM	Fri	Michigan	Florida	52.2	47.6	4.5	49.9	Orlando Citrus Bowl - Orlando; Florida
3	01-01-2016	1:00 PM	Fri	Ohio State	Notre Dame	57.9	55.0	2.9	56.4	University of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale; Arizona
7	01-01-2016	8:30 PM	Fri	Mississippi	Oklahoma St	52.8	50.1	2.8	51.5	Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans; Louisiana
5	01-01-2016	5:00 PM	Fri	Stanford	Iowa	54.7	51.1	3.6	52.9	Rose Bowl - Pasadena; California
11	01-01-2016	12:00 PM	Fri	Tennessee	Northwestern	51.2	44.9	6.2	48.1	Raymond James Stadium - Tampa; Florida
20	01-02-2016	3:20 PM	Sat	Arkansas	Kansas St	49.0	41.2	7.8	45.1	Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis; Tennessee
24	01-02-2016	12:00 PM	Sat	Georgia	Penn State	45.0	42.8	2.2	43.9	EverBank Field - Jacksonville; Florida
8	01-02-2016	6:45 PM	Sat	TCU	Oregon	53.0	47.3	5.7	50.2	Alamodome - San Antonio; Texas
18	01-02-2016	10:15 PM	Sat	West Virginia	Arizona St	49.1	41.7	7.4	45.4	Chase Field - Phoenix; Arizona

Some quick notes:

The most lopsided game of Bowl season: Virginia Tech/Tulsa, as the Hokies are 13.1-point SRS favorites. It should be a nice sendoff for head coach Frank Beamer.

The closest game of the year should be an excellent one: North Carolina against Baylor in the Russell Athletic Bowl in Orlando. Both teams have the same SRS rating of 54.1. It also features two top ten teams and is the 4th best SRS matchup of bowl season.

Unsurprisingly, Oklahoma/Clemson in the Orange Bowl is the best game as far as average SRS ratings. The worst? The NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl with Nevada and Colorado State, which is one of two new Bowl games this year (the Cure Bowl, featuring San Jose State and Georgia State, which is the second worst game of the season, being the other). This game was supposed to feature teams from the Mountain West Conference and Conference USA, but it wound up featuring two MWC teams. Fortunately, Nevada and Colorado State did not play in the regular season, so if you wanted to know which 6+ loss Mountain West team was the best, you’re in luck: this one will be settled on the field.

Also, of interest to me every year is the Bowl game that’s closest to home: that’s the always tantalizing Pinstripe Bowl. This year, it features Duke and Indiana, which would be really exciting most years except this game in a baseball stadium doesn’t feature two basketball teams.

Tagged as: NCAA SRS

{ 2 comments }