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As I do each year, I like to analyze the results from the NFL combine but adjust for height and weight.

Based on the results in Indianapolis in 2019, the best way to project estimated 40-yard dash times based on weight and height was to use the following formula:

Estimated 40-yard dash time = 3.569 -0.002 * height (inches) + 0.005426 x weight (lbs)

Weight has a much bigger role than height when calculating estimated 40 times, and you can see that in the graph below, which represents the estimated 40 times for a player at the ’19 Combine at various heights and weights:

As readers would expect, it was MSU’s edge rusher Montez Sweat posted the top weight/height adjusted 40-yard dash. Combine star WR D.K. Metcalf from Ole Miss posted the third-best time: at 6’3, 228 pounds, he would be expected to run a 4.65 dash.  In reality, he ran a 4.33, which was +0.32 better than expected. Michigan DLRashan Gary had the 2nd-best time, running a 4.58 compared to an expected time of 4.92.

The full results are below:

RkPlayerPosSchoolHeightWtExp 4040YDDiff
1Montez SweatEDGEMississippi St.782604.824.410.41
2Rashan GaryDLMichigan762774.924.580.34
3D.K. MetcalfWRMississippi752284.654.330.32
4Devin WhiteLBLSU732374.714.420.29
5John CominskyDLCharleston772864.964.690.27
6Noah FantTEIowa762494.774.50.27
7Devin BushLBMichigan712344.694.430.26
8Justin HollinsEDGEOregon772484.764.50.26
9Zedrick WoodsSMississippi712054.544.290.25
10Jamel DeanCBAuburn732064.544.30.24
11Brian BurnsEDGEFlorida St.772494.764.530.23
12Quinnen WilliamsDLAlabama753035.064.830.23
13Parris CampbellWROhio St.732054.534.310.22
14Dexter LawrenceDLClemson763425.275.050.22
15Ty SummersLBTCU732414.734.510.22
16Gary JohnsonLBTexas732264.654.430.22
17Chase WinovichEDGEMichigan752564.814.590.22
18Blake CashmanLBMinnesota732374.714.50.21
19David LongLBWest Virginia712274.664.450.21
20Josh AllenEDGEKentucky772624.834.630.2
21Terry McLaurinWROhio St.732084.554.350.2
22Jazz FergusonWRNorthwestern St. (LA)772274.644.450.19
23Miles BoykinWRNotre Dame762204.614.420.19
24Chris LindstromOLBoston College763085.094.910.18
25Tyree JacksonQBBuffalo792494.764.590.17
26Khalen SaundersDLWestern Illinois733245.185.010.17
27Erik McCoyOLTexas A&M763035.064.890.17
28Ryquell ArmsteadRBTemple712204.624.450.17
29Hakeem ButlerWRIowa St.772274.644.480.16
30Darius WestSKentucky712084.554.390.16
31Gary JenningsWRWest Virginia732144.584.420.16
32Andre DillardOTWashington St.773155.124.960.16
33Ashton DulinWRMalone University (Ohio)732154.594.430.16
34A.J. BrownWRMississippi732264.654.490.16
35Garrett BradburyOLNorth Carolina St.753065.084.920.16
36Caleb WilsonTEUCLA762404.724.560.16
37Ben BanoguEDGETCU752504.774.620.15
38Gerri GreenEDGEMississippi St.762524.784.630.15
39Germaine PrattLBNorth Carolina St.742404.724.570.15
40Isaiah JohnsonCBHouston742084.554.40.15
41Daylon MackDLTexas A&M733365.245.10.14
42Darnell SavageSMaryland711984.54.360.14
43Andy IsabellaWRMassachusetts691884.454.310.14
44Bobby OkerekeLBStanford732394.724.580.14
45Jaylen SmithWRLouisville742194.614.470.14
46Maxx CrosbyDLEastern Michigan772554.84.660.14
47Jamal DavisEDGEAkron752434.744.60.14
48Jordan BrailfordEDGEOklahoma St.752524.784.650.13
49Will HarrisSBoston College732074.544.410.13
50Josh OliverTESan Jose St.772494.764.630.13
51Renell WrenDLArizona State773185.145.010.13
52Foster MoreauTELSU762534.794.660.13
53Nkeal HarryWRArizona State742284.664.530.13
54Emanuel HallWRMissouri742014.514.390.12
55Drue TranquillLBNotre Dame742344.694.570.12
56Oli UdohOTElon773235.175.050.12
57Juan ThornhillSVirginia732054.534.420.11
58Mecole HardmanWRGeorgia701874.444.330.11
59Mike JacksonCBMiami732104.564.450.11
60Kahale WarringTESan Diego St.772524.784.670.11
61Tytus HowardOTAlabama St.773225.165.050.11
62Ben Burr-KirvenLBWashington732304.674.560.11
63Porter GustinEDGEUSC762554.84.690.11
64Johnnie DixonWROhio St.702014.524.410.11
65Tyrel DodsonLBTexas A&M732374.714.60.11
66Deebo SamuelWRSouth Carolina712144.594.480.11
67Shareef MillerEDGEPenn St.762544.794.690.1
68Irv SmithTEAlabama742424.734.630.1
69Mike WeberRBOhio St.702114.574.470.1
70Justice HillRBOklahoma St.701984.54.40.1
71Mark FieldsCBClemson701924.474.370.1
72Emeke EgbuleLBHouston742454.754.650.1
73Ken WebsterCBMississippi712034.534.430.1
74Johnathan AbramSMississippi St.712054.544.450.09
75Drew SampleTEWashington772554.84.710.09
76Christian WilkinsDLClemson753155.135.040.09
77Amani HookerSIowa712104.564.480.08
78Chauncey Gardner-JohnsonSFlorida712104.564.480.08
79Jordan ScarlettRBFlorida712084.554.470.08
80Devon JohnsonOTFerris St.793385.245.160.08
81Sione TakitakiLBBYU732384.714.630.08
82Jerry TilleryDLNotre Dame782955.014.930.08
83Miles SandersRBPenn St.712114.574.490.08
84Kaleb McGaryOTWashington793175.135.050.08
85Qadree OllisonRBPittsburgh732284.664.580.08
86Jamal CustisWRSyracuse762144.584.50.08
87T.J. HockensonTEIowa772514.774.70.07
88Ryan ConnellyLBWisconsin742424.734.660.07
89Darrell HendersonRBMemphis682084.564.490.07
90Jordan JonesLBKentucky742344.694.620.07
91Nick BosaDLOhio St.762664.864.790.07
92Dax RaymondTEUtah St.772554.84.730.07
93Alize MackTENotre Dame762494.774.70.07
94Kris BoydCBTexas712014.524.450.07
95Cody BartonLBUtah742374.74.640.06
96Darius SlaytonWRAuburn731904.454.390.06
97Amani OruwariyeCBPenn St.742054.534.470.06
98Khari WillisSMichigan St.712134.584.520.06
99Anthony NelsonDLIowa792714.884.820.06
100Sean BuntingCBCentral Michigan731954.484.420.06
101Saquan HamptonSRutgers732064.544.480.06
102Alex BarnesRBKansas St.732264.654.590.06
103Karan HigdonRBMichigan692064.554.490.06
104Lonnie JohnsonCBKentucky742134.574.520.05
105Greedy WilliamsCBLSU741854.424.370.05
106Malik CarneyEDGENorth Carolina742514.784.730.05
107Trysten HillDLCentral Florida753085.095.040.05
108L.J. CollierDLTCU742834.954.910.04
109Sheldrick RedwineSMiami731964.484.440.04
110Trayvon MullenCBClemson731994.54.460.04
111Tony PollardRBMemphis732104.564.520.04
112Trayveon WilliamsRBTexas A&M682064.554.510.04
113David LongCBMichigan711964.494.450.04
114Travis HomerRBMiami702014.524.480.04
115Deion CalhounOLMississippi St.743105.15.070.03
116Dillon MitchellWROregon731974.494.460.03
117Kingsley KekeDLTexas A&M752884.984.950.03
118Damien HarrisRBAlabama702164.64.570.03
119Iosua OpetaOLWeber St.763015.055.020.03
120Jace SternbergerTETexas A&M762514.784.750.03
121Keenen BrownTETexas St.742504.784.750.03
122Cameron SmithLBUSC742384.714.690.02
123Corey BallentineCBWashburn711964.494.470.02
124Kelvin HarmonWRNorth Carolina St.742214.624.60.02
125Bisi JohnsonWRColorado St.732044.534.510.02
126Easton StickQBNorth Dakota St.732244.644.620.02
127Iman Lewis-MarshallCBUSC732074.544.530.01
128Charles OmenihuDLTexas772804.934.920.01
129Oshane XiminesEDGEOld Dominion752534.794.780.01
130Travis FulghamWROld Dominion742154.594.580.01
131Dexter WilliamsRBNotre Dame712124.574.570
132Derrek ThomasCBBaylor751894.444.440
133Alex WesleyWRNorthern Colorado731904.454.450
134David MontgomeryRBIowa St.702224.634.630
135Jordan BrownCBSouth Dakota St.732014.514.510
136Carl GrandersonEDGEWyoming772544.794.790
137Nick FitzgeraldQBMississippi St.772264.644.640
138Marquise BlairSUtah731954.484.480
139Ugo AmadiSOregon691994.514.510
140Dontavius RussellDLAuburn753195.155.150
141Sutton SmithEDGENorthern Illinois732334.684.69-0.01
142Andrew WingardSWyoming732094.554.56-0.01
143David SillsWRWest Virginia752114.564.57-0.01
144Cody FordOTOklahoma763295.25.21-0.01
145Stanley MorganWRNebraska732024.524.53-0.01
146Ryan BatesOLPenn St.763065.075.09-0.02
147Benny SnellRBKentucky702244.644.66-0.02
148Wyatt RayEDGEBoston College752574.814.83-0.02
149Jachai PoliteEDGEFlorida752584.824.84-0.02
150Isaiah PrinceOTOhio St.783055.075.09-0.02
151Trevon WescoTEWest Virginia752674.874.89-0.02
152Jamal PetersCBMississippi St.742184.64.63-0.03
153Mitch WishnowskyPUtah742184.64.63-0.03
154Trey PipkinsOTSioux Falls783095.095.12-0.03
155Damarkus LodgeWRMississippi742024.514.55-0.04
156Cody ThompsonWRToledo732054.534.57-0.04
157Phil HaynesOLWake Forest763225.165.2-0.04
158Drew LockQBMissouri762284.654.69-0.04
159Myles GaskinRBWashington692054.544.58-0.04
160Justin LayneCBMichigan St.741924.464.5-0.04
161Xavier CrawfordCBCentral Michigan711874.444.48-0.04
162Alexander MattisonRBBoise St.712214.624.67-0.05
163Greg GainesDLWashington733125.115.16-0.05
164Jamarius WayWRSouth Alabama752154.584.63-0.05
165Rock Ya-SinCBTemple731924.464.51-0.05
166Javon PattersonOLMississippi753075.085.13-0.05
167Deandre BakerCBGeorgia711934.474.52-0.05
168Rashad FentonCBSouth Carolina711934.474.52-0.05
169Albert HugginsDLClemson753055.075.12-0.05
170Paul AdamsOTMissouri783175.135.18-0.05
171Chris SlaytonDLSyracuse763075.085.13-0.05
172Ryan PulleyCBArkansas712094.564.61-0.05
173Trace McSorleyQBPenn St.732024.524.57-0.05
174Tommy SweeneyTEBoston College762514.784.83-0.05
175Davante DavisCBTexas742024.514.57-0.06
176Zach GentryTEMichigan802654.844.9-0.06
177Julian LoveCBNotre Dame711954.484.54-0.06
178Jordan MillerCBWashington731864.434.49-0.06
179Zach AllenDLBoston College762814.945-0.06
180Evan WorthingtonSColorado742124.574.63-0.06
181Joe Giles-HarrisLBDuke742344.694.75-0.06
182Jonah WilliamsOTAlabama763025.055.12-0.07
183Demarcus ChristmasDLFlorida St.752945.015.08-0.07
184Isaiah BuggsDLAlabama753065.085.15-0.07
185Malik GantSMarshall732094.554.63-0.08
186Riley RidleyWRGeorgia731994.54.58-0.08
187Joejuan WilliamsCBVanderbilt762114.564.64-0.08
188James WilliamsRBWashington St.691974.54.58-0.08
189Keesean JohnsonWRFresno St.732014.514.6-0.09
190Jackson BartonOTUtah793105.095.18-0.09
191Dakota AllenLBTexas Tech732324.684.77-0.09
192Bobby EvansOTOklahoma763125.115.2-0.09
193Byron MurphyCBWashington711904.464.55-0.09
194Dennis DaleyOTSouth Carolina773175.135.23-0.1
195Nate DavisOLCharlotte753165.135.23-0.1
196Chuma EdogaOTUSC753085.095.19-0.1
197Otaro AlakaLBTexas A&M752394.714.82-0.11
198Tyler RoemerOTSan Diego St.783125.15.21-0.11
199Derwin GrayOTMaryland763205.155.26-0.11
200Jakobi MeyersWRNorth Carolina St.742034.524.63-0.11
201Diontae JohnsonWRToledo701834.424.53-0.11
202Kevin GivensDLPenn St.732854.975.08-0.11
203Kendall BlantonTEMissouri782624.834.95-0.12
204Jalen JelksEDGEOregon772564.84.92-0.12
205Ross PierschbacherOTAlabama763075.085.2-0.12
206Kaden SmithTEStanford772554.84.92-0.12
207Daniel HelmTEDuke762494.774.89-0.12
208Devin SingletaryRBFlorida Atlantic672034.534.66-0.13
209Byron CowartDLMaryland752985.035.16-0.13
210Terry GodwinWRGeorgia711844.424.55-0.13
211Hjalte FroholdtOLArkansas773065.075.2-0.13
212Michael DeiterOLWisconsin773095.095.23-0.14
213Alijah HolderCBStanford731914.464.6-0.14
214Beau BenzschawelOLWisconsin783095.095.24-0.15
215Jordan Ta'amuQBMississippi752214.624.77-0.15
216Jack FoxPRice742134.574.73-0.16
217Cece JeffersonEDGEFlorida732664.865.02-0.16
218Alec IngoldFBWisconsin732424.734.89-0.16
219Jeff AllisonLBFresno St.712284.664.82-0.16
220John BattleSLSU732014.514.67-0.16
221Ryan FinleyQBNorth Carolina St.762134.574.73-0.16
222William SweetOTNorth Carolina783135.115.27-0.16
223Nick BrossetteRBLSU712094.564.72-0.16
224Hunter RenfrowWRClemson701844.434.59-0.16
225Michael JordanOTOhio St.783125.15.27-0.17
226Nyqwan MurrayWRFlorida St.701914.464.63-0.17
227Terry BecknerDLMissouri762965.025.19-0.17
228Isaac NautaTEGeorgia752444.744.91-0.17
229Hamp CheeversCBBoston College691694.354.52-0.17
230Nate HerbigOLStanford753355.235.41-0.18
231Elijah HolyfieldRBGeorgia702174.64.78-0.18
232Jake BrowningQBWashington742114.564.74-0.18
233Dre'Mont JonesDLOhio St.752814.945.12-0.18
234Bryson Allen-WilliamsLBSouth Carolina732364.74.88-0.18
235Lukas DenisSBoston College711904.464.64-0.18
236Armon WattsDLArkansas773005.045.23-0.19
237Dalton RisnerOTKansas St.773125.115.3-0.19
238Lil'Jordan HumphreyWRTexas762104.554.75-0.2
239David EdwardsOTWisconsin783085.085.28-0.2
240Daniel JonesQBDuke772214.614.81-0.2
241Mark McLaurinSMississippi St.732124.574.77-0.2
242Joshua MilesOTMorgan St.773145.125.32-0.2
243Jonathan LedbetterDLGeorgia762804.935.14-0.21
244Jarrett StidhamQBAuburn742184.64.81-0.21
245Jake BaileyPStanford732004.514.72-0.21
246Dru SamiaOTOklahoma773055.075.29-0.22
247Montre HartageCBNorthwestern711904.464.68-0.22
248Jaquan JohnsonSMiami701914.464.69-0.23
249Greg LittleOTMississippi773105.095.33-0.24
250Will GrierQBWest Virginia742174.64.84-0.24
251Kyle ShurmurQBVanderbilt762304.664.91-0.25
252Terrill HanksLBNew Mexico St.742424.734.98-0.25
253Jovon DuranteWRFlorida Atlantic711604.294.55-0.26
254Mike BellSFresno St.752104.564.83-0.27
255D'Cota DixonSWisconsin702044.534.81-0.28
256Blace BrownCBTroy731944.474.75-0.28
257Dan GodsilLSIndiana762414.725-0.28
258Andre JamesOTUCLA762995.045.32-0.28
259Gardner MinshewQBWashington St.732254.644.97-0.33
260Daniel WiseDLKansas752814.945.28-0.34
261Brett RypienQBBoise St.742104.564.91-0.35
262Dwayne HaskinsQBOhio St.752314.675.04-0.37
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