On Tuesday, I looked at quarterback records when their team allows 21 or more points. Today, a look at records when scoring 21+ points. I’m short on time, so today’s post will just be a quick data dump. I leave the comments up to you!
Here’s how to read the table below. Tom Brady has played in 169 games (including playoffs) where his team has scored 21+ points, and he’s posted a 155-14-0 record in those games (translating to a 0.917 winning percentage). On average, teams win about 75% of their games when they score 21 or more points; as a result, we would have expected Brady to win 126.75 games, all else being equal. Since he’s won 155, this means he has won 28.25 more games than expected, the most in NFL history. In general, one might translate this to something like “this quarterback had a good defense.” Among active quarterbacks, Colin Kaepernick, Brady, Joe Flacco, Andy Dalton, and Jay Cutler have the best five winning percentages when scoring 21+ points.
What stands out to you? And yes, the first two names I typed in were Brees and Fouts, too.
