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The 2019 NFC East Looks Historically Bad

We knew the Washington Redskins would be awful this year, and the New York Giants are playing down to poor expectations, too. Both teams are 2-9 through 11 weeks, with one of those wins being a head-to-head Giants victory. The other three wins?

  • The Giants beat Tampa Bay, 32-31, when the Bucs missed a 34-yard field goal at the final gun.
  • The Redskins beat Miami, 17-16, when the Dolphins failed on a 2-point conversion attempt with 6 seconds remaining.
  • Washington beat Detroit (playing backup Jeff Driskel), 19-16, with a game-winning field goal in the final 20 seconds.

The strength of the division was supposed to be Dallas and Philadelphia, but that hasn’t quite worked out, either. The Eagles have been big disappointments, particularly on offense (the team ranks in the bottom 10 in yards, yards per pass attempt, and turnovers): Philadelphia is just 5-6, and 4-5 outside of NFC East play. The Cowboys have played really well against bad teams and rank in 8th in both points per game and points per game allowed; and yet Dallas is just 6-6, with all 6 wins coming against teams with losing records. The Cowboys are 2-6 outside of the division, and have lost as touchdown favorites to both the Jets and Bills.

Altogether, the NFC East is just 9-24 this season in non-division games, easily the worst mark in the NFL. And this is despite the division drawing the AFC East, projected to be the worst division in football (again) this year. In fact, the AFC East has the second-best record among the 8 divisions, but there’s a chicken-or-egg situation going on here: does the AFC East have a good record because it’s good, or because it’s playing the NFC East? The AFC East is 10-4 against the NFC East so far this season.

Of course, this means the NFC East is 5-14 against teams not in the AFC East or NFC East. The NFC East is just really, really bad with two awful teams and two underperforming teams. Since 1970, the worst winning percentage any division has ever had in non-division games belongs to the 2014 NFC South. That season, the Falcons, Saints, Panthers, and Bucs went 11-30-1 in games against the rest of the NFL, an awful 0.274 winning percentage. The NFC East still has 9 games to go, but for now, its 0.273 winning percentage in non-division games is the worst since the merger.

The table below shows every division since 1970, and the teams winning percentage in non-division games that season.  It is fully sortable and searchable, but by default is shows only the top 10 teams.

If the NFC East goes 2-5 in its final 7 games, it will cement itself as the worst division in NFL history.

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